Nc '11

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 06:02 PM

SF getting hammered now.

Might have to buy that down to a 1U play and take the small loss on the difference. Not sure yet.

gshock1 · 06-02-11, 06:03 PM

What do you like about Texas today?

tatddy · 06-02-11, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Mostly this (immediately after Lynn was announced):

06/02 10:19 +108 / -120
06/02 10:20 +113 / -123
06/02 10:21 +116 / -120
06/02 10:22 +117 / -122
06/02 10:25 +118 / -122
06/02 10:25 +118 / -123
06/02 10:25 +118 / -120
06/02 10:36 +121 / -124
06/02 10:45 +122 / -125

I will say I'm not crazy where the line's gone since though. I got a horrible number. Typically like taking short home faves that are anti-public plays, though.

Berkman being out doesn't help matters.

Why would you not retap STL at a better number instead of buying out just because late money is on SF? And I'm not sure why Berkman being out is bad. He's been baffled by Sanchez every time he's faced him.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Why would you not retap STL at a better number instead of buying out just because late money is on SF? And I'm not sure why Berkman being out is bad. He's been baffled by Sanchez every time he's faced him.

Well, Berkman being out in addition to Holliday being out doesn't exactly help StL offensively.

Just losing confidence in the play. We'll see.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 06:09 PM

Adding:

KC -123 (1U)

tatddy · 06-02-11, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Well, Berkman being out in addition to Holliday being out doesn't exactly help StL offensively.

Just losing confidence in the play. We'll see.

My point being, you get all frustrated when you back off one of your "leans". Just stick to your guns and in most cases you'll come out farther ahead. Would I bet STL here? No. But that doesn't mean it's not a winning play. I don't ever bet against SF.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

My point being, you get all frustrated when you back off one of your "leans". Just stick to your guns and in most cases you'll come out farther ahead. Would I bet STL here? No. But that doesn't mean it's not a winning play. I don't ever bet against SF.

OK, tat -- you convinced me. I'm standing pat.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by gshock1

What do you like about Texas today?

Losing money.

Forgot how awful Dave Bush is. This one's going to be over in a hurry. Stupid forced play.

BigDan · 06-02-11, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Why would you not retap STL at a better number instead of buying out just because late money is on SF? And I'm not sure why Berkman being out is bad. He's been baffled by Sanchez every time he's faced him.

actually not bad at all considering his power numbers are shit lately and Jay and Craig are both pretty hot.

Originally posted by No coincidences

Well, Berkman being out in addition to Holliday being out doesn't exactly help StL offensively. Just losing confidence in the play. We'll see.

Jay and Craig! let the old guy rest. It is a fukked up looking lineup though. Didnt even see what it was before i popped the over 7.5. But both pens gotta be getting gassed, well i know the Cards pen is and even though i think Lynn is much better than his aaa era is this season still would be surprised if he can go real long seeing how he is on 3 days rest.

Who knows im not a big fan of messing with a guys 1st mlb start, just couldnt resist the total thinking this kid wont go past 6, pen is so gassed we leave Franklin out there on a 2 inning suicide mission last night, all that combined with the fact we got a nice over ump and pitchers for both teams have been getting squeezed all series (especially the bs zone they gave Salas last night against Huff where i still cant figure out how 4 of those pitches were balls

).

You know i hope you cash this, with a offensive outburst by the kids (jay/Craig).

BigDan · 06-02-11, 06:50 PM

is it just me or does the d-bags line feel like ppl are being set up? I know i wanted to hit them as soon as i saw it (happily i didnt but am still freaking tempted

)

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 08:28 PM

StL was just up 3-0, now it's 3-2. Where have I seen this before?

Adding:

SEA -117 (2U)

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

is it just me or does the d-bags line feel like ppl are being set up? I know i wanted to hit them as soon as i saw it (happily i didnt but am still freaking tempted

)

I'm on the gNats. Hope Zimm gets some run support and pitches halfway decent tonight.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 08:51 PM

Here comes the collapse.

Cards are fvcked.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 08:53 PM

I seriously don't know how Sanchez does it. Dude has 5 BB in 5 IP, yet he's ahead.

miyakuza · 06-02-11, 08:55 PM

NC, if you look at Sanchez's numbers.. He has a LOT of walks. But he is used to getting in jams, and also getting out of them.

Tomorrow should be another solid day in bases.

BigDan · 06-02-11, 08:56 PM

The more Rasmus is around the less i like him, he is way to talented to play such a shitty center field.

that said, i thought it was a miracle that sf didnt score earlier, seems like they were hitting every ball to the track in the 1st few innings.

