Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Tuesday, 5/13/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Tuesday, 5/13/08
    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.

    Last day to enter contest and be eligible for prizes is May 12.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Big props to bbyhill, shantystar and Wrigley for all being at 70% or better to this point, which is obviuously extremely difficult to do in an UNDERDOG contest!


    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    bbyhill      	8	2	8.73
    shantystar 	7	2	7.76
    Wrigley     	7	3	6.99
    soli        	7	4	5.95
    fifawcs    	7	4	5.52
    Cabo        	5	2	4.52
    dog       	5	4	3.31
    stevek173 	3	1	3.16
    sharktank1  	6	6	3.13
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    juuso      	6	5	3.01
    mr. leisure 	6	5	2.68
    wtt0315    	4	3	2.52
    pats3peat 	3	2	2.50
    TexAg001   	3	2	2.08
    diogee    	4	3	2.06
    Checkerboard	4	5	1.94
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    THE HITMAN	5	5	1.20
    SexyMit     	3	3	1.17
    LB         	2	2	0.84
    MOONCRICKET	4	5	0.76
    elguason  	2	2	0.58
    greg66     	2	2	0.49
    Sportsgirl	4	5	0.33
    marley33   	1	1	0.23
    Pigpen     	1	1	0.14
    HedgeHog   	5	6	0.08
    Bills Hooligan	3	4	0.07
    billmunny   	4	5	-0.12
    Kaps       	2	3	-0.14
    rake922      	5	7	-0.21
    rjt721      	3	4	-0.21
    Shooter    	3	4	-0.22
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    brock      	4	6	-0.57
    szaidi99    	3	4	-0.60
    EaglesPhan36	5	7	-0.69
    louisvillekid  	5	7	-0.76
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    regularguy  	3	5	-0.96
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    oakas      	5	7	-1.12
    Meestermike	3	5	-1.20
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    indy62      	2	4	-1.34
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    rm18        	1	3	-1.55
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    20Four7     	2	4	-1.63
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    element1286	2	4	-1.72
    msubulldog	1	3	-1.89
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    GoHeels12	3	7	-2.36
    mundane   	2	5	-2.42
    Bshark    	2	5	-2.70
    trytrytry   	1	4	-2.73
    Microphone	1	4	-2.74
    ChuteBoxe  	1	4	-2.86
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    mbr 18      	0	3	-3.00
    junkman773	2	6	-3.32
    MonkeyF0cker	2	6	-3.55
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    chipski      	1	5	-3.84
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    doye      	2	7	-4.18
    sportsfun   	2	7	-4.21
    luciano    	3	8	-4.52
    LT Profits	3	9	-4.90
    Mr KLC      	0	5	-5.00
    Junkyard Dog	2	10	-6.79
    pokernut9999	1	9	-7.65
    treece     	1	10	-8.77
    Comment
    • shantystar
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-13-05
      • 7299

      #3
      pittsburg +147,nice team to combat here.
      Comment
      • junkman773
        Restricted User
        • 02-04-08
        • 1316

        #4
        955 Flo +140
        Flo 19-11 in nights games
        18-10 vs right handers
        10-4 off a loss

        Cinn 1-4 on Tues.
        4-8 vs left handers

        Play is Flo+
        Comment
        • fifawcs
          SBR MVP
          • 05-14-07
          • 2888

          #5
          Orioles +148

          Guthrie is the Orioles ace. Orioles are 10-5 in their last 15 home games. +148 is great value for a home ace.
          Comment
          • Bshark
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-18-07
            • 956

            #6
            Florida

            Hendrikson has pitched well, so has Volquez, but I'm hoping it's decided by the bullpens. The Reds are also 4-8 versus lefties.
            Comment
            • juuso
              SBR MVP
              • 10-04-05
              • 2896

              #7
              951 Atlanta Braves

              Even though Atlanta played a doubleheader yesterday and haven't had much success on the road early in the season, they didn't use much of their better bullpen pieces and they are still the better hitting lineup here. Phillies hitting are slightly overrated for playing half of their games at their ridiculous home park and Kyle Kendrick is a retty weak pitcher. He doesn't walk much batters but his hits allowed numbers are pretty high which might be costly against power bats of Atlanta. Jo Jo Reys has only pitched a little this season, but overall looked decent. I Think the odds should be close to even here and there's probably decent value with the Braves.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Tue 5/13 951 Atlanta Braves +125
                7:05PM (EST) 952 Philadelphia Phillies

