Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 5/22/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 5/22/08
    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Wrigley takes the lead. Can he win yet another contest?


    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    Wrigley     	13	6	11.45
    shantystar 	11	6	10.12
    bbyhill      	12	7	8.98
    fifawcs    	12	8	8.23
    louisvillekid  	12	9	6.29
    Cabo        	7	4	5.12
    Checkerboard	8	10	4.77
    soli        	10	10	4.03
    stevek173 	6	6	3.16
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    pats3peat 	4	3	2.90
    Sportsgirl	8	8	2.66
    TexAg001   	7	6	2.60
    dog       	6	7	2.27
    pimike        	2	1	2.03
    indy62      	7	7	1.97
    szaidi99    	5	4	1.93
    MOONCRICKET	7	8	1.60
    wtt0315    	4	4	1.52
    rjt721      	6	6	1.41
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    mr. leisure 	9	10	1.27
    Pigpen     	4	5	0.80
    THE HITMAN	7	9	0.55
    Shooter    	6	7	0.49
    MonkeyF0cker	6	8	0.07
    SexyMit     	5	7	-0.16
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    greg66     	2	3	-0.51
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    billmunny   	6	8	-0.67
    marley33   	1	2	-0.77
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    HedgeHog   	7	10	-0.98
    juuso      	6	9	-0.99
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    justdoingit 	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    GoHeels12	6	10	-1.20
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    LB         	4	7	-1.43
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    msubulldog	2	4	-1.57
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    EaglesPhan36	5	8	-1.69
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    diogee    	5	8	-1.81
    Meestermike	4	7	-1.88
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    brock      	5	9	-2.17
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    rake922      	5	9	-2.47
    regularguy  	4	8	-2.84
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    sportsfun   	3	7	-3.03
    elguason  	4	8	-3.05
    Kaps       	2	6	-3.14
    Microphone	4	8	-3.19
    luciano    	4	8	-3.27
    rm18        	1	5	-3.55
    ChuteBoxe  	2	6	-3.68
    mundane   	5	10	-3.72
    sharktank1  	7	14	-3.74
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    doye      	4	9	-3.84
    Bills Hooligan	3	8	-3.93
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    20Four7     	3	8	-4.17
    junkman773	4	10	-4.48
    element1286	2	7	-4.72
    trytrytry   	1	6	-4.73
    Bshark    	3	9	-5.24
    LT Profits	6	14	-5.79
    oakas      	6	13	-6.00
    chipski      	4	11	-6.09
    mbr 18      	2	10	-6.67
    Mr KLC      	3	11	-7.07
    pokernut9999	3	13	-7.90
    Junkyard Dog	4	16	-9.97
    treece     	2	14	-11.64
    Comment
    • 20Four7
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-08-07
      • 6703

      #3
      Balt +147

      Kennedy is on the mound for the yankees looking to win his first game and he's -155. Once again I think fading the yankees is value. Kennedy is 0 3 8.48 for the year and is 0 1 13.50 ERA vs Baltimore. Burres is 1 0 vs the yankees and worked a shutout into the 6th before leaving the game.
      Comment
      • stevek173
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-29-08
        • 27598

        #4
        Angels +112. We'll see if I get this line. OK every time I say this I'm guaranteed to lose: THIS LOOKS TOO EASY. Extremely lopsided pitching matchup in Saunders vs. Burnett based on results thus far. Angels won 3 in a row, Jays lost 2. Angels winning road record, Jays losing home record. Bizarre underdog. Book it, I'll take another if not over +110 for this.
        Comment
        • treece
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-28-07
          • 6298

          #5
          Royals +180
          Dice K is due for a loss today. Royals should break the losing streak.
          Comment
          • GoHeels12
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-11-07
            • 33

            #6
            Kansas City +205 (current BJ line): too good of a price on Bannister to pass up, they may not win, but it should be low scoring and they will have a shot
            Comment
            • Wrigley
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-28-07
              • 7268

              #7
              Seattle seeing some +150 to+160 range in morning lines
              Bonderman has a 8.79 ERA in his last 3 against the M's
              Comment
              • shantystar
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-13-05
                • 7299

