If you were to bet only money line favorites all season long, what is the generally assumed winning percentage you need to make to break even?
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Proly around 60-63%Comment -
kk I thought it was that. Thanks.Comment -
moneylines in baseball (this year) range from +100 to around -250 with the average moneyline probably around -135 +/-. you do your own math. good luck!Comment -
Here is the chart for the Favorite and Underdog ML percentage.
Favorites
moneyline
loss win win%
-100 -100 100 50.0000%
-101 -101 100 50.2488%
-102 -102 100 50.4950%
-103 -103 100 50.7389%
-104 -104 100 50.9804%
-105 -105 100 51.2195%
-106 -106 100 51.4563%
-107 -107 100 51.6908%
-108 -108 100 51.9231%
-109 -109 100 52.1531%
-110 -110 100 52.3810%
-111 -111 100 52.6066%
-112 -112 100 52.8302%
-113 -113 100 53.0516%
-114 -114 100 53.2710%
-115 -115 100 53.4884%
-116 -116 100 53.7037%
-117 -117 100 53.9171%
-118 -118 100 54.1284%
-119 -119 100 54.3379%
-120 -120 100 54.5455%
-121 -121 100 54.7511%
-122 -122 100 54.9550%
-123 -123 100 55.1570%
-124 -124 100 55.3571%
-125 -125 100 55.5556%
-126 -126 100 55.7522%
-127 -127 100 55.9471%
-128 -128 100 56.1404%
-129 -129 100 56.3319%
-130 -130 100 56.5217%
-131 -131 100 56.7100%
-132 -132 100 56.8966%
-133 -133 100 57.0815%
-134 -134 100 57.2650%
-135 -135 100 57.4468%
-136 -136 100 57.6271%
-137 -137 100 57.8059%
-138 -138 100 57.9832%
-139 -139 100 58.1590%
-140 -140 100 58.3333%
-141 -141 100 58.5062%
-142 -142 100 58.6777%
-143 -143 100 58.8477%
-144 -144 100 59.0164%
-145 -145 100 59.1837%
-146 -146 100 59.3496%
-147 -147 100 59.5142%
-148 -148 100 59.6774%
-149 -149 100 59.8394%
-150 -150 100 60.0000%
-151 -151 100 60.1594%
-152 -152 100 60.3175%
-153 -153 100 60.4743%
-154 -154 100 60.6299%
-155 -155 100 60.7843%
-156 -156 100 60.9375%
-157 -157 100 61.0895%
-158 -158 100 61.2403%
-159 -159 100 61.3900%
-160 -160 100 61.5385%
-161 -161 100 61.6858%
-162 -162 100 61.8321%
-163 -163 100 61.9772%
-164 -164 100 62.1212%
-165 -165 100 62.2642%
-166 -166 100 62.4060%
-167 -167 100 62.5468%
-168 -168 100 62.6866%
-169 -169 100 62.8253%
-170 -170 100 62.9630%
-171 -171 100 63.0996%
-172 -172 100 63.2353%
-173 -173 100 63.3700%
-174 -174 100 63.5036%
-175 -175 100 63.6364%
-176 -176 100 63.7681%
-177 -177 100 63.8989%
-178 -178 100 64.0288%
-179 -179 100 64.1577%
-180 -180 100 64.2857%
-181 -181 100 64.4128%
-182 -182 100 64.5390%
-183 -183 100 64.6643%
-184 -184 100 64.7887%
-185 -185 100 64.9123%
-186 -186 100 65.0350%
-187 -187 100 65.1568%
-188 -188 100 65.2778%
-189 -189 100 65.3979%
-190 -190 100 65.5172%
-191 -191 100 65.6357%
-192 -192 100 65.7534%
-193 -193 100 65.8703%
-194 -194 100 65.9864%
-195 -195 100 66.1017%
-196 -196 100 66.2162%
-197 -197 100 66.3300%
-198 -198 100 66.4430%
-199 -199 100 66.5552%
-200 -200 100 66.6667%
-201 -201 100 66.7774%
-202 -202 100 66.8874%
-203 -203 100 66.9967%
-204 -204 100 67.1053%
-205 -205 100 67.2131%
-206 -206 100 67.3203%
-207 -207 100 67.4267%
-208 -208 100 67.5325%
-209 -209 100 67.6375%
-210 -210 100 67.7419%
-211 -211 100 67.8457%
-212 -212 100 67.9487%
-213 -213 100 68.0511%
-214 -214 100 68.1529%
-215 -215 100 68.2540%
-216 -216 100 68.3544%
-217 -217 100 68.4543%
-218 -218 100 68.5535%
