Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Sunday, 5/18/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Sunday, 5/18/08
    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    There are 4 guys at 66.7% or better - UNREAL!


    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    shantystar 	11	2	14.12
    bbyhill      	11	4	10.48
    fifawcs    	11	5	9.74
    Wrigley     	10	5	8.88
    Checkerboard	7	7	4.64
    Cabo        	6	4	3.80
    louisvillekid  	9	8	3.36
    soli        	8	8	3.21
    Sportsgirl	7	6	3.20
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    mr. leisure 	8	7	3.05
    pats3peat 	4	3	2.90
    MOONCRICKET	7	7	2.60
    stevek173 	4	4	2.38
    dog       	6	7	2.27
    szaidi99    	5	4	1.93
    wtt0315    	4	4	1.52
    indy62      	5	5	1.52
    Pigpen     	3	3	1.48
    billmunny   	6	6	1.33
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    Shooter    	5	5	1.16
    HedgeHog   	7	8	1.02
    pimike        	1	1	0.53
    THE HITMAN	6	8	0.42
    TexAg001   	4	5	0.20
    rjt721      	4	5	0.17
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    greg66     	2	3	-0.51
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    SexyMit     	4	6	-0.65
    GoHeels12	5	8	-0.69
    marley33   	1	2	-0.77
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    juuso      	6	9	-0.99
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    Meestermike	3	5	-1.20
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    EaglesPhan36	5	8	-1.69
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    MonkeyF0cker	4	7	-1.75
    regularguy  	4	7	-1.84
    sharktank1  	6	11	-1.87
    LB         	3	6	-1.89
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    mundane   	4	7	-2.04
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    brock      	5	9	-2.17
    elguason  	3	6	-2.27
    Microphone	3	6	-2.30
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    rake922      	5	9	-2.47
    20Four7     	2	5	-2.63
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    msubulldog	1	4	-2.89
    Bills Hooligan	3	7	-2.93
    diogee    	4	8	-2.94
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    sportsfun   	3	7	-3.03
    Kaps       	2	6	-3.14
    luciano    	4	8	-3.27
    rm18        	1	5	-3.55
    ChuteBoxe  	2	6	-3.68
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    junkman773	3	8	-3.94
    oakas      	6	11	-4.00
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    doye      	3	8	-4.06
    chipski      	3	8	-4.20
    element1286	2	7	-4.72
    trytrytry   	1	6	-4.73
    mbr 18      	1	7	-4.78
    Mr KLC      	2	8	-5.57
    Bshark    	2	8	-5.70
    Junkyard Dog	4	12	-5.97
    pokernut9999	3	12	-6.90
    LT Profits	4	13	-7.40
    treece     	1	12	-10.77
    Comment
    • treece
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-28-07
      • 6298

      #3
      Brewers +195
      I think they salvage the series here. Beckett struggled in his last start so who knows.
      Comment
      • junkman773
        Restricted User
        • 02-04-08
        • 1316

        #4
        913 Milw +220

        Boston took 2 sat can not see them fired up enough to take another here

        Becket 0-2 vs Milw with a 9.53 era

        MILW + is the play
        Comment
        • Bills Hooligan
          SBR Hustler
          • 03-27-08
          • 52

          #5
          Pit Pirates +153

          Bats are hot and they have the better pitcher going today
          Comment
          • stevek173
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-29-08
            • 27598

            #6
            Pirates +153 The better offensive team right now and a pretty lopsided pitching matchup....Marquis has just been bad and Dumatrait has very respectable #''s so far.
            Comment
            • SexyMit
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-12-06
              • 6139

              #7
              Pirates + 153

              They are the hotter team right now, and they have the better pitcher today.
              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
              Comment
              • 20Four7
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-08-07
                • 6703

                #8
                Minn +136 Just because it's the only one of my picks that will fall within the underdog range. It also works out as a bull pen pick.
                Comment
                • Wrigley
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-28-07
                  • 7268

                  #9
                  Pittsburgh +150
                  Pitching matchup favors the Bucs today the +150 by some books is to high
                  Comment
                  • shantystar
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-13-05
                    • 7299

                    #10
                    p.pirates +153,bets bet and i think they will have to win.
                    Comment
                    • fifawcs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-14-07
                      • 2888

                      #11
                      Robertson +115
                      Robertson only gave up two runs in his last start, so he may be improving. Randy Johnson is way past his prime. The Tigers also hit very well against lefties, since their lineup is primarily right-handed batters.
                      Comment
                      • louisvillekid
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-14-07
                        • 9262

                        #12
                        #929 NYM +139 : basically a play against the Yanks cause they can't hit lefties, even though the Mets can't hit righties. oh, and i hate the Yankees, except when i bet them.
                        Comment
                        • soli
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-10-06
                          • 2503

                          #13
                          NY Mets +

                          I like the Mets lefty batters against The Yankees Wang. The Yankees bats are not producing enough runs without A-Rod
                          Comment
                          • Checkerboard
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-15-06
                            • 7799

                            #14
                            Cincinatti Reds +110

                            Two great starters hoping to see Tribe's bullpen lose it.
                            Comment
                            • Checkerboard
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-15-06
                              • 7799

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Checkerboard
                              Cincinatti Reds +110

                              Two great starters hoping to see Tribe's bullpen lose it.
                              LT if the Reds don't make it to the contest play list (as they're hovering right around the cut-off point for eligibility),
                              please use the following pick as my play:

                              Detroit Tigers +119

                              Surprised the number wasn't higher on D'backs, this is part Johnson fade and partly anticipation of a Tigers win nixing the last leg on a lot of afternoon parlays . . .
                              Comment
                              • mundane
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-25-08
                                • 3592

