No runs in 1st inning

BettingBogie · 07-10-11, 11:41 AM

Any thoughts on HOU/FLA? Looking at Wandy Rodriguez and Chris Volstad against these non-special offenses and liking it - anyone else have thoughts?

TEXAS MICKEY · 07-10-11, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by justwinthisone

No run 1st inning

Tb/nyy for 1 unit
Col/wash for 3 units
Sea/laa for 6 units (love this game, should go bigger, may go bigger)

I may post more plays depending on how 1st 2 listed above go. Also if anyone does come up with those stats for Sunday night games that would be sweet

NO RUN 1st inning Sunday Night games NO=10 YES=4

IMO and the stats, you have to go with NO.

justwinthisone · 07-10-11, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by blake_oakley

You sure going so big on SEA/LAA?

dont ask foolish questions, go to your book and hit it hard. come back after the game and thank me

justwinthisone · 07-10-11, 11:57 AM

Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY

NO RUN 1st inning Sunday Night games NO=10 YES=4

IMO and the stats, you have to go with NO.

thanks for the stats. i always feel those games are low scoring.

Alki · 07-10-11, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by BettingBogie

Any thoughts on HOU/FLA? Looking at Wandy Rodriguez and Chris Volstad against these non-special offenses and liking it - anyone else have thoughts?

Looking at multiple outs for that game and the yes has been hit pretty hard from what I'm seeing.
Pinny had No at -24 earlier and now is -12. My other outs had similar hits on the yes.
Like the NO myself but a little leery after watching the moves....and you know those aren't Joe Public.

btd · 07-10-11, 12:20 PM

Thanx for your picks, going to go big on SEA/LAA, let's ca$h.

BettingBogie · 07-10-11, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by Alki

Looking at multiple outs for that game and the yes has been hit pretty hard from what I'm seeing.
Pinny had No at -24 earlier and now is -12. My other outs had similar hits on the yes.
Like the NO myself but a little leery after watching the moves....and you know those aren't Joe Public.

Indeedy - HOU opens up with 2 runs in the 1st. Crazy how this game works.

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 12:30 PM

got that nyy/tb game.. added atl/phi too, we'll see if they can go scoreless 3 straight

dee_jas · 07-10-11, 12:31 PM

yankees cash, onto the next one

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 12:48 PM

col/was winner, nice start again

boondoggle · 07-10-11, 12:49 PM

with the SEA/LAA game laying so much chalk for a NO...winning first 2 and losing SEA/LAA will = net loss for the day.

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 12:57 PM

sweet, phi/atl hits with howard hitting into a dp 3-0. Now let's get that sea/laa game and have a great day. GL

Scully · 07-10-11, 01:01 PM

Hi Justwinthisone. I just happened to catch your thread for the first time today and notice you have been doing very well with your selections. Can you tell me if your plays are based on a particular system you put together or simply some research capping like we do for picking sides? Thanks in advance.

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 01:08 PM

Originally posted by Scully

Hi Justwinthisone. I just happened to catch your thread for the first time today and notice you have been doing very well with your selections. Can you tell me if your plays are based on a particular system you put together or simply some research capping like we do for picking sides? Thanks in advance.

Not sure where in the thread, but a few days back you'll see his post about the types of stats he looks for. If you click on his posts, you can find it probably a week back I'm thinking? From what I remember, he bases on pitching matchup of course, whip, era, % pitcher success in 1st inn not giving up runs, opposing offenses, opposing offense 1st inning scoring or lack there of, ball parks, weather, defenses, even umpires lol.. The sides he picks are No run 1st inning or a non-play. Advice if you follow, use good money management. JWTO will cap each play's strength based on unit size, but you will have to determine how much you put down based on your br and comfort zone.

BOL

Scully · 07-10-11, 01:13 PM

Thanks a lot for sharing your info with me Paul. In fact that's much more info than I certainly expected. It is very much appreciated.

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by Scully

Thanks a lot for sharing your info with me Paul. In fact that's much more info than I certainly expected. It is very much appreciated.

