2011 MLB Picks Thread

[albo gator]

Well let's see how this goes for the 2011 MLB season. My background is as a technical analyst in futures, stocks, and commodities. I will attempt to apply those same principles to MLB games this season. Using historic data to find trends that will persist into the future always must come with the disclosure "past results are not necessarily a indicative of future performance." With that caveat out of the way, here are some general guidelines:

I will try to post all plays by 12:30 PM Eastern Time on the day of the game if not earlier

For bankroll management I suggest betting to win an amount that is 2% of your total bankroll (and hopefully that allows for bankroll growth and increased bet sizes as the year goes on)

For score keeping purposes I will start with a $5000 bankroll and bet to win $100 per bet and I won't adjust the bankroll size so it will be easier to manage.

I will post the time and location of the play I make and other locations that have a similar line so the accuracy can be checked.

I will only be betting sides in MLB games and no RL or Totals. When pitchers are listed I will try to remember to list them here as well.

Good luck to those who choose to follow this thread.

[albo gator]

First pick of the 2011 season:

Friday, April 15, 2011:

CHICAGO WHITE SOX +120 vs angels (no listing of pitchers); $83.33 to win $100.00

Bet made at 8pm EST Thursday, April 14 at Stations Casinos; (also available at Wynn); (best online at +114 at Pinnacle)

PRIOR RESULTS : 0-0; $W/L $0;

[albo gator]

Friday, April 15 results: 0-1; (-83.33)
YTD results: 0-1; (-83.33)

Saturday, April 16, 2011:
PITTSBURGH +154 at reds (McDonald and Leake listed); $64.95 to win $100.00; Bet made at 5Dimes 10:45AM;
SEATTLE -138 at royals (Hernandez and O'Sullivan listed); $138.00 to win $100.00; Bet made at Betjm 10:45AM;
TAMPA -120 vs twins (Niemann and Baker listed); $120.00 to win $100.00; Bet made at 9:15PM (overnight); (current best online -128)

[albo gator]

Saturday, April 16 results; 1-2; (-102.95)
YTD results: 1-3; (-186.28)

Sunday, April 17, 2011
WASHINGTON +131 vs mil (Marquis and Gallardo listed); $76.34 to win $100.00; Bet made at 5Dimes at 5:00AM
HOUSTON -114 vs sdp (Myers and Richard listed); $114.00 to win $100.00; Bet made at 5Dimes at 5:00AM
CHICAGO WHITE SOX +105 (Buehrle and Haren listed); $95.24 to win $100.00; Bet made at 5Dimes at 5:00 AM

[lacesout]

Good luck with the plays, great money management for the long term!

[superman613]

I like Houston todAy....good luck today

[albo gator]

Sunday, April 17 results; 1-2; (-109.24)
YTD results: 2-5; (-295.52)

Monday, April 18, 2011
PHILADELPHIA -116 vs mil (Blanton and Marcum listed); $116 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 1AM
COLORADO +120 vs sfo (Rogers and LIncecum listed); $83.33 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 1AM
TAMPA -125 vs chw (Price and Jackson listed); $125 to win $100; Bet made at Mirage at 11 PM (overnight) (best online at -129 Pin)

[albo gator]

Monday, April 18 results; 1-2; (-99.33)
YTD results: 3-7; (-208.57

Tuesday, April 19, 2011
FLORIDA -190 vs pit (Johnson and Maholm listed); $190 to win $100; Bet made at South Point at 6AM; best online -190 at 5Dimes

[albo gator]

Tuesday, April 19 results; 1-0; +100.00
YTD results: 4-7 (-108.57)

Wednesday, April 20, 2011
PHI -195 vs mil (Lee and Narveson listed); $195 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 6:30AM;
COL -116 vs sfo (de la Rosa and Cain listed); $116 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 2AM;
FLA -155 vs pit (Nolasco and Morton listed); $155 to win $100; Bet made at Sunset Station at 11PM;
STL -163 vs was (Garcia and Zimmerman listed); $163 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 2AM; (w/ yesterday's rainout this starter matchup could change)
LAD +130 vs atl (Garland and Lowe listed); $76.92 to win $100.00; Bet made at Sunset Station at 11PM (overnight);
TEX -105 vs laa (Harrison and Weaver listed); $105 to win $100; Bet made at Hilton at 10PM (overnight);
KCR +105 vs cle (Hochevar and Masterson listed); $95.21 to win $100; Bet made at Hilton at 10PM (overnight);
CHC ???? vs sdp in DH #2 (Russell and Harang listed) assuming the Cubs are a dog or not too favored. No line yet I will publish it later when bet is made.

