Best Play Thursday: Rays +105

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Best Play Thursday: Rays +105
    A hot Mariners team cools off when Tampa Bay comes into town. I've been riding James Shields all season from his very first start and should bounce back from a loss in his last start. Hernandez is coming off a 129-pitch outing against the Yankees so I don't think he will be quite as sharp as he usually is. Despite that, I still expect a pitcher's duel with Tampa Bay coming out on top in a 3-2 type game.

    Rays +105 (3x)
  • swaindexter
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-07
    • 1228

    #2
    Very Interesting!! Good luck on your wagers...................
    Comment
    • pacocn
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-05-10
      • 12934

      #3
      the under is at 6.5 any feelings on that?
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #4
        Originally posted by pacocn
        the under is at 6.5 any feelings on that?
        Under
        Comment
        • golfrulz
          SBR MVP
          • 02-02-10
          • 2425

          #5
          2-team; tb & under.
          Comment
          • t-wizzle
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-18-09
            • 38099

            #6
            Originally posted by golfrulz
            2-team; tb & under.
            Might be worth a shot as well but I say just stick to the straight play on the rays.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Everyone and their dog will be on that under.
              Comment
              • t-wizzle
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-18-09
                • 38099

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Everyone and their dog will be on that under.
                Idk about that but even if thats the case what difference does it make. They can't set it any lower.
                Comment
                • thebestthereis
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-01-09
                  • 11459

                  #9
                  must be tons of people gonna bet over
                  Comment
                  • SBRPRO11
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 05-23-11
                    • 42

                    #10
                    Rays +
                    Comment
                    • t-wizzle
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-18-09
                      • 38099

                      #11
                      Line is still in the +105/110 area. Grab it before it drops.
                      Comment
                      • Lord and Master
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-31-11
                        • 531

                        #12
                        Originally posted by t-wizzle
                        Hernandez is coming off a 129-pitch outing against the Yankees so I don't think he will be quite as sharp as he usually is
                        irrelevant

                        edit: if you actually look back at the data pitchers over 125 pitches are profitable in the next start but the sample size is not incredibly significant...at 127+ pitches in the previous start then it becomes massively profitable to be on that pitcher
                        Comment
                        • tatddy
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-02-10
                          • 10779

                          #13
                          If you expect a "3-2 type of game" how is this the play of the day? Tough spot and the game could go either way in late innings.
                          Comment
                          • t-wizzle
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-18-09
                            • 38099

                            #14
                            Originally posted by tatddy
                            If you expect a "3-2 type of game" how is this the play of the day? Tough spot and the game could go either way in late innings.
                            Because I'm getting Shields at +money and will take that every time. I don't bet much bases but this is the play that i like today. Take it or leave it.
                            Comment
                            • BigDofBA
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-30-09
                              • 19313

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tatddy
                              If you expect a "3-2 type of game" how is this the play of the day? Tough spot and the game could go either way in late innings.
                              Good point. I love it when people post locks and the go on to say they bought the hook....if it's s lock of the century, why do you need to buy half a point?
                              Comment
                              • Lord and Master
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-31-11
                                • 531

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                Good point. I love it when people post locks and the go on to say they bought the hook....if it's s lock of the century, why do you need to buy half a point?
                                looool
                                Comment
                                • t-wizzle
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-18-09
                                  • 38099

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                  Good point. I love it when people post locks and the go on to say they bought the hook....if it's s lock of the century, why do you need to buy half a point?
                                  Lol do people even read the original post anymore? Never once used the word "lock." This is my play of the day... Obviously the books expect a close low-scoring game but the point is that I think the Rays will come out on top and that getting Shields at +money is a great play.
                                  Comment
                                  • t-wizzle
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-18-09
                                    • 38099

                                    #18
                                    What a terrible call
                                    Comment
                                    • jboy4
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-18-10
                                      • 1950

                                      #19
                                      Shields looked like shit tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • lunchbawks
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-31-10
                                        • 12873

                                        #20
                                        Rays are an incredible road team I don't blame you for that. I do blame you for betting against the best pitcher in baseball. Just don't do it, Felix is the KING
                                        Comment
                                        • MrShrink
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-19-10
                                          • 1054

                                          #21
                                          Why do people ignore things like the effect that a CROSS-COUNTRY FLIGHT (from the SE tip, to the NW tip, at that) has on human beings? Because they are ATHLETES? Nobody learned anything just last week when the Indians went from Tampa to Toronto to face the lowly JoJo Reyes?

                                          Oh, and this was the "streak for the cash" play. Which team do you think they thought most of the dummies on espn.com would pick?
                                          Comment
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