March - April MLB Thread

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  • Alexgurv
    SBR MVP
    • 10-24-09
    • 1770

    #1
    March - April MLB Thread
    MLB Overall 2008 407-354 +31.96 units (53.48%)
    MLB Overall 2009 274-253 +3.21 units (51.99%)
    MLB Overall 2010 65-75 -18.17 units (46.76%)


    Well it was a rough year last year and I called it a season pretty quickly. Lets hope I turn it around this year like I did with a few other sports.

    Reds -114 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

    I think the high expectations for the Brewers will have them starting out slowly trying to press too much. Though it feels like the Reds losing there home opener every year. But the Brewers just won 3 games in 5 series against the Reds last year and they were 1-8 last year @ Cinci.

    Giants -104 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

    Lincecum has owned the Dodgers during his career.

    Tigers +135 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

    A lot of value here. Texiera tends to struggle to start the year, as does Arod. It didnt happen with CC last year, but I remember he used to get rocked in the beginning of the season a couple years back with the Indians. Just like the value here with Verlander.
  • Iced
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-11
    • 1614

    #2
    Good luck this season Alex. Hopefully you have a strong and profitable rebound year! And good luck on the Tigers as well, I'm on them too.
    Comment
    • Alexgurv
      SBR MVP
      • 10-24-09
      • 1770

      #3
      MLB Overall 2011 1-2 -1.04 units (33.33%)


      Tough first day, short on time today

      Pirates +160 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
      Dodgers -117 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
      Blue Jays -123 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
      Comment
      • Alexgurv
        SBR MVP
        • 10-24-09
        • 1770

        #4
        MLB Overall 2011 4-2 +2.56 units (66.66%)

        Nice bounceback day...

        Dodgers -104 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

        Until the Giants prove they can put some runs together and actually field the ball I'm gonna ride this Dodgers team today again.

        Blue Jays +106 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

        Not sure I trust the Twins too much to start the season. Blue Jays also usually start pretty well while the Twins are the complete opposite.

        Mariners +164 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

        I know Anderson is good, but the A's should be this high of favorites IMO...good value here?
        Comment
        • Alexgurv
          SBR MVP
          • 10-24-09
          • 1770

          #5
          MLB Overall 2011 6-3 +4.22 units (66.66%)

          Marlins -136 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
          Dodgers -140 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
          KC -107 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
          Comment
          • Alexgurv
            SBR MVP
            • 10-24-09
            • 1770

            #6
            MLB Overall 2011 8-4 +4.86 units (66.66%)

            Pirates +139 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

            Pirates won't come back to reality for a couple more weeks. But this is the perfect pitching matchup for the Pirates to get some offense going.

            Braves -105 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

            Last season the Braves demolished the Brewers at home all 3 times they played.
            Comment
            • Alexgurv
              SBR MVP
              • 10-24-09
              • 1770

              #7
              MLB Overall 2011 10-4 +7.25 units (71.42%)

              PAdres +117 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


              I think Harang could benefit from the Petco stadium grounds. The Giants offense just hasn't been there in the beginning of the season. From what I can see they should continue to struggle

              Braves +108 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

              Wanna keep it rolling with this. Lowe had a great game his first one out, and the Braves dominated the Brewers last year on the road.
              Comment
              • Bcatswin
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-21-10
                • 13931

                #8
                Watch out for Harang it could be BP with him on the mound, good luck.
                Comment
                • Alexgurv
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-24-09
                  • 1770

                  #9
                  MLB Overall 2011 11-5 +7.42 units (68.75%)

                  Rockies -117 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                  Just like I said about the Giants, its clear the Dodgers are having some run scoring woes. Billingsley is just 2-8 in his last 10 against the Rockies

                  Tigers -124 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                  Have a feeling people are too in love with the O's right now. Last time they started 5-0, they won the World Series. Verlander at these odds seems like great value.
                  Comment
                  • Alexgurv
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-24-09
                    • 1770

                    #10
                    MLB Overall 2011 13-5 +9.42 units (72.72%)

                    Astros +130 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


                    Reds dominate the Stros but I think its worth noting that Myers had a great first start against the Phillies giving up just 3 hits in 7 innings. Value is in the Astro's here.

                    Tampa Bay +102 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

                    Like these odds with Jackson going for the White Sox. The guy is liable with control issues. Price I believe is 0-2 or 0-3 against the White Sox. The Sox are hitting well right now but theyve given up 7+ runs in all but 1 of there games.

                    Yankees -140 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                    As well all know, Yankees own the Twins. AJ Burnett is 4-0 against them the the last 2 seasons.
                    Comment
                    • Alexgurv
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-24-09
                      • 1770

                      #11
                      MLB Overall 2011 15-6 +10.72 units (71.72%)

                      Astros +101 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                      Twins -105 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                      Red Sox -130 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                      Mariners -133 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                      Comment
                      • Alexgurv
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-24-09
                        • 1770

                        #12
                        MLB Overall 2011 17-8 +10.39 units (68.00%)

                        Marlins -107 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                        Ramirez is out I guess but I still don't see where the Astro's find there offense. I guess Vasquez would be a good way to help them out but he should be better in the NL then he was in the AL

                        Pirates -110 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                        I think Morton does the complete opposite of what he did last year and how he started. He looks pretty solid against the Cards and the Pirates bullpen shut down this Rockies team last night.

                        Twins -106 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                        Fading the A's and this offense till they prove me wrong.
                        Comment
                        • Alexgurv
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-24-09
                          • 1770

                          #13
                          MLB Overall 2011 18-9 +9.26 units (66.66%)


                          Real quick...dead tired..

