BoDog Prop... Money Maker!!!

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  • Brp27345
    SBR MVP
    • 01-01-10
    • 3692
    #1
    BoDog Prop... Money Maker!!!
    I'm not sure if this prop is available at other books... or just at BoDog... but it is new to me... and seems like a prop that SHOULD be immensely profitable over an extended period of time...

    They are offering lines like this now in BoDog prop book...

    Who will record a win in the game?

    Pavano (+125)
    Shields (EVEN)
    Other Pitcher (+325)

    I would say on average other pitcher pays around +250...

    And unless I am way wrong on this... more than 1/4 of MLB games end up with a reliever getting the win...

    If anyone has anything to definitely prove me wrong please let me know... but anyway... I am going to start keeping track tonight... and maybe do some back testing over the start of the season for pure percentages...
    Tags: None
    • Brp27345
      SBR MVP
      • 01-01-10
      • 3692
      #2
      Plays tonight... 4/14/11... (All lines for pitcher other than starter getting the WIN)

      MIN/TB +325
      BAL/NYY +225
      PHI/WAS +250
      MIL/PIT +225
      FLA/ATL +250
      SD/HOU +225
      SEA/KC +275
      DET/OAK +250
      STL/LAD +310
        Comment
        • stc9357
          Restricted User
          • 04-18-10
          • 2005
          #3
          Originally posted by Brp27345
          Plays tonight... 4/14/11... (All lines for pitcher other than starter getting the WIN) MIN/TB +325 BAL/NYY +225 PHI/WAS +250 MIL/PIT +225 FLA/ATL +250 SD/HOU +225 SEA/KC +275 DET/OAK +250 STL/LAD +310
          Does seem profitable might have to throw some cash back in Bodog if it proves to be legit.
            Comment
            • yisman
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-01-08
              • 75682
              #4
              I'll go along as well, but why are you willing to pay the lower price on some games? Shouldn't you target the ones with about +300?
              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
              [/quote]

              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                Comment
                • Brp27345
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-01-10
                  • 3692
                  #5
                  Relief Pitchers Getting Wins Bets (Units made is considering +250 price... 1 unit per bet)

                   Overall - +22.5 Units (Estimation) ... but pretty damn good!!!

                  4/13 - (5-9) +3.5 Units
                  4/12 - (5-7) +5.5 Units
                  4/11 - (3-7) +0.5 Units
                  4/10 - (4-11) -1.0 Units
                  4/9 - (4-13) -3.0 Units
                  4/8 - (4-9) +1.0 Units
                  4/7 - (4-6) +4.0 Units
                  4/6 - (5-8) +4.5 Units
                  4/5 - (6-8) +7.0 Units
                  4/4 - (1-5) -2.5 Units
                  4/3 - (2-12) -7.0 Units
                  4/2 - (5-10) +2.5 Units
                  4/1 - (4-7) +3.0 Units
                  3/31 - (3-3) +4.5 Units
                    Comment
                    • Brp27345
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-01-10
                      • 3692
                      #6
                      Originally posted by yisman
                      I'll go along as well, but why are you willing to pay the lower price on some games? Shouldn't you target the ones with about +300?
                      well I'm thinking the lines are higher for a reason... slimming down on something like that would to me be something that would be done after the higher lines prove to more profitable... ya know...
                        Comment
                        • yisman
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-01-08
                          • 75682
                          #7
                          Yes, there's reasoning behind the lines being higher/lower, but you didn't factor that in in this first post.

                          I bet any other on Yankees and Cards games.
                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                          [/quote]

                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                            Comment
                            • linedrivr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-04-10
                              • 2223
                              #8
                              looks like an interesting prop.
                                Comment
                                • Brp27345
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-01-10
                                  • 3692
                                  #9
                                  Originally posted by yisman
                                  Yes, there's reasoning behind the lines being higher/lower, but you didn't factor that in in this first post. I bet any other on Yankees and Cards games.
                                  true... but the LOWEST number on the board today was +225... and with back testing I put in +250... I would think that would be fair...

