Baseball formula

superman613 · 04-29-11, 04:26 AM

Looks pretty good.....good luck today

vegasreaper · 04-29-11, 10:21 AM

Thanks superman good luck to us all I am steady work in progress

bigsmitty · 04-29-11, 10:42 AM

I like your picks-I have similar although when I take heavy line faves (often) I'll pair them in parlays to somewhat lessen the line. I think it works fine for me but I keep money management religiously in mind. Cheers and good luck.

yankeerick · 04-29-11, 02:08 PM

will follow good luck to all

vegasreaper · 04-29-11, 09:31 PM

Yeah Smitty I will usually take them on run line to reduce the juice this way I only lose 1 unit verse 2 unit. Of course I want to win but I just find this works for me. And yes I wouldn't advise more than two team parlays big ones are nice to hit but very rare

vegasreaper · 04-29-11, 09:58 PM

Sorry all not the way I wanted first post in here to start out, but like a bike I will be back on it again tomorrow.

High3rEl3m3nt · 04-29-11, 10:01 PM

hmmm...analogy is a little iffy...if you're like a bike, then your going to get ridden again...couldn't help myself and BOL on tomorrow's card

.

Grinder12000 · 04-29-11, 11:31 PM

Just saying you play run lines makes me a little worried - - plus asking for points just from winning days AND demanding everybody smile. Can we take away points of you lose? LOL

but good luck - seriously - it's a tough game and its a marathon!

mikeanite · 04-29-11, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by vegasreaper

Hello to all I am always trying to come up with sytems to beat the books. I have recently filtered and came up with what I believe to be a prosperous system for us to follow and get that paper. I do not want any negative vibes in here as I really believe negativity breeds negative results so let's all stay positive and have a winning season in baseball. I personally bet each and every play that I put in here so if I post losers trust me I don't need you telling me I suck etc...This is a marathon and not a sprint and I believe those of us that have been doing this for awhile are all aware of this. I have been using filters to try and get the amount of plays down, which I don't like using because you inevitabilly end up leaving out winners and leaving in losers. However I believe I finally have a good thing here so I will post each and every day. It is your money and your choice to fade or follow, whichever you chose doesn't matter to me however when I give you winning days I would like some points thrown my way. Well enough of that on with the action. Here they are for Friday April 29 956-CINCY RL +135 953-SF RL +105 969-DET-110 971-TOR +140 976-CHISOX RL +140 GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND LET'S GET THAT PAPER

if it is something that works, you would never put in on here

vegasreaper · 04-30-11, 12:56 AM

and why not? it's not my money you're taking

vegasreaper · 04-30-11, 01:00 AM

And why is that? I am not like others it isn't my money you are taking by betting..

vegasreaper · 04-30-11, 09:45 AM

Fast entry computer killing me crashing

904-philly rl
905-sf-132
907-milw-116
909-flor-122
925-seat+183
929-minn-105

vegasreaper · 05-01-11, 02:43 AM

baseball formula

Well damn this shit is getting old I know things go in streaks but time to turn it. Here goes Sundays

953-SF-124
960-ARIZ-164
962-LAD-130

967-SEAT-115

969-TOR+128

972-CLEVE-134

973-LAA+130

Well good luck to us all

YTD 4/29 -2.7 UNITS, 4/30 -1.9 UNITS NOT THE WAY I INTENDED TO START IN HERE

vegasreaper · 05-02-11, 02:33 AM

Well damn this shit is getting old I know things go in streaks but time to turn it. Here goes Sundays

953-SF-124

960-ARIZ-164

962-LAD-130

967-SEAT-115

969-TOR+128

972-CLEVE-134

973-LAA+130

Well good luck to us all

YTD 4/29 -2.7 UNITS, 4/30 -1.9 UNITS NOT THE WAY I INTENDED TO START IN HERE

4/29 -2.7UNITS
4/30-1.9 UNITS
5/1 -1.39UNITS
YTD= -5.99 UNITS

vegasreaper · 05-02-11, 04:11 AM

Coming Back STRONG

Here we go time to get back on plus side. Here are Mondays plays 5-2

902-WASH-115

904-ATL-140
[strike]
906-CINCY-170

908-STL-165

910-SD-150

912-LAD 5INN -1/2 +105

915-LAA 5INN -115

AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

3-3 5-2 -1.25 UNITS YTD -7.24 UNITS

vegasreaper · 05-03-11, 12:58 AM

Tuesday Formula Plays

Can't believe my Laker's lost like that, at home no less. Well here we go with Tuesday's plays

