Is it worth in playing Atlanta today at all?

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  • eleuropeano
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-06-11
    • 392

    #1
    Is it worth in playing Atlanta today at all?
    Jurrjens will probably dominate, but somehow I feel awkward picking those huge favorites at low odds...
  • face
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-31-11
    • 14740

    #2
    here are a few stats. not too many on gorzalanny vs. braves, but you can check it out at a cool website called dailybaseballdata.com:



    Tom Gorzelanny (wsh) - throws L at atl - 1:35 PM ET - Turner Field
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Alex Gonzalez R 9 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 .222 .300 .333 .633
    David Ross R 7 4 1 0 1 2 0 1 .571 .571 1.143 1.714
    Brian McCann L 10 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 .000 .091 .000 .091
    Dan Uggla R 5 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 .400 .500 1.000 1.500
    Martin Prado R 5 2 1 1 0 0 2 0 .400 .571 1.000 1.571
    Jason Heyward L 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 .500 .500 .500 1.000

    Jair Jurrjens (atl) - throws R vs. wsh - 1:35 PM ET - Turner Field
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Matt Stairs L 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .167 .167 .167 .333
    Alex Cora L 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .125 .125 .125 .250
    Rick Ankiel L 4 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 .250 .250 .250 .500
    Jayson Werth R 18 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 .222 .333 .222 .556
    Laynce Nix L 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000
    Michael Morse R 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Ryan Zimmerman R 25 9 1 0 0 1 1 6 .360 .385 .400 .785
    Jesus Flores R 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Brian Bixler R 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000 .500
    Roger Bernadina L 8 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 .250 .250 .500 .750
    Ian Desmond R 6 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 .333 .333 .833 1.167
    Danny Espinosa S 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Comment
    • dannyd66
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-21-07
      • 539

      #3
      I agree with you & ....

      some of the "limited" success I've been having concerns looking for road "dogs" that Could or Should be favored, but aren't -----although Gorzelanny's not one of them.

      Also, if the linesmakers have 2 teams that they deem virtually "even," sometimes it's worth it to take the -1 & 1/2 line if it seems wholly disproportionate; we all know that once bullpens get involved with middle / ending relief, one's chances of covering can dramatically increase -----as much as up to 50 - 50.

      Think 'bout it...

      Comment
      • wtt0315
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-18-07
        • 8037

        #4
        its a good bet but i rarely will go all in
        Comment
        • NBA_Brosuf
          Restricted User
          • 02-14-11
          • 2489

          #5
          Jurrjens (12-3, 1.87 ERA)

          versus

          Gorzelanny (2-6, 3.94 ERA)

          Id take -1.5 for the + money.

          I dunno about starting pitchers. Just like them rockies for today's game. They will stick a guy like COL: Cook (0-4, 5.82 ERA) and bench dude after the first pitch. LOL
          Comment
          • SimonSayz
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-17-09
            • 859

            #6
            I went big on Atlanta yesterday thinking if I lose, I'll chase today. I don't see Atlanta losing th series to Washington. The heavy juice scares me though.
            Comment
            • gshock1
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-04-09
              • 5366

              #7
              Too much juice
              Comment
              • nbarlotta3
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-11-10
                • 451

                #8
                I'd be careful. I feel like these huge favorites always lose.
                Comment
                • BRAVES1985
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-23-10
                  • 4250

                  #9
                  braves ALWAYS have trouble with the nats ..... every fukin year they play .500 against them
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #10
                    under
                    Comment
                    • eleuropeano
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-06-11
                      • 392

                      #11
                      what a f~king rollercoaster... really got lucky with this one, jurrjens was a total wash, i think i'll use the proceeds today to buy a freddie freeman jersey...
                      Comment
                      • xxx
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-28-05
                        • 3884

                        #12
                        washington playing some exciting baseball
                        Comment
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