-219 -219 100 68.6520%
-220 -220 100 68.7500%
-221 -221 100 68.8474%
-222 -222 100 68.9441%
-223 -223 100 69.0402%
-224 -224 100 69.1358%
-225 -225 100 69.2308%
-226 -226 100 69.3252%
-227 -227 100 69.4190%
-228 -228 100 69.5122%
-229 -229 100 69.6049%
-230 -230 100 69.6970%
-231 -231 100 69.7885%
-232 -232 100 69.8795%
-233 -233 100 69.9700%
-234 -234 100 70.0599%
-235 -235 100 70.1493%
-236 -236 100 70.2381%
-237 -237 100 70.3264%
-238 -238 100 70.4142%
-239 -239 100 70.5015%
-240 -240 100 70.5882%
-241 -241 100 70.6745%
-242 -242 100 70.7602%
-243 -243 100 70.8455%
-244 -244 100 70.9302%
-245 -245 100 71.0145%
-246 -246 100 71.0983%
-247 -247 100 71.1816%
-248 -248 100 71.2644%
-249 -249 100 71.3467%
-250 -250 100 71.4286%
-251 -251 100 71.5100%
-252 -252 100 71.5909%
-253 -253 100 71.6714%
-254 -254 100 71.7514%
-255 -255 100 71.8310%
-256 -256 100 71.9101%
-257 -257 100 71.9888%
-258 -258 100 72.0670%
-259 -259 100 72.1448%
-260 -260 100 72.2222%
-261 -261 100 72.2992%
-262 -262 100 72.3757%
-263 -263 100 72.4518%
-264 -264 100 72.5275%
-265 -265 100 72.6027%
-266 -266 100 72.6776%
-267 -267 100 72.7520%
-268 -268 100 72.8261%
-269 -269 100 72.8997%
-270 -270 100 72.9730%
-271 -271 100 73.0458%
-272 -272 100 73.1183%
-273 -273 100 73.1903%
-274 -274 100 73.2620%
-275 -275 100 73.3333%
-276 -276 100 73.4043%
-277 -277 100 73.4748%
-278 -278 100 73.5450%
-279 -279 100 73.6148%
-280 -280 100 73.6842%
-281 -281 100 73.7533%
-282 -282 100 73.8220%
-283 -283 100 73.8903%
-284 -284 100 73.9583%
-285 -285 100 74.0260%
-286 -286 100 74.0933%
-287 -287 100 74.1602%
-288 -288 100 74.2268%
-289 -289 100 74.2931%
-290 -290 100 74.3590%
-291 -291 100 74.4246%
-292 -292 100 74.4898%
-293 -293 100 74.5547%
-294 -294 100 74.6193%
-295 -295 100 74.6835%
-296 -296 100 74.7475%
-297 -297 100 74.8111%
-298 -298 100 74.8744%
-299 -299 100 74.9373%
-300 -300 100 75.0000%
Underdogs
moneyline
loss win win%
100 100 100 50.0000%
101 100 101 49.7512%
102 100 102 49.5050%
103 100 103 49.2611%
104 100 104 49.0196%
105 100 105 48.7805%
106 100 106 48.5437%
107 100 107 48.3092%
108 100 108 48.0769%
109 100 109 47.8469%
110 100 110 47.6190%
111 100 111 47.3934%
112 100 112 47.1698%
113 100 113 46.9484%
114 100 114 46.7290%
115 100 115 46.5116%
116 100 116 46.2963%
117 100 117 46.0829%
118 100 118 45.8716%
119 100 119 45.6621%
120 100 120 45.4545%
121 100 121 45.2489%
122 100 122 45.0450%
123 100 123 44.8430%
124 100 124 44.6429%
125 100 125 44.4444%
126 100 126 44.2478%
127 100 127 44.0529%
128 100 128 43.8596%
129 100 129 43.6681%
130 100 130 43.4783%
131 100 131 43.2900%
132 100 132 43.1034%
133 100 133 42.9185%
134 100 134 42.7350%
135 100 135 42.5532%
136 100 136 42.3729%
137 100 137 42.1941%
138 100 138 42.0168%
139 100 139 41.8410%
140 100 140 41.6667%
141 100 141 41.4938%
142 100 142 41.3223%
143 100 143 41.1523%
144 100 144 40.9836%
145 100 145 40.8163%
146 100 146 40.6504%
147 100 147 40.4858%
148 100 148 40.3226%
149 100 149 40.1606%
150 100 150 40.0000%
151 100 151 39.8406%
152 100 152 39.6825%
153 100 153 39.5257%
154 100 154 39.3701%
155 100 155 39.2157%
156 100 156 39.0625%
157 100 157 38.9105%
158 100 158 38.7597%
159 100 159 38.6100%
160 100 160 38.4615%
161 100 161 38.3142%
162 100 162 38.1679%
