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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #1
    Thursday
    4* Cardinals/Mets over 8 (-118)
  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #2
    fuk bro, i joined you kinda small on this one. wasnt easy seeing how i had this as a over gm in the series from gm1 and i have missed the 1st two days totals on Cards, getting gun shy as it has been a minute since ive lost 2 in a row on these guys.
    Comment
    • BigDan
      Restricted User
      • 04-28-11
      • 5104

      #3
      im on rox ml and rl. pads rl and ml. leaning over in tb and maybe mil/zona ov (didnt look at that a ton yet just first glance), but ill worry about those when i get home from work. GL today.
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        Originally posted by BigDan
        fuk bro, i joined you kinda small on this one. wasnt easy seeing how i had this as a over gm in the series from gm1 and i have missed the 1st two days totals on Cards, getting gun shy as it has been a minute since ive lost 2 in a row on these guys.
        as a gambler, confidence is among the most important tools that you have. i re-learned that lesson a few times in the past week when i skipped some late games (sunday night under a notable one) because i'd had a rough start to the day. bottomline: other than risk/money management, can't let the last play affect the next play. you know your team, and a couple of games not going your way doesn't change that. i don't like playing overs, but i like this one.

        Originally posted by BigDan
        im on rox ml and rl. pads rl and ml. leaning over in tb and maybe mil/zona ov (didnt look at that a ton yet just first glance), but ill worry about those when i get home from work. GL today.
        will take a look at those. i lean under in SD/FL and SEA/TOR. haven't capped NYY/TB or MIL/AZ yet (will soon), but i don't play overs at the Trop and Greinke overs have been very good to me this season.
        Comment
        • BigDan
          Restricted User
          • 04-28-11
          • 5104

          #5
          i think the "value" (hate that word but has been more true this pads/fish series than any other) is incredable on Pads, i agree more than likely low scoring and the reason i like the +1.5 a little more as i felt like -160 was pretty reasonable as if fish do actually avoid the sweep it wont be easy imho.

          its not lack of confidence on stl brother, it more like i almost always step back for a second when i miss 2 in a row on them. pisses me off cause i knew they would struggle this series and instead of just hitting up Muts i thought i had the totals pegged, still think they were the right sides but that doesnt always matter i suppose. Plus im already prepared to get down on Carp pretty big in pit on FRi.
          Comment
          • tomcast
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-19-06
            • 754

            #6
            I'm on the other side of that one. One of us will win anyway.
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #7
              Originally posted by BigDan
              i think the "value" (hate that word but has been more true this pads/fish series than any other) is incredable on Pads, i agree more than likely low scoring and the reason i like the +1.5 a little more as i felt like -160 was pretty reasonable as if fish do actually avoid the sweep it wont be easy imho. its not lack of confidence on stl brother, it more like i almost always step back for a second when i miss 2 in a row on them. pisses me off cause i knew they would struggle this series and instead of just hitting up Muts i thought i had the totals pegged, still think they were the right sides but that doesnt always matter i suppose. Plus im already prepared to get down on Carp pretty big in pit on FRi.
              maybe confidence is not the right word, just saying that you don't want to let yesterday's loss cause you to pass on a winner today. shit, the Cards faced a knuckleballer yesterday, what's more unpredictable than that?
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #8
                Originally posted by tomcast
                I'm on the other side of that one. One of us will win anyway.
                BOL to you, even if we're opposite. i've been shaky since the all-star break, being opposite from me right now not necessarily a bad thing.
                Comment
                • pokerpro44
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-20-07
                  • 3138

                  #9
                  i went small on the over.gl.
                  Comment
                  • qsilver335
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-09
                    • 1025

                    #10
                    With these two pitching staffs I like the over as well. Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • allabout the $$$
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-17-10
                      • 9843

                      #11
                      i will be at the game today will have action on the over as well see both starters out by the 6th inning
                      Comment
                      • letsgo
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-27-10
                        • 2204

                        #12
                        Lets get em.
                        Comment
                        • BigDan
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-28-11
                          • 5104

                          #13
                          Biff, have you had time to look at det/min? i just did a quick glance at the night gms as im strapped for time but would like to hear your thoughts when i get home. Lean ov 7.5 . Zoolander will prob not be as sharp as some expect, tigers offense seems to be finding itself again, and think twinks will be able to scrape some runs across as well.
                          Comment
                          • pacocn
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-05-10
                            • 12934

                            #14
                            biff, bol, hey throw your best play in the
                            "hit me with your best shot" thread.
                            i'm following you on this Over lets get it.
                            Comment
                            • oakas
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-17-07
                              • 1464

                              #15
                              Really like the over play, Biff.

