Sports Betting Professor MLB Version 1.0 Fade Thread

[knugen]

so how do u gonna do? wait or continuing fading frpm now?

[Spungalo]

I will be waiting until the lines stablize a bit and I start to see a dip in his numbers

[Spungalo]

4/3 UPDATE:
LA Dodgers -137

FADE PLAY:
San Francisco +128 (risking 38 on both labbys)

[Geronimo]

sbp was + 2009

Betting Against the Public 2003-2010 Seasons

Betting %

Home

Visitor

Total

50%

+130 units

-156 units

-26 units

40%

+123

-86

+37

30%

+80

-11

+69

25%

+68

-7

+61

20%

+43

+41

+84

15%

+36

-13

+23

that is was sbp is doing, fade might not be best choice
i would tend more to tail, but lets see

[Spungalo]

Not really sure what you are talking about, Geronimo, what are the percentages?

[bauerranch]

Fade and Use the Labby- He is nothing more than 50-50

[Geronimo]

betting against the public!

at 50%
Home Visitor Total
+130 units -156 units -26 units

that means, if a home team has public betting of 50% they made from 2003 and 2010 +130 units
if visitor has 50% they lost -156 units

sportsinsghts data

[Spungalo]

4/4/11 SBP MLB Version 1.0 Record (Favs bet to win 1 unit; Dogs bet 1 unit):
9-4-0, +5.39 units
(<= -101): 5-3, 1.60 units
(>= +100): 4-1, 3.79 units

4/4/11 FADE Report:
4-9-0, -5.80 units
(<= -101): 2-5, -4.00 units
(>= +100): 2-4, -1.80 units

FADE:

2-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 200 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-21-23

(cleared none) 10-20-20-28

1-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 100 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-20-21-23-28

[Spungalo]

I see, geronimo. But this is the Sports Betting Professor fade thread, simply fading his picks. I do like historical data, though; just not sure it would apply here my friend. Great stats though!

[Geronimo]

spungy, sportsbetting professors basics are the datas from betting against the public,
dont wanna waist your time

never saw his pdf for version 1.0?
Here is the MLB System in a nutshell:
Betting % Home Visitor Total
50% +103 units -54 units +49 units
40% +91 units -30 units +61 units
30% +64 units +13 units +77 units
20% +20 units -4 units +16 units
15% +28 units -5 units +23 units

i just wanted to throw up one opinion, want to know what you think about,
home teams under 50% public where profitable last 8 years and he will pick them

[Spungalo]

You aren't wasting my time, Geronimo. I didn't mean to give you that impression. All this thread is designed to do is to see if the betting system he has (the one you list in post #45) is actually more profitable by fading (which it would have been last year) this year. I figure at the end of the year we can look and actually target the betting public percentages that are profitable, and see if they have changed at all from what his system touts. I definitely can see that the home teams under 50% public betting is what should probably be tailed. That's some good info!

[Spungalo]

4/4:
Baltimore -126

FADE PLAY:
Detroit +116 (risking 33 on the 2-line and 38 on the 1-line)

[fastmod]

Spungalo do you have the version 2 for sbp??? I heard it was bad also.

[Spungalo]

Yeah, Version 2 is bad. I think I have it at home; I will let you know fastmod.

[knugen]

So isnt v2 the version to fade, u Dont receive the v2 picks ?

[Spungalo]

Yes, that would be nice to fade but I don't get the picks. They used to be posted but not anymore.

[fastmod]

Sounds great.... do u have the results for v2?? Maybe with both we can find a good fade.

[Spungalo]

I tracked v2.0 for a bit last year but whoever had it ended up getting a refund, it was so bad.

[Spungalo]

4/5/11 SBP MLB Version 1.0 Record (My tracking: Favs bet to win 1 unit; Dogs bet 1 unit):
10-4-0, +6.39 units
(<= -101): 6-3, 2.60 units
(>= +100): 4-1, 3.79 units

4/5/11 FADE Report:
4-10-0, -6.80 units
(<= -101): 2-5, -4.00 units
(>= +100): 2-5, -2.80 units

MY HYPOTHETICAL FADE LABBY:

2-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 200 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-21-23

(cleared none) 10-20-20-28-33

1-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 100 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-20-21-23-28-38

[Spungalo]

4/5:
Chicago Cubs -145

FADE PLAY:
Arizona +131 (Risking 43 on 2-line and 48 on 1-line)

[knugen]

Spungalo, are u still following biggdogg if he still are active??

[Spungalo]

Yes, the Dogg is hot, knugen.

[Spungalo]

4/5 UPDATE:
San Diego +114 Colorado -102


FADE PLAYS:
San Francisco -121 (betting to win 31 on 2-line, 38 on 1-line)

LA Dodgers -104 (betting to win 33 on 2-line, 43 on 1-line)

[knugen]

Ok, where do u find him? How much do u pay him?

