FLA vs AZ why 8.5?

[pinchylarue]

this seems too good to be true to me, teams best 2 pitchers both with era under 2.00 and they put the line at 8.5...

I was expecting maybe 6.5 or 7

convince me not to make a HUGE play on this.
thoughts?

[darrell74]

Stats are there, nothing says to not do it.

My only thing will be is that Arizona games have gone over in 4 of last 5.
Tinkerbel Sanchez can't be too trusted.
Arizona bats have gotten a certain kind of lift since Kirk Gibson has turned that thing around.
Arizona is staring at first place and have every right to take that place.

Other than that, big play, maybe not so big, but as good mid size bet is what I would do.

[LGHT]

I looked at the stats and they are somewhat misleading as both pitchers have padded their ERA down by pitching against a few poor hitting teams. However when you take those same 2 pitches and filter out teams that are hitting below .250 you will realize why it's so high.

Take a look at this thread and be careful with the play AZ hitting is on fire.

http//www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-handicapping/1102397-rochs-marlins-tuesday-34-14-1ytd.html

[wade1]

If it seems to good to be true, it probably is. I'll take the over 8 at betus

[pinchylarue]

I already went 25% on florida and 75% on the under...

ALL IN BABY !

[gilly6864]

I wouldn't play this game...

[pinchylarue]

I wouldn't play this game...

then don't....I did and no regrets kid

[LGHT]

this seems too good to be true

If it seems to good to be true it probably is.

I don't think it's a bad play, but I was just able to find enough reasons not to play is all.

Good luck.

[jbart28]

Here is the thing- the ball is flying, I mean flying outta Arizona with the roof open. Montero, Miranda, Drew,Parra are hitting OPPO Bombs there.

It is a no play for me. Anibel and Ian both keep the ball down but Arizona has been smashing the ball lately. Anibel was lights out against the giants last outing but it is a no play for me. Plus Marlins pen is overworked.

So in short 8.5 would have to be `10 before I would be the under.

[pinchylarue]

Here is the thing- the ball is flying, I mean flying outta Arizona with the roof open. Montero, Miranda, Drew,Parra are hitting OPPO Bombs there. It is a no play for me. Anibel and Ian both keep the ball down but Arizona has been smashing the ball lately. Anibel was lights out against the giants last outing but it is a no play for me. Plus Marlins pen is overworked. So in short 8.5 would have to be `10 before I would be the under.

I think AZ loses tonight outright because my logic is that they wont won 8 in a row. arizona TT under therefore game under or florida ml.

I will come out on top as long as its not arizona and over which I am VERY confident about

[jbart28]

BOL- I lean Marlins but then again I live in South Florida

[HoulihansTX]

Its the fuking park.

Compare the avg amount od runs scored @Chase field, and all other NL west parks.

Holy shit. More home runs have been scored @ Chase in the last two years then any other ark.

You, have to know this. Chase plays to an 8.5.