                                #16
                                Minnesota Twins +131
                                Rockies are 1-4 in Francis' last 5 home starts.
                                Comment
                                • LT Profits
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-27-06
                                  • 90963

                                  #17
                                  Sun 5/18 901 Pittsburgh Pirates +152
                                  2:20PM (EST) 902 Chicago Cubs

                                  Sun 5/18 909 Washington Nationals +133
                                  1:35PM (EST) 910 Baltimore Orioles

                                  Sun 5/18 913 Milwaukee Brewers +223
                                  1:35PM (EST) 914 Boston Red Sox

                                  Sun 5/18 917 Houston Astros +115
                                  3:05PM (EST) 918 Texas Rangers

                                  Sun 5/18 919 Minnesota Twins +131
                                  3:05PM (EST) 920 Colorado Rockies

                                  Sun 5/18 921 Los Angeles Dodgers +113
                                  3:35PM (EST) 922 Los Angeles Angels

                                  Sun 5/18 925 San Diego Padres +152
                                  4:10PM (EST) 926 Seattle Mariners

                                  Sun 5/18 927 Detroit Tigers +116
                                  4:10PM (EST) 928 Arizona Diamondbacks

                                  Sun 5/18 929 New York Mets +150
                                  8:05PM (EST) 930 New York Yankees
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Checkerboard,

                                    Tigers it is.
                                    Comment
                                    • chipski
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-16-07
                                      • 1745

                                      #19
                                      tigers +116
                                      big unit to get rocked . tigers take 2 of 3 in the dez .
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        PIRATES +152: The Pirates are 9-3 in their last 12 games, and they get the call at this excellent price vs. the shaky Marquis, who is 1-3 with a poor 5.26 ERA and 1.73 WHIP for the season. In a year where Chicago is nine games over .500 at 26-17, they are just 3-4 in the games that Marquis has started. As if that is not bad enough, has is not getting any better, instead posting an ugly 7.88 ERA and a hideous 2.06 WHIP while going 0-3 in his last three starts. Pittsburgh starter Dumatrait has been serviceable in his three starts so far. The Bucs are 3-0 when he has taken the hill, and he is coming off of probably the best start of his brief career, as he allowed three runs on only four hits in six innings in an 8-4 win at St. Louis. Finallly, the Buccos must feel good about snapping a 10-game losing streak to the Cubs by beating Carlos Zambrano here yesterday.
                                        Comment
                                        • HedgeHog
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-11-07
                                          • 10128

                                          #21
                                          Minn +131

                                          BP pick. Also, AL puppy vs NL. Twins win again at a price.
                                          Comment
                                          • mbr_18
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-24-07
                                            • 119

                                            #22
                                            San Diego Padres +152
                                            felix has struggled lately.
                                            Comment
                                            • pokernut9999
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-07
                                              • 12757

                                              #23
                                              Pitt + 152 : Hot team vs shaky pitcher and good odds.
                                              Comment
                                              • bbyhill
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-16-07
                                                • 2991

                                                #24
                                                Sun 5/18 929 New York Mets +150
                                                Perez is 3-1 starting against the Yanks
                                                Comment
                                                • mr. leisure
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-08
                                                  • 17507

                                                  #25
                                                  pitt +152

                                                  marquis looking to avoid his 4th straight loss, gimme the big dog
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Junkyard Dog
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-12-07
                                                    • 4552

                                                    #26
                                                    919 Minnesota Twins +131 - francis has not been pitching well this season
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Microphone
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-08-08
                                                      • 2950

                                                      #27
                                                      927 Tigers +116


                                                      Real simple....big unit continues to pitch his age. Tigers rock Mr. Past His Prime.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • THE HITMAN
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-16-07
                                                        • 2393

                                                        #28
                                                        MINN + 1.31
                                                        Ho Hum..Francis 9 ERA ave over the last 3 and Minn 28-10 interleague last 3 years.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sharktank1
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-17-07
                                                          • 970

                                                          #29
                                                          BREWERS + 223

                                                          The only way I can get back in this thing, is to take the longest shot(s) on the board.
                                                          Come on Brew Crew!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • indy62
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 07-21-07
                                                            • 321

                                                            #30
                                                            Minnesota Twins +131 .right now i like anybody to take on col,and this price makes it real attractive
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doye
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-28-08
                                                              • 34

                                                              #31
                                                              927 Detroit Tigers +116

                                                              The Detroit Tigers got a win that they needed in the worst way last night. We think they can get another against Randy Johnson, and the fact that they are underdogs in this setting gets us in play so go Detroit...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Shooter
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-05-06
                                                                • 144

                                                                #32
                                                                909 Washington Nationals +133

                                                                Its the anti sweep angle. Nat's pitcher has been pretty solid and though I don't like Washington I'm playing the angle
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Meestermike
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-21-06
                                                                  • 329

                                                                  #33
                                                                  919 Minnesota Twins +132

                                                                  Better bullpen ERA record for Minny as well as the fact Minny has a better +\- run differential vs. lefties (0.30) than COL does against righties (-1.10).
                                                                  MINNESOTA is 28-10 vs. the money line in inter-league games over the last 3 seasons.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pigpen
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-09-08
                                                                    • 2752

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Sun 5/18 901 Pittsburgh Pirates +152

                                                                    Dumatrait (Pitt starter) has a much lower era than Marquis (Cub starter) and in their last 3 starts it is even more prominant.

                                                                    Dumatrait: 15 2/3 innings; 4.02 era (last 3 starts)
                                                                    Marquis: 16 innings; 7.88 era (last 3 starts)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TexAg001
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-15-06
                                                                      • 168

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Sun 5/18 917 Houston Astros +115
                                                                      Betting against a sweep here. Backe is descent
                                                                      Comment
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