Samgurt's 2011 MLB picks

[samgurt]

So the best time of the year is here...Let's make some cash.

I will be betting on moneyline and runlines this season.

I RARELY bet totals in baseball, and if I do, it is usually a team total.

All my plays will be 1 unit, and some plays may be parlayed together (still 1 unit).

There will be no action if the listed pitchers don't start, unless I write "action" after the posted play

For OPENING DAY, 3/31/11:

1.) Parlay of Cardinals (-185) Carpenter v Stauffer
Angels (-139) Weaver v Hochevar

+165

[samgurt]

A bad beat to start the season. Franklin gives up a HR with 2 outs in the 9th and the Cards lose in extras...weak.

0-1 -1.00 units

Gotta hate bad starts like that.

For 4/1/11:

1.) Parlay of Phillies (-245) Halladay v Myers
Rockies (-185) Jimenez v Kennedy

+117

2.) Rangers +112 Wilson v Lester
3.) Twins +119 Pavano v Romero (injured finger)
4.) Giants +110 Sanchez v Billingsley

[samgurt]

bad day yesterday, 1-3

4/2:

CWS -125
Philly -230
Pit +165
Colorado -154
A's -173
Marlins -140

Will update record later, no time right now

[samgurt]

Well these bullpens are absolutely destroying me this week.

So far 4-7 at -4.01 units and of those 7 losses, 6 of them were cuz of the pen.

Time to start going to 1st 5 innings...

For 4/3/11

A's -165
Dodgers -138 (both games are 1st 5)

[samgurt]

2-0 yesterday for +2 units

6-7 -2.01 units

For 4/4/11

Cubs -1.5 +135 (wells v saunders)
Yankees -162 (nova v baker)
Cards -1.5 +155 (lohse v morton)

[samgurt]

2-1 yesterday for +1.35

8-8 -.66 units

For 4/5/11

All of these are 1st 5 innings.

Mets +168 (hamels v young)
Marlins -157 (sanchez v marquis)
Angels -108 (weaver v niemann)
Red Sox -148 (beckett v tomlin)
Royals +108 (floyd v hochevar)
Dodgers -107 (kershaw v chacin)

[samgurt]

2-3-1 tonight for -1.44 units. Marlins had a few easy opportunities to score a few more runs in the 1st five and blew it. And it woulda been nice if Beckett coulda held his lead just a tad longer. Of course when I start doing 1st 5 innings, then my teams win it in extras...go figure

10-11-1 (-2.1 units)

[samgurt]

For 4/6/11

All games will be 1st 5 innings (I don't like dealing with "relief" pitching) except the phillies runline game. I realize that 1st 5 inning lines aren't out yet but I don't have time during weekdays to post them before gametime and the lines are usually extremely close to the moneylines.

Cards -188 carpenter v correia
Mariners +118 Hernandez v Wilson
White Sox -107 Buehrle v Francis
Rockies -117 billingsley v hammel
Phillies -1.5 +145 pelfrey v blanton
Tigers -125 verlander v bergesen
BoSox -147 matsuzaka v talbot
Reds -210 volquez v figueroa
Marlins -145 volstad v hernandez

Need a good day lots of games...gonna be really good or really bad!

[samgurt]

adding:

Reds -.5 for 1st 5 at -130
Red Sox -.5 for 1st 5 at -115

[samgurt]

not much love lately. 5-5-1 today for -1.12 units

15-16-2 for -3.22 units

Gonna keep at this. Things will turn around!

4/7/11

Red Sox -1.5 -115 (Lester v Carmona)
Yanks -1.5 +135 (Liriano v Burnett)
Rockies -102 (Rogers v Maholm)
Phillies -1.5 +110 (Halladay v Niese)
Marlins -1.5 +115 (Lannan v Johnson)

[samgurt]

2-3 for -1.05

I swear, every day I don't do 1st 5 innings I would have had a perfect day... I'll just hafta do it both ways!

17-19-2 for -4.27 units

4/8/11

Tigers -1.5 +125 Scherzer v Davies
Tigers -167 1st 5 innings
Cubs +112 Zambrano v Wolf
Cubs +112 1st 5 innings
White Sox -1.5 +145 Danks v Shields
White Sox -141 1st 5 innings
Padres -1.5 +180 Richard v Lilly
Padres -108 1st 5 innings
Angels -1.5 +165 Santana v Drabek
Angels -127 1st 5 innings

[samgurt]

7-2-1 yesterday for +5.49 units. shoulda won the White sox runline but back-to-back errors that couldve ended the game caused them to lose. The push was the Padres runline cuz the game only went 8 innings and got suspended.

24-21-3 for +1.22 units

for 4/9/11

Yankees +137 Nova v Buchholz
Yankees +130 1st 5 innings
Oakland -101 Gonzalez v Blackburn
Oakland -107 1st 5 innings
Reds -1.5 +160 Arroyo v Hudson
Reds -108 1st 5 innings
Cardinals +132 Garcia v Cain
Cardinals +133 1st 5 innings

[samgurt]

Yet another blown save by Ryan Franklin. Had a good day but coulda had a REALLY good day if he didn't fukk up every save opportunity he gets.