[Spungalo]

4/6/11 SBP MLB Version 1.0 Record (My tracking: Favs bet to win 1 unit; Dogs bet 1 unit):
13-4-0, +9.53 units
(<= -101): 8-3, 4.60 units
(>= +100): 5-1, 4.93 units

4/6/11 FADE Report:
4-13-0, -10.05 units
(<= -101): 2-7, -6.25 units
(>= +100): 2-6, -3.80 units

MY HYPOTHETICAL FADE LABBY:

2-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 200 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-21-23-35-38

(cleared none) 10-20-20-28-33-43

1-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 100 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-20-21-23-28-38-45-46-48

4/6/11 PLAY ALL HOME DOGS Report:
6-2-0, +4.91 units

4/6/11 PLAY HOME DOGS +101 <= x <= +120 Report (Thanks Mr Carrot!!!!):
3-0-0, +3.23 units

[Spungalo]

4/6 PLAYS:
Colorado -116
Tampa Bay -108
Texas -109

FADE PLAYS:
LA Dodgers +109 (I am risking 48 on 2-line, 58 on 1-line)
LA Angels +105 (I am risking 53 on 2-line, 56 on 1-line)
Seattle +107 (I am risking 53 on 2-line, 65 on 1-line)

No early Home Dog plays

[Spungalo]

4/6 UPDATE PLAYS:
Florida -118
Milwaukee -105
Baltimore +127


FADE PLAYS:
Washington +108 (I am risking 45 on 2-line, 23 on 1-line)
Atlanta -105 (I am betting-to-win 43 on 2-line, betting-to-win 58 on 1-line)
Detroit -135 (I am betting-to-win 48 on 2-line, betting-to-win 49 on 1-line)


Baltimore is a home dog (+127)

[Spungalo]

4/7/11 SBP MLB Version 1.0 Record (My tracking: Favs bet to win 1 unit; Dogs bet 1 unit):
17-6-0, +11.45 units
(<= -101): 12-4, 7.52 units
(>= +100): 5-2, 3.93 units

4/7/11 FADE Report:
6-17-0, -12.05 units
(<= -101): 3-8, -6.30 units
(>= +100): 3-9, -5.75 units

MY HYPOTHETICAL FADE LABBY:

2-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 200 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-23-38-45-53

(cleared none) 10-20-20-28-33-43-46

1-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 100 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-10-20-20-23-23-28-45-45-58-61-65

4/7/11 PLAY ALL SBP V1.0 HOME DOGS Report:
6-3-0, +3.91 units

4/7/11 PLAY ALL SBP V1.0 HOME DOGS +101 <= x <= +120 Report (Thanks Mr Carrot!!!!):
3-0-0, +3.23 units

[Spungalo]

4/7 PLAYS:
Pittsburgh -108
Milwaukee +106

FADE PLAYS:
Colorado -101 (I am betting to win 63 on 2-line labby, 75 on 1-line)
Atlanta -114 (I am betting to win 56 on 2-line labby, 71 on 1-line)

SBP HOME DOG:
Milwaukee +106

SBP HOME DOG +101<= x <= +120:
Milwaukee +106

[Spungalo]

4/8/11 SBP MLB Version 1.0 Record (My tracking: Favs bet to win 1 unit; Dogs bet 1 unit):
18-7-0, +11.43 units
(<= -101): 12-5, 6.44 units
(>= +100): 6-2, 4.99 units

4/8/11 FADE Report:
7-18-0, -12.19 units
(<= -101): 4-9, -6.44 units
(>= +100): 3-9, -5.75 units

MY HYPOTHETICAL FADE LABBY:

2-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 200 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-20-23-38-45-64

(cleared none) 10-20-20-28-33-43-46

1-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 100 units):
(cleared 20 units) 10-20-20-23-23-28-45-45-58-61-81

4/8/11 PLAY ALL SBP V1.0 HOME DOGS Report:
7-3-0, +4.97 units

4/8/11 PLAY ALL SBP V1.0 HOME DOGS +101 <= x <= +120 Report (Thanks Mr Carrot!!!!):
4-0-0, +4.29 units

[Spungalo]

4/8 PLAYS:
Milwaukee -108
Baltimore -102

FADE PLAYS:
Chicago Cubs +101 (I am risking 74 on 2-line and 91 on 1-line)

Texas -105 (I am betting-to-win 65 on 2-line and 81 on 1-line)


SBP HOME DOG:
Baltimore -102

[Spungalo]

4/9/11 SBP MLB Version 1.0 Record (My tracking: Favs bet to win 1 unit; Dogs bet 1 unit):
18-8-1, +10.35 units
(<= -101): 12-6-1, 5.36 units
(>= +100): 6-2, 4.99 units

4/9/11 FADE Report:
8-18-1, -11.18 units
(<= -101): 4-9-1, -5.43 units
(>= +100): 4-9, -5.75 units

MY HYPOTHETICAL FADE LABBY:

2-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 200 units):
(cleared 20 units) 20-23-38-45

(cleared none) 10-20-20-28-33-43-46

1-Line Labby (Will increase 2 units when cleared 100 units):
(cleared 20 units) 20-20-23-23-28-45-45-58-61

4/9/11 PLAY ALL SBP V1.0 HOME DOGS Report:
7-3-1, +4.97 units

4/9/11 PLAY ALL SBP V1.0 HOME DOGS +101 <= x <= +120 Report (Thanks Mr Carrot!!!!):
4-0-0, +4.29 units

[Spungalo]

4/9 PLAYS:
Baltimore (Game 1) +106
Baltimore (Game 2) -106
Pittsburgh -104
Arizona -105
Seattle -116

4/9 FADES:
Texas (Game 1) -114: I am betting-to-win 56 on 2-line and 81 on 1-line
Texas (Game 2) -102: I am betting-to-win 65 on 2-line and 78 on 1-line
Colorado -104: I am betting-to-win 63 on 2-line and 68 on 1-line
Cincinnati -104: I am betting-to-win 61 on 2-line and 68 on 1-line
Cleveland +105: I am risking 53 on 2-line and 28 on 1-line

SBP HOME DOG:
Baltimore +106 (Game 1)

SBP HOME DOG +101<= x <= +120:
Baltimore +106 (Game 1)

[knugen]

The fade workes pretty well last night 

[bauerranch]

The fade workes pretty well last night 

Yes it did