954-CINCY-175
956-ATL-153
959-FLOR+125
961-COLOR-130
964-SD-155
966-LAD-155
968-TBAY-165
969-NYY-155
974-CHISOX-130
977-CLEVE+100
979-TEX-130

New experiment with totals to watch, only watching

WASH/PHIL UNDER
SF/NYM OVER 7 1/2
FLOR/STL UNDER 8
NYY/DET UNDER 9
LAA/BOST UNDER 7
MINN/CHISOX OVER 9
BALT/KCTY OVER 9

GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND I SURE WILL BE GLAD WHEN THIS TURNS. ALL WAS GOOD UNTILL I STARTED POSTING?????INTERESTING

vegasreaper · 05-04-11, 01:30 AM

Fade system

Can't believe my Laker's lost like that, at home no less. Well here we go with Tuesday's plays

954-CINCY-175
956-ATL-153

959-FLOR+125

961-COLOR-130

964-SD-155

966-LAD-155

968-TBAY-165

969-NYY-155

974-CHISOX-130

977-CLEVE+100

979-TEX-130

New experiment with totals to watch, only watching[/color]

WASH/PHIL UNDER

SF/NYM OVER 7 1/2

FLOR/STL UNDER 8

NYY/DET UNDER 9

LAA/BOST UNDER 7

MINN/CHISOX OVER 9

BALT/KCTY OVER 9

GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND I SURE WILL BE GLAD WHEN THIS TURNS. ALL WAS GOOD UNTILL I STARTED POSTING?????INTERESTING

WOW I GUESS I WOULD SAY FADE UNTIL THIS TURNS AROUND UNREAL LOST ANOTHER 6.75 UNITS
TOTAL YTD 13.99 OBVIOUSLY GOING TO HAVE TO TWEEK THIS AND FIGURE OUT WHATS UP AS I SAID FIRST MONTH WAS WORKING GOOD AND NOW SHAT.

NEW EXPERIMENT WITH TOTALS IS UP 1.1 UNIT FOR THE FIRST DAY

Whippit · 05-04-11, 01:33 AM

lets get that paper

vegasreaper · 05-04-11, 02:46 AM

Tweaked formula with totals

Alright so now we will enter with a little tweaking of the system and see how this does now. I think I have something but we'll see. I have kept the totals formula in as it was plus 1.1 UNIT on day 1. So here we go

WEDNESDAY

903-CUBS +108

905-PITT +130

907-WASH +145

911-SF -140

915-COLOR -130

919-TOR +110

927-CLEVE +135

TOTALS

901-HOUST/CINCY OVER 9 +110

907-WASH/PHIL UNDER 9 -120

909-MILW/ATL UNDER 7 +105

923-LAA/BOST UNDER 8 1/2 -120

925-BALT/KCTY OVER 9 -110

927-CLEV/OAK UNDER 7 -115

929-TEX/SEAT UNDER 6 1/2-105

ALRIGHT EVERYONE LET'S START HITTING THEM BOOKS, BEST OF LUCK TO US ALL

SIDES TODAY PLUS 3.48 UNITS(THATS MORE LIKE IT) SEE FILTERS WORK

TOTALS TODAY -1.15 UNITS YTD -.05 UNITS

vegasreaper · 05-05-11, 01:10 AM

Tweaked baseball formula

Now that was more like it like I said this all is a work in progress and I implemented filters and back tested and would have quite different results for the YTD but it is what it is.