5-2-1 today for 4.27 units

29-23-4 for 5.49 units

[samgurt]

For 4/10/11

Braves -1.5 +175 Hamels v Lowe
Braves -115 1st 5 innings
Twins -1.5 +168 McCarthy v Baker
Twins -120 1st 5 innings
Brewers -1.5 +125 Coleman v Gallardo
Brewers -177 1st 5 innings
Angels -1.5 +120 Reyes v Weaver
Angels -169 1st 5 innings
Cardinals +136 Lohse v Zito
Cardinals +136 1st 5 innings

[waka]

nice, good luck! i also have the twins and braves

[samgurt]

3-5-2 today for -1.79

32-28-6 for 3.70 units

[samgurt]

4/11/11

Tigers -1.5 +155 Ogando v Verlander
Tigers -128 1st 5 innings
Rays +143 Hellickson v Matsuzaka
Rays +143 1st 5 innings
Mets -1.5 +185 Hammel v Pelfrey
Mets -111 1st 5 innings
Astros +107 Dempster v Figueroa
Astros +107 1st 5 innings
A's +114 Braden v Buehrle
A's +114 1st 5 innings

[samgurt]

A lame day indeed... 4-5-1 for a whole 0.00 units...

36-33-7 for 3.70 units

4/12/11

Phillies -1.5 +130 Blanton v Hernandez
Phillies -118 1st 5 innings
Red Sox -1.5 +120 Lester v Price
Red Sox -171 1st 5 innings
Marlins +163 Volstad v Hanson
Marlins +163 1st 5 innings
Astros -1.5 +180 Myers v Russell
Astros -115 1st 5 innings
Giants -1.5 +130 Lincecum v Billingsley
Giants -167 1st 5 innings

[samgurt]

well a bad day indeed. 3-7 for -4.09

39-40-7 for -.39 units

Gigantic card tomorrow:

Tigers -1.5 +155 Bush v Scherzer
Tigers -127 1st 5
Blue Jays -1.5 +150 Drabek v Vargas
Blue Jays -112 1st 5
Phillies -1.5 -115 Halladay v Lannan
Phillies -182 1st 5
Yankees -1.5 + 115 Tillman v Burnett
Yankees -172 1st 5
Cleveland +145 Carrasco v Santana
Cleveland +145 1st 5
Rockies +108 Rogers v Niese
Rockies +108 1st 5
Braves -1.5 +170 Johnson v Hudson
Braves -129 1st 5
Cubs -1.5 +150 Zambrano v Rodriguez
Cubs -111 1st 5
Boston -1.5 +139 Shields v Lackey
Boston -147 1st 5
D'backs -1.5 +168 Westbrook v Kennedy
D'backs -114 1st 5

[samgurt]

A weak day indeed. Should've gone way positive on the day but had some bad beats all day. Still ended a little up on the day though. 8-8-4 for 0.73 units

47-48-11 for 0.34 units

4/14/11

Rockies game 2 -1.5 +152 De La Rosa v Capuano
Rockies game 2 -107 1st 5 innings
A's -1.5 +148 Coke v Gonzalez
A's -144 1st 5 innings

[samgurt]

A weak day indeed. Should've gone way positive on the day but had some bad beats all day. Still ended a little up on the day though. 8-8-4 for 0.73 units 47-48-11 for 0.34 units 4/14/11 Rockies game 2 -1.5 +152 De La Rosa v Capuano Rockies game 2 -107 1st 5 innings A's -1.5 +148 Coke v Gonzalez A's -144 1st 5 innings

Adding:

Kansas City -1.5 +155 Fister v Chen
Kansas City -126 1st 5

[samgurt]

also adding: Twins -1.5 +180 Pavano v Shields
Twins +122 1st 5 innings

[samgurt]

Well this day couldn't have been a bigger joke...I don't know what I have to do to have a good day... Things were finally starting to look like my day was gonna be good when Pavano looked like he had the game sealed and then he comes out all for nathan to blow it. I kinda was expecting it since it has been so long since I've had a good day. THEN the royals are killing the Mariners and of course it gets rained out so my runline gets voided. fukk that...A's definitely aren't coming back tonight either.

2-3-3 today for -.55 units

49-51-14 for -.21

goin big tomorrow...

[samgurt]

4/15/11

Phillies -1.5 +105 oswalt v vazquez
Phillies -194 1st 5
Indians -1.5 +195
Indians -102 1st 5
Blue Jays +167 cecil v buchholz
Blue Jays +167 1st 5
Reds -1.5 +130 arroyo v morton
Reds -164 1st 5
Mets +172 carrasco v lowe
Mets +172 1st 5
Padres -101 The Harangutan v Happ
Padres -101 1st 5
Angels -1.5 +135 Weaver v Humber
Angels -122 1st 5
Rockies -1.5 +145 Chacin v Garza
Rockies -145 1st 5
Giants -1.5 +140 Cain v Hudson
Giants -114 1st 5
Cardinals +107 Lohse v Garland
Cardinals +107 1st 5

[samgurt]

Britton v Masterson for the Indians game above^^

[samgurt]

A good day indeed. 13-5-2 for +9.97 units. Just wish the Adam Lind 3-run hr wouldn't have been reversed in the 1st inning...definitely can't complain about the day though.

