Lets talk Tues Card

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  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #1
    Lets talk Tues Card
    ok lets see what can get hammered out real quick, i got about a hour and im crashing.

    like a lot of totals 2marro, some of the umps are known others not till 2marro but not many that worry me and a good chance one ends up where i would like, who knows rolling the dice on a few cause i like them.

    stl/bal ov8....i know Cards have been trash against lefties but Freeze and Punto have both been brought up from their minor league assignments, and both spent extensive time down there cause stl wanted them ready to play. this changes a lot for cards and with a dh they needed some right handed bats.

    Loshe should be solid but Balty offense is heating up and not like Loshe is lights out, pitching to contact against some of these balty hitters on a nice hot night could lead to some hrs.

    We know STL one of the handful of teams that manages to go over in interleague and 8 really seems generous.

    Minny/lad un 8..lefty/lefty matchup, twins offense is really struggling. Lilly hasnt been as sharp as of late but nothing i dont think the twinks bats cant help. Demsum isnt the most trustworthy pitcher but Lad should come back down to earth a little in this one.

    Cws +120..feel like wrong team favored here, this spot is no better for the Rox than todays game was, great numbers against a struggling Hammels is enough for me to take a shot here. might be good to wait on line.

    sea/atl u 6...Pineda/hanson in sea, need i say more? possible play on neiter team to score 3 and ff under.

    leans for now.

    cws/rox ov 9

    tex/hou ov 8

    hou ff/gm?

    kc/sd ov h/r/e when it available

    fla/oak un 7.5

    just waiting on the leans they all start late enough i can reevaluate when i get off work. So lets hear what everyone likes so far. As always comments, thoughts, incite on your plays appreciated.
  • bigballer891
    SBR MVP
    • 06-12-10
    • 1683

    #2
    I like the baltimore/stl over alot too, I think that number will go to 8.5, and I agree with the white sox analysis as well, I think Over 9 might be the stronger play, but definitely a tough spot for rox, good value with the better pitcher too IMO. I hate betting anything under 7 but I would not play that game over. I had seattle tonight, but I would also lean seattle in this game too, Pineda is just a beast, especially at home. I know hansen is very good, but coming off injury, he may be a little rusty. Ive been looking for spots to play seattle at home when there a dogg or a short fav, didnt work out tonight, but that has been cashing lately.
    Comment
    • BigDan
      Restricted User
      • 04-28-11
      • 5104

      #3
      yep missed on sea but cashed the under tonight. what really pissed me off is those pussies had a man on 3rd with 1 out and couldnt get him home in bottom of 5th, pushing my sea ff. pricks.
      Comment
      • BigDan
        Restricted User
        • 04-28-11
        • 5104

        #4
        over could very well be stronger in sox/rox gm baller, waiting on the cws ml, put half unit on over 9 in case , but will wait to do any more till later.
        Comment
        • drfunkmaster
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-29-08
          • 11162

          #5
          good luck
          Comment
          • bigballer891
            SBR MVP
            • 06-12-10
            • 1683

            #6
            also, kinda like the phillies, lee is really pitching well, I know beckett is too, but -120 for lee at home seems like a good price to me, what u think?
            Comment
            • bigballer891
              SBR MVP
              • 06-12-10
              • 1683

              #7
              although he has thrown a ton of pitches his last few starts, 126, 117, 113, 117, last 4 starts
              Comment
              • BigDan
                Restricted User
                • 04-28-11
                • 5104

                #8
                lee has been throwing bbs and we have already saw the problems nl parks create for Red Sux, both teams have had decent success against the opposing pitcher. didnt get real far into it, kinda more high profile than id like to mess with. Gun to my head id take Lee but id make sure you had a ump with a generous k-zone cause he will need to get the corners plus a little.

