Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 5/15/08

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 5/15/08
    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    There are some simply AMAZING records at the top of the standings. Great going guys!


    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    shantystar 	9	2	10.34
    bbyhill      	9	3	8.98
    Wrigley     	8	4	7.17
    soli        	8	5	6.21
    fifawcs    	8	5	6.04
    mr. leisure 	8	5	5.05
    Cabo        	6	3	4.80
    MOONCRICKET	6	5	3.41
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    pats3peat 	4	3	2.90
    Sportsgirl	6	5	2.70
    wtt0315    	4	3	2.52
    SexyMit     	4	3	2.35
    TexAg001   	4	3	2.20
    Checkerboard	5	6	2.19
    Shooter    	5	4	2.16
    stevek173 	3	2	2.16
    szaidi99    	5	4	1.93
    pimike        	1	0	1.53
    indy62      	4	4	1.37
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    sharktank1  	6	8	1.13
    billmunny   	5	5	1.06
    dog       	5	6	1.05
    juuso      	6	7	1.01
    Pigpen     	2	2	0.26
    THE HITMAN	5	6	0.20
    diogee    	4	5	0.06
    brock      	5	7	-0.17
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    greg66     	2	3	-0.51
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    louisvillekid  	6	8	-0.64
    EaglesPhan36	5	7	-0.69
    MonkeyF0cker	4	6	-0.75
    marley33   	1	2	-0.77
    regularguy  	4	6	-0.84
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    Bills Hooligan	3	5	-0.93
    oakas      	6	8	-1.00
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    LB         	2	4	-1.16
    Meestermike	3	5	-1.20
    rjt721      	3	5	-1.21
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    elguason  	2	4	-1.42
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    msubulldog	1	3	-1.89
    HedgeHog   	5	8	-1.92
    GoHeels12	4	8	-1.96
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    Kaps       	2	5	-2.14
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    mundane   	3	6	-2.24
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    rake922      	5	9	-2.47
    Microphone	2	5	-2.49
    rm18        	1	4	-2.55
    20Four7     	2	5	-2.63
    ChuteBoxe  	2	5	-2.68
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    sportsfun   	3	7	-3.03
    doye      	3	7	-3.06
    luciano    	4	8	-3.27
    chipski      	2	6	-3.58
    element1286	2	6	-3.72
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    junkman773	2	7	-4.32
    Bshark    	2	7	-4.70
    trytrytry   	1	6	-4.73
    mbr 18      	0	5	-5.00
    Junkyard Dog	3	11	-6.53
    LT Profits	3	11	-6.90
    Mr KLC      	0	7	-7.00
    pokernut9999	2	10	-7.12
    treece     	1	11	-9.77
    Comment
    • chipski
      SBR MVP
      • 11-16-07
      • 1745

      #3
      rockies +145
      rocks come to play , webbs perfection ends .rocks are 7 - 1 when cook starts . cook is a great starter as well and will be up for this game as much as any all year and so will the whole rocks team .
      going against the looks ez on paper ..
      Comment
      • ChuteBoxe
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-21-07
        • 6885

        #4
        Athletics +137

        I look for the Athletics to avoid the sweep in Cleveland today. Both teams struggle against LHP, but the Athletics are the better day game team, both as far as hitting and starting pitching is concerned. It also definitely helps that the A's have the better bullpen.
        Comment
        • diogee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-11-08
          • 19477

          #5
          Oakland + posted #:
          Oakland is the slightly better hitting team and has the 2nd ranked bullpen in the game. Laffey has been lights out his last 2 games but I expect Oakland to get at least a few out of him while trying to avoid the sweep.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            OK guys, I am traveling this morning so I need to get the lines up early. So it could be a field day for all stale line players.


