I went 2-2 yesterday losing 0.54 units. However, I remain much more optimistic today. I treat every loss as a learning experience and so I hope this will make me a better capper.
For today:
Royals -121
Pros: I know that many of you may not understand how this could be a lock. But let me show you how. Bannister has one of the largest Home-Away split differentials in the majors. At home, he's pretty dominant with a 2.46 ERA and a 4-2 record. This is much better than his 9.00 ERA and 1-4 Road record. The Royals are also much better at home than on the road, hitting .274 as a team. Hurley, a 2004 first-round pick, is 2-5 with a 5.30 ERA in 13 starts with Triple-A Oklahoma. How can this guy possibly pitch well in the majors if he is a mediocre minor league pitcher?
Cons:
The Rangers have on of the best offenses in the game. They were able to come back last night after being down 5-1.
Astros +123
Pros:
Houston starter Brian Moehler (3-2, 3.76 ERA) has allowed just five home runs in 40 2-3 innings. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts. He is coming off his best outing of the season, giving up two hits while striking out five in seven shutout innings in a 6-1 win over St. Louis on Friday night. At home, Moehler is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA. The Astros also have a great offense at home, batting .287 as a team. The Brewer's do not play well on the road.
Cons:
Ben Sheets is a good pitcher. The Brewers offense has been good of late.
For today:
Royals -121
Pros: I know that many of you may not understand how this could be a lock. But let me show you how. Bannister has one of the largest Home-Away split differentials in the majors. At home, he's pretty dominant with a 2.46 ERA and a 4-2 record. This is much better than his 9.00 ERA and 1-4 Road record. The Royals are also much better at home than on the road, hitting .274 as a team. Hurley, a 2004 first-round pick, is 2-5 with a 5.30 ERA in 13 starts with Triple-A Oklahoma. How can this guy possibly pitch well in the majors if he is a mediocre minor league pitcher?
Cons:
The Rangers have on of the best offenses in the game. They were able to come back last night after being down 5-1.
Astros +123
Pros:
Houston starter Brian Moehler (3-2, 3.76 ERA) has allowed just five home runs in 40 2-3 innings. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts. He is coming off his best outing of the season, giving up two hits while striking out five in seven shutout innings in a 6-1 win over St. Louis on Friday night. At home, Moehler is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA. The Astros also have a great offense at home, batting .287 as a team. The Brewer's do not play well on the road.
Cons:
Ben Sheets is a good pitcher. The Brewers offense has been good of late.
are you sure ?