No Run in the 1st Inning.

**mac miller** · 05-13-11, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by lilb999

Seems like the past week we have been making money but giving it right back...ughhhh frustrating

i've been profiting pretty well... there was a point where i ended up makin a good sum and losing it all near the end of the week.. hence why i started to do a chase system... less stress and such.. but then again i consider myself a pretty conservative bettor

**clamchowder** · 05-13-11, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

CHW/OAK - Run in 1st inning - NO (-130)
(projected 1st inning run probability: 27.75%)

Mccarthy - 1st inning - 0.00 ERA / 0.57 WHIP / Allowed 1st inning run 0 of 7 starts
Humber - 1st inning - 1.50 ERA / 0.67 WHIP / Allowed 1st inning run 1 of 6 starts

CHW - Scored a 1st inning run just once in last 21 games
OAK - Scored a 1st inning run just once in last 6 games

---------------------

BAL/TB - Run in 1st inning - NO (-120)
(projected 1st inning run probability: 44.94%) (*Wouldn't play this any higher than -120)

Guthrie/Hellickson - Combined 1st inning numbers = 2.07 ERA, 0.92 WHIP

Baltimore - 6 straight games without a 1st inning run / Projected first four batters a combined 2-15 (.133) in career vs. Hellickson

TB - Scored 1st inning run just once in last 9 games / Projected first four batters a combined 22-95 (.231) in career vs. Guthrie

Good findings 70Kgman. Cashed the bal/tam earlier. Will be on CWS/OAK. Let's sweep it tonight.

**Recurring** · 05-13-11, 08:37 PM

Yeah I am thinking about changing this up 12 units in 4 games is not good, but going 0-4 I'd be screwed in a chase system too.

**RoadDog** · 05-13-11, 09:20 PM

McCarthy and Humber making me a profit for the day.

**RoadDog** · 05-13-11, 09:31 PM

Also, thanks for the info Clam. Much appreciated.

**playr101** · 05-13-11, 09:39 PM

end the day with a win...

-playr101

**pacers101** · 05-13-11, 09:51 PM

thank God for the 10 o'clock sweep. parlayed them & that saved me from a total shit day. let's get em back tomorrow.

**clamchowder** · 05-13-11, 10:28 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Also, thanks for the info Clam. Much appreciated.

Actually it's 70Kgman's info. Thank him not me

**RoadDog** · 05-13-11, 10:29 PM

My bad, thanks 70.

**Boxing Champ** · 05-13-11, 10:31 PM

Hey 70....God Bless you man for great work on the stats...
There were a lot of games today that scored in the first...
But thanks to your great info..we were able to pick winners...
That's what it's all about!!!!!
THANKS and good luck everyone!!!!

**do5000** · 05-13-11, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by pacers101

thank God for the 10 o'clock sweep. parlayed them & that saved me from a total shit day. let's get em back tomorrow.

did the same thing. nice to end the day with a win

**Brian891** · 05-13-11, 11:29 PM

hope we have an excellent weekend. with chase system and pretty decent odds, it seems u can make pretty good money with discipline on 1st innings.

**Boxing Champ** · 05-13-11, 11:38 PM

What chase system do you guys use???

**mac miller** · 05-13-11, 11:45 PM

I BASICALLY HAVE A GOAL OF 5U A WEEK... GONNA SWITCH IT TO 6U A WEEK, PUT ASIDE THE 5U AND PLAY .10X BETS JUST FOR ACTION WITH THE 1U... I DID THE MATH, ON A LIMIT OF 15,000$ PER WEEK (FROM MON-SUN) I BASICALLY HAVE A VERY LOW PERCENTAGE OF EVER HITTING THAT LIMIT WITH MY CHASE SYSTEM.. MY BETS ARE 2.5X A GAME AND I STOP ONCE I GET A 2 WIN STREAK WHICH IS VERY COMMON SO FAR THIS SEASON.. I ALSO HAVENT HAD A LOSING STREAK OF MORE THAN 4 GAMES. AND FROM WHAT I REMEMBER I ONLY HAD TWO 4 LOSING STREAKS SO FAR THIS SEASON

