Samgurt's MLB 2011 2nd half

[samgurt]

So for the past month I have been trying a new strategy and it has been working. In my 1st half of the season I went +17.38 units with all 1-unit plays.

Everything is documented here http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...mlb-picks.html

I changed the way I was betting because I was making way too many plays and it was bound to bite take a turn for the worse.

I was going to wait for Interleague play to end but I found a play for tomorrow that I like (since it is NL v NL). I probably won't have many plays at all until interleague is done.

All lines will be 5Dimes

For 6/27/11

Rockies -115

[samgurt]

Well the rockies had a leadoff HR and it all went downhill after that. Chacin pitched like crap today.

0-1 for -1.15 units

I have a play for 6/28/11

Giants -126 Vogelsong v Davis

Hopefully the Cubs don't play as well as they did today.

[samgurt]

Had a winner yesterday. Giants destroyed Doug Davis.

That makes 1-1 for -.15 units

For 6/30 we have another play:

Giants -110 Cain v Zambrano

[samgurt]

What a god awful loss by the Giants. Two blown saves. In the second opportunity there were 2 outs with nobody on base and an 0-2 count and the Cubs end up scoring 4....unreal.

1-2 for -1.25 units

[samgurt]

Interleague is finally over! Time to get this rollin'!

For 7/4/11

Rays -151 Price v Duensing
Indians +115 Tomlin v Burnett
Giants -200 Lincecum v Richard
Phillies +EV Worley v Nolasco

[samgurt]

2-2 on the day for -1.36 units. Can't believe Lincecum got beat at home by the lousy Padres

overall: 3-4 for -2.61 units....Things will shape up soon. have had a few very rough losses already

For 7/5/11 we have 2 plays:

Red Sox -205
Phillies -154

[samgurt]

2-0 on the day for +2.00 units. Got lucky on the Boston game after Papelbon gave up a single and the game-tying run was called out at home although he was safe.

overall: 5-4 for -.61 units

7/6/11

Phillies +120 Kendrick v Sanchez
Braves -188 Jurrjens v Cook

[samgurt]

Well a 1-1 night for no change in units. Phillies got a 4-0 lead and their defense really sucked tonight. 3 errors that woulda changed the outcome of the game and Florida won it in extras with a walkoff HR by Stanton

6-5 for -.61 units

3 plays for 7/7/11:

A's +124
D'backs +132
Angels -175

[samgurt]

2-1 last night for 1.32 units. Angels and D'backs won but the A's got killed.

8-6 for .71 units

4 plays for 7/8/11:

Nationals -131 Lannan v Hammel
Blue Jays +104 Reyes v Talbot
Twins +148 Blackburn v Floyd
Tigers -112 Porcello v Davies

[samgurt]

3-1 on the night for 2.21 units. The only loss was the Nationals. Lannan got blasted in the face by a liner and he exited the game so that kinda messed up my entire bet. Shit happens...

11-7 for 2.92 units

2 plays for 7/9/11:

Rays +105 Price v Burnett
Rangers -171 Lewis v McCarthy

[samgurt]

Well we had a 1-1 day for no change in units. Derek Jeter single handedly beat the Rays on Saturday going 5 for 5.
I got pretty lucky on the Texas game being down 1 with 2 outs in the 9th with nobody on. Infield single, then a walkoff HR baby!

overall: 12-8 for 2.92 units

2 plays for 7/10/11:

Astros +122 Rodriguez v Volstad
Tigers -175 Verlander v Francis

[samgurt]

Another 1-1 day back on sunday for no change in units. Wandy had 1 bad inning and the astros lost.

overall: 13-9 for 2.92 units

More plays after the All Star Break

[samgurt]

13-9 for 2.92 units

Back to business after the break

1 play for 7/14/11:

Indians -107 Masterson v Guthrie

[jboy4]

I really like the Orioles in this one...

[samgurt]

Well the Indians led the entire game and got an easy 8-4 victory. 1-0 for +1.00 unit

overall: 14-9 for 3.92 units

5 plays for 7/15/11:

Cubs -117 Dempster v Nolasco
Tigers -190 Verlander v Floyd
Pirates -102 Karstens v Myers
Angels -117 Haren v McCarthy
Rangers -115 Lewis v Fister

[samgurt]

Started the day off right with the Cubs win but ended the day at 3-2 for -.07 units. The Detroit loss hurt tonight.

overall: 17-11 for 3.85 units

5 plays for 7/16/11:

Marlins +117 Vazquez v Zambrano
Yankees -139 Sabathia v Romero
Angels -113 Game 1* Weaver v Cahill
Tigers -147 Scherzer v Jackson
D'backs -128 Kennedy v Kuroda