                          Phillies +109 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                          Mariners -119 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                          Yankees -114 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                          Comment
                          • Alexgurv
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-24-09
                            • 1770

                            #14
                            MLB Overall 2011 19-11 +8.02 units (66.63%)

                            Tigers -127 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                            Some good odds here. Trouble me a little bit that the Tigers struggled for the most part on offense against the Royals and they made the KC pitchers look lights out. But I think there is a good chance here with Ogando just making his 2nd big league start. A lot of adrenaline your first game out. He only pitched 41 innings last year.

                            Mets -108 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                            Just watched the Rockies pitching the last few days while they were here in Pittsburgh, they just didnt look that good to me and the Pirates were missing a lot of chances.
                            Comment
                            • Alexgurv
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-24-09
                              • 1770

                              #15
                              MLB Overall 2011 19-13 +5.67 units (59.37%)

                              Good start, slowly going down hill now

                              Cards -141 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                              Pretty good odds on Carpenter.

                              Tigers +119 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

                              Shutout theory?
                              Comment
                              • Alexgurv
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-24-09
                                • 1770

                                #16
                                MLB Overall 2011 20-14 +5.45 units (58.82%)

                                Dodgers +135 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                Rangers +120 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                Comment
                                • Alexgurv
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-24-09
                                  • 1770

                                  #17
                                  MLB Overall 2011 20-16 +3.45 units (55.55%)

                                  Mets -133 (Game 1) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                  Pirates -104 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                  Comment
                                  • Alexgurv
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-24-09
                                    • 1770

                                    #18
                                    Tigers +125 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                    Comment
                                    • Alexgurv
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-24-09
                                      • 1770

                                      #19
                                      MLB Overall 2011 21-18 +2.33 units (53.84%)

                                      Giants -119 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                      Zito is having a tough year (well maybe last few years). But Saunders has been much better. I think Zito is due for a good game and the Giants own the Diamondbacks, winning the last 21 of 28.

                                      Twins +116 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

                                      Kind of a hunch here..Neiman has been terrible so far this year and dont see the Rays sweeping.
                                      Comment
                                      • Alexgurv
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-24-09
                                        • 1770

                                        #20
                                        Yankees -160 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                                        Sunday night home team is usually a pretty good bet, especially with CC on the mound
                                        Comment
                                        • Alexgurv
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-24-09
                                          • 1770

                                          #21
                                          MLB Overall 2011 23-19 +3.33 units (54.72%)

                                          Blue Jays +116 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                          I wish the odds were a little bit higher, but Romero has been lights out so far this year while Dice - K is very inconsistent. If anyone has the stat, I cant seem to find out, how do the Red Sox usually do on the day of the Boston Marathon on these 11:05 AM starts.

                                          Rockies +115 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

                                          Rockies too hot on offense to ignore.
                                          Comment
                                          • Alexgurv
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-24-09
                                            • 1770

                                            #22
                                            Mets -137 to win 1u nit @ 5dimes
                                            Giants +141 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                            Comment
                                            • Alexgurv
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-24-09
                                              • 1770

                                              #23
                                              MLB Overall 2011 25-20 +4.37 units (55.55%)

                                              Real quick again...

                                              Dodgers -140 to win 1 unit @ 5Dimes
                                              Indians -105 to win 1 unit @ 5Dimes
                                              Comment
                                              • Alexgurv
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-24-09
                                                • 1770

                                                #24
                                                MLB Overall 2011 26-21 +4.32 units (55.31%)


                                                Mets -120 to win 1u nit @ 5dimes
                                                Twins -115 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                                will be bck with writeups later
                                                Comment
                                                • Alexgurv
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-24-09
                                                  • 1770

                                                  #25
                                                  MLB Overall 2011 27-21 +5.32 units (56.25%)

                                                  Astros +150 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                                  I think this is worth a shot. Marcum is putting up pretty good numbers so far this season but Myers is having a damn good early part of the season as well.

                                                  Mets -126 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                                                  Just have a feeling the Mets start putting it together here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Alexgurv
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-24-09
                                                    • 1770

                                                    #26
                                                    MLB Overall 2011 29-21 +5.32 units (58.00%)


                                                    Well its 5 AM ...so...real quick

                                                    Marlins -151 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                                    Twins -125 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                                    Cards -111 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Alexgurv
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-24-09
                                                      • 1770

                                                      #27
                                                      MLB Overall 2011 32-21 +10.32 units (60.37%)

                                                      Cubs -126 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                                      Garza had a good outing against the Padres last time out giving up 0 Earned Runs. Esmil Rogers is 2-1 but the 2 wins were against the Pirates and the Mets who are both struggling to score. I think Garza finally comes around and gets his first Cubs win.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Alexgurv
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-24-09
                                                        • 1770

                                                        #28
                                                        Yankees -136 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                                        Angels +105 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Alexgurv
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-24-09
                                                          • 1770

                                                          #29
                                                          Dodgers +106 to bet 1 unit @ 5Dimes
                                                          Atlanta -105 to win 1 unit @ 5Dimes
                                                          Pirates +110 to bet 1 unit @ 5Dimes

                                                          Be back later...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Alexgurv
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-24-09
                                                            • 1770

                                                            #30
                                                            MLB Overall 2011 36-23 +11.86 units (61.01%)

                                                            Pirates -111 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                                            Vogelsong is really starting? Giants struggling on offense even against the Pirates. Pittsburgh needs a pick me up after the Pens beating last night

                                                            Cards -136 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Alexgurv
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-24-09
                                                              • 1770

                                                              #31
                                                              MLB Overall 2011 37-24 +11.75 units (60.65%)

                                                              Braves -137 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes


                                                              Jake Westbrook 2 good games in a row?

                                                              A's -129 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

                                                              Anderson has been shut down so far this season
                                                              Comment
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