                4get how many pitches he threw against stl all i know is he was still sharp in the 9th and said after the game he could have went 14 innings if he had to. i dont read to much into pitch counts previous starts. Unless we talking a young guy and in aug he has already thrown more innings than ever b4, then i pay attention.
                Comment
                • bigballer891
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-12-10
                  • 1683

                  #9
                  yea true, lee is accustomed to throwin lots of pitches...right now id have to say my strongest lean is col/cws over 9.
                  Comment
                  • jay777
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 05-31-11
                    • 109

                    #10
                    Early lean on Balt and Nyy. Not much else I like, gl
                    Comment
                    • face
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-31-11
                      • 14740

                      #11
                      i like the reds, tampa bay has not been hitting well at home and price has been hitable. i kind of like white sox too, but only because rockies seem tired. i don't know yet about them, but will take a shot on reds.
                      Comment
                      • Bengals28
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-20-11
                        • 2164

                        #12
                        What's your take on Giants cubs? Was thinking about playing the Giants myself.
                        Comment
                        • BigDan
                          Restricted User
                          • 04-28-11
                          • 5104

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Bengals28
                          What's your take on Giants cubs? Was thinking about playing the Giants myself.

                          Only play sf at home and usually not interested in the Cubs, won with them today have no desire to mess with another cub gm 2marro. GL
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            Originally posted by face
                            i like the reds, tampa bay has not been hitting well at home and price has been hitable. i kind of like white sox too, but only because rockies seem tired. i don't know yet about them, but will take a shot on reds.


                            Reds kill lefties to i believe. only side i would play but gonna sleep on it.
                            Comment
                            • bigballer891
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-12-10
                              • 1683

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BigDan
                              Reds kill lefties to i believe. only side i would play but gonna sleep on it.
                              I was gonna say the same thing, but also price isnt just any regular lefty and it will be there first look at him, should be a good game, cueto is rolling too.
                              Comment
                              • BigDan
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-28-11
                                • 5104

                                #16
                                Originally posted by bigballer891
                                I was gonna say the same thing, but also price isnt just any regular lefty and it will be there first look at him, should be a good game, cueto is rolling too.

                                no doubt he can pitch, also looks like pinny opened tb higher than anyone else, dont like going against that, been pretty successful on the year.
                                Comment
                                • BeerBottlez
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-14-11
                                  • 446

                                  #17
                                  I'm leaning towards the Pirates over Blue Jays since the Jays traveled to Detroit for a one game makeup today and then back to Toronto. The Pirates are also on slight heater versus Baltimore and then Boston over the past week.
                                  Comment
                                  • Qtip
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-18-11
                                    • 367

                                    #18
                                    Oak is a lock
                                    Comment
                                    • Sawyer
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-01-09
                                      • 7761

                                      #19
                                      nyy-mil over & tb.
                                      Comment
                                      • superman613
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-15-10
                                        • 906

                                        #20
                                        Like that stl over also...good luck tonight
                                        Comment
                                        • Avenger
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-15-11
                                          • 2119

                                          #21
                                          Staying away from all STL games till Pujols comes back... still haven't bought the hype that they're this bad, especially against a streaky Orioles team.

                                          Look into the B Jays game, I see an easy home win for them. Loving the Bjays TT Over too. I'm hoping the pub will be scared off with Reyes on the mound. But look closely at Correia, the Bjays own him.

                                          Loving the Philly/BSox over... only concern is 7 is too low and it could be a trap game. OR the books are hoping the pub love the under because there's two aces on the mound. But if you look closer, there's some bad stats against them, especially Lee.

                                          Fade or follow. BOL.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDan
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-28-11
                                            • 5104

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Avenger
                                            Staying away from all STL games till Pujols comes back... still haven't bought the hype that they're this bad, especially against a streaky Orioles team.

                                            Look into the B Jays game, I see an easy home win for them. Loving the Bjays TT Over too. I'm hoping the pub will be scared off with Reyes on the mound. But look closely at Correia, the Bjays own him.

                                            Loving the Philly/BSox over... only concern is 7 is too low and it could be a trap game. OR the books are hoping the pub love the under because there's two aces on the mound. But if you look closer, there's some bad stats against them, especially Lee.