Anytime, we are all here to help each other, hope you join in and enjoy good success. Oh yah, lineups/unjuries help too, but often times, if it's a game time decision, can't take that into consideration as waiting until just before the game begins usually means the vig will be that much higher; most of the big unit plays will need to be bet as early as possible to get the best odds.

justwinthisone · 07-10-11, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by boondoggle

with the SEA/LAA game laying so much chalk for a NO...winning first 2 and losing SEA/LAA will = net loss for the day.

It won't lose.....if u want to make sure u win money on day just risk half of what u won on last 2 games. I do that sometimes. I locked laa/sea at -165. This is my fav game of the day. Even if it does lose I'm still up big since starting this thread. That game will cash.

somachino1 · 07-10-11, 01:32 PM

Good work today, debating laying off sea/laa after starting off 2-0. Does look mighty tasty though.

EntengKabisote · 07-10-11, 01:33 PM

Laa/Sea NO is now down to -155 at bkmaker.

blake_oakley · 07-10-11, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by justwinthisone

It won't lose.....if u want to make sure u win money on day just risk half of what u won on last 2 games. I do that sometimes. I locked laa/sea at -165. This is my fav game of the day. Even if it does lose I'm still up big since starting this thread. That game will cash.

Thats good enough for me.

I am playing this game for 3 untils at -155

Scully · 07-10-11, 01:38 PM

Yeah why do you think the # has come down somewhat in the Sea-Ana game? I have to think it's because the # might be too darn high and the value is too great to ignore by playing 'yes'.

TEXAS MICKEY · 07-10-11, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by EntengKabisote

Laa/Sea NO is now down to -155 at bkmaker.

Steam money must have come in on the YES.........

justwinthisone · 07-10-11, 01:39 PM

Originally posted by EntengKabisote

Laa/Sea NO is now down to -155 at bkmaker.

What did it start at there? My local opened and still is at -165..... I c lm is at -200

VicVega91 · 07-10-11, 01:41 PM

Originally posted by blake_oakley

Thats good enough for me.

I am playing this game for 3 untils at -155

And it is still at -175 at 5Dimes

VicVega91 · 07-10-11, 01:42 PM

my point is what is the difference?

blake_oakley · 07-10-11, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by VicVega91

And it is still at -175 at 5Dimes

Im using Sky Bet in the UK. They at -155

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by EntengKabisote

Laa/Sea NO is now down to -155 at bkmaker.

jump on it, will go back up very soon lol

EntengKabisote · 07-10-11, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by justwinthisone

What did it start at there? My local opened and still is at -165..... I c lm is at -200

Opened at -175. with both teams best pitchers,this one should be an easy NO run.

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by EntengKabisote

Opened at -175. with both teams best pitchers,this one should be an easy NO run.

Nothing is easy, bad beats can happen. Suzuki hit his first and only homer this year last week in the 1st in a game we had..

justwinthisone · 07-10-11, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by paul051966

Nothing is easy, bad beats can happen. Suzuki hit his first and only homer this year last week in the 1st in a game we had..

Yea that did hurt....kind of humbling actually. Anything really can happen. 3 games I have played in the 3 days have had errors in the 1st inning. 2 of those were the same day. U really don't know....this should be a no...let's get it

paul051966 · 07-10-11, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by justwinthisone

Yea that did hurt....kind of humbling actually. Anything really can happen. 3 games I have played in the 3 days have had errors in the 1st inning. 2 of those were the same day. U really don't know....this should be a no...let's get it

5D just came down to -165 so added a tad more, couldn't resist.

blake_oakley · 07-10-11, 02:07 PM

Any one like SF/NYM - no runs in the 1st.

I wanna play big on this

Scully · 07-10-11, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by EntengKabisote

Opened at -175. with both teams best pitchers,this one should be an easy NO run.

Never use that word in the gambling business. There is never an 'easy' bet---NEVER!

NOREGRETS · 07-10-11, 02:15 PM

Justwin... THE MAN. Mine is at -165 and steady.

incomeraise · 07-10-11, 02:18 PM

good luck to everybody!!!
lets go!!