3* Rangers/Braves over 8 (-121)
3* Royals/Cardinals over 9 (-117)
3* Royals/Cardinals over 9 (-117)
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may add another in a bit.
also, in overnight aussie rules action, playing Fremantle +3.5 and Carlton -22.5.Comment -
totals i played for today.
mil/bos un 9 (got last night, so at least i beat the number
)
tor/cincy ov 9
pit/cle un 8
Gl today brother.Comment -
nice. the wind at the Jake tonight should be favorable for your under in Pirates/Tribe. i may add that one, not sure, but if the flag in RF is doing what i expect pregame, that might be my third play (rather add an under, don't want all 3 plays to be overs). i initially loved Jays/Reds over with Scott behind the plate but the line movement's screwy. that's great that you got 9 on Brew/Sox. i like under at 8.5, but i'd almost rather just go Sox ML. BOL to you today, Big DanComment -
yea the movement on the tor/cincy total has me worried for sure. Guess that what happens when i play lines early that i think will move, sometimes it works out (bos.mil) sometimes i regret play later (tor/cin) last night when i put it in i honestly thought cin ov would either be heavily juiced or went up.
I might get on Bosux also. hate playing side and total tho. would prob take sox before the un at 8.5.
I figured going into the pit/cle series i was gonna be playing unders, was thinking Buccos as well last night but laid off and just played under (tribe scared me in the 8th). Did what i hate and played pit and the under today. Got +140 on pit so had to try it.Comment -
adding
3* Pirates/Tribe under 8 (-115)
updated card
3* Rangers/Braves over 8 (-121)
3* Pirates/Tribe under 8 (-115)
3* Royals/Cardinals over 9 (-117)
lotta chalk. BOL to all tonight.Comment -
i don't know what to make of Jays/Reds. it appears that they are expecting rain during the game so perhaps that's it. i'd like to know the rationale of people on the under with this ump and SPs, i just don't see it.
if i play Red Sox, it will have to be -1 at like -130. -180 juice in baseball is too rich for my blood, besides, i'm carrying enough chalk as it is with my three plays.
Tribe doesn't hit lefties very well, Maholm 11-2 under this season, a decent under flag in RF, and both SPs have a WHIP just over 1.00 their L3 outings. i could be wrong, but again, i can't see a strong argument for the over. i do however hope that Acta plays Hafner even though it's a lefty starter and, of course, i hope that your Pirates +140 ends poorly, haha. taking my daughter and my dad to Tribe game tomorrow for father's day, should be fun, Kartens vs Masterson.
BOL with your plays, Big Dan (except that Pirates ML....).Comment -
Hell i hope there are a few delays in the cincy gm, i knew the weather situation last night going in. Not really sure if this is accurate but ive always believed delays help overs more times than not that means a lot of work from the pens.
It will work out great if Buccos beat your tribe today, much rather you be there for the rubber match as id hate to have you at the game watching pit avoid the sweep
Played Chw-111 last night also, pretty aggravated that that line has started to drop.
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totally agree that rain delays seem to lend themselves to overs. messes with the pitchers' rhythms.
funny re: better if Tribe loses tonight, you're right, i don't want to see them going for a sweep as bad as they've been lately.Comment -
im worried about your kc/stl ov9.
Think Westbrook can get kc to hit a ton of ground balls, im sure some will go thru (they all did yesterday against Carp) but could hit into a lot of dps (that is if cards can turn them w/o fukkin them up).
Since Mazzaro's first start back ive been counting on him to look solid, took a few beatings till i finally got it against Laa. Of coarse Cards are no angels but we have been struggling offensively, yesterday they got their 4 runs on 2 hits thanks to kc blunders. Our lineup has some holes at the moment ,
The really good news for you is both these teams suck defensively which should lead to at least a few runs Mazzaro will walk ppl and the ump should help that. Now the over sounds better,lol. Think Westbrook will give a line somewhere around 6.2 ip 3er and could easily see this being 5-3, not sure which team.
The best news for you is i have been atrocious with my team as of late, actually stopped betting them recently until i lost with the under yesterday (back to the ban). so i just wrote all that to make sure you cash that bitch
More importantly whether Cards win today or not, STL -198 (probably -1 to get it lower) will be the juiciest play ive took in a while. Garcia at home is a animal, he hasnt been great on road lately, not bad just inefficient. At home this kid has a whip well under 1, has only given up 2er in 39 ip in 5 gms winning them all (1 nd that stl still won). If they lose this game i will not only never bet them rest of the year ill stop watching their fukkin games.Comment -
thanks for the thoughts, i really appreciate it. errors have been big for me in ATL so far. with Mazzaro and Westbrook both against top 10 lineups, it looked solid, but you make alot of good points. i will not beat the closing line on KC/StL or PIT/CLE.im worried about your kc/stl ov9.
Think Westbrook can get kc to hit a ton of ground balls, im sure some will go thru (they all did yesterday against Carp) but could hit into a lot of dps (that is if cards can turn them w/o fukkin them up).
Since Mazzaro's first start back ive been counting on him to look solid, took a few beatings till i finally got it against Laa. Of coarse Cards are no angels but we have been struggling offensively, yesterday they got their 4 runs on 2 hits thanks to kc blunders. Our lineup has some holes at the moment ,
The really good news for you is both these teams suck defensively which should lead to at least a few runs Mazzaro will walk ppl and the ump should help that. Now the over sounds better,lol. Think Westbrook will give a line somewhere around 6.2 ip 3er and could easily see this being 5-3, not sure which team.
