Lincecum - good value play for Saturday

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  • italianbandit
    SBR MVP
    • 05-17-11
    • 2622

    #1
    Lincecum - good value play for Saturday
    Hi,

    This is my first posted play of the year, new to these forums. He is very good at bounce-back games, Giants are home and their hitting is underrated as some of their players are coming out of slumps. This is generally close to the highest I would pay for a favorite. I feel like the line is only slightly lower than it should be.




    Background:

    I ran my own book for 5 years in Brooklyn from 1993-1998. It was pre- internet. I learned a lot. I retired and studied medicine. Last few years I've been playing poker and studying baseball.
  • obamaismyuncle
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-31-08
    • 17801

    #2
    I like Oakland, gl
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      I'd like to disagree with you and I think the A's have a little bit of value, but San Fran owns them.
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #4
        I think all the value lies with Brett Anderson at +130 or more. That guy can pitch, and although I hate going against Lincecum, the Giants just won yesterday and I like the A's to bounceback tonight....bol...
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          SF is 9-4 L-13 vs. OAK, and the home team is 11-2 L-13.
          Comment
          • italianbandit
            SBR MVP
            • 05-17-11
            • 2622

            #6
            I like different opinions. Lincecum at home is tricky to play against. GL to all.
            Comment
            • killawookie
              SBR MVP
              • 12-25-09
              • 3457

              #7
              I'd take lincecum against a lacking offense any day... problem is SF bats need to show up just in case
              Comment
              • warriorfan707
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-29-08
                • 13698

                #8
                Lincecum owns Oakland folks

                absolute ownage
                Comment
                • warriorfan707
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-29-08
                  • 13698

                  #9
                  Giants win. If you bet Oakland you are lighting a torch to your money.

                  Do not bet Oakland.

                  I repeat.

                  Unless you want to go broke do not bet Oakland.
                  Comment
                  • warriorfan707
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-29-08
                    • 13698

                    #10
                    Lock of the Year so far
                    Comment
                    • beyond
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-16-09
                      • 293

                      #11
                      maybe under is good
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 65718

                        #12
                        I'm on Timmah -1.5 runs +160, there's your value.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Giants have sucked vs. lefties for a while and Anderson is a GOOD lefty. Lincecum is 3-4 because the Giants haven't scored for him and they give him much support vs. Anderson either.

                          A's +136 for me.
                          Comment
                          • goblinburner
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-28-10
                            • 621

                            #14
                            they have the under at 6 there no good bets for this game
                            Comment
                            • warriorfan707
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-29-08
                              • 13698

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              Giants have sucked vs. lefties for a while and Anderson is a GOOD lefty. Lincecum is 3-4 because the Giants haven't scored for him and they give him much support vs. Anderson either.

                              A's +136 for me.
                              Comment
                              • tatddy
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-02-10
                                • 10779

                                #16
                                Under 6 boys
                                Comment
                                • Van G
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 03-30-10
                                  • 261

                                  #17
                                  Timmy the Freak coming off a horrific start in Coors Field is back at home in SF......too tough of a combo there to go against Lincy in this spot

                                  Besides, Timmy has OWNED the A's in his career....something like 6-0 w/ an ERA in the high 1's

                                  Giants have their mojo back working this week after 2 nice road wins vs. Dodgers plus last night's walk-off win in 10 innings

                                  Giants RL -1.5 @ +170 looks really nice to me.....also playing ML too

                                  Looks like a 4-1 Giants win tonight
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by warriorfan707
                                    Lock of the Year so far
                                    Thank you sir...you have just convinced me to play Oakland by using the word "lock."

