Rockies vs. Cubs under 11?

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • flakeandbake
    SBR MVP
    • 06-21-10
    • 3672

    #1
    Rockies vs. Cubs under 11?
    First off, I realize that the over/under is 11 for a reason and how high scoring games can be in Chicago when the wind is blowing out. Out of the last 9 meetings between these teams it has gone over 11 runs four times.

    Some bookmarks also have the line at 11.5, and bookmarks aren't lowering the line even though 81% of the public are on the under which shows the oddsmakers are confident in the line they made.

    However, I feel that 11 is pretty high for two respected pitches like Chacin (8-4, 2.71 ERA) vs. Garza (3-6, 4.11 ERA). Even though Garza has been pitching badly this year he is expected to get better as the season goes on. Also this is a make up game so Colorado didn't fly all the way to Chicago to play in a shit show. Just because the wind favors a lot of runs doesn't mean two good pitchers vs two mediocre offenses are going to produce over 11 runs. I would feel a lot different if it was Davis vs Cook but these are good pitchers. Lets not forget there is no DH in the NL and Garza and Chacin are easy outs. I think I like my chances with the under here.

    1 unit on the Under of 11
    I'm gonna start posting more of my plays bc I've been getting hot lately and wanna see if I continue my streak and get some followers
  • pattymayo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-19-09
    • 10221

    #2
    over is the play. Rockies bats will light up, 8-6 type game. GL
    Comment
    • LolsMcwinsey
      SBR MVP
      • 06-08-10
      • 2660

      #3
      Over
      Comment
      • LineKrusher
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-15-11
        • 110

        #4
        Add in the fact that Rain may cut this game short, and you may have a Lock
        Comment
        • Ktown
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-18-10
          • 403

          #5
          Good luck with your plays, I put a unit on the Cubs.
          Comment
          • Mike the Greek
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-29-07
            • 236

            #6
            good write-up....what we have to consider is , just how much wind speed is blowing away from the plate? The weather can change one day to the next in the windy city, and since it rained last night, we might have a cool down and a wind down. Under looks like a solid bet
            Comment
            • 305GURU
              Restricted User
              • 10-04-10
              • 1038

              #7
              Sounds better at 11.5...anyways if garza can put together a couple solid inng i think u got a shot BOL
              Comment
              • DemoralizdDreamr
                SBR MVP
                • 02-04-11
                • 4319

                #8
                wind blowing out to dead center at 18 MPH
                Comment
                • BigDan
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-28-11
                  • 5104

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LineKrusher
                  Add in the fact that Rain may cut this game short, and you may have a Lock

                  totals are not graded if the game is called short. no action.
                  Comment
                  • jboy4
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-18-10
                    • 1950

                    #10
                    I will be on the over.
                    Comment
                    • DRZ
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-24-10
                      • 918

                      #11
                      best of luck on the play today
                      Comment
                      • flakeandbake
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-21-10
                        • 3672

                        #12
                        I got the line at 11.5 and am putting 1 unit on the under. I was up 4 units on my bookie and then the Miami Heat destroyed my tab and I went on a losing streak and I've been battling back ever since. I was down 6 units Saturday morning but I'm on a comeback trail

                        Right now I'm down 1 unit and am putting 1 unit on the Under, If this hits I'm putting 1 unit on the Padres and calling it a day
                        Comment
                        • wade1
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-14-11
                          • 379

                          #13
                          81% public for under and public is usually wrong. I'm thinking about the over
                          Comment
                          • ufcmma36
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-22-10
                            • 1065

                            #14
                            I got under 11.5 -115 @ 5dimes
                            Comment
                            • timmyboy34243
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-06-10
                              • 1379

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LineKrusher
                              Add in the fact that Rain may cut this game short, and you may have a Lock

                              check your respective book(s) on totals due to games not going to completion. those that i'm familiar with have no action unless the games go 8 1/2 innings..............
                              Comment
                              • Delbert14
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 06-04-11
                                • 113

                                #16
                                to dan who says totals are not graded if it is cut short. yeah but if it goes to six innings it is a complete game and it does count! it did for me anyway
                                Comment
                                • flakeandbake
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-21-10
                                  • 3672

                                  #17
                                  Yeah your right, If the o/u is 7 and the score is 12-0 in the 8th inning and you took the over and it is somehow rained out to the point that the game is stoped and not finished, the team will get the win but your over under is still a wash

                                  I think the team still gets the win but im not positive about the that. I am positive that u dont win your bet though
                                  Comment
                                  • Delbert14
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-04-11
                                    • 113

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BigDan
                                    totals are not graded if the game is called short. no action.
                                    Comment
                                    • flakeandbake
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-21-10
                                      • 3672

                                      #19
                                      I thought its a voided bet but idk how other books work
                                      Comment
                                      • Delbert14
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 06-04-11
                                        • 113

                                        #20
                                        well your books sucks. cause for a fact in the mets cubs game earlier this year in chicago. i played the over and it was in the seventh i think when it was called and was over andi won. so you are wrong
                                        Comment
                                        Search
                                        Collapse
                                        SBR Contests
                                        Collapse
                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                        Collapse
                                        Working...