Brewers/DBacks

borednaz · 07-21-11, 07:25 PM

Can not figure this out myself. Both teams sparatic at best.

Mike Huntertz · 07-21-11, 07:29 PM

Still await some input. Also need a degen play.

CHAZ · 07-21-11, 07:33 PM

Lol same here

I'm liking Arizona but I've been cold as ice

thebestthereis · 07-21-11, 07:35 PM

Over

NittanyLionsFan · 07-21-11, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

Over

why?

EXhoosier10 · 07-21-11, 07:43 PM

Greinke has an xFIP of 2.13.
Kennedy has an xFIP of 3.54
Last 20 Games:
Brewers offense ranks 16th with .314wOBA
D'Backs offense ranks 23rd with .301wOBA
Last 5 Games:
Brewers offense ranks 10th with .329wOBA
D'Backs offense ranks 26th with .286wOBA

Brewers have won 2 in a row
Dbacks have lost 2 in a row
Bullpen:
Axford/Saito/Krod both pitched yesterday and not another day in the last 3. The rest of the bullpen is fresh and available as well.
Dbacks pen has pretty much everyone available too.
Brewers pen has better ERA, FIP, and xFIP. Less K's but also less walks (better K/BB ratio).

SportsInsight says 48% bet on Milwaukee, line moved from +104 to -101.
ESPN ranks greinke as a 7 for tonight's matchup but only gives Kennedy a 5.

Stephen Drew got hurt yesterday and Ryan Roberts is on the bench for Geoff Blum tongiht.
Brewers have all 8 starters going today.

Arizona staying home for a game tomorrow.
Milwaukee traveling to SF.

thebestthereis · 07-21-11, 07:45 PM

Because I think its going over. If you are looking at stats and base your plays off that then build a computer program plug in the numbers and retire. You cannot make judgement picks you will never win. Take the over.

EXhoosier10 · 07-21-11, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

Because I think its going over. If you are looking at stats and base your plays off that then build a computer program plug in the numbers and retire. You cannot make judgement picks you will never win. Take the over.

??

You just said "You cannot make judgement picks you will never win" and then said "Because I think its going over."
Probably the most contradictory two sentences imaginable...

BigDan · 07-21-11, 07:54 PM

Ex with my powers of guesstimation i think dude wanted a "if" in front of that sentence..

Brew Crew the play btw.....GL everyone

EXhoosier10 · 07-21-11, 07:58 PM

Glad you're on this to BD. I'm on the Crew and under both Full game and FF

BiffTFinancial · 07-21-11, 08:00 PM

Brew

NittanyLionsFan · 07-21-11, 08:07 PM

Brewers it is. Thanks guys.

BigDan · 07-21-11, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Glad you're on this to BD. I'm on the Crew and under both Full game and FF

certainly understand under, just not sure i trust Kennedy to hold up his end, i like what mil has done with their lineup and whether it correct or not i always feel like Kennedy catches the right teams at the right times (easy to do playing out west) , not saying he isnt a quality starter but think getting Greinke and that lineup against a zona team that lost a important piece last night seems like the only way to go..Here to a 6-0 brew crew win.

NittanyLionsFan · 07-21-11, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

Because I think its going over. If you are looking at stats and base your plays off that then build a computer program plug in the numbers and retire. You cannot make judgement picks you will never win. Take the over.

lol at this. nice play u fkn loser.

BigDan · 07-21-11, 09:25 PM

yea the under was where it was at. the fact that i thought over as soon as i looked at it should have been a good indicator that it was going under.

totals been rough on me the last week.

God1 · 07-21-11, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Glad you're on this to BD. I'm on the Crew and under both Full game and FF

as am I

. why pay extra juice to bet FF especially with how good the brewers pen is?

EXhoosier10 · 07-21-11, 09:59 PM

Nyjer just doesn't have enough pop to get that one out of the park in deep center. Let's hope greinke shuts them down and I can at least break even on the FF.

Raider3 · 07-21-11, 10:05 PM

Greinke is on bad streak recently.

syy211 · 07-21-11, 10:17 PM

Mil down by 2 so far. see if they can turn it around quick

clonecat · 07-21-11, 10:32 PM

Brewers bats need to get back to Miller Park and wake up

BigDan · 07-21-11, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by clonecat

Brewers bats need to get back to Miller Park and wake up

i swear all you'll ever hear from me is fade these pussies on the road but i couldnt find any reason to take d-bags besides that tonight. guess i should have stuck with my either fade mil or pass on the road strategy ive been using for the last month.

Delbert14 · 07-21-11, 11:49 PM

well i took d backs and the over with my winnings from under in rays game, and damn i feel like an idiot! with arizona'a line up i don't know how they even won. i guess it should have went over. if milwaukee could have scored a ****ing run. chalk another loss up cause i am retarded and try to get more bang for my buck with the parlay. i knew the d backs, wasn't sure on total so i looked on here for some opinions and like everytime i do i get screwed!! everyone was saying over, over, over. right then and there i should of went under. i'll learn soon but same as you dan if i bet an over it goes under, and if i am under it goes over. so it probably wouldn't have mattered if i went under. there would have been 20 runs!! it seems like mon-wed i lose a couple hundred and thur-sun i win what i lose and some more!! anyone else like this. maybe i should take a break early in the week. well good luck tomorrow guys!! and good call on the Padres today BigDan.