                                  EVEN if ALL 55 wins using this for the year were ALL at +225... it would still be up 9 Units... and of course some of those +300's had to have come in so far... and a bunch at the +250 and +275 level as well I would think...
                                    Comment
                                    • Brp27345
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-01-10
                                      • 3692
                                      #10
                                      FLA/ATL +250 CASH IT!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Brp27345
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-01-10
                                          • 3692
                                          #11
                                          1 down 2 to go for a profitable night!
                                            Comment
                                            • Brp27345
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-01-10
                                              • 3692
                                              #12
                                              MIN/TB +325 CASH IT!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • Brp27345
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-01-10
                                                  • 3692
                                                  #13
                                                  2 down 1 to go for a winning night!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Brp27345
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-01-10
                                                      • 3692
                                                      #14
                                                      BAL/NYY +225 CASH IT!!!

                                                      Winning night with some games still open!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Brp27345
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-01-10
                                                          • 3692
                                                          #15
                                                          Results so far... (3-5-1) (+3.0 Units)

                                                          Plays tonight... 4/14/11...                                                           (All lines for pitcher other than starter getting the WIN)

                                                          MIN/TB +325
                                                          BAL/NYY +225
                                                          PHI/WAS +250
                                                          MIL/PIT +225
                                                          FLA/ATL +250
                                                          SD/HOU +225
                                                          SEA/KC +275 (games must go 8.5 innings with these bets... so this ones no action)
                                                          DET/OAK +250
                                                          STL/LAD +310
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheJames
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-05-11
                                                              • 234
                                                              #16
                                                              Looks really interesting. I'll try it out tomorrow
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Brp27345
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-01-10
                                                                  • 3692
                                                                  #17
                                                                  Pads were 90 feet away from tying it up in the 8th with 1 out... and got thrown out at home... would have made the bet a winner...

                                                                  So frustrating... they better get it done in the 9th!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Brp27345
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-01-10
                                                                      • 3692
                                                                      #18
                                                                      Overall - (3-5-1) +3.0 Units

                                                                      4/14/11 - (3-5-1) +3.0 Units
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        • TheJames
                                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                                          • 02-05-11
                                                                          • 234
                                                                          #19
                                                                          When do the prop bets show up? And hour or two before game starts?
                                                                            Comment
                                                                            • johnkreese
                                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                                              • 03-22-11
                                                                              • 24
                                                                              #20
                                                                              TO be profitable on this at 1/4 games being decided by a reliever, the average line would need to be +300.
                                                                                Comment
                                                                                • BernardMadoff
                                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                  • 12-12-09
                                                                                  • 6679
                                                                                  #21
                                                                                  I dont see these props on bodog.
                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                    • MexicanStallion
                                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                                      • 09-08-08
                                                                                      • 20429
                                                                                      #22
                                                                                      Did you give up on your parlay system?
                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                        • playr101
                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                          • 01-16-10
                                                                                          • 2029
                                                                                          #23
                                                                                          interesting..

                                                                                          -playr101
                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                            • yisman
                                                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                              • 09-01-08
                                                                                              • 75682
                                                                                              #24
                                                                                              Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                                                                              I dont see these props on bodog.
                                                                                              http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/mlb-baseball-player-props.jsp
                                                                                              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                                              [/quote]

                                                                                              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                • Brp27345
                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                  • 01-01-10
                                                                                                  • 3692
                                                                                                  #25
                                                                                                  Plays tonight... 4/15/11... (All lines for pitcher other than starter getting the WIN)

                                                                                                  BAL/CLE +275
                                                                                                  TEX/NYY +300
                                                                                                  MIL/WAS +200
                                                                                                  FLA/PHI +350
                                                                                                  TOR/BOS +310
                                                                                                  PIT/CIN +325
                                                                                                  MIN/TB +350
                                                                                                  NYM/ATL +230
                                                                                                  SD/HOU +325
                                                                                                  LAA/CWS +300
                                                                                                  SEA/KC +300
                                                                                                  CHC/COL +215
                                                                                                  SF/ARI +325
                                                                                                  OAK/DET +310
                                                                                                  STL/LAD +275
                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                    • TheJames
                                                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                                                      • 02-05-11
                                                                                                      • 234
                                                                                                      #26
                                                                                                      Originally posted by Brp27345
                                                                                                      Plays tonight... 4/15/11... (All lines for pitcher other than starter getting the WIN)

