Avoid Home Sweep System

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  • merikson
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-13-11
    • 426

    #1
    Avoid Home Sweep System
    I’m not sure if this system has been tried before or not, but I started it a few weeks ago. I thought I’d create a thread for shitz & giggles showing its results for the rest of the season. The system record is 9-1, since 6/19.

    The rules are fairly simple:
    • All bets will be on the M/L.
    • Only bet on 3 or more games series.
    • Bet on the home team in the FINAL game of the series, IF the home team has lost all of the prior games in that series.
    • For a 3 game series, bet only on the home team, IF they have a 50% or better home game win percentage.
    • For a 4 game or more series, bet on the home team, no matter what their home game win percentage.
    • More filters may be added as the season progresses. It is definitely a work-in-progress.

    I am using Labby lines, but feel free to use any money management system you'd like.

    I will post any plays the night prior or day of the game(s) with the line(s) I got from Sportsbook.

    Play at your own risk. I haven’t done any back testing on this system, aside from the past few weeks.

    Good luck to all!
  • bigsmitty
    SBR MVP
    • 04-12-10
    • 3026

    #2
    Nice, I can definitely see where you're coming from with your system. MLB is definitely not one of my strong betting sports but I do it for fun waiting for NHL/NFL and I can't for the life of me come up with a stats system that works. Chase systems are really not my gig but with yours you seem to at least pick your spots so to speak. Looking forward to your plays-cheers.
    Comment
    • vyomguy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-08-09
      • 5794

      #3
      Lot of plays tomorrow
      Comment
      • merikson
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-13-11
        • 426

        #4
        System Record: 0-0

        7/6

        MIL -153 M/L
        OAK -119 M/L

        All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

        GL everyone!
        Comment
        • southpaw74
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-21-09
          • 7104

          #5
          Good luck...I like brewers
          Comment
          • JT OZ
            SBR MVP
            • 08-16-10
            • 2076

            #6
            GL today, I always wondered how a system like this could do.
            Comment
            • merikson
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-13-11
              • 426

              #7
              Originally posted by JT OZ
              GL today, I always wondered how a system like this could do.
              Same here........we shall see.
              Comment
              • bigsmitty
                SBR MVP
                • 04-12-10
                • 3026

                #8
                Good luck with the plays, they seem as good as most on the board.
                Comment
                • merikson
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-13-11
                  • 426

                  #9
                  2-0 to start for the system.

                  It was nice to see the Brew Crew make a come back in the 7th. Their offense had been stagnant this series.

                  Congrats to any early followers.

                  There may be two more plays tomorrow. We'll have to see how the Dodgers and Giants do tonight in the 3rd games of their 4 games series.

                  Feel free to chime in. I'm always up for any baseball or betting talk.
                  Comment
                  • JT OZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-16-10
                    • 2076

                    #10
                    Nice job, I rode along with you on both plays and wanted to take Giants tonight until I realized it was a 4-game set. Either way I still might take them despite the lofty price.
                    Comment
                    • merikson
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-13-11
                      • 426

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JT OZ
                      Nice job, I rode along with you on both plays and wanted to take Giants tonight until I realized it was a 4-game set. Either way I still might take them despite the lofty price.
                      I'm on the Giants and Bum tonight in a different system that I'm following. Let's cross our fingers they can somehow manufacture some runs.
                      Comment
                      • cappinthepigs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-07-09
                        • 1864

                        #12
                        Here is another losing thread
                        Comment
                        • merikson
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-13-11
                          • 426

                          #13
                          System Record: 2-0, +2 units

                          7/7


                          LAD -151 M/L

                          All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

                          GL everyone!
                          Comment
                          • dwendling
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 05-22-10
                            • 268

                            #14
                            Thanks. I like the idea of the system
                            Comment
                            • blackbox
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-28-08
                              • 1415

                              #15
                              The avoid home sweep system does work out frequently-have been watching this angle for quite a while-gl to you.
                              Comment
                              • merikson
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-13-11
                                • 426

                                #16
                                Originally posted by merikson
                                System Record: 2-0, +2 units

                                7/7

                                LAD -151 M/L

                                All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

                                GL everyone!
                                System Record: 3-0, +3 units

                                Next possible plays won't be until Sunday.