hope this helped a bit

**Boxing Champ** · 05-14-11, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by mac miller

I BASICALLY HAVE A GOAL OF 5U A WEEK... GONNA SWITCH IT TO 6U A WEEK, PUT ASIDE THE 5U AND PLAY .10X BETS JUST FOR ACTION WITH THE 1U... I DID THE MATH, ON A LIMIT OF 15,000$ PER WEEK (FROM MON-SUN) I BASICALLY HAVE A VERY LOW PERCENTAGE OF EVER HITTING THAT LIMIT WITH MY CHASE SYSTEM.. MY BETS ARE 2.5X A GAME AND I STOP ONCE I GET A 2 WIN STREAK WHICH IS VERY COMMON SO FAR THIS SEASON.. I ALSO HAVENT HAD A LOSING STREAK OF MORE THAN 4 GAMES. AND FROM WHAT I REMEMBER I ONLY HAD TWO 4 LOSING STREAKS SO FAR THIS SEASON

hope this helped a bit

I thought the most u can lay is $500..is that true??

Thanks...

Plus got kinda confused on your explanation starting here...

**mac miller** · 05-14-11, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

I thought the most u can lay is $500..is that true??

Thanks...

Plus got kinda confused on your explanation starting here...

k ill try and explain this in more detail.. the limit was changed, my bookie got rid of my limit of 400$ on props so im fine with that. basically with my bookie, my bankroll starts out at 0$ on monday and cashes out on sunday. my limit (most i can lose) is 15,000$. so my goal in this chase system is to have a 2 win streak because i play each selective no run bet at 2.5 units. if i lose, i keep doubling up +2.5 until i get a win, once i do, i play the next following game at 2.5 u to make a weekly goal of 5u. the part with the 6 units is a change i made.. NOW my goal is to make 6 units a week, put aside 5 units of it, and with the 1 unit i have.. i play really small bets for action and to prevent my bookies from catching on that im chasing.. i heard stories of bookies dropping peoples limit because of this.. before starting this i looked back at my record to see how risky this system really is.. basically since my limit of loss is at 15,000$ and im trying to make 6 units now off 3 units bets, the amount of bets i can lose in a row (at a based line of -130) is 6. after looking at my record this season, i noticed the longest losing streak i had was 4, and that only occurred twice this season so far... and because im playing even fewer games im being A LOT MORE SELECTIVE ON NO RUNS

let me know if you're still confused lol but i hope this helped clear some things up for you

**Boxing Champ** · 05-14-11, 02:15 AM

Originally posted by mac miller

k ill try and explain this in more detail.. the limit was changed, my bookie got rid of my limit of 400$ on props so im fine with that. basically with my bookie, my bankroll starts out at 0$ on monday and cashes out on sunday. my limit (most i can lose) is 15,000$. so my goal in this chase system is to have a 2 win streak because i play each selective no run bet at 2.5 units. if i lose, i keep doubling up +2.5 until i get a win, once i do, i play the next following game at 2.5 u to make a weekly goal of 5u. the part with the 6 units is a change i made.. NOW my goal is to make 6 units a week, put aside 5 units of it, and with the 1 unit i have.. i play really small bets for action and to prevent my bookies from catching on that im chasing.. i heard stories of bookies dropping peoples limit because of this.. before starting this i looked back at my record to see how risky this system really is.. basically since my limit of loss is at 15,000$ and im trying to make 6 units now off 3 units bets, the amount of bets i can lose in a row (at a based line of -130) is 6. after looking at my record this season, i noticed the longest losing streak i had was 4, and that only occurred twice this season so far... and because im playing even fewer games im being A LOT MORE SELECTIVE ON NO RUNS

let me know if you're still confused lol but i hope this helped clear some things up for you

Got it BOSS...Thanks
How much are you up so far??

**stc9357** · 05-14-11, 10:28 AM

FLA/WAS no score 1st inn (-120) (3x)
CWS/OAK no score 1st inn (-135) (5x)
ARI/LOS no score 1st inn (-135) (3x)

**Sawyer** · 05-14-11, 12:16 PM

70kgman, where are you?