            Thu 5/15 951 Los Angeles Dodgers Billingsley +119
            1:05PM (EST) 952 Milwaukee Brewers

            Thu 5/15 953 Washington Nationals +156
            1:10PM (EST) 954 New York Mets

            Thu 5/15 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +114
            1:15PM (EST) 956 St Louis Cardinals

            Thu 5/15 959 Houston Astros +127
            3:45PM (EST) 960 San Francisco Giants

            Thu 5/15 961 Atlanta Braves +158
            7:05PM (EST) 962 Philadelphia Phillies

            Thu 5/15 965 Colorado Rockies +148
            9:40PM (EST) 966 Arizona Diamondbacks

            Thu 5/15 967 Oakland Athletics +136
            12:05PM (EST) 968 Cleveland Indians

            Thu 5/15 973 New York Yankees +133
            4:10PM (EST) 974 Tampa Bay Rays
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              ATHLETICS +136: I am aware that Cleveland’s Aaron Laffey has not allowed an earned run in his last two starts, covering 14 innings, and that the Indians starting pitchers have now tossed an unbelievable 43.1 consecutive scoreless innings. However, all of that is built in to this inflated line, and as great as Laffey has been, this line gives too much respect to someone that has made just three starts this year. Besides, when Oakland’s Greg Smith allowed four runs at Texas in his last start, it snapped an impressive streak of six consecutive starts by Smith of allowing three earned runs or less to start the season. He is facing a Cleveland lineup here that is batting a pathetic .203 over the last 10 games, and Oakland has the far superior bullpen between these two teams, leading the American League with a bullpen ERA of 2.95. If the A’s could scratch out some runs vs. Laffey here, and that incredible scoreless streak by Cleveland starters has to end eventually, I'll take my chances with Smith and the Oakland pen at a nice price.
              Comment
              • stevek173
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-29-08
                • 27598

                #8
                Im gonna join the consencus gere and take the A's (+136) as well. Good lineup compared to a cold Tribe lineup (WTF is up w/ Hafner he is killing my fantasy team!), great BP, and a tight pitching matchup. Book it.
                Comment
                • HedgeHog
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-11-07
                  • 10128

                  #9
                  Wash +156

                  Mets are vulnerable with Pelfrey on the mound. He's lost his last 3 with a 6.61 ERA.
                  Comment
                  • shantystar
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-13-05
                    • 7299

                    #10
                    Thu 5/15 953 Washington Nationals +156 ,so far confirmed only.
                    Comment
                    • fifawcs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-14-07
                      • 2888

                      #11
                      Astros +127
                      While Chris Sampson's ERA has been less than stellar this year, his road era is a mere 3.24. Besides, how often do you get plus money on an offensive team like the Astros against arguably the worst team in baseball?
                      Comment
                      • oakas
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-17-07
                        • 1464

                        #12
                        Oakland Athletics +136

                        Have to take my A's here. I know Oakland does not hit lefties very well,but they are going to play hard to avoid the sweep. I also like the rookie Smith for the A's.
                        Comment
                        • indy62
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-21-07
                          • 321

                          #13
                          New York Yankees +133 as i took the yanks as a road dog yesterday, and hit iwill take them again as they are even a nicer price and im not buying into the great rays just yet
                          Comment
                          • Junkyard Dog
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-12-07
                            • 4552

                            #14
                            953 Washington Nationals +156 - the nats have had the mets number on the road
                            Comment
                            • mbr_18
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 03-24-07
                              • 119

                              #15
                              Atlanta Braves +158
                              like braves bats to stay hot.
                              Comment
                              • billmunny
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-24-08
                                • 459

                                #16
                                I'd pass on today's card, but I've had a few too many days of late with no action in here so my pick is...

                                959 Houston Astros +127

                                Sampson pitched a hell of a game in his last outing, and he's been good against the Giants in the past-- an ERA of 1.50 v Lincecum's 1.20 against the 'stros.

                                I look for this game to be lost by a bullpen-- and SF is in worse shape there, especially considering Houston's better offensive power.
                                Comment
                                • Wrigley
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-28-07
                                  • 7268

                                  #17
                                  953 Washington Nationals +156
                                  both starting pitchers have era over 6.5 in last 3 , so this is a good value play worth taking a shot at
                                  Comment
                                  • junkman773
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-04-08
                                    • 1316

                                    #18
                                    676 Oak +136

                                    Look for A's not to be swept 3-1 on Thurs., 9-5 on day games and top bull pen era

                                    Cleve 12-16 after shut out and 5-8 day games

                                    Oak is the play
                                    Comment
                                    • pimike
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-23-08
                                      • 37139

                                      #19
                                      Dido A's +137 5 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Cabo
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-07-06
                                        • 5273