Over Cashed.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 08:58 PM

Deja-fvcking-vu.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by miyakuza

NC, if you look at Sanchez's numbers.. He has a LOT of walks. But he is used to getting in jams, and also getting out of them.

Tomorrow should be another solid day in bases.

I know that -- I'm just sick of him. SF wins every time I fade them. Every time.

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:03 PM

that why i just went total on this one, didnt feel like having that shit happen again. Not over yet, Cards still gonna put up a fight for you.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

that why i just went total on this one, didnt feel like having that shit happen again. Not over yet, Cards still gonna put up a fight for you.

Nah, it's over.

Had a bad feeling in my gut all afternoon. Should've just bailed.

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:09 PM

it not over man, well my bet is OVER

but trust me there will be some drama.

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'm on the gNats. Hope Zimm gets some run support and pitches halfway decent tonight.

there is your run support.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 09:18 PM

This is ridiculous.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 09:18 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

it not over man, well my bet is OVER

but trust me there will be some drama.

Like Theriot grounding into a DP with 1st and 3rd and one out?

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Like Theriot grounding into a DP with 1st and 3rd and one out?

yea that may have been the killer. was pissed they didnt send Greene on the hit before but i guess Theriot is hitting around .370 with risp so they had to trust him, this new kid in our pen isnt helping matters for you.

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:24 PM

think i mentioned our pen would probably get lit up tonight, they gonna leave the kid out there to take 1 for the team.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 09:25 PM

Wow -- who in the hell is this joker?

How is this team 10 games over .500?

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 09:45 PM

Cards pull within a field goal -- if that scrub in the top of the inning hadn't imploded, who knows....

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Cards pull within a field goal -- if that scrub in the top of the inning hadn't imploded, who knows....

Cant talk to you, still steaming over your "how is this team 10 games over .500" comment.

i heard good things bout that kid, he throws hard but you could see the jacks coming, couldnt locate and that was his only pitch.

might be the best total i have played all year, even when i hit them they dont usually go this smoothly.

No coincidences · 06-02-11, 09:50 PM

Originally posted by BigDan

Cant talk to you, still steaming over your "how is this team 10 games over .500" comment.

I'm just pissed off. Cards have cost me a lot of money the past two nights.

10 runs to this offense?

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:50 PM

lol, they leaving the kid out there to take 1 for the team, told you our pen was gassed. We need to rest up for the cubs

BigDan · 06-02-11, 09:55 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'm just pissed off. Cards have cost me a lot of money the past two nights.

10 runs to this offense?

yea pretty sick, i guess that what any mlb team does to a pair of minor league pitchers making their debuts. kid looks much better this inning, ive heard really good things about him, good to see him turn it around this inning.

dont worry pay they juice/play the rls against the scrubbies and get it back(i would fukkin hope so anyway cause i def chasing Cubs series).

No coincidences · 06-03-11, 12:09 AM

3-2, +0.6U today
187-184, +19.3U season

At least I didn't lose money on the same night I cleaned house with Dirk and the boys.

Cuseyboyy · 06-03-11, 12:17 AM

maybe this will help out tomorrows capping.. just a little early homework nocoin.

MLB: Milwaukee has won just four of its last 16 road games and is 7-23 in the club’s last 30 contests in Florida.
MLB: The White Sox have lost 11 of their last 12 meetings with the Tigers.
MLB: Seattle is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings with Tampa Bay.
MLB: The over is 8-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 games.
MLB: Texas has won nine of its last 11 meetings with the Indians.

No coincidences · 06-03-11, 12:25 AM

Originally posted by Cuseyboyy

maybe this will help out tomorrows capping.. just a little early homework nocoin.

MLB: Milwaukee has won just four of its last 16 road games and is 7-23 in the club’s last 30 contests in Florida.
MLB: The White Sox have lost 11 of their last 12 meetings with the Tigers.
MLB: Seattle is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings with Tampa Bay.
MLB: The over is 8-1-1 in Philadelphia’s last 10 games.
MLB: Texas has won nine of its last 11 meetings with the Indians.

Interesting.

Only play that really sticks out right now is Florida. Maybe the White Sox, even though it goes against the trend above. Also kind of like Cleveland, but Masterson's been off lately.

If I had balls I'd back the Mets. Huge win today and now they get Lowe, who isn't looking very sharp lately. Love the short home dogs on a Friday night. Not sure if I can pull the trigger, though.