                                GL with your Friday and Saturday bets!
                                Comment
                                • merikson
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 04-13-11
                                  • 426

                                  #17
                                  [COLOR=#000000 !important]System Record: 3-0, +3 units

                                  7/10


                                  WAS -132 M/L

                                  All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

                                  GL everyone!
                                  [/COLOR]
                                  Comment
                                  • Blind Monkey
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-30-11
                                    • 217

                                    #18
                                    WSH looks to be a strong win. Maybe by 3. GL
                                    Comment
                                    • merikson
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 04-13-11
                                      • 426

                                      #19
                                      System Record: 4-0, +4 units

                                      Next possible plays won't be until next Sunday. Enjoy the All-Star break.

                                      So far, so good with the system.
                                      Comment
                                      • Bengals28
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-20-11
                                        • 2164

                                        #20
                                        Nice find, I wonder if this has been done before?
                                        Comment
                                        • Dallas79
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 11-13-10
                                          • 61

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Bengals28
                                          Nice find, I wonder if this has been done before?
                                          yes
                                          Comment
                                          • merikson
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 04-13-11
                                            • 426

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Bengals28
                                            Nice find, I wonder if this has been done before?
                                            I would imagine most systems have been tried more than once, unless they are very obscure. Since, I couldn't find a thread on this already, I figured why not start one.
                                            Comment
                                            • dwendling
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-22-10
                                              • 268

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Dallas79
                                              yes
                                              how has it done in the past?
                                              Comment
                                              • snapperman2
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-19-10
                                                • 2078

                                                #24
                                                Your system is looking good. Keep up the good work.
                                                Comment
                                                • merikson
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 04-13-11
                                                  • 426

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by snapperman2
                                                  Your system is looking good. Keep up the good work.
                                                  Thanks, I'll keep posting and hopefully, continue to win some cash!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • merikson
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-13-11
                                                    • 426

                                                    #26
                                                    System Record: 4-0, +4 units

                                                    7/17

                                                    DET -125 M/L
                                                    SEA +115 M/L

                                                    All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

                                                    GL everyone!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cannon
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-03-08
                                                      • 3329

                                                      #27
                                                      Seattle sucks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • keemosabi
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-11-10
                                                        • 199

                                                        #28
                                                        nvm
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sawyer
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 06-01-09
                                                          • 7761

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck!

                                                          Tigers may avoid sweep here but yes, Seattle sucks
                                                          Comment
                                                          • merikson
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 04-13-11
                                                            • 426

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by merikson
                                                            System Record: 4-0, +4 units

                                                            7/17

                                                            DET -125 M/L
                                                            SEA +115 M/L

                                                            All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

                                                            GL everyone!
                                                            Today 1-1, +.13 units

                                                            System Record: 5-1, +4.13 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • oklahoma
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-22-10
                                                              • 602

                                                              #31
                                                              quickly ran this system through sdql and the 3 game sweep system is 20-8, 26%ROI. and the 4 game system is 5-7, -10%ROI. considering it averages around 60 plays a season, it doesnt profit much at all, generally finishing at around 6%ROI. assuming you scrap the 4 game sweep cause that one finishes in the red every season but a few.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • merikson
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 04-13-11
                                                                • 426

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by oklahoma
                                                                quickly ran this system through sdql and the 3 game sweep system is 20-8, 26%ROI. and the 4 game system is 5-7, -10%ROI. considering it averages around 60 plays a season, it doesnt profit much at all, generally finishing at around 6%ROI. assuming you scrap the 4 game sweep cause that one finishes in the red every season but a few.
                                                                I'm surprised to hear it only averages 50 plays per season. There has been 17 in the past 30 days (including the AS break).
                                                                Comment
                                                                • oklahoma
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-22-10
                                                                  • 602

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by merikson
                                                                  I'm surprised to hear it only averages 50 plays per season. There has been 17 in the past 30 days (including the AS break).
                                                                  only looking at the 3game system(the 4game system went 1-7 last season), it is real slow the first 2 months and averages around 12 plays/month from june on. and i said it averages 60 games, not 50. either way, bol for the remainder of the season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • merikson
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 04-13-11
                                                                    • 426

                                                                    #34
                                                                    [COLOR=#000000 !important]System Record: 5-1, +4.13 units

                                                                    7/24

                                                                    CLE -130 M/L
                                                                    PIT +108 M/L

                                                                    All bets will be TO WIN 1 unit.

                                                                    GL everyone!
                                                                    [/COLOR]
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • merikson
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 04-13-11
                                                                      • 426

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Today 1-1, -.3 units
                                                                      System Record: 6-2, +3.83 units
                                                                      Comment
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