Monday, 4th of July

[Lord and Master]

cards large for me. broke my rule of never betting the marlins at home but special situation I think. both pitchers ERA/xFIP go in reverse by a good amount, marlins still being undervalued across the board. there's also a chance victorino's absence isn't priced in fully. if you ask bettors who the best player on the phillies I would think 95% would not say victorino but he is BY FAR their most valuable player

[Lord and Master]

which way does the wind need to be blowing in texas to create the wind tunnel? I think I remember there's a direction where it blows in that creates more HRs

[BiffTFinancial]

split Mariners/A's and Padres/Giants unders. 3-2 +1.21u.

[BiffTFinancial]

which way does the wind need to be blowing in texas to create the wind tunnel? I think I remember there's a direction where it blows in that creates more HRs

SW or S is key. if it's 10+ mph from SW or S, it gets the wind tunnel going out to left. tonight is supposed to be 6 mph from the S. so, it's good, but nothing special.

[BiffTFinancial]

cards large for me. broke my rule of never betting the marlins at home but special situation I think. both pitchers ERA/xFIP go in reverse by a good amount, marlins still being undervalued across the board. there's also a chance victorino's absence isn't priced in fully. if you ask bettors who the best player on the phillies I would think 95% would not say victorino but he is BY FAR their most valuable player

if you asked who Phils best player is, i imagine that 99% would name a pitcher. Victorino has been great this season though.

[greeny]

fukin piece of shit yankees gona kill me

[Lord and Master]

if you asked who Phils best player is, i imagine that 99% would name a pitcher. Victorino has been great this season though.

i meant hitters but even including the pitchers it's extremely close. halladay at 4.8 WAR, victorino at 4.4. no other hitter is over 2

[greeny]

biff u like any plays on the last two games?

[BiffTFinancial]

biff u like any plays on the last two games?

i'm probably gonna lay off and hope that things work out with the current card, but i lean over in Tigers/Angels and under in Mets/Dodgers.

[BiffTFinancial]

i meant hitters but even including the pitchers it's extremely close. halladay at 4.8 WAR, victorino at 4.4. no other hitter is over 2

for hitters, most would say Howard, and he's been an albatross.

[greeny]

thanks biff, gL

[BiffTFinancial]

Cards under and Phils under winners. should've made Cards under 5*, oh well. 4 or 5 pm local start times are gold.

5-2 +6.21u start, Royals/CWS RHE over, O's/Rangers over pending.

[BiffTFinancial]

desperate times for Royals RHE play. top 9, at 24 need 5 more. cmon, i want to hear the crappy Sox announcers sweat.

[BiffTFinancial]

Hosmer's ball was outta here. put it on the board, Hawk!

[BiffTFinancial]

you heard it hear first. i realize that i'm biased, but Hosmer's ball was gone.

[BiffTFinancial]

PUT IT ON THE BOARD. now 26 RHE. 2 hits from victory.

[BiffTFinancial]

congratulations, Chris Getz. that hit gives us 28 RHE for the 28' total. assuming that Royals/CWS game ends with a run, along with O's/Rangers over, that's 7-2 +11.21u for the day. lost on Lincecum implosion and 1* Astros ML. smoke to that. woot.

this was for the troops. thank you for what you do.

USA! USA! USA!

[BiffTFinancial]

walk off balk for the Royals/CWS winner.

[Lord and Master]

can't wait to bet the farm against verlander tomorrow

[broadway6]

Biff i've had way to many drinks...did you make some cash today?

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff i've had way to many drinks...did you make some cash today?

i have too. yep, 7-2 +11.21u. lots of things broke my way. other than Lincecum getting lit up, pretty solid across the board.

[BiffTFinancial]

can't wait to bet the farm against verlander tomorrow

Haren at home +105 does sound good.

[broadway6]

i have too. yep, 7-2 +11.21u. lots of things broke my way. other than Lincecum getting lit up, pretty solid across the board.

nice..time for you to start that year thread making +11.21u in a day....

[mentorbh]

Good day

nice..time for you to start that year thread making +11.21u in a day....

[BigDan]

played stl as well Hotwings, hate the spot but dont think we gonna see Carp this cheap at home much longer so had to. Im out for some fun and fireworks, hope everyone has a great rest of the day.

oh yea, also taking stabs at neither team to score 3 in stl and in atl. doubt they hit but oh well.

[Ca$hfloW]

Very nice day, happy 4th of july

[BigDan]

i have too. yep, 7-2 +11.21u. lots of things broke my way. other than Lincecum getting lit up, pretty solid across the board.

[fenexusa]

Very nice this games

2* Phillies/Marlins under 8 (-105)
2* Royals/White Sox R+H+E over 28.5 (-115)

[BigDan]

nice..time for you to start that year thread making +11.21u in a day....

We dont want no year long troll/hater/sheep suckfest bro.

Well i know i dont, hopefully my guy Biff dont either.

[HOT WINGS]

Changed my mind like STL now and actually played them instead. Also fading my Tigers tonight with Furbush. Tigers middle relief is hurting especially after SF and Mets series. Doubt Furbush goes past 5 and then it will be all bullpen so kind of like Over as well

Glad I changed my mind on STL Looks like I got the fade on Tigers as well. Like the Tigers tomorrow though dont care how square it is. I probably wont play them but no way I would take Angels, easier games to play than guessing when the hottest pitcher in the AL right now is going to have a bad game. I have watched most his games this year and the difference this year is that he gets out of jams when he needs too. Mets had him on ropes last game a couple times and he still only gived up 1ER. Think it was 2nd inning where there were guys on 2nd and 3rd with no outs and he struck out the next 3 batters. He has been nails all year, but with all that said the line does seem short so I will probably just lay off

[face]

nice cash on the no 3 run prop, have to try that

[BigDaddy]

nice day

you made some good picks

[Lord and Master]

I have watched most his games this year and the difference this year is that he gets out of jams when he needs too. Mets had him on ropes last game a couple times and he still only gived up 1ER. Think it was 2nd inning where there were guys on 2nd and 3rd with no outs and he struck out the next 3 batters.

a high strand rate is pure luck. verlander has some regression to do outside of that too but can anyone explain how you significantly improve your walk rate like he has with no change in K rate? he's actually throwing balls at a career high rate

[HOT WINGS]

a high strand rate is pure luck

Disagree

[Lord and Master]

Disagree

well go on then, explain