                #8
                orioles +146,confirm tip,i bet it 6004 at interwetten.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Thu 5/22 903 Arizona Diamondbacks
                  7:10PM (EST) 904 Florida Marlins +117

                  Thu 5/22 905 New York Mets
                  7:10PM (EST) 906 Atlanta Braves +112

                  Thu 5/22 907 Philadelphia Phillies +118
                  8:05PM (EST) 908 Houston Astros

                  Thu 5/22 911 Seattle Mariners +162
                  1:05PM (EST) 912 Detroit Tigers

                  Thu 5/22 915 Kansas City Royals +190
                  1:35PM (EST) 916 Boston Red Sox

                  Thu 5/22 917 Baltimore Orioles +149
                  7:05PM (EST) 918 New York Yankees

                  Thu 5/22 919 Los Angeles Angels +113
                  7:05PM (EST) 920 Toronto Blue Jays
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    ORIOLES +149: Ian Kennedy does not deserve to be a prohibitive favorite like this over anybody, as he is 0-3 with the Yankees going 1-5 as a team whenever he starts, and his key numbers are simply atrocious, an 8.48 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. He has already had one poor outing vs. the Orioles this year, allowing four earned runs on five hits and five walks in only 2.2 innings at Camden Yards in April. Brian Burress has performed admirably despite his 4-4 record, with a very good 3.47 ERA and a respectable 1.34 WHIP in 49.1 innings. He also tossed a gem vs. the Bronx Bombers in Camden earlier this year, hurling 5.2 scoreless innings. He is backed by an Orioles bullpen that ranks third in the American League with a 3.32 ERA, making Baltimore a Bullpen System play. This could be Kennedy's swan song from the rotation (Joba Chamberlain anyone?).
                    Comment
                    • Sportsgirl
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-10-06
                      • 4493

                      #11
                      Baltimore Orioles +149
                      Kennedy is 0-6 at Baltimore and Burres shut the Yankees out the last time he faced them, working into the sixth inning of a 6-0 win for Baltimore.
                      Comment
                      • rjt721
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-06-07
                        • 7929

                        #12
                        Orioles +149

                        Not sure what Kennedy's done to deserve this kind of respect. In fact, he's done nothing, which makes this an automatic play at the current price.
                        Comment
                        • fifawcs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-14-07
                          • 2888

                          #13
                          Angels +113
                          Santana has been great on the road. Burnett has been awful at home. He has yet to have one quality outing at home where opponents are hitting .365 against him.
                          Comment
                          • HedgeHog
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-11-07
                            • 10128

                            #14
                            Balt +149

                            A Bullpen play at a great price. Like the O's today. Sportsgirl copied my pick three posts ago.
                            Comment
                            • Sportsgirl
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-10-06
                              • 4493

                              #15
                              1
                              Comment
                              • Junkyard Dog
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-12-07
                                • 4552

                                #16
                                911 Seattle Mariners +162 - batista has been solid this year for seattle
                                Comment
                                • bbyhill
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-16-07
                                  • 2991

                                  #17
                                  7:10PM (EST) 906 Atlanta Braves +112
                                  The Mets are only 2-5 last 7 and the Braves are 5-0 against at home this season.I'll take the home dog.
                                  Comment
                                  • louisvillekid
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-14-07
                                    • 9262

                                    #18
                                    #906 ATL +112 : i'm getting my Braves at plus money, who've been knocking the cover off the ball, and they hit lefties good, and they're at home, i'll take it.
                                    Comment
                                    • TexAg001
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 05-15-06
                                      • 168

                                      #19
                                      Thu 5/22 919 Los Angeles Angels +113
                                      Saunders has been preety good.burnett is...well burnett and the angel are just a better team.
                                      Comment
                                      • mundane
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-25-08
                                        • 3592

                                        #20
                                        Baltimore Orioles +149
                                        Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
                                        Yankees are 0-4 in Kennedys last 4 starts.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cabo
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-07-06
                                          • 5273

                                          #21
                                          Philadelphia Phillies +118 - going against a hot Astros team, Oswalt not up to par this year 5.43 era.
                                          Comment
                                          • elguason
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 05-09-08
                                            • 44

                                            #22
                                            Thu 5/22 919 Los Angeles Angels +113
                                            7:05PM (EST) 920 Toronto Blue Jays

                                            Ervin Santana, Away Record 4-0 ERA 3.44 this season.