163 100 163 38.0228%
164 100 164 37.8788%
165 100 165 37.7358%
166 100 166 37.5940%
167 100 167 37.4532%
168 100 168 37.3134%
169 100 169 37.1747%
170 100 170 37.0370%
171 100 171 36.9004%
172 100 172 36.7647%
173 100 173 36.6300%
174 100 174 36.4964%
175 100 175 36.3636%
176 100 176 36.2319%
177 100 177 36.1011%
178 100 178 35.9712%
179 100 179 35.8423%
180 100 180 35.7143%
181 100 181 35.5872%
182 100 182 35.4610%
183 100 183 35.3357%
184 100 184 35.2113%
185 100 185 35.0877%
186 100 186 34.9650%
187 100 187 34.8432%
188 100 188 34.7222%
189 100 189 34.6021%
190 100 190 34.4828%
191 100 191 34.3643%
192 100 192 34.2466%
193 100 193 34.1297%
194 100 194 34.0136%
195 100 195 33.8983%
196 100 196 33.7838%
197 100 197 33.6700%
198 100 198 33.5570%
199 100 199 33.4448%
200 100 200 33.3333%
201 100 201 33.2226%
202 100 202 33.1126%
203 100 203 33.0033%
204 100 204 32.8947%
205 100 205 32.7869%
206 100 206 32.6797%
207 100 207 32.5733%
208 100 208 32.4675%
209 100 209 32.3625%
210 100 210 32.2581%
211 100 211 32.1543%
212 100 212 32.0513%
213 100 213 31.9489%
214 100 214 31.8471%
215 100 215 31.7460%
216 100 216 31.6456%
217 100 217 31.5457%
218 100 218 31.4465%
219 100 219 31.3480%
220 100 220 31.2500%
221 100 221 31.1526%
222 100 222 31.0559%
223 100 223 30.9598%
224 100 224 30.8642%
225 100 225 30.7692%
226 100 226 30.6748%
227 100 227 30.5810%
228 100 228 30.4878%
229 100 229 30.3951%
230 100 230 30.3030%
231 100 231 30.2115%
232 100 232 30.1205%
233 100 233 30.0300%
234 100 234 29.9401%
235 100 235 29.8507%
236 100 236 29.7619%
237 100 237 29.6736%
238 100 238 29.5858%
239 100 239 29.4985%
240 100 240 29.4118%
241 100 241 29.3255%
242 100 242 29.2398%
243 100 243 29.1545%
244 100 244 29.0698%
245 100 245 28.9855%
246 100 246 28.9017%
247 100 247 28.8184%
248 100 248 28.7356%
249 100 249 28.6533%
250 100 250 28.5714%
251 100 251 28.4900%
252 100 252 28.4091%
253 100 253 28.3286%
254 100 254 28.2486%
255 100 255 28.1690%
256 100 256 28.0899%
257 100 257 28.0112%
258 100 258 27.9330%
259 100 259 27.8552%
260 100 260 27.7778%
261 100 261 27.7008%
262 100 262 27.6243%
263 100 263 27.5482%
264 100 264 27.4725%
265 100 265 27.3973%
266 100 266 27.3224%
267 100 267 27.2480%
268 100 268 27.1739%
269 100 269 27.1003%
270 100 270 27.0270%
271 100 271 26.9542%
272 100 272 26.8817%
273 100 273 26.8097%
274 100 274 26.7380%
275 100 275 26.6667%
276 100 276 26.5957%
277 100 277 26.5252%
278 100 278 26.4550%
279 100 279 26.3852%
280 100 280 26.3158%
281 100 281 26.2467%
282 100 282 26.1780%
283 100 283 26.1097%
284 100 284 26.0417%
285 100 285 25.9740%
286 100 286 25.9067%
287 100 287 25.8398%
288 100 288 25.7732%
289 100 289 25.7069%
290 100 290 25.6410%
291 100 291 25.5754%
292 100 292 25.5102%
293 100 293 25.4453%
294 100 294 25.3807%
295 100 295 25.3165%
296 100 296 25.2525%
297 100 297 25.1889%
298 100 298 25.1256%
299 100 299 25.0627%
300 100 300 25.0000%Comment -
Find out what is the average of the ML's you bet, then use the odds calculator to find your break even percentage.
There you go.
FYI @ -150 you have to hit 60% to break even. But do not let that discourage youB-)Comment -
I don't see the logic in betting favs only, but you can make money in baseball in many ways as long as you pick your spotsComment