                              Good luck
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #16
                                thanks a lot for the well-wishes, fellas, let's get this one.
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BigDan
                                  Biff, have you had time to look at det/min? i just did a quick glance at the night gms as im strapped for time but would like to hear your thoughts when i get home. Lean ov 7.5 . Zoolander will prob not be as sharp as some expect, tigers offense seems to be finding itself again, and think twinks will be able to scrape some runs across as well.
                                  i've now capped all of the games. here are my leans:
                                  SD/FL under
                                  SEA/TOR under
                                  ATL/COL coinflip, too close to call, if i had to play it i'd play under
                                  TEX/LAA under
                                  NYY/TB under
                                  DET/MIN over
                                  MIL/AZ over

                                  right now, thinking may add SEA/TOR under for the day, and like Rays under, Twins over, Dbacks over all about the same.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    adding

                                    2* Mariners/Jays under 7.5 (+100)

                                    updated card
                                    4* Cardinals/Mets over 8 (-118)
                                    2* Mariners/Jays under 7.5 (+100)
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #19
                                      4* Cardinals/Mets over 8 (-118) - PUSH
                                      2* Mariners/Jays under 7.5 (+100) - LOSER

                                      0-1-1 -2u. M's/Jays was looking okay until Wedge and Farrell decided to put on a clinic about how to leave your starting pitcher in an inning too long. shitheads. oh well, probably fortunate to get the push in Flushing, thanks to the Mets' buttfuckathon in the field in the 5th inning.
                                      Comment
                                      • God1
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-18-11
                                        • 848

                                        #20
                                        will be unloading the day's profits on greinke tonight and to a smaller extent shields
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by God1
                                          will be unloading the day's profits on greinke tonight and to a smaller extent shields
                                          i agree with Greinke, too late for Shields (but BOL to you with that). Dbacks demoralized after Drew injury, and have already been a little cold. Greinke's xFIP half his ERA. have to look into it, but considering Brewers since passing on total.
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #22
                                            adding

                                            3* Tigers/Twins over 7.5 (-102)
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-28-11
                                              • 5104

                                              #23
                                              think Brew crew a much better play than the total, if it wasnt for mil struggles on the road id prob like the over as i think they could potentially light Kennedy up. honestly think the total is hard, but mil a easy play to make (feels strange even saying that as ive been fading or passing on them on the road for the better half of the last month).
                                              Comment
                                              • lian6281
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-05-11
                                                • 23

                                                #24
                                                Im with you on tigers/twins over 7.5 its a winner..
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by tomcast
                                                  I'm on the other side of that one. One of us will win anyway.
                                                  hey, we both walked away pushes. i can thank the Mets' fielding shenanigans in the 5th.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 22670

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by lian6281
                                                    Im with you on tigers/twins over 7.5 its a winner..
                                                    let's get it pal. glad that we didn't get a bad ump (A Johnson).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #27
                                                      ball carrying well early in Minneapolis, Bosch's fly ball carried to the track when it seemed like a can o cawn, Stone Pony.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • God1
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-18-11
                                                        • 848

                                                        #28
                                                        unbelievable the one game I absolutely loved tomorrow already 10 cents higher, dbacks. i can count on one hand the times this year i've bet a favorite over -140 and like an idiot i don't bet the open
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BlueberyyYumYum
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 06-20-11
                                                          • 213

                                                          #29
                                                          BOL tonight Biff, u know who I am if you put your thinking cap on.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BigDan
                                                            think Brew crew a much better play than the total, if it wasnt for mil struggles on the road id prob like the over as i think they could potentially light Kennedy up. honestly think the total is hard, but mil a easy play to make (feels strange even saying that as ive been fading or passing on them on the road for the better half of the last month).
                                                            i like the Brewers. don't play a lot of sides, but i picked that total out early, then decided that's not so good. i actually think that Dbacks are going to show up a bit hollow today after Drew's injury. i've played the total in most games of this series, so i've been paying attention to it, and Dbacks were already struggling. might be time for Greinke's ERA to move towards his xFIP.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDan
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-28-11
                                                              • 5104

                                                              #31
                                                              i dont know who you are but i know i like me some blueberry yum yum
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by God1
                                                                unbelievable the one game I absolutely loved tomorrow already 10 cents higher, dbacks. i can count on one hand the times this year i've bet a favorite over -140 and like an idiot i don't bet the open
                                                                fading Aaron Cook? makes sense.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • God1
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 07-18-11
                                                                  • 848

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                  fading Aaron Cook? makes sense.
                                                                  the other half of it is how good hudson is at the plate
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by BlueberyyYumYum
                                                                    BOL tonight Biff, u know who I am if you put your thinking cap on.
                                                                    Phil Steele?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigDan
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 04-28-11
                                                                      • 5104

                                                                      #35
                                                                      glad i got you off nyy un

                                                                      or should i say im glad that i decided if you could pass i could as well , well besides that little parlay it was in i couldnt do anything about that, well i guess i could have
                                                                      Comment
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