More than a Feeling Strategy

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  • head_strong
    SBR MVP
    • 07-02-08
    • 4318

    #36
    I'll have to read this while not .....your hype about it I do see that.
    Some what but lately I have continuously been asked to explain what I do and then the redundant question of how it works and how you do it. Do you have 2 years is my initial thought, people expect a simple, understandable, consistent response, (almost like the answer to a math problem).... but receive the furthest thing from that. It's exhausting trying to highlight the points you find valuable when capping, then explaining a web of reasoning when I really want to just say you have a better chance of learning Japanese in the next 2 years then clipping 50% of your games. After all is said and done your average person's perception is in one of these categories:"You don't do sh**", "I could do that, man you are lazy", "Thats easy, are you serious you just bet", "If I give you $50 can you turn it into $500"? "What do you have to stress about, you got it made" ect. Ok I'm done venting.....
    Comment
    • chipski
      SBR MVP
      • 11-16-07
      • 1745

      #37
      what game pissed you off ?
      Comment
      • chipski
        SBR MVP
        • 11-16-07
        • 1745

        #38
        monday

        Originally posted by chipski
        1st place teams start out 4 - 1 on mon . angels spoil perfect 5 - 0 start to the series ..

        what it looked like in realtime for mon > 80% for game 1
        CUBS > $$
        DBACKS > $$
        RAYS > $$
        WSOX > $$
        ANGELS > x it
        monday
        Comment
        • chipski
          SBR MVP
          • 11-16-07
          • 1745

          #39
          tues

          Originally posted by chipski
          tues results 4 - 2 in realtime
          CUBS > x it
          DBACKS > x it
          PHILS > $$
          RAYS > $$
          WSOX > $$
          ANGELS > $$
          tuesday
          Comment
          • chipski
            SBR MVP
            • 11-16-07
            • 1745

            #40
            wed

            Originally posted by chipski
            wed july 2nd

            PHILS >
            CUBS >
            DBACKS >
            RAYS >
            WSOX >
            ANGELS >

            results >
            Comment
            • chipski
              SBR MVP
              • 11-16-07
              • 1745

              #41
              5 - 1 wed

              Originally posted by chipski
              wed july 2nd

              PHILS > $$
              CUBS > $$
              DBACKS > x it
              RAYS > $$
              WSOX > $$
              ANGELS > $$
              5 - 1 wed . almost another clean 6 - 0 .

              just another 82% night

              know when to implement is always the key . ty very much
              Comment
              • chipski
                SBR MVP
                • 11-16-07
                • 1745

                #42
                day 4 getting off the $ train and improvising

                Originally posted by chipski
                1st place teams mon - thurs > june 30th - july 3rd
                (1st place teams in caps)

                thurs
                PHILS at braves >
                CUBS at giants >
                brew at DBACKS > day game

                a's at WSOX > (game 1)
                here we are on thurs july 3rd

                4 1st place teams square off . looking for 2 - 2 result thurs
                Comment
                • chipski
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-16-07
                  • 1745

                  #43
                  1st place teams to go 2 - 2 on thurs

                  Originally posted by chipski
                  here we are on thurs july 3rd

                  4 1st place teams square off . looking for 2 - 2 result thurs

                  dbacks > $$
                  phils > backing phils
                  giants to beat chicc
                  a's to beat chicw

                  both chic teams to lose on thurs

                  one parlay of 30 i have for thurs
                  giants
                  giants under
                  phils
                  yanks
                  Comment
                  • chipski
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-16-07
                    • 1745

                    #44
                    improvision strategy is for the true degen ! gotta love it

                    Originally posted by chipski

                    dbacks > $$
                    phils > backing phils > $$
                    giants to beat chicc > $$
                    a's to beat chicw > $$

                    both chic teams to lose on thurs

                    one parlay of 30 i have for thurs
                    giants
                    giants under
                    phils
                    yanks

                    swept board 4 - 0 .
                    1st place teams went 2 - 2 as i predicted above .

                    parlay posted was no good .
                    Comment
                    • chipski
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-16-07
                      • 1745

                      #45
                      i go 17 - 4 from mon - thurs using my strategy . omg . is same ole same ole to me .
                      light a fire <>
                      Comment
                      • chipski
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-16-07
                        • 1745

                        #46
                        tues july 8th

                        1st place teams go to battle on tues

                        cards at PHILS
                        DBACKS at nats
                        reds at CUBS

                        RAYS at yanks
                        ANGELS at rangers
                        WSOX at royals

                        in the al all 3 are on the road
                        nl looks very promising for tues ..

