Hello everybody, I have been looking at threads here for a while and betting on sports for about 5 years now. I have finally decided to start posting my plays so follow me if you want to make money, fade if you'd like to lose it! I play games you wouldn't normally seen played here and thats how I like it because in the long run the public ALWAYS loses. I might get bad luck in the beginning but in the end I will come through like I always have. One of the most important things in betting is money management so therefore I only play 1 units or 2 units mostly with 3's coming every once in a while. Also regarding my record when I say 1 unit I play to win 1 unit.
I have 5 plays right now that I am loving.
Cubs -105 1unit/ Cubs over 3.5 -115 1unit
I highly doubt the cubs get swept in a 4 game series with their ace on the mound and one of my favorite money banks livan on the other side. His 3.73 era will not last that much longer, and the cubs have great stats against him while only a few nats have seen garza.
Astros +130 1 unit/ marlins over 4 +100 1 unit
Happ isnt a great pitcher but hes not nearly as bad as hes been with a good amount of luck played into that, while hand on the other hand has been one of the luckiest pitchers so far this year with only a 18% hit rate. Anytime I can get +130 odds against the crappy marlins and a HORRIBLE pitcher I will take it.
Orioles +150 1 unit/ Redsox under 5.5 1 unit
This is my least favorite play, going with it solely because of line movement. Over 80% on redsox but the line hasnt moved and has even gone down slightly...also a couple books have the redsox at 5 with bad odds enticing them to take the over..this tells me they like the under so I like it even more at 5.5. The redsox havent seen the arrieta which should help him and Miller is historically a horrible pitcher so I dont see that 3 era lasting I think its just the result of playing shitty teams.
I have 5 plays right now that I am loving.
Cubs -105 1unit/ Cubs over 3.5 -115 1unit
I highly doubt the cubs get swept in a 4 game series with their ace on the mound and one of my favorite money banks livan on the other side. His 3.73 era will not last that much longer, and the cubs have great stats against him while only a few nats have seen garza.
Astros +130 1 unit/ marlins over 4 +100 1 unit
Happ isnt a great pitcher but hes not nearly as bad as hes been with a good amount of luck played into that, while hand on the other hand has been one of the luckiest pitchers so far this year with only a 18% hit rate. Anytime I can get +130 odds against the crappy marlins and a HORRIBLE pitcher I will take it.
Orioles +150 1 unit/ Redsox under 5.5 1 unit
This is my least favorite play, going with it solely because of line movement. Over 80% on redsox but the line hasnt moved and has even gone down slightly...also a couple books have the redsox at 5 with bad odds enticing them to take the over..this tells me they like the under so I like it even more at 5.5. The redsox havent seen the arrieta which should help him and Miller is historically a horrible pitcher so I dont see that 3 era lasting I think its just the result of playing shitty teams.
