Home dog system

[gohabsgo]

I've been doing some research on http://sportsdatabase.com to find out that the most profitable bet in baseball is betting on home dogs.

This is what i will do for the rest of the season. I'll post my plays and track my results here.

[gohabsgo]

July 14th plays:

Baltimore: +103 Risking 48.54 to Win 50.00
Seattle: +105 Risking 47.62 to Win 50.00

[gohabsgo]

adding:
Toronto +131: Risking 38.17 to Win 50.00

[ebbearsfb1]

Good luck..

[snapperman2]

Betting on home dogs used to be a good betting strategy. However, this year you would have done better betting on road teams.

[ebbearsfb1]

Where u see that?

[gohabsgo]

Betting on home dogs used to be a good betting strategy. However, this year you would have done better betting on road teams.

no with 100$ unit size, Betting on every single home dogs in 2011 you would have lost -$634 compared to losing -$834 betting against home dogs on all games. Both were losing proposition so far in 2011 because of the juice.

link:

http://sportsdatabase.com/mlb.py/query?sort=ON_PL&text=HD+and+season%3D2011&submit=query

BUT, since 2004 if you'd bet on all home dog games you'd won +$9,178 and losing -$36,674 betting against the home dogs (road fav basically). Still with 100$ units.

http://sportsdatabase.com/mlb.py/query?sort=ON_PL&text=HD&submit=query

[gohabsgo]

Betting on home dogs used to be a good betting strategy. However, this year you would have done better betting on road teams.

I think on the long run betting home dogs is the way to go. From 2004 to 2010 only 2009 was bad for home dogs and 2004 being a break even year. +90 units since 2004, thats the only way to systematically make money IMO.

What i'm trying to find out now is what team should i pick, i do not want to play all home dogs games.

Pittsburg as been the best money maker in 2009 and 2010

[ebbearsfb1]

something like this

3 Rules to follow:
1) You must eliminate the game where the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Remember that every baseball team face some long losing streaks as well as long winning streaks.
2) Eliminate games where the money line for the underdog are higher then 2.50 (+150). If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games.
3) Eliminate games where the underdog is facing a very good pitcher. If they’re facing a pitcher who’s in the top 20 of the MLB, move on to another selection. The pitchers standing must be according to earned-run average (ERA). Starting ERA. May 1st

[ebbearsfb1]

but ur saying without a filter, betting all home dogs u would be down 834?

[gohabsgo]

but ur saying without a filter, betting all home dogs u would be down 834?

No down $634 this year, but without a filter, betting all home dogs since 2004 up $9,178.
The $834 is betting against home dogs, road fav basically

[gohabsgo]

something like this

3 Rules to follow:
1) You must eliminate the game where the underdog has lost 3 or more games in a row or the favorite has won 3 or more games in a row. Remember that every baseball team face some long losing streaks as well as long winning streaks.
2) Eliminate games where the money line for the underdog are higher then 2.50 (+150). If this is the case, there is a reason and you must avoid these games.
3) Eliminate games where the underdog is facing a very good pitcher. If they’re facing a pitcher who’s in the top 20 of the MLB, move on to another selection. The pitchers standing must be according to earned-run average (ERA). Starting ERA. May 1st

Thanks, where did you get this info?

[ebbearsfb1]

Thanks, where did you get this info?

had it for a while, im gonna be doing that 2nd half of the year,

i was gonna start earlier but didnt have the money to be gambling,

i know that its been successful other people in the past

[ebbearsfb1]

what book do you use?

for me right now at bmaker all i have is the blue jays as a play

[Shark]

in the end road favs wont get you anywhere so i like this.

[gohabsgo]

what book do you use?

for me right now at bmaker all i have is the blue jays as a play

Pinnacle, i am canadian

[ebbearsfb1]

o okay, yea im giving this a try 2nd half of the year.. right now im only playing the blue jays

[ebbearsfb1]

is there a way to find out how many of the games were +1.5 winners?

[gohabsgo]

is there a way to find out how many of the games were +1.5 winners?

Probably, not too sure how to construct the query yet

[ebbearsfb1]

Probably, not too sure how to construct the query yet

yea im not quite sure how that site works never used it before