                                                                                                      BAL/CLE +275
                                                                                                      TEX/NYY +300
                                                                                                      MIL/WAS +200
                                                                                                      FLA/PHI +350
                                                                                                      TOR/BOS +310
                                                                                                      PIT/CIN +325
                                                                                                      MIN/TB +350
                                                                                                      NYM/ATL +230
                                                                                                      SD/HOU +325
                                                                                                      LAA/CWS +300
                                                                                                      SEA/KC +300
                                                                                                      CHC/COL +215
                                                                                                      SF/ARI +325
                                                                                                      OAK/DET +310
                                                                                                      STL/LAD +275

                                                                                                      I'm playing these tonight
                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                        • playr101
                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                          • 01-16-10
                                                                                                          • 2029
                                                                                                          #27
                                                                                                          gl tonight..

                                                                                                          -playr101
                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                            • playr101
                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                              • 01-16-10
                                                                                                              • 2029
                                                                                                              #28
                                                                                                              so today went 3-11-1 ???
                                                                                                              -5 units??

                                                                                                              am I tracking this right... want to make sure..
                                                                                                              seems interesting

                                                                                                              -playr101
                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                • TheJames
                                                                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                  • 02-05-11
                                                                                                                  • 234
                                                                                                                  #29
                                                                                                                  I went -3 units today on this
                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                    • playr101
                                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                                      • 01-16-10
                                                                                                                      • 2029
                                                                                                                      #30
                                                                                                                      ok..
                                                                                                                      is there a quick site to show who the starter was for each game and who got the win?

                                                                                                                      -playr101
                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                        • ttratter
                                                                                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                          • 01-25-10
                                                                                                                          • 109
                                                                                                                          #31
                                                                                                                          sbr odds should tell you quick after game is over.
                                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                                            • Toples
                                                                                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                                                                                              • 12-18-07
                                                                                                                              • 275
                                                                                                                              #32
                                                                                                                              now this is interesting prop
                                                                                                                              but has nothing to do with capping skill, but pure luck
                                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                                • Brp27345
                                                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                  • 01-01-10
                                                                                                                                  • 3692
                                                                                                                                  #33
                                                                                                                                  Results (3-11) (-2.4 Units)

                                                                                                                                  BAL/CLE +275
                                                                                                                                  TEX/NYY +300
                                                                                                                                  MIL/WAS +200
                                                                                                                                  FLA/PHI +350
                                                                                                                                  TOR/BOS +310
                                                                                                                                  PIT/CIN +325
                                                                                                                                  MIN/TB +350
                                                                                                                                  NYM/ATL +230
                                                                                                                                  SD/HOU +325
                                                                                                                                  LAA/CWS +300
                                                                                                                                  SEA/KC +300
                                                                                                                                  CHC/COL +215
                                                                                                                                  SF/ARI +325
                                                                                                                                  OAK/DET +310
                                                                                                                                  STL/LAD +275
                                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                                    • Brp27345
                                                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                      • 01-01-10
                                                                                                                                      • 3692
                                                                                                                                      #34
                                                                                                                                      there in lies the beauty... a 3 and 11 day... and we lose less than 3 Units... and that was also only the 5th losing day of the year thus far... let's go terrible BULLPENS today!!!
                                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                                        • Brp27345
                                                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                          • 01-01-10
                                                                                                                                          • 3692
                                                                                                                                          #35
                                                                                                                                          Overall - (61-131) +23.1 Units (Estimation)
                                                                                                                                          Overall - (6-16-1) +0.6 Units

                                                                                                                                          Early Season (55-115) - +22.5 Units (Estimation)
                                                                                                                                          4/14/11 - (3-5-1) +3.0 Units
                                                                                                                                          4/15/11 - (3-11) -2.4 Units
                                                                                                                                            Comment
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