X-Stud Baseball pick thread

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  • xstud
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-08
    • 1643

    #1
    X-Stud Baseball pick thread
    If you followed my 5-5-08 thread my record is as follows

    7-1 straight
    0-1 parlay


    5-8-08 picks

    1 unit Astros -125
    1 unit orioles -112
    1 unit Mariners -1.5 RL
    1 unit Astros/Nats under 9.5


    Good luck to those that follow!
  • xstud
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-08
    • 1643

    #2
    Bad Day

    So baltimore pulled through the rest failed.

    -3 units for the day.

    Overall so far

    8-4 straight bets

    0-1 parlays

    +4.5 YTD

    Todays picks....

    .5 unit Pittsburgh -1.5 RL +170
    .5 unit Mets -1.5 RL +135
    1 unit Marlins +120
    1 unit Yankees +128
    1 unit Indians -119
    1 unit Red Sox -1.5RL +138

    Gl to those that follow... hope to cash big!
    Comment
    • xstud
      SBR MVP
      • 01-12-08
      • 1643

      #3
      decent shot parlay

      Your wager has been accepted.
      Date Time / Reference Description

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Risking $50.00 To Win $1,331.36 USD

      Ticket #20300455

      Selection #1
      5/9/2008 7:10 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB
      Wager Type:Parlay - FREE PLAY
      New York Mets
      Money Line -149 for Game
      M Belisle -R - Action M Pelfrey -R - Action

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Selection #2
      5/9/2008 10:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB
      Wager Type:Parlay
      Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres
      Total Points OVER 6½ -115 for Game
      A Cook -R must Start J Peavy -R must Start

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Selection #3
      5/9/2008 10:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB
      Wager Type:Parlay
      San Diego Padres
      Money Line -144 for Game
      A Cook -R - Action J Peavy -R - Action

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Selection #4
      5/9/2008 10:40 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB
      Wager Type:Parlay
      Los Angeles Dodgers
      Money Line -187 for Game
      B Moehler -R - Action D Lowe -R - Action

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Selection #5
      5/9/2008 7:05 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB
      Wager Type:Parlay
      Cleveland Indians
      Money Line -117 for Game
      R Halladay -R - Action C Sabathia -L - Action

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Selection #6
      5/9/2008 8:10 PM - (EST) Baseball MLB
      Wager Type:Parlay
      Boston Red Sox
      Money Line -120 for Game
      J Lester -L - Action B Bonser -R - Action
      Comment
      • xstud
        SBR MVP
        • 01-12-08
        • 1643

        #4
        added 2 more

        1 unit White sox +102

        1 unit Giants +162 (hoping for good value)

        so far looking to be a break even day if the redsox and marlins hold on. Missed the pitt play due to a crappy decision to hold snell at 3rd... would have been worth a shot to bring him in.... yankees just f'n blew it.
        Comment
        • xstud
          SBR MVP
          • 01-12-08
          • 1643

          #5
          Crappy Day

          .5 unit Pittsburgh -1.5 RL +170
          .5 unit Mets -1.5 RL +135 (rained out)
          1 unit Marlins +120
          1 unit Yankees +128
          1 unit Indians -119
          1 unit Red Sox -1.5RL +138
          1 unit white sox +102
          1 unit giants +162

          Total 3-4
          Parlay 0-1

          -.5 units for the day

          11-7 YTD straights
          0-2 parlays

          +4 units total
          Comment
          • xstud
            SBR MVP
            • 01-12-08
            • 1643

            #6
            Saturday Plays so far

            1 unit Cubs - 120
            1 unit Brewers -1.5 (ben sheets don't fail me!) +126
            1.5 units phillies +104

            Come on boys let's cash!
            Comment
            • xstud
              SBR MVP
              • 01-12-08
              • 1643

              #7
              added

              1 unit Marlins +110 1st 5 innings
              1 unit Pitt/atlanta under 1st 5
              Comment
              • xstud
                SBR MVP
                • 01-12-08
                • 1643

                #8
                Results and 5-11 so far

                1 unit Cubs - 120
                1 unit Brewers -1.5 (ben sheets don't fail me!) +126
                1.5 units phillies +104
                1 unit Marlins +110 1st 5 innings
                1 unit Pitt/atlanta under 1st 5

                So for the day -.10 9estimating hate doing the math and too pissed)
                YTD Straight 13-9 +3.9 units
                Parlays 0-2 -1 unit

                Hope to rebound slowly today.