                                    Seriously though, with over 70% on SF ml, I like my chances with Anderson +130. It's only one play. If it loses, it loses. But if it wins, I get a good payout. All trends are meant to get broken. SF's dominance at home against Oakland tells me Oakland is due. Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • warriorfan707
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-29-08
                                      • 13698

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Van G
                                      Timmy the Freak coming off a horrific start in Coors Field is back at home in SF......too tough of a combo there to go against Lincy in this spot

                                      Besides, Timmy has OWNED the A's in his career....something like 6-0 w/ an ERA in the high 1's

                                      Giants have their mojo back working this week after 2 nice road wins vs. Dodgers plus last night's walk-off win in 10 innings

                                      Giants RL -1.5 @ +170 looks really nice to me.....also playing ML too

                                      Looks like a 4-1 Giants win tonight
                                      Its almost like I wrote this myself
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #20
                                        Looks like you SF backers had it right...Lincecum dominate tonight. Anderson has pitched great too, but if you lose 1-0 you still lose. I should have rolled with my lean on the under.

                                        Hopefully, SF will take Lincecum out and Oakland can get lucky on their tough bullpen.

                                        I'm going to pull out all the stops and go for the reverse jinx...SF is a lock to win now

                                        Sorry..had to do it
                                        Comment
                                        • Van G
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 03-30-10
                                          • 261

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                          Looks like you SF backers had it right...Lincecum dominate tonight. Anderson has pitched great too, but if you lose 1-0 you still lose. I should have rolled with my lean on the under.

                                          Hopefully, SF will take Lincecum out and Oakland can get lucky on their tough bullpen.

                                          I'm going to pull out all the stops and go for the reverse jinx...SF is a lock to win now

                                          Sorry..had to do it

                                          TAKE TIMMY OUT????????? HE'S ONLY RETIRED LIKE 20 IN A ROW!!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #22
                                            I said "hopefully", not that they would..

                                            Good call SF backers...
                                            Comment
                                            • Van G
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 03-30-10
                                              • 261

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                              I said "hopefully", not that they would..

                                              Good call SF backers...

                                              TIMMY THE FREAK
                                              Comment
                                              • Van G
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-30-10
                                                • 261

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by italianbandit
                                                hi,

                                                this is my first posted play of the year, new to these forums. He is very good at bounce-back games, giants are home and their hitting is underrated as some of their players are coming out of slumps. This is generally close to the highest i would pay for a favorite. I feel like the line is only slightly lower than it should be.




                                                Background:

                                                I ran my own book for 5 years in brooklyn from 1993-1998. It was pre- internet. I learned a lot. I retired and studied medicine. Last few years i've been playing poker and studying baseball.

                                                great call, bandit!!!!!!

                                                Hope to see more of you in the near future
                                                Comment
                                                • jbart28
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-16-11
                                                  • 3387

                                                  #25
                                                  damn 134 pitches sick kid! what a gamer. Need madson to lock down rangers here for big parlay RL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stevenash
                                                    Moderator
                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                    • 65718

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by stevenash
                                                    I'm on Timmah -1.5 runs +160, there's your value.
                                                    just saying.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Van G
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-30-10
                                                      • 261

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Van G
                                                      Timmy the Freak coming off a horrific start in Coors Field is back at home in SF......too tough of a combo there to go against Lincy in this spot

                                                      Besides, Timmy has OWNED the A's in his career....something like 6-0 w/ an ERA in the high 1's

                                                      Giants have their mojo back working this week after 2 nice road wins vs. Dodgers plus last night's walk-off win in 10 innings

                                                      Giants RL -1.5 @ +170 looks really nice to me.....also playing ML too

                                                      Looks like a 4-1 Giants win tonight

                                                      Yep, just sayin'
                                                      Comment
                                                      • italianbandit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-17-11
                                                        • 2622

                                                        #28
                                                        Thanks Van, its nice to win your first posted educated guess. I was a little concerned about those of you with -1.5 runs as the Giants lead the league in 1 run games, but they did it. Congrats. Sorry for the Oakland money, and I appreciate the differing views. I wish I studied totals as the under was a great call.


                                                        Background:

                                                        I ran my own book for 5 years in Brooklyn from 1993-1998. It was pre- internet. I learned a lot. I retired and studied medicine. Last few years I've been playing poker and studying baseball.
                                                        Comment
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