                                            A.J. Burnett, Home Record 1-2 ERA 8.64 this season.
                                            Comment
                                            • 20Four7
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-08-07
                                              • 6703

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              ORIOLES +149: Ian Kennedy does not deserve to be a prohibitive favorite like this over anybody, as he is 0-3 with the Yankees going 1-5 as a team whenever he starts, and his key numbers are simply atrocious, an 8.48 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. He has already had one poor outing vs. the Orioles this year, allowing four earned runs on five hits and five walks in only 2.2 innings at Camden Yards in April. Brian Burress has performed admirably despite his 4-4 record, with a very good 3.47 ERA and a respectable 1.34 WHIP in 49.1 innings. He also tossed a gem vs. the Bronx Bombers in Camden earlier this year, hurling 5.2 scoreless innings. He is backed by an Orioles bullpen that ranks third in the American League with a 3.32 ERA, making Baltimore a Bullpen System play. This could be Kennedy's swan song from the rotation (Joba Chamberlain anyone?).

                                              Wow LT you did a far more indepth write up than I did but your reasoning is pretty much the same as I sleep posted early this morning. GL
                                              Comment
                                              • chipski
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-16-07
                                                • 1745

                                                #24
                                                angels +113
                                                will try angels for 3 game sweep for halos
                                                dont like it but like it better than the other choices .
                                                Comment
                                                • Microphone
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-08-08
                                                  • 2950

                                                  #25
                                                  904 Florida Marlins +117

                                                  This actually opened at +107 and with good reason.....Marlins are every bit as good as Arizona.....Snakes fast start still has people enamored with them.

                                                  SWEEP!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mbr_18
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-24-07
                                                    • 119

                                                    #26
                                                    Florida Marlins +117
                                                    Marlins still playing well...d-back can't seem to find consistency
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pigpen
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-09-08
                                                      • 2750

                                                      #27
                                                      Thu 5/22 917 Baltimore Orioles +149


                                                      I don't usually like to post a play that dominates the board here but I have not choice here. Kennedy is terrible and the Yanks are not playing well at the moment altho they did win last night.

                                                      Burres carries an era that is 5 runs lower than Kennedy and is getting +49. I'll take that any day.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • soli
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-10-06
                                                        • 2503

                                                        #28
                                                        Philadelphia +118

                                                        Philly is the Houston have both won 2 games in a row. Oswalt is not having a good season and Philly is hitting the ball with power.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MonkeyF0cker
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 06-12-07
                                                          • 12144

                                                          #29
                                                          Baltimore +149

                                                          Its all been said already but Ian Kennedy is not deserving of this line. Of course, there is the chance the Yanks pound Burress but there is a great deal of value here.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sharktank1
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-17-07
                                                            • 970

                                                            #30
                                                            Orioles + 149

                                                            I have to jump on this bird bandwagon too.
                                                            Besides, Baltimore is 7-3 in it's last ten games (and) NY is only 3-7.
                                                            Come on Burres!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Checkerboard
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-15-06
                                                              • 7799

                                                              #31
                                                              Atlanta Braves +112

                                                              Even if Santana pitches to form, Turner field on a Friday night with hot Atlanta bats are capable of putting any such effort to waste for the Mets who are also fresh off a pounding.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Shooter
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-05-06
                                                                • 144

                                                                #32
                                                                Los Angeles Angels +113

                                                                Just don't like the direction of the Jays, and Burnett is good but he needs support.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • indy62
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 07-21-07
                                                                  • 321

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Philadelphia Phillies +118 i wll take the dog here(have to) oswalt has been shakey,i also like phiilys winning road record
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mr KLC
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-19-07
                                                                    • 31097

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Philadelphia Phillies +118

                                                                    Oswalt had an injury to his hip in the last game. Phillies look to stick it to their former GM.
                                                                    Comment
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