                The plays are

                1.3 units NY METS -130
                1.5 units Indians -150 against a SEVERELY beaten up Toronto Team. I know burnett has some stuff but has a terrible record at Jacobs Field 0-3 (4 career starts against the indians)
                Comment
                • xstud
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-12-08
                  • 1643

                  #9
                  After looking at the doppler radar i am betting this one gets postponed. What a shame with such a favorable matchup set to take place.

                  Cross your fingers followers that this one gets started soon!

                  Adding:

                  .5 unit Florida +115
                  .5 unit Pitt +133

                  Figuring in the postponement and the marlins are on fire as well as the buco's playing great as of late.
                  Comment
                  • xstud
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-12-08
                    • 1643

                    #10
                    Met's are looking REAL good early on. long way to go
                    Comment
                    • xstud
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-12-08
                      • 1643

                      #11
                      Well Scrap Cleveland and Pitt.

                      Moving .75 unit to Oakland -140
                      Comment
                      • xstud
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-12-08
                        • 1643

                        #12
                        2 more

                        didn't click submit.
                        Comment
                        • xstud
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-12-08
                          • 1643

                          #13
                          .75 unit to Oakland -140
                          .5 unit Florida +115
                          .5 unit Pitt +133(postponed)
                          1.3 units NY METS -130
                          1.5 units Indians -150 (postponed)

                          3-0 +2.3 units (again don't feel like doing all the little piddly math)

                          Final bet of the day...

                          1 unit red sox -119
                          .5 unit under 9

                          This is a tough play. Blackburn has shown some big promise at times...especially at home. I am also a MN resident and fan. But I firmly believe that MN has very inconsistent offense. If Blackburn is lights out, I don't see the twinkies and sox putting up enough combined to go over the 9... so it's a semi-insurance play. GL
                          Comment
                          • xstud
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-12-08
                            • 1643

                            #14
                            Should have left it alone, I am marking this as a loss since I am tired and going to just focus on the nba game.

                            Today 3-1 +1 unit (roughly) (under still has a chance so not marking it yet.)

                            YTD
                            16-10 +4.9 units

                            Again, should have layed off the tough play today. But 5 runs and 2 HR from the twins in the 2nd. Who would've thought.
                            Comment
                            • xstud
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-12-08
                              • 1643

                              #15
                              So I took yesterday off due to the bullshit twins/sox game that screwed me on sunday. Along with the following...

                              NO ML (NBA)
                              NO/Spurs OVER 188.5 (NBA)
                              NO 2nd Half -2
                              Flyers (NHL...small bet tho)

                              So I took yesterday off after getting a nice early MLB profit and having it and some out of pocket funds raped from me.

                              I absolutely love the following plays..

                              1 unit Phillies -1 RL +150 Reason being... half the damn atlanta roster is injured

                              .5 unit Marlins +144 Fins are playing good ball. A little afraid of Vasquez but I think it's a good ML for a .5 unit play.

                              .5 unit Marlins/Reds UNDER 9 Two good pitchers.. should be lower scoring.

                              1.63 units Red Sox -163


                              Pretty much staying away from the other games Indians game might be a play not sure yet.. I think today has a good chance to go 3-1 or 4-0...

                              GL

                              oh

                              YTD

                              16-10 Straights +4.9 units

                              0-1 Parlay -.5 unit

                              0-1 O/U -1 unit
                              Comment
                              • xstud
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-12-08
                                • 1643

                                #16
                                FYI

                                Phillies -1 was mistyped by my book so it's really -1.5. I kept the action anyways... but whatev
                                Comment
                                • xstud
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-12-08
                                  • 1643

                                  #17
                                  Added Twins -116 for 1 unit.

