Line still moving Boston ML tonight vs Pitt..why?

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  • mighty maron
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-09
    • 4215

    #1
    Line still moving Boston ML tonight vs Pitt..why?
    How can anyone bet Boston and make money right now. They are so overvalued...-155 on the road against a young .500 team. What I dont get is that the line has been moving ML to -165 for Boston......

    Specualte why for me because I dont see this except the public is blindly pounding another meaningless regular season inter league game
  • Lord and Master
    Restricted User
    • 05-31-11
    • 531

    #2
    Pretty easy to see why...Boston has one of the best offenses in the league, pittsburgh one of the bottom 5. Lester is one of the best pitchers in the league and Malhom is far below average
    Comment
    • leetreaper
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 10-23-10
      • 34841

      #3
      Under 7.5 looks promicing there...
      Comment
      • cobeez
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-01-10
        • 220

        #4
        I think Boston wins this pretty handily. they will cover the over themselves in my opinion.
        Comment
        • RockyMiavia
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-02-11
          • 266

          #5
          Perception and I'm one of the those. In many games this year where I have seen boston offense exploded and score 7, 8 runs in 1 inning.
          Comment
          • gshock1
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-04-09
            • 5367

            #6
            Boston just lost series vs. SD & going to be on the road for 9 games. They need to set a winning precedent and it starts tonight.
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Wait for the lineups fellas. This is Boston's first road interleague game, and it will be interesting to see what they do with Papi, and Gonzo
              Comment
              • bretb27
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-21-10
                • 714

                #8
                Sox will score at least 6 off Maholm and with lester in the 9 spot a lil small ball might even help contribute to that
                >54%
                Comment
                • thebestthereis
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-01-09
                  • 11459

                  #9
                  papi will not be playing unless you think he will play first and gonzo will sit. if you think that then you are gonzo yourself.
                  Comment
                  • dudekid
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-08-09
                    • 3200

                    #10
                    Originally posted by thebestthereis
                    papi will not be playing unless you think he will play first and gonzo will sit. if you think that then you are gonzo yourself.
                    i cant confirm this but papi is on my Fantasy team and ive been preparing for this lol 99.9% chance papi sits for gonzo
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Because 83% of all Money Line bets are on Boston through over 13.000 bets.
                      Comment
                      • Allure
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-18-10
                        • 7606

                        #12
                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                        Because 83% of all Money Line bets are on Boston through over 13.000 bets.
                        Where you got this information, esp. the amount of placed bets.
                        Comment
                        • HOT WINGS
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-29-10
                          • 8055

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Allure
                          Where you got this information, esp. the amount of placed bets.
                          This is one place http://www.pregame.com/EN/main/sport...-spy-insights/ Seeing 86% on Boston ML here. Websites will vary sometimes best to cross reference some.
                          Comment
                          • gshock1
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-04-09
                            • 5367

                            #14
                            Is Ortiz playing?
                            Comment
                            • Bald Bull
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-16-11
                              • 210

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Lord and Master
                              Pretty easy to see why...Boston has one of the best offenses in the league, pittsburgh one of the bottom 5. Lester is one of the best pitchers in the league and Malhom is far below average
                              3.29 era this year

                              1.86 last three starts

                              2.12 at home

                              far below average?

                              Comment
                              • Lord and Master
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-31-11
                                • 531

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Bald Bull
                                3.29 era this year

                                1.86 last three starts

                                2.12 at home
                                he has a SIERA(skill-interactive era) this season of 4.39 and it was worse last year. His ERA has been alot better than it should be, he has some serious regressing to do
                                Comment
                                • Bald Bull
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-16-11
                                  • 210

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                  he has a SIERA(skill-interactive era) this season of 4.39 and it was worse last year. His ERA has been alot better than it should be, he has some serious regressing to do
                                  i'm not saying he isn't pitching above his head, but to say he's 'far below average' is a stretch given some of the shit pitchers i've seen this year

                                  he's a pretty crafty lefty

                                  what are you playing?
                                  Comment
                                  • blanda
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 728

                                    #18
                                    Pirates will win tonight...4-3...this is a huge game for the Bucs, and they will be ready...
                                    Comment
                                    • Lord and Master
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-31-11
                                      • 531

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Bald Bull
                                      i'm not saying he isn't pitching above his head, but to say he's 'far below average' is a stretch given some of the shit pitchers i've seen this year
                                      i'm just going based on his body of work

                                      what are you playing?
                                      pirates
                                      Comment
                                      • Bald Bull
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-16-11
                                        • 210

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                        i'm just going based on his body of work



                                        pirates
                                        that's your only play?

                                        doesn't that contradict what you just posted?
                                        Comment
                                        • Lord and Master
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 05-31-11
                                          • 531

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Bald Bull
                                          that's your only play?
                                          on this game

                                          doesn't that contradict what you just posted?
                                          no not at all. pirates are +150 home dogs that is a HUGE line. the pirates won't come close to winning this game more often than not and you don't need them to for it to be a profitable bet. As I've said a million times, being on the right side of a game is just not as simple as betting on great teams or great pitching and betting against awful teams or awful pitching
                                          Comment
                                          • Bald Bull
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-16-11
                                            • 210

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                            the pirates won't come close to winning this game more often than not and you don't need them to for it to be a profitable bet.
                                            what?
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-28-11
                                              • 5104

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                              Wait for the lineups fellas. This is Boston's first road interleague game, and it will be interesting to see what they do with Papi, and Gonzo

                                              exactly, every game this series either Sox lineup gonna be less intimidating or they gonna have huge holes in the D. Pit series price is tempting but think ill just play them every day till i get a W at least.
                                              Comment
                                              • Lord and Master
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-31-11
                                                • 531

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Bald Bull
                                                what?
                                                the pirates are +150, you only need them to win 40% of the time to breakeven
                                                Comment
                                                • shocktopme
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-15-10
                                                  • 940

                                                  #25
                                                  sox

                                                  I think red sox cover -1.5 too but hey they screwed me when they scratched Beckeet for Aceves!!!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bretb27
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-21-10
                                                    • 714

                                                    #26
                                                    ******* boston.. i had them parlayed and flat with the rays and texas.. both of which were easy winners... one run against the pirates? you have to be kidding me
                                                    >54%
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDan
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-28-11
                                                      • 5104

                                                      #27
                                                      [quote=BigDan;10557343]exactly, every game this series either Sox lineup gonna be less intimidating or they gonna have huge holes in the D. Pit series price is tempting but think ill just play them every day till i get a W at least.[/quote

                                                      like them again. but something different maybe. like pit ff. bos tt ov. pit rl probably in a parlay.
                                                      Comment
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