62-56-16 for 9.76 units

[samgurt]

4/16/11

Brewers -1.5 +115 Gallardo v Marquis
Brewers -145 1st 5
Rangers +112 Holland v Garcia
Rangers +112 1st 5
Indians -1.5 +195 Tomlin v Guthrie
Indians -102 1st 5
Mariners -1.5 +120 Hernandez v O'Sullivan
Mariners -137 1st 5
Twins +114 Baker v Niemann
Twins +114 1st 5
Angels +162 Chatwood v Floyd
Angels +162 1st 5
Astros +136 Figueroa v Latos
Astros +136 1st 5
Rockies -1.5 +120 Hammel v Coleman
Rockies -168 1st 5
Dodgers -1.5 +160 Kershaw v McClellan
Dodgers -143 1st 5

possibly more to come tomorrow when the lines for the 2 Mets games come out

[samgurt]

Adding:

Mets Game 1 +175 Carrasco v Lowe
Mets Game 1 +175 1st 5 innings
Braves -1.5 +130 Game 2 Jurrjens v Pelfrey
Braves -170 1st 5 game 2

[samgurt]

Oh how much I hate Joe Nathan and the Twins this year...I think they have blown about 4 games for me this year already.

Brewers game got canceled today as well. Not a horrible day, but sure woulda been nice if the Twins could hold onto a game (speaking as a fan and a bettor)

8-11-3 for -1.49 units

70-67-19 for 8.27 units

[samgurt]

4/17/11

Indians -1.5 +155
Indians -132 1st 5
Reds -1.5 +120
Reds -169 1st 5
Brewers -1.5 +118 game 1
Brewers -136 1st 5 game 1
Twins +121
Twins +121 1st 5
Astros -1.5 +180
Astros -118 1st 5
A's -1.5 +135
A's -158 1st 5
Giants -1.5 +140
Giants -121 1st 5
Cardinals -1.5 +130
Cardinals -127 1st 5


I may have plays on the rangers/yanks game as well once the lines are out

[samgurt]

^^forgot to list pitchers

Bergesen/Carmona
Karstens/Volquez
Gallardo/Marquis
Duensing/Hellickson
Richard/Myers
Penny/Cahill
Bumgarner/Enright
Carpenter/Billingsley

[samgurt]

Adding:
Yankees -1.5 +130 Ogando v Sabathia
Yankees -159 1st 5

[samgurt]

Well the 'stros had a nice 3-run lead going into the 7th that was blown big time by the relievers (the reason I do 5-inning bets), Just wish they coulda held on.

Also wish the Russell Martin check swing with bases chucked and 3 balls wasn't called a strike so the yanks woulda won by 2!

It is what it is...8-8-2 for +0.75 units

gives a total of 78-75-21 for 9.02 units

[samgurt]

4/18/11

Blue Jays +121 Romero v Matsuzaka
Blue Jays +121 1st 5
White Sox +123 Jackson v Price
White Sox +123 1st 5
Phillies -1.5 +170 Blanton v Marcum
Phillies -116 1st 5
Orioles -1.5 +175 Liriano v Tillman
Orioles -110 1st 5
Pirates +155 Correia v Wood
Pirates +155 1st 5
Rangers -1.5 +150 Santana v Wilson
Rangers -144 1st 5
Royals +102 Carrasco v Davies
Royals +102 1st 5
Giants -1.5 +135 Lincecum v Rogers
Giants -125 1st 5
Braves -1.5 +130 Hudson v Lilly
Braves -128 1st 5
Tigers -1.5 +145 Scherzer v Vargas
Tigers -115 1st 5

wowza...every game on the board except the Cubs game. I guess it ain't called gambling for nothin!

[samgurt]

Now that was a rough day indeed. It seemed like most of my teams struggled to get any runs today.
7-13 for -4.29 today, ouch.

That gives a total of 85-88-21 for 4.73 units

Let's get em tomorrow!

4/19/11

Phillies -1.5 +105 Halladay v Wolf
Phillies -205 1st 5
Orioles -1.5 +185 Arrieta v Pavano
Orioles -104 1st 5
Blue Jays -1.5 +190 Drabek v Burnett
Blue Jays -101 1st 5
D'backs +151 Galarraga v Lecure
D'backs +151 1st 5
Royals -1.5 +165 Chen v Gomez
Royals -118 1st 5
Nats +144 Lannan v Westbrook
Nats +144 1st 5
Giants +144 Sanchez v Jimenez
Giants +144 1st 5
Dodgers -1.5 +195 Kuroda v Beachy
Dodgers -113 1st 5
Tigers -1.5 +155 Coke v Fister
Tigers -109 1st 5