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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #1
    Monday
    3* Twins/Tribe under 8.5 (-115)
    3* Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5 (-117)
    3* Jays/Royals under 9 (-120)

    BOL to all tonight.
  • crazymonkey
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-06-09
    • 445

    #2
    whats ur thinking on the royals over? winds blowing out and we got two average pitches on the hill
    Comment
    • J-Ro11
      Restricted User
      • 05-01-10
      • 525

      #3
      Took the over on phils/dodgers last night, expecting a big game back

      GL
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        Originally posted by crazymonkey
        whats ur thinking on the royals over? winds blowing out and we got two average pitches on the hill
        wind is out, but it's not terribly strong, about 10 mph, so a factor but not a major factor. i use a formula (xFIP and such) that predicts total number of runs for a game, and even with a bump to account for the wind, the formula comes up with around 8 runs. a big part of that is probably that Morrow's xFIP is appreciably lower than his ERA, and that Paulino's only start was solid. when you add that the public's on the over but the under is getting juiced, and KC's offense is in a bit of a funk (8 runs last five games), i like the under.
        Comment
        • Crnjak
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-11-09
          • 588

          #5
          I agree with Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5
          Comment
          • alling
            SBR MVP
            • 05-13-10
            • 1405

            #6
            STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [951] TOTAL o8EV (LOS vrs PHI) [T LILLY -L/C LEE -L]
            STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [958] TOTAL u6½-110 (COL vrs SDG) [C MORTENSE -R/C RICHARD -L]
            STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [971] TAM -145 [Action]
            Comment
            • crazymonkey
              SBR Sharp
              • 05-06-09
              • 445

              #7
              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
              wind is out, but it's not terribly strong, about 10 mph, so a factor but not a major factor. i use a formula (xFIP and such) that predicts total number of runs for a game, and even with a bump to account for the wind, the formula comes up with around 8 runs. a big part of that is probably that Morrow's xFIP is appreciably lower than his ERA, and that Paulino's only start was solid. when you add that the public's on the over but the under is getting juiced, and KC's offense is in a bit of a funk (8 runs last five games), i like the under.
              Thanks for the input! BOL tonight biff
              Comment
              • letsgo
                SBR MVP
                • 03-27-10
                • 2204

                #8
                Looks like Indians crappy play screwed the first pick.
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #9
                  Originally posted by letsgo
                  Looks like Indians crappy play screwed the first pick.
                  yep. they really stunk the joint up again tonight.
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #10
                    3* Twins/Tribe under 8.5 (-115) - LOSER
                    3* Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5 (-117) - LOSER

                    0-2 -6.96u start. both bad picks. Jays/Royals pending.
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #11
                      1-2 -3.96u.
                      Comment
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