                Tue 5/13 953 Washington Nationals +180
                7:10PM (EST) 954 New York Mets

                Tue 5/13 955 Florida Marlins +150
                7:10PM (EST) 956 Cincinnati Reds

                Tue 5/13 957 San Diego Padres +153
                8:05PM (EST) 958 Chicago Cubs

                Tue 5/13 961 Pittsburgh Pirates +140
                8:15PM (EST) 962 St Louis Cardinals

                Tue 5/13 963 Colorado Rockies +120
                9:40PM (EST) 964 Arizona Diamondbacks

                Tue 5/13 965 Houston Astros +114
                10:15PM (EST) 966 San Francisco Giants

                Tue 5/13 967 Boston Red Sox
                7:05PM (EST) 968 Baltimore Orioles +152

                Tue 5/13 971 New York Yankees
                7:10PM (EST) 972 Tampa Bay Rays +128

                Tue 5/13 973 Seattle Mariners
                8:05PM (EST) 974 Texas Rangers +112

                Tue 5/13 975 Detroit Tigers +115
                8:10PM (EST) 976 Kansas City Royals

                Tue 5/13 979 Chicago White Sox +116
                10:05PM (EST) 980 Los Angeles Angels
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  MARLINS +150: Yes, Volquez is 5-1 with a 1.06 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP overall, and he has yet to allow more than two runs in a game. However, while he did toss seven scoreless innings at the Chicago Cubs in his last start with 10 strikeouts, he did also walk six batters, resulting in a season high 118 pitches thrown. Thus, it would not be inconceivable for Volquez to be slightly off of his game tonight, and given the struggles of the Cincinnati offense this season (last night notwithstanding), and less than perfect outing may not result in a Reds win. This is because Florida starter Mark Hendrickson is also off to a fine start at 5-1 with a 3.56 ERA, and his fine WHIP of 1.25 is on par with Volquez. Hendrickson has now gone seven consecutive starts without allowing more than three earned runs, and even if he is in need of support, the Marlins are currently tied for third in the Major Leagues with a bullpen ERA of 3.18, making them a Bullpen System play in this spot.
                  Comment
                  • Skudrulacis
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 05-06-08
                    • 5

                    #10
                    Originally posted by shantystar
                    pittsburg +147,nice team to combat here.
                    sure
                    Comment
                    • chipski
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-16-07
                      • 1745

                      #11
                      rockies +120
                      francis to shut em dowm . big unit to give up 4 and bullpen give up 1 .
                      5 - 4 rockies win
                      Comment
                      • Sportsgirl
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-10-06
                        • 4493

                        #12
                        974 Texas Rangers +112

                        Gabbard took the 5-0 win off Seattle during his last outting. Also, while Seattle is 2-10 in May, the Rangers are 9-3.
                        Comment
                        • trytrytry
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-13-06
                          • 23649

                          #13
                          rockies +120
                          better starting pitcher in this one 5-3 final for Colorado
                          Comment
                          • louisvillekid
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-14-07
                            • 9262

                            #14
                            #974 Tex +112 : backin the home dog, in L7 days Tex has scored about twice as many runs as Sea.
                            Comment
                            • TexAg001
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 05-15-06
                              • 168

                              #15
                              8:05PM (EST) 974 Texas Rangers +112

                              I love home underdogs. And this is the thrid time the rangers are seeing King Felix in a short period.
                              Comment
                              • Hellerud
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-10-08
                                • 179

                                #16
                                Florida +145
                                Comment
                                • mbr_18
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 03-24-07
                                  • 119

                                  #17
                                  Washington Nationals +180 Lannan only gave up 3 hits, 0 BB & 1 ER on 6 innings the last time he faced this line-up. I'll take the big number.
                                  Comment
                                  • HedgeHog
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-11-07
                                    • 10128

                                    #18
                                    Chi-Sox +116

                                    Whitesox are an enhanced BP Play. They rank in the top 10, while the Angels have the 2nd worst.
                                    Comment
                                    • bbyhill
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-16-07
                                      • 2991

                                      #19
                                      Tue 5/13 965 Houston Astros +114
                                      Astros are 13-8 after a win and SF is 2-5 in last 7.
                                      Comment
                                      • element1286
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 02-25-08
                                        • 3370