[albo gator]

Wednesday's line on CHC in the second game of the doubleheader is +107 made at 5Dimes at 6PM. $93.46 to win $100; listing Russell and Harang

[albo gator]

Wednesday, April 20 results; 5-3; +206.33
YTD results: 9-10 +97.76

Thursday, April 21, 2011
NYM -124 vs hou (Capuano and Happ listed); $124 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 9PM (overnight)
SDP +104 vs phi (Latos and Oswalt listed); $96.15 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 9PM (overnight)
LAA +152 vs bos (action) ; $65.80 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 12:30AM
SEA -140 vs oak (Hernandez and McCarthy listed); $140 to win $100; Bet made at Hilton at 8:30PM (overnight)

[albo gator]

Thursday, April 21 results; 2-2; +38.05
YTD results: 11-12 +135.81

Friday, April 22, 2011
CHC +105 vs lad (Coleman and Billingsley listed); $95.25 to win $100; Bet made at Sunset Station at 8:45PM (overnight)
FLA +103 vs col (Sanchez and Chacin listed); $97.01 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 10:30PM (overnight)
SFO +102 vs atl (Bumgarner and Hanson listed); $98.04 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 3AM
KCR +153 at tex (Francis and Holland listed); $65.36 to win $100; Bet made at South Point at 3AM
MIN -110 vs cle (Duensing and Carmona listed); $110 to win $100; Bet made at Hilton at 8:30PM (overnight)
LAA +109 vs bos (Haren and Lester listed); $91.74 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 4:45AM

[albo gator]

Friday, April 22 results; 1-4; (-250.39)
YTD results: 12-16 (-114.58)

Saturday, April 23, 2011
MIL -160 vs hou (Marcum and Myers listed); $160 to win $100; Bet made at Palms Casino at 9PM (overnight)
MIN -114 vs cle (Duensing and Carmona listed); $114 to win $100; Bet made at 5Dimes at 2:30AM
DET +104 vs chw (Penny and Jackson listed); $96.15 to win $100; Bet made at Orleans Casino at 9:15PM (overnight)
BOS +110 at laa (Matsuzaka and Santana listed); $90.91 to win $100; Bet made at Orleans Casino at 9:15PM (overnight)
SEA +115 vs oak (Vargas and Cahill listed); $86.96 to win $100; Bet made at Hilton Casino at 8:30PM (overnight)

[albo gator]

Saturday, April 23 results; 3-2; +53.04
YTD results: 15-18 (-61.54)

Sunday, April 24, 2011
TEX -200 vs kcr (Wilson and Chen listed); $200 to win $100; Bet made at Sunset Station at 1AM
SEA +125 vs oak (Fister and Anderson listed); $80 to win $100; Bet made at Sunset Station at 1AM


*** going out of town for Easter so no Monday bets. back in action on Tuesday!!!

[albo gator]

Sunday, April 24, 2011 results; 1-1; +20
Monday, April 25, 2011 results; 0-0; 0
YTD results: 16-19 (-41.54)

Tuesday, April 25, 2011
HOU +123 vs stl (Norris and Garcia listed) $81.30 to win $100; all bets made at 4:30AM at 5Dimes
ARZ +120 vs phi (Hudson and Oswalt listed) $83.33 to win $100
DET +111 vs sea (Coke and Hernandez listed) $90.91 to win $100
KCR +145 at cle (Hochevar and Masterson listed) $68.96 to win $100
MIN -131 vs tbr (Liriano and Davis listed) $131 to win $100
LAA +108 vs oak (Chatwood and McCarthy listed) $92.59 to win $100

[albo gator]

Tuesday, April 25, 2011 results 3-2 +240.13
YTD results 19-21 +98.59

Wednesday, April 26, 2011
FLA -115 vs lad (Sanchez and Billingsley both listed); $115 to win $100; bet made at 7AM at 5Dimes
CHC +132 vs col (Coleman and Sanchez both listed); $75.76 to win $100; bet made at 2:30AM at 5Dimes
SDP +100 vs atl (Latos and Hanson both listed); $100 to win $100; bet made at 10:15PM at Sunset Station
ARZ +143 vs phi (Sanders and Hamels both listed); $69.99 to win $100; bet made at 1AM at 5Dimes
HOU +125 vs stl (Happ and Loshe both listed); $80 to win $100; bet made at 1AM at 5Dimes
BAL +143 vs bos (Guthrie and Beckett both listed); $69.99 to win $100; bet made at 1AM at 5Dimes
MIN -131 vs tbr (Liriano and Davis both listed); $131 to win $100; bet made at 10PM at 5Dimes

[albo gator]

Wednesday, April 26, 2011 results 1-5 (-395.99)
YTD results 20-26 (-297.40)

Thursday, April 27, 2011
HOU +130 vs stl (Figeroa and McClellan listed); $76.92 to win $100; bet made at 11PM at Sunset Station (overnight)
DET -108 vs sea (Penny and Pineda listed); $108 to win $100; bet made at 10:15PM at 5Dimes (overnight)
CHW +185 at nyy (Jackson and Sabathia listed); $54.05 to win $100; bet made at 10:40PM at 5Dimes (overnight)

[albo gator]

Thursday, April 27, 2011 results 0-3 (-238.97)
YTD 20-29 (-536.37)

Friday, April 28, 2011
HOU +128 vs mil (Myers and Marcum listed); $78.13 to win $100; bet made at Gold Coast at 11:30am
PIT +182 at col (Correia and Chaucin listed); $54.95 to win $100; bet made at Lucky's at 11:45am
KCR +100 vs min (Chen and Baker listed); $100 to win $100; bet made at Sunset Station at 12:15pm