**Jmayor** · 05-14-11, 12:25 PM

I like these, it's hard to find someone good enough to tail

**DaProfessor23** · 05-14-11, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by mac miller

k ill try and explain this in more detail.. the limit was changed, my bookie got rid of my limit of 400$ on props so im fine with that. basically with my bookie, my bankroll starts out at 0$ on monday and cashes out on sunday. my limit (most i can lose) is 15,000$. so my goal in this chase system is to have a 2 win streak because i play each selective no run bet at 2.5 units. if i lose, i keep doubling up +2.5 until i get a win, once i do, i play the next following game at 2.5 u to make a weekly goal of 5u. the part with the 6 units is a change i made.. NOW my goal is to make 6 units a week, put aside 5 units of it, and with the 1 unit i have.. i play really small bets for action and to prevent my bookies from catching on that im chasing.. i heard stories of bookies dropping peoples limit because of this.. before starting this i looked back at my record to see how risky this system really is.. basically since my limit of loss is at 15,000$ and im trying to make 6 units now off 3 units bets, the amount of bets i can lose in a row (at a based line of -130) is 6. after looking at my record this season, i noticed the longest losing streak i had was 4, and that only occurred twice this season so far... and because im playing even fewer games im being A LOT MORE SELECTIVE ON NO RUNS

let me know if you're still confused lol but i hope this helped clear some things up for you

BOL , sounds pretty good

**Brian891** · 05-14-11, 12:29 PM

quick 300 bucks on fla-was. thanks stc!

**stc9357** · 05-14-11, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by Brian891

quick 300 bucks on fla-was. thanks stc!

No problem thanks for the pts.

**70kgman** · 05-14-11, 12:47 PM

Originally posted by Sawyer

70kgman, where are you?

Not really liking any of the games today. Taking the day off.

**mac miller** · 05-14-11, 12:51 PM

late night, will have leans but thats about it.. no official plays the rest of the week. STC goodluck bro

**pacers101** · 05-14-11, 12:58 PM

I agree with you 70kg. I'm rolling with stc on the chw/oak game but besides that I don't know. seems like a lot of shaky pitchers today. all the other games feels like I'm forcing myself to pick a game which usually means the pick won't hit. so I'll probably take it easy after the chw game.

**stc9357** · 05-14-11, 01:00 PM

Parlay: STL/CIN no score 1st inn (-110) x CWS/OAK no score 1st inn (-135) (1x): Payout of 2.32 Units

**Nova0387** · 05-14-11, 01:11 PM

I think there's good value in games today...GL to all who keeps going today I few i am leaning into are NYY/Bos n LAA/Tex also CWS is already a play...all for NO score...will post my officials later

**CanuckG** · 05-14-11, 01:22 PM

like white sox no score....gl

**mac miller** · 05-14-11, 01:22 PM

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS: chi v oak no run, laa v. tex no run, bal v. tam no run, ari v lad no run

i see these as all really good plays for today.

gl

**CanuckG** · 05-14-11, 01:27 PM

line dropping to 7 for oak vs chi. Looked through the pitchers and how they've done in 1st innings....and how well the batters fair....all signs point to a NO.

**Recurring** · 05-14-11, 01:47 PM

I went yes on the 3:10 game. I strong feeling that its gonna be a yes.

**ScoreLess_1st** · 05-14-11, 02:02 PM

Im up 14 units on the week, but i like the oak/chw play. however the leadoff hitter crisp who has a lot of speed and the 3 hole hitter for oakland sweeney are hitting .400 and .333 off gavin floyd. For this reason im gong small on this play like maybe .5 units. just to have a little action today. as i said yesterday, it seems for the last 3 weeks i been killing these plays monday thru thursday and fri- sun ive been giving it all back. 2 weeks ago i was up 800 on thursday night and by the time sunday rolled around, i lost 8 straight NO RUN plays and was down 1800. not this week. took 2 units on oak/chw last nite and i might look for .5 units on it today. im taking my 14 units, that is a fact

stay thirsty my friends

**ScoreLess_1st** · 05-14-11, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by scoreless_1st

yesterday, almost every game had a scoreless 1st inning. Word to the wise, that will probably not happen again today. So go easy boys

this is what i said yesterday. Thankfully i listened to myself for once

**pacers101** · 05-14-11, 02:30 PM

for 4o'clock I'm going chw no, and small parlay chw/oak no, tb/bal yes, kc/det yes.