[samgurt]

A great day indeed...4-1 for 2.70 units. The only loss was Detroit getting dominated by Edwin Jackson.

overall: 21-12 for 6.55 units

3 plays for 7/17/11:

Cardinals -101 Garcia v Bailey
Phillies -105 Kendrick v Pelfrey
Braves -188 Jurrjens v Gorzelanny

[samgurt]

2-1 today for .99 units. A great comeback by the Braves twice today to win it with a walkoff single by Freeman.

overall: 23-13 for 7.54 units

[samgurt]

1 play for 7/18/11:

Braves +113 Lowe v Hammel

possibly more to come for the Twins/Indians games once they decide who is pitching

[samgurt]

1-0 for +1.13 units. Braves had an easy victory today.

overall: 24-13 for 8.67 units

no plays for 7/19/11

[samgurt]

Back to business...

overall: 24-13 for 8.67 units

2 plays for 7/20/11:

Red Sox -114 Miller v Arrieta
Blue Jays -155 Morrow v Vargas

[samgurt]

2-0 on the day for 2.00 units

overall: 26-13 for 10.67 units

no plays for 7/21/11

[samgurt]

overall: 26-13 for 10.67 units

4 plays for 7/22/11:

Astros +134 Norris v Zambrano
Cardinals -127 Carpenter v Maholm
D'backs -162 Hudson v Cook
Giants -120 Cain v Marcum

[samgurt]

Pretty rough day yesterday....1-3 for -2.82 units. All 3 teams that lost for me were winning for a part of the games too. Just wish they coulda held their leads.

overall: 27-16 for 7.85 units

no plays for 7/23/11

[samgurt]

no plays for 7/24/11

[samgurt]

overall: 27-16 for 7.85 units

2 plays for 7/25/11

Yankees -205 Garcia v Vargas
Angels -122 Haren v Carmona

[samgurt]

1-1 on the day for -.22 units. Walden blew a save for the Angels after Haren pitched a great game.

overall: 28-17 for 7.63 units

3 plays for 7/26/11:

Yankees -315 Sabathia v Fister
Cardinals -164 Westbrook v Myers
Rays -136 Price v McCarthy

[samgurt]

2-1 on the day for .64 units. Rays couldn't get any hits with RISP tonight.

overall: 30-18 for 8.27 units

5 plays for 7/27/11:

Angels -112 Santana v Huff
Marlins +108 Vazquez v Hernandez
Braves -177 Jurrjens v Maholm
Reds -125 Arroyo v Pelfrey
Cardinals -192 Carpenter v Norris

[samgurt]

3-2 for -.09 units. The day started off right with a no-no by santana but the Cardinals losing tonight sure didnt help. They had multiple opportunities to score but could only get 2 lousy runs off Bud Norris

overall: 33-20 for 8.18 units

1 play for 7/28/11:

D'backs -103 Hudson v Latos

[4TH AND STUPID]

nice work

[samgurt]

Thanks 4AS

D'backs started off strong with a 2-0 lead but couldnt hold on. 0-1 for -1.03 units.
Been having some rough losses lately...things need to turn around.

overall: 33-21 for 7.15 units

4 plays for 7/29/11:

Phillies -272 Halladay v Morton
Yankees -190 Burnett v Guthrie
Red Sox +101 Wakefield v Floyd
Padres -120 Stauffer v Hammel

[samgurt]

I will be gone until tomorrow night so I'm gonna post my plays for 7/30/11 right now.

3 plays:

Cubs +165 Lopez v Lohse
Mets -115 Dickey v Marquis
Brewers -245 Gallardo v Happ

[samgurt]

Getting killed lately...None of my teams can hold a lead if their lives depended on it.

Cubs blew a nice 5-0 lead today and ended up getting killed.

1-3 yesterday for -3.10 units
1-1-1 today (Marquis was traded) for no change

overall: 35-25 for 4.05 units

This has been a brutal week. Need to turn it around!

4 plays for 7/31/11:

Indians -133 Carmona v Davies
Reds -148 Cueto v Zito
Braves -153 Hanson v Nolasco
Brewers -178 Narveson v Myers

[samgurt]

2-1-1 today for .47 units. (Davies didn't start). Should've easily been 3-0-1 today but the braves Left 10 on base and only scored 1 run with 12 hits.

overall: 37-26 for 4.62 units

[samgurt]

New month tomorrow...hopefully I can turn this bad streak around.

1 play for 8/1/11:

Braves -143 Jurrjens v Hernandez