                                  Of course already sweating.... redsox, marlins, and phillies. only good thing going is the under 9 for the marlins
                                  Comment
                                  • xstud
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-12-08
                                    • 1643

                                    #18
                                    totally ****ed by Lidge and the braves.....

                                    1 unit Astros +122
                                    Comment
                                    • xstud
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-12-08
                                      • 1643

                                      #19
                                      1 unit Astros +122 (not over yet but going to bed)
                                      1 unit Twins -116
                                      1 unit Phillies -1 RL +150
                                      .5 unit Marlins +144
                                      .5 unit Marlins/Reds UNDER 9
                                      1.63 units Red Sox -163

                                      Summary of day....****ed by Lidge in the 9th to screw over a breakeven day. Played twins due to redsox falling behind early.. played Stro's due to the love of fading SF.... Nothing worked... horrible fuking day.

                                      -4.13 units for the day.

                                      YTD

                                      16-14 Straights +.1 units

                                      0-1 Parlay -.5 unit

                                      1-1 O/U -.5 unit

                                      Probably only playing 1 or 2 games MAX tomorrow. Luckily it looks like I will get all lost + some back on NBA. fingers crossed

                                      Until tomorrow. Sorry for anyone that followed the picks today.. it's gambling after all.. Red Sox made it interesting and we had a chance.
                                      Comment
                                      • xstud
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-12-08
                                        • 1643

                                        #20
                                        Rebound Day!

                                        1.44 units Phillies -144

                                        1.3 units Phillies braves UNDER 10 -130

                                        1 unit Marlins +119

                                        .5 units Mets -1.5 RL +135

                                        1 unit SD +111

                                        .5 Indians -1.5 RL +140

                                        1 unit Twins +1.5 -135

                                        .5 units Pirates +139

                                        Summary of plays.

                                        Phillies are playing good ball... Made the mistake with the -1.5 runline and I am sure the good play will continue at home... hopefully they don't allow a big first or second inning and settle in.

                                        Marlins are losers of 2 in a row but left a ton of men on base yesterday against a very good pitcher... hoping things change but love the fish as a dog.

                                        Twins +1.5.... not super confident because of playing against halladay but TWINS are at home and have a very good record there.

                                        The runlines are pretty simple taking a risk with smaller units for a pretty decent game and they are not bad bets.

                                        Let's hope for a positive day.

                                        LOCKED IN!

                                        TOTAL RISK $759
                                        Comment
                                        • xstud
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-12-08
                                          • 1643

                                          #21
                                          Parlay

                                          long shot parlay but i really like the possibility

                                          21468991-1 5/14/2008 4:30 PM Parlay 50 951
                                          Baseball - 907 Los Angeles Dodgers -105 for Game D LOWE-R Must Pitch M PARRA -L Must Pitch
                                          Baseball - 909 San Diego Padres +109 for Game J PEAVY -R Must Pitch T LILLY -L Must Pitch
                                          Baseball - 914 Arizona Diamondbacks -163 for Game J DE LA ROSA -L Must Pitch M OWINGS -R Must Pitch
                                          Baseball - 925 Detroit Tigers -134 for Game J VERLANDER -R Must Pitch L HOCHEVAR -R Must Pitch
                                          Baseball - 928 Minnesota Twins +1½ -135 for Game R HALLADAY -R Must Pitch B BONSER -R Must Pitch
                                          Comment
                                          • xstud
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-12-08
                                            • 1643

                                            #22
                                            I am going to lose one of the phillies bets if not both... so adding Dodgers 1 unit -105

                                            I like the diamondbacks but i won't take them for -163 and the -1.5 runline only pays +120 at my book.