The best news for you is i have been atrocious with my team as of late, actually stopped betting them recently until i lost with the under yesterday (back to the ban). so i just wrote all that to make sure you cash that bitch
More importantly whether Cards win today or not, STL -198 (probably -1 to get it lower) will be the juiciest play ive took in a while. Garcia at home is a animal, he hasnt been great on road lately, not bad just inefficient. At home this kid has a whip well under 1, has only given up 2er in 39 ip in 5 gms winning them all (1 nd that stl still won). If they lose this game i will not only never bet them rest of the year ill stop watching their fukkin games.
rain delay over in ATL, let's see who they trot to the mound...Comment -
Biff.. Being an Aussie & knowing my footy.. Love the fremantle play but have my doubts about Carlton covering the line. Sydney play them well & are a tough unit to crack..Comment -
hey, thanks for your thoughts, 1Time. on the aussie rules plays, i am simply tailing a friend of mine who sends me the plays. i noted that the line went from -23' to -22' -105, which is a concern (seems like they want more Carlton money). that said, this guy has hit his last 6 straight that he has sent me (including Roos upset last night, was too busy to post to SBR). i have not doubt that he'll cool off, he's told me to expect it from this ridiculous start, but since i've won 6 with him, i'll okay with the risk on these 2. that said, i've been playing them 2.5u apiece, but maybe i'll add a unit to Fremantle based upon this. BOL to you tonight.Comment -
2-0-1 +6u on the night, pushing on KC/StL over. smoke to that. probably taking day off again tomorrow, going to Tribe game.Comment -
Fremantle starts in 40min
Carlton in 1hr 40
Took the Roos yesterday as well.. In good form, match up well with the bombers & the bombers are shot...
Freo should win.. If they turn up & play like they did for 3 quarters against the hawks a few weeks ago it'll be enough to account for Melbourne who are pathetic.. But Fremantle rarely win in Melbourne & have major issues with travelling..
Carlton are a top 4 side & should win easily but for some reason Sydney always keep their games close with everyone.. For such an average list they keep winning or coming close..
Myself.. I'm all over Freo but steering clear of the Carlton game & the West Coast game.. That game it's a case of which Port Adelaide team turns up.. The good 1 or the horror show that has been on display most of the year!Comment -
Thanks!
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Calling this 1 early.. Freo have not turned up, no effort & not running.. 5 goals to nothing to open the game! Freo's reknowned inability to cope with the travel is once again on display! Almost time to change the channel..
Obviously there was a reason why the inferior home team was the suprising favourite.. Damn..Comment -
Yeah not looking so hot...
Oh well! Get em next time.Comment -
Everyone loves a winner
But when you lose,
You lose aloneComment -
biff, another great night keep it rollin, let me know
what you are going to do on tribe game and have fun.
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biff i am starting my own thread, ponies and baseball
come on by
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well guess i knew the tor/cin gm was gonna lose before it started. still ok night, 2-1 on totals 5-3 overall, Your Tribe got me again (should have just stuck with the total).
glad the stl gm pushed for you at least (i had that number almost pegged).
Congrats on another solid day brother. Have fun at the game, but wake up early and start a thread b4 you go
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good call on Freo's form once the match started. oh well. we got the split, so just a small loss on aussie rules. my pal who sends me these is now 7-1 with his aussie rules picks, so i'll continue to post them. thanks a lot for sharing your thoughts, 1Time, much appreciated.
yeah, not what we hoped for, but at least we got the split. 0-2 to end the night would've hurt.
can't say it much better than that.Comment -
thanks, pacocn. i was taking the day off entirely, but Miller and Layne behind the plate and Collmenter on the bump, i may have to stick a toe back in. don't want to bet the Tribe game since taking my dad and daughter (she's 4) and just want to chill. however, i can text you re: the flag direction heading up to gametime, which can be hands down best capping clue there i think.
nice, will do.Comment -
great call on the Royals/Cards, you had that one pegged and i got lucky to get the push there.
well guess i knew the tor/cin gm was gonna lose before it started. still ok night, 2-1 on totals 5-3 overall, Your Tribe got me again (should have just stuck with the total).
glad the stl gm pushed for you at least (i had that number almost pegged).
Congrats on another solid day brother. Have fun at the game, but wake up early and start a thread b4 you goComment -
Did nice in the baseball.
Good luck, I am sure you will bounce back.Comment -
I know its juicy as hell, but get on stl in a few creative ways today. You will be at Tribe game having a blast and looking over at the scoreboard watching STL ticket cash!!!
thinking ill pay them -1, ff -.5, ml in parlays, and maybe -1.5.
hope im not wrong on this but with Garcia on the mound, cards snapping losing streak, fathers day in stl, rubber match against KC. Gotta believe this one hits.
Are you betting Tribe? I know when i go to Cards gms i gotta put a little something on them.
Liking cle/pit under again today. You also?Comment -
may get down on the Cards with you, you know them well.
i will not bet Tribe going for sweep, but i like under. also like a few other unders as well. gotta take care of a couple of things but will try to check back in later.Comment -
Cards today looks good,too good of a team to not turn it aroundComment