                                            Fade or follow. BOL.
                                            yea avenger if i played that gm i think ov be the 1sxt thing i look to get on.
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-28-11
                                              • 5104

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Avenger
                                              Staying away from all STL games till Pujols comes back... still haven't bought the hype that they're this bad, especially against a streaky Orioles team.

                                              Look into the B Jays game, I see an easy home win for them. Loving the Bjays TT Over too. I'm hoping the pub will be scared off with Reyes on the mound. But look closely at Correia, the Bjays own him.

                                              Loving the Philly/BSox over... only concern is 7 is too low and it could be a trap game. OR the books are hoping the pub love the under because there's two aces on the mound. But if you look closer, there's some bad stats against them, especially Lee.

                                              Fade or follow. BOL.
                                              Oh stl def not as bad as it seems atm. like i said Freeze and Punto both be back tonight and Craig right around the corner. It was just very bad timing w/so many others hurt. Cant pull trigger on them yet but as long as Cuzzi isnt the ump this thing should go over.

                                              Just looked at pit/tor and i agree, in fact...

                                              tor-130..think it kind of limited abs for jays against Corraria, but yes a few have hit him really well, dont like tor had to stop and play det yesterday but while pit is much improved they did get swept in a AL park by cle last week and gotta give tor the nod here.
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #24
                                                i lean over on a lot of games today. probably like Cards/O's and Brewers/Yanks the best, White Sox/Rockies and Pirates/Jays a little less.
                                                Comment
                                                • natethagreat
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 04-28-11
                                                  • 92

                                                  #25
                                                  San Fran today at -120 looks like a good bet against the Cubbies.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • natethagreat
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 04-28-11
                                                    • 92

                                                    #26
                                                    Lets get it done today fellas GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bigballer891
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-12-10
                                                      • 1683

                                                      #27
                                                      Lots of movement in the games we talked about, also seems that the market is agreeing with that phi/bos over.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • xyzky
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-23-07
                                                        • 1577

                                                        #28
                                                        Lot of overs and a lot of dogs today...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SBRMAN23
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-07-11
                                                          • 6906

                                                          #29
                                                          Great convo I like what moat of you are saying on these totals let's cash them
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jay777
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 05-31-11
                                                            • 109

                                                            #30
                                                            Good morning fellas. Locked in already Balt -133. Couldn't resist the early game under 9. SF can't hit, vogelsong has been nearly unhittable this year. Davis has had some rough outings this year but has been better as of late. Both pens have been rather good lately as well. With the wind blowing a modest 8 mph, I think 9 is to high for this match up even at wrigley. ChC/SF under 9.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • vyomguy
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-08-09
                                                              • 5794

                                                              #31
                                                              havent been around in mlb forum for few days bigdan....hope things are going well for you.

                                                              will look at todays card and let you know.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jay777
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 05-31-11
                                                                • 109

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jay777
                                                                Good morning fellas. Locked in already Balt -133. Couldn't resist the early game under 9. SF can't hit, vogelsong has been nearly unhittable this year. Davis has had some rough outings this year but has been better as of late. Both pens have been rather good lately as well. With the wind blowing a modest 8 mph, I think 9 is to high for this match up even at wrigley. ChC/SF under 9.
                                                                Never mind. Fukk the cubs and SF. Especially SF. They been fukkin me all season. Gl
                                                                Comment
                                                                • btd
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-18-08
                                                                  • 455

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I like the Red Sox to bounce back after a tough series in Pitt.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigDan
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-28-11
                                                                    • 5104

                                                                    #34
                                                                    shit team of the day..

                                                                    Hou +145 ff
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CTsharp
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 06-26-11
                                                                      • 256

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Hey Dan,
                                                                      Good Luck tonight.

                                                                      Love any under total in that dodgers game. Going to take the first 5 under.
                                                                      Comment
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