                                        #20
                                        New York Yankees +133

                                        Don't like today's card so much, so just taking a shot with the Yanks!
                                        Comment
                                        • Microphone
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-08-08
                                          • 2950

                                          #21
                                          951 LA Dodgers +119

                                          Simple math:
                                          Dodgers losing streak ends + Brewers miserable pen=WIN

                                          At a great price.
                                          Comment
                                          • LB
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 05-07-08
                                            • 68

                                            #22
                                            Astros +127

                                            Don't feel that good about today's card either, Lincecum is good, but if sampson stays in there, stros can pull this one off in the long run
                                            Comment
                                            • mundane
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-25-08
                                              • 3592

                                              #23
                                              Colorado Rockies +148
                                              Rockies are 7-0 in Cooks last 7 starts.
                                              Comment
                                              • MOONCRICKET
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-23-07
                                                • 239

                                                #24
                                                LA Dodgers +119:Play Against
                                                Any team (MILWAUKEE)
                                                with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.550 to 1.650 on the season-NL

                                                179-117 since 1997.
                                                60.5% (63.4 units)
                                                Comment
                                                • THE HITMAN
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-16-07
                                                  • 2393

                                                  #25
                                                  Tampa has walloped the Red Sox, stuck it to the Yanks on Tuesday night and they are playing considerably better than the Yankees can even dream about right now. And their ace Kazmir is on the mound for them today.
                                                  Pick: YANKEES + 133
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TexAg001
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 05-15-06
                                                    • 168

                                                    #26
                                                    Thu 5/15 973 New York Yankees +133

                                                    Not much to pick from today in my opinion. Kennedy hasnt been to good but the payroll difference in theese two teams leads me to take the yankess as a dog.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doye
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 03-28-08
                                                      • 34

                                                      #27
                                                      965 Colorado Rockies +148

                                                      The Rockies have dropped four straight games and have lost seven of the eight meetings this season but if there is a game that they can take, this is the one. Note that the one victory that Colorado has in this series this year was with Aaron Cook on the hill. Despite not scoring many runs of late, the potential is there for the Rockies as they have hit a solid .296 over their last 10 games.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • louisvillekid
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-14-07
                                                        • 9262

                                                        #28
                                                        #959 Hou +127 : this is just a gut play on Hou., they are supposed to rest some key players and the betting is heavy on S.F., so that means the Stro's come through, or so i hope.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • juuso
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-04-05
                                                          • 2896

                                                          #29
                                                          961 Atlanta Braves +158

                                                          While Hamels is great, James is not totally bad and Atlanta has at leat equal lineup. If Hamels is not 100% on, this might be much tighter than the odds suggest.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • elguason
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 05-09-08
                                                            • 44

                                                            #30
                                                            Thu 5/15 965 Colorado Rockies +148
                                                            9:40PM (EST) 966 Arizona Diamondbacks

                                                            Some day Brandon Webb, I believe this day is today.

                                                            Cook won his sixth straight game on Friday night against the Padres.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • regularguy
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-12-07
                                                              • 781

                                                              #31
                                                              Colorado Rockies +148

                                                              Rockies came close last night. I think there is a decent chance they can get this one. Cook has been awesome; he's a pitcher who could beat Webb. Looks worth a play, on a day when it's tough for me to find a dog I like much.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GoHeels12
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 12-11-07
                                                                • 33

                                                                #32
                                                                Houston +127: Sampson has done pretty well vs SF and Houston may be able to get a couple off Lincecum, should be low scoring
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pokernut9999
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-25-07
                                                                  • 12757

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Colo +148 : will ride the Rockies one more time.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SexyMit
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-12-06
                                                                    • 6139

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Rockies +148

                                                                    Can Brandon Webb go 9-0? I think he gets a loss tonight no one can be perfect forever. Cook is 6-1 he is almost perfect this year. Both ERA'S are almost the same Cooks is a little better should be a good game. Colorado avoids the sweep tonight with Cook already getting a win against the Diamondbacks this yr lets make it 2.
                                                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bbyhill
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-16-07
                                                                      • 2991

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Thu 5/15 959 Houston Astros +127
                                                                      Stros are 5-2 their last 7 and SF is only 3-4.Stros are 2-1 against SF this season
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...