3* Twins/Tribe under 8.5 (-115)
3* Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5 (-117)
3* Jays/Royals under 9 (-120)
BOL to all tonight.
crazymonkey
SBR Sharp
05-06-09
445
#2
whats ur thinking on the royals over? winds blowing out and we got two average pitches on the hill
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J-Ro11
Restricted User
05-01-10
525
#3
Took the over on phils/dodgers last night, expecting a big game back
GL
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#4
Originally posted by crazymonkey
whats ur thinking on the royals over? winds blowing out and we got two average pitches on the hill
wind is out, but it's not terribly strong, about 10 mph, so a factor but not a major factor. i use a formula (xFIP and such) that predicts total number of runs for a game, and even with a bump to account for the wind, the formula comes up with around 8 runs. a big part of that is probably that Morrow's xFIP is appreciably lower than his ERA, and that Paulino's only start was solid. when you add that the public's on the over but the under is getting juiced, and KC's offense is in a bit of a funk (8 runs last five games), i like the under.
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Crnjak
SBR Wise Guy
03-11-09
588
#5
I agree with Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5
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alling
SBR MVP
05-13-10
1405
#6
STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [951] TOTAL o8EV (LOS vrs PHI) [T LILLY -L/C LEE -L]
STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [958] TOTAL u6½-110 (COL vrs SDG) [C MORTENSE -R/C RICHARD -L]
STRAIGHT BET Jun 06 MLB [971] TAM -145 [Action]
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crazymonkey
SBR Sharp
05-06-09
445
#7
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
wind is out, but it's not terribly strong, about 10 mph, so a factor but not a major factor. i use a formula (xFIP and such) that predicts total number of runs for a game, and even with a bump to account for the wind, the formula comes up with around 8 runs. a big part of that is probably that Morrow's xFIP is appreciably lower than his ERA, and that Paulino's only start was solid. when you add that the public's on the over but the under is getting juiced, and KC's offense is in a bit of a funk (8 runs last five games), i like the under.
Thanks for the input! BOL tonight biff
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letsgo
SBR MVP
03-27-10
2204
#8
Looks like Indians crappy play screwed the first pick.
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#9
Originally posted by letsgo
Looks like Indians crappy play screwed the first pick.
yep. they really stunk the joint up again tonight.
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#10
3* Twins/Tribe under 8.5 (-115) - LOSER
3* Dodgers/Phillies over 7.5 (-117) - LOSER
0-2 -6.96u start. both bad picks. Jays/Royals pending.