SIDES

951-SF-110
953-FLOR-124
957-MILW +110
959-COLOR +103
961-NYY-110
963-TOR +140
965-LAA +150
968-KCTY-108
972-SEAT +105

TOTALS

963-TOR/TB UNDER 7 1/2-115
967-BALT/KCTY OVER 9-110
957-MILW/ATL UNDER 7 1/2-115

WELL GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND I HOPE THE FILTERS CONTINUE TO PROVIDE PROFITABLE DAYS AHEAD

vegasreaper · 05-05-11, 01:22 AM

Tweaked baseball formula

Well now that is more like it I hope the filters continue to work. I went back and did some back testing and would have had quite different results than the four days I posted on here. It's okay though we will be on plus side soon and like I said this is a work in progress I continue to work numbers to try to get the paper.

THURSDAY

SIDES

951-SF-110

953-FLOR-124

957-MILW +110
959-COLOR +103

961-NYY-110

963-TOR +140

965-LAA +150

968-KCTY-108
972-SEAT +105

TOTALS

963-TOR/TBAY UNDER 7 1/2-115

967-BALT/KCTY OVER 9-110

957-MILW/ATL UNDER 7 1/2-115

MAY WE ALL HAVE CONTINUED SUCCESS AT GETTING THAT PAPER

DemoralizdDreamr · 05-05-11, 02:04 AM

WAYYYY too may plays bro. Ur making it nearly impossible for u to hit 60+% unless this is just for testing purpose but in the long run ull be lucky to break even betting this many plays.

vegasreaper · 05-05-11, 02:22 AM

Appreciate advise but don't want to filter down plays as this usually gets you in trouble. So we will have to see and you don't need to hit 60 % in this as with filter most are plus plays. Thanks though always open to advise on things. Good Luck

DemoralizdDreamr · 05-05-11, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by vegasreaper

Appreciate advise but don't want to filter down plays as this usually gets you in trouble. So we will have to see and you don't need to hit 60 % in this as with filter most are plus plays. Thanks though always open to advise on things. Good Luck

I see ur point, the win percentage doesnt matter just the units won/lost because u take more underdogs. Good Luck in the evening

vegasreaper · 05-05-11, 10:07 PM

Thanks for your support brother, yeah I use basically a money management tool I learned from Kevin O'Neill and to do 52.3 percent in football and basketball is goal and of course because of money line with bases it is different but usually the percentage comes oput better. And at the end of 20 years you would have 1.2 million dollars so I call it my 401 k plan

vegasreaper · 05-06-11, 01:07 AM

Fridays plays

Okay here we go for Fridays bases

YTD SIDES PRE FILTERS -12.40 UNITS
YTD SIDES POST FILTERS +1.59 UNITS
YTD TOTALS +2.95 UNITS

SIDES

902-CUBS-120

905-HOUST +105

909-LAD +110

911-MILW +135
913-ARIZ +120

917-MINN +130

920-TOR-115

921-TBAY +100

924-TEX-110

925-OAK-120
927-CLEV-113

TOTALS

901-CINCY UNDER 7 1/2 +100

905-HOUST UNDER 7 1/2-110

911-MILW UNDER 7 1/2 +100

919-DET OVER 9 +110

921-TBAY UNDER 8-105

923-NYY OVER 10 1/2 +105

LET'S KEEP THIS TRAIN ROLLING, I KNOW ALOT OF PLAYS BUT I GET IN TROUBLE WHEN I TRY TO LIMIT SO GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

vegasreaper · 05-07-11, 01:36 AM

Saturdays plays

Well still looking for that big day to separate this formula. Totals had another positive day while the sides had a mild losing day.

YTD PRE FILTER -13.48 UNITS
YTD-POST FILTER +.51 UNITS
YTD TOTALS +4.05 UNITS

SIDES

951-LAD +115
953-CINCY-130
956-STL-128
957-ATL +108
959-HOUST+105
961-WASH +125
963-ARIZ +105
969-MINN +150
972-TOR+105
979-CHISOX +105

TOTALS

951-LAD/'METS U 7 1/2-120
963-ARIZ/SD U 6 1/2 +105
965-COL/SF O 7 1/2+105
967-TB/BALT U 8 -110
971-DET/TOR U 7 1/2 -105
973-OAK/KCTY U 8 1/2 -105
975-NYY/TEX U 10 +100
979-CWS/SEAT U 6 1/2 +105

WELL GOOD LUCK TO US ALL TOMORROW AND HOPE WE ALL GET THE PAPER

vegasreaper · 05-08-11, 04:02 AM

Saturdays plays

Well still looking for that big day to separate this formula. Totals had another positive day while the sides had a mild losing day.