                                        #20
                                        Atlanta:

                                        Braves will continue good hitting from the doubleheader.
                                        Comment
                                        • doye
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 03-28-08
                                          • 34

                                          #21
                                          974 Texas Rangers +112

                                          The Mariners are in a major skid right now and they just cannot seem to be able to turn the corner. Seattle has dropped 11 of its last 13 games and 15 of its last 19 as both the offense and the pitching is causing the problems. The bats have mustered two runs or fewer in eight of the last 12 games and the Mariners have averaged a mere 3.5 rpg over their last 23 games. The pitching has not been quite as bad but it has allowed five runs or more in seven of the last 13 games. So...go for Texas Rangers!
                                          Comment
                                          • Cabo
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-07-06
                                            • 5273

                                            #22
                                            972 Tampa Bay Rays +128

                                            Rays seem to play well against the Yanks
                                            Comment
                                            • Pigpen
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-09-08
                                              • 2752

                                              #23
                                              8:05PM (EST) 974 Texas Rangers +112

                                              The Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 games while Seattle comes in 2-8 in their last 10.

                                              Gabbard (Texas starting pitcher) carries an era of 1.85 on the year.
                                              Comment
                                              • rm18
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-20-05
                                                • 22291

                                                #24
                                                Washington +180

                                                Lannan is having a great year except for getting rocked by the Pirates thrwoing his stats off. Pitched well against Mets but Nats couldn't score last matchup.
                                                Comment
                                                • Junkyard Dog
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-12-07
                                                  • 4552

                                                  #25
                                                  955 Florida Marlins +150 - one of the hottest teams in baseball
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LB
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 05-07-08
                                                    • 68

                                                    #26
                                                    Marlins +150

                                                    Marlins can put up runs and Cincinatti struggles to, looking for Florida to avenge a loss and come up with the win
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dog
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-08-05
                                                      • 1738

                                                      #27
                                                      953 Washington Nationals +180

                                                      Nationals are a streaky team, they just won and I expect they'll string together another win or two. Lannan is worth it at this price since Washington allowed only 3 runs vs NY his other start against them.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SexyMit
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-12-06
                                                        • 6139

                                                        #28
                                                        LT I hit the Pittsburgh game 1 yesterday and didn't get graded? Should be 4-3 +2.40
                                                        If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                        I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wrigley
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-28-07
                                                          • 7268

                                                          #29
                                                          951 Atlanta Braves +125
                                                          Reyes has a 2.23 ERA last 3 games
                                                          Comment
                                                          • elguason
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 05-09-08
                                                            • 44

                                                            #30
                                                            Tue 5/13 975 Detroit Tigers +115
                                                            8:10PM (EST) 976 Kansas City Royals

                                                            Tigers have to win early if they want win Central AL.

                                                            Nate Robertson if he can repeat the last five innings of his victory over the Yankees from May 1, he'd be pretty happy, considering he gave up a three-run home run to Bobby Abreu three batters into his outing that night.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mr KLC
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 12-19-07
                                                              • 31097

                                                              #31
                                                              Houston Astros +114

                                                              Back's career ERA against SF is 2.03, and that's with Bonds on their roster. Houston's hot.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GoHeels12
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 12-11-07
                                                                • 33

                                                                #32
                                                                Detroit +115: KC offense isn't very good and they won't score enough to get Greinke the win he'll deserve
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mr. leisure
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-08
                                                                  • 17507

                                                                  #33
                                                                  texas +112

                                                                  gabbard looked good last time out and henandez has lost his last 3 starts.gimme the home dog
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • regularguy
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-12-07
                                                                    • 781

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Rangers +112

                                                                    The Rangers are in much better spirits than the Mariners right now. Gabbard has been throwing well, and he has been very consistent. Hernandez has some serious stuff of course, but has been struggling with his control and has been giving up runs. Gabbard was ahead of the Mariners 4-0 when the brawl started in the fourth inning in a game between these teams in Seattle last week. I like Gabbard's chances to get the W in this one, at home, without having to scuff up his knuckles.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mundane
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-25-08
                                                                      • 3592

                                                                      #35
                                                                      955 Florida Marlins +150
                                                                      Marlins are 6-1 in Hendricksons last 7 starts.
                                                                      Comment
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