                        so what will the result be on tues for the 1st place teams ?
                        gotta like all 6 . i am parlaying them together 12 different ways on 3 and 4 teamers and 1 six teamer that they sweep 6 - 0 .
                        which one is suspect to leave alone ? cant leave any of them off . hoping it is not a 3 - 3 result .
                        need 4 - 2 result to come out ahead .
                        if not a good result on tues i will go right back with it again on wed ..
                        Comment
                        • chipski
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-16-07
                          • 1745

                          #47
                          tues

                          Originally posted by chipski
                          tues july 8th

                          1st place teams go to battle on tues

                          cards at PHILS
                          DBACKS at nats
                          reds at CUBS

                          RAYS at yanks
                          ANGELS at rangers
                          WSOX at royals

                          in the al all 3 are on the road
                          nl looks very promising for tues ..

                          so what will the result be on tues for the 1st place teams ?
                          gotta like all 6 . i am parlaying them together 12 different ways on 3 and 4 teamers and 1 six teamer that they sweep 6 - 0 .
                          which one is suspect to leave alone ? cant leave any of them off . hoping it is not a 3 - 3 result .
                          need 4 - 2 result to come out ahead .
                          if not a good result on tues i will go right back with it again on wed ..
                          (1) phils cubs dbacks
                          (2) phils cubs rays
                          (3) phils cubs wsox
                          (4) dbacks rays angels
                          (5) dbacks rays wsox
                          (6) dbacks rays cubs
                          (7) cubs wsox angels
                          (8) rays wsox angels
                          (9) dbacks rays
                          (10) phils rays angels
                          (11) phils cubs dbacks rays wsox angels
                          (12) cards +1.5 nats +1.5 reds +1.5 yanks +1.5 royals +1.5 (5 opposite)

                          will be a little surprised if this works on tues night , would rather wait and do it wed but will do it tonight and again wed regardless if it works tonight or not ..
                          how i feel about at least a 4- 2 1st place team result tues night > scale of 1 - 10 is a 3 or just okay .
                          i dont like all 3 al teams being on the road close to the all star break , but that is on paper more so than in realtime .. there are plenty of big nights for the away teams .. so can be overkill thinking the home teams will be able to keep dominating like they have been of late ..
                          this could apply to the favs as well .. but anyway , there it is . looking for a strong showing from the division leaders tues and wed ..

                          i will do the same exact parlays for wed night . even if someone gets inj ..
                          Comment
                          • DazeyBlazer
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 05-17-08
                            • 261

                            #48
                            i like all the 1st place picks except for the white sox..they struggle on the road...i think KC will pull out the win...but who knows
                            ====----THE NEW ERA-------===

                            hockey seasons over....after a large bankrolll....
                            ....it's time...for baseball....$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
                            Comment
                            • chipski
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-16-07
                              • 1745

                              #49
                              tues

                              Originally posted by DazeyBlazer
                              i like all the 1st place picks except for the white sox..they struggle on the road...i think KC will pull out the win...but who knows
                              am hesitant cws too . who knows which jose will show up . strange guy there .. wsox have been so hot .. wsox and twins were rolling . twins did great in interleauge play , wsox are just a strange team to figure . snuck up on ya kinda team , just like the twins . funny both out the central ..
                              part of me thinks i should not be doing this strategy tonight , that i should wait and do it on wed .. not sure where that is coming from .
                              i do know for sure though that i have got my azz handed to me on plenty of mon and tues nights in years past .. coming off great weekends . is more or less embedded in me .. is the past yes ..
                              so far this year there have been three 10/5 fav tues and an amazing back to back 11/4 fav domination tues nights back in april .

                              all the rest of the tuesdays this year have been nothing special for the favs and results that would have potential to kill my favs here .. sure , this always applies no matter what day . but just seems something is not right . lol
                              i will be glad when the wekend gets here .

                              like if tonight is 9 - 6 dogs way i am toast , most likely .
                              i need some exercise maybe . cooped up .
                              gl
                              Comment
                              • chipski
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-16-07
                                • 1745

                                #50
                                1st place teams went 3 - 3 on tues night .
                                1st place winners were dbacks cubs wsox
                                parlays posted for tues were a bust above .