                                            just tossed them in my parlay and I am happy.
                                            Comment
                                            • xstud
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-12-08
                                              • 1643

                                              #23
                                              F it, we are going diamondbacks 3.68 units -163

                                              I am most confident in this bet and the other bets are sweating but I definately won't be betting any other games today... way too much at risk between NBA and MLB

                                              wish me luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • xstud
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-12-08
                                                • 1643

                                                #24
                                                3.68 units diamondbacks -163

                                                1 unit Dodgers -105

                                                1.44 units Phillies -144

                                                1.3 units Phillies braves UNDER 10 -130

                                                1 unit Marlins +119

                                                .5 units Mets -1.5 RL +135

                                                1 unit SD +111

                                                .5 Indians -1.5 RL +140

                                                1 unit Twins +1.5 -135

                                                .5 units Pirates +139

                                                Again a pretty much negative day... had a chance with the fins.. Luckily I made the big AZ bet F'n phillies.

                                                +1.06 units for the day

                                                20-19 Straights +1.16 units

                                                0-2 Parlay -1 unit

                                                1-2 O/U -1.40 unit

                                                we need a good day for a change... not dog's pitching the games of their lives
                                                Comment
                                                • xstud
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-12-08
                                                  • 1643

                                                  #25
                                                  8-15-08

                                                  2.5 units Indians -143 A's have had NO offense lately, Indians limited offense but GREAT pitching... hoping for the sweep.

                                                  2.5 units Brewers -130 Love ben sheets at home

                                                  .75 unit -1.5 RL +115 METS Can't be swept by the nationals can they? Especially at home.

                                                  1.25 units St Louis Cardinals -126 NOT playing the bucco's because of inconsistency

                                                  these are just the early ones... I might hit the marlins hard waiting to see if the ML gets even more jucy

                                                  GL to all...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • xstud
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-12-08
                                                    • 1643

                                                    #26
                                                    2 more

                                                    3.75 units Baseball - 958 Chicago Cubs -150 for Game G MADDUX -R Must Pitch R DEMPSTER -R Must Pitch


                                                    .5 units Baseball - 972 Kansas City Royals +108 for Game K ROGERS -L Must Pitch G MECHE -R Must Pitch


                                                    This is it until we see some cashes... a lot of action out there.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • xstud
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-12-08
                                                      • 1643

                                                      #27
                                                      2.5 units Indians -143

                                                      2.5 units Brewers -130

                                                      .75 unit -1.5 RL +115 METS

                                                      1.25 units St Louis Cardinals -126 ****ED

                                                      3.75 units Baseball - 958 Chicago Cubs -150

                                                      .5 units Baseball - 972 Kansas City Royals +108

                                                      1 unit Astros/Giants UNDER 8 +100

                                                      So far break even day with help from blackjack... still thinking about a few more plays.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • xstud
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-12-08
                                                        • 1643

                                                        #28
                                                        5-21-08 plays

                                                        .9 Brewers -130
                                                        .9 Diamondbacks -170
                                                        .9 LAA +118
                                                        .83 Indians +125

                                                        Parlay

                                                        .22 to win 1.44

                                                        Baseball - Milwaukee Brewers - moneyline (-130)
                                                        for the entire game held on May 21 at 6:05pm [pending]
                                                        B Sheets -R must start and I Snell -R must start for action
                                                        2. Baseball - Arizona Diamondbacks - moneyline (-170)
                                                        for the entire game held on May 21 at 6:10pm [pending]
                                                        B Webb -R must start and R Nolasco -R must start for action
                                                        3. Baseball - New York Mets - runline +1½ (-170)
                                                        for the entire game held on May 21 at 6:10pm [pending]
                                                        M Pelfrey -R must start and J Jurrjens -R must start for action
                                                        4. Baseball - Philadelphia Phillies - moneyline (-135)
                                                        for the entire game held on May 21 at 6:10pm [pending]
                                                        J Moyer -L must start and M Chico -L must start for action

                                                        GL to everyone.
                                                        Comment
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