YTD PRE FILTER -13.48 UNITS
YTD-POST FILTER +.51 UNITS
YTD TOTALS +4.05 UNITS

SIDES FOR TODAY -4.23 UNITS YTD -3.72 UNITS

951-LAD +115

953-CINCY-130

956-STL-128

957-ATL +108

959-HOUST+105

961-WASH +125

963-ARIZ +105

969-MINN +150

972-TOR+105

979-CHISOX +105

TOTALS FOR TODAY -.05 UNITS YTD +4.0 UNITS

951-LAD/'METS U 7 1/2-120

963-ARIZ/SD U 6 1/2 +105

965-COL/SF O 7 1/2+105

967-TB/BALT U 8 -110

971-DET/TOR U 7 1/2 -105

973-OAK/KCTY U 8 1/2 -105

975-NYY/TEX U 10 +100

979-CWS/SEAT U 6 1/2 +105

WELL GOOD LUCK TO US ALL TOMORROW AND HOPE WE ALL GET THE PAPER

vegasreaper · 05-08-11, 05:48 AM

Sundays plays

Boy gotta love Animal Kingdom well here we go for Sundays winners

SIDES FOR THE DAY +.80 UNITS YTD -2.92

901-WASH+135

903-LAD-120

912-SD-130

913-COLOR-120

919-TBAY-115

921-MINN+167

928-LAA-135

TOTALS FOR THE DAY -1.3 UNITS YTD +2.7 UNITS

905-HOUST/PITT O 8-105

915-ATL/PHIL U 7 1/2-120

917-DET/TOR O 9-110

923-OAK/KCTY O 8 1/2-105

927-CLEV/LAA U 7 1/2-115

GOOD LUCK TO US ALL AND GOOOOOOOOOO LAKERS GOT EM RIGHT WHERE WE WANT THEM

vegasreaper · 05-09-11, 02:32 AM

Mondays plays

Alright let's start this week off with a BANG I feel good about this card....

SIDES YTD -2.92 UNITS FOR THE DAY +.95 YTD -1.97 UNITS

951-LAD -125

953-PHIL-110

957-SD +133

961-DET +105

965-OAK +115

TOTALS YTD +2.70 UNITS UNITS FOR THE DAY -3.10 UNITS YTD -.40 UNITS

961-DET/TOR U7 1/2

965-OAK/TEX U8 1/2

967-CWS/LAA U7 1/2

AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

vegasreaper · 05-11-11, 09:31 AM

Wednesdays Winners

Hoping this turns a big profit day seems to be about middling. But hey a winning day is a winning day as my father tells me so here we go

SIDES YTD -1.97 UNITS FOR THE DAY +4.95 UNITS YTD +2.98 UNITS

951-SD +125

954-HOUST +105

~~955-NYM +165~~

957-LAD-105

959-PHIL-115

964-CUBS-120

968-MINN-115

~~969-OAK +105~~

974-TOR +115

975-TBAY-125

977-SEAT-135

TOTALS YTD -.40 UNITS FOR THE DAY -2.40 UNITS YTD -2.8 UNITS

951-SD/MILW U 7 1/2-120

957-LAD/PITT U 7 1/2-120

959-PHIL/FLOR U7 +110

975-TB/CLEV U8-120

AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK TO US ALL

btd · 05-11-11, 10:29 AM

Good Luck with all those picks.

Raleigh77 · 05-11-11, 10:37 AM

you eat a lot of chalk, not healthy.

vegasreaper · 05-11-11, 10:56 PM

Not really I know what you are saying as chalk will kill you but if you look alot of my plays are on the plus side and I don't lay anything over 135-140 tops...