                                tues night was a fav dominated night at 12 - 3 favs .
                                but two of the three fav losses on the whole board were phils and angels , two of the 1st place teams .
                                rays were listed as a fav some places and so were the yanks . i will just count the yanks as the fav .
                                Comment
                                • chipski
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-16-07
                                  • 1745

                                  #51
                                  wed july 9th
                                  10 strategy parlays with 1st place teams

                                  (1) phils cubs dbacks
                                  (2) phils cubs angels
                                  (3) phils cubs wsox
                                  (4) dbacks cubs wsox > these were the 1st place teams that won tues
                                  (5)dbacks cubs angles
                                  (6) dbacks wsox angels
                                  (7) phils cubs angels
                                  (8) phils cubs wsox
                                  (9) phils angels wsox
                                  (10) phils dbacks cubs angels

                                  tues strategy parlays were 0 - 12 on this thread .
                                  left rays off today . in progress 1 - 0 in the 5th inn right now ..
                                  Comment
                                  • warriorfan707
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-29-08
                                    • 13698

                                    #52
                                    Im all for such experiments but the only problem is you gotta run this for a long, long time before getting any definitive meaningful results.
                                    Comment
                                    • chipski
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-16-07
                                      • 1745

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by warriorfan707
                                      Im all for such experiments but the only problem is you gotta run this for a long, long time before getting any definitive meaningful results.
                                      made $$ so far with this particular strategy since ... have done it for years actually .. if you read the whole thread you might understand it . IS ALL ABOUT TIMING . again , if you read the entrie thread you would understand .
                                      you dont do this every time they play . lmao

                                      not an experiment at all .
                                      i word things certain ways as not trying to be too condescending .
                                      been to heaven and back as well as hell and back with every strategy under the sun .
                                      you name it i have done it .

                                      TIMING <> <> <>
                                      Comment
                                      • chipski
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-16-07
                                        • 1745

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by warriorfan707
                                        Im all for such experiments but the only problem is you gotta run this for a long, long time before getting any definitive meaningful results.
                                        T I M I N G

                                        you can improvise as well , you can twist it up to your liking .
                                        you can only do 3 of the 1st place teams .
                                        OPTIONS ARE ENDLESS .

                                        try it ..
                                        Comment
                                        • chipski
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-16-07
                                          • 1745

                                          #55
                                          1st place teams went 3 - 3 on wed
                                          3 winners > phils cubs wsox
                                          strategy parlays no good 2 nights in a row
                                          angels spoil it late ..
                                          smart

                                          thurs chances for a 4 - 2 - 6 - 0 ? i will leave it alone .
                                          Comment
                                          • chipski
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-16-07
                                            • 1745

                                            #56
                                            1st place teams peek

                                            Originally posted by chipski
                                            1st place teams went 3 - 3 on wed
                                            3 winners > phils cubs wsox
                                            strategy parlays no good 2 nights in a row
                                            angels spoil it late ..
                                            smart

                                            thurs chances for a 4 - 2 - 6 - 0 ? i will leave it alone .
                                            1st place teams went 2 - 4 on thurs
                                            the 2 winners were phils and dbacks

                                            1st place change alert
                                            mets are 1.5 back of philly
                                            dodgers are 1 game behind ariz ..
                                            rosx are 1.5 back of tb

                                            what does the 1st place team result look like for fri ?
                                            2 1st place teams square off in philly
                                            all 3 first place al teams are on the road again for the 2nd straight series ..
                                            Comment
                                            • chipski
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-16-07
                                              • 1745

                                              #57
                                              looks like the angels are the only 1st place al team with a chance to get a W
                                              on friday night ..

                                              wsox and rays are toast

                                              result
                                              angels went on to lose on fri night as well .. angels went on to win sat and sun
                                              Comment
                                              • chipski
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-16-07
                                                • 1745

                                                #58
                                                1st place team standings at the end of the 1st half mlb
                                                phils
                                                cards
                                                dbacks

                                                rsox (regained the 1st place spot)
                                                wsox
                                                angels


                                                top races in each divison
                                                nl
                                                phils mets marlins
                                                cubs cards brew (some good seperation right now)
                                                dbacks dodgers

                                                al
                                                rsox rays
                                                wsox twins
                                                angels a's rangers (alot of seperation right now)
                                                Comment
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