The Falcon's Nest (Computer Program Plays)

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  • losemyloot
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-26-11
    • 697

    #36
    Exactly what I wanted to hear! Great day yesterday love hitting on some underdogs.
    Comment
    • The Investor
      Restricted User
      • 02-16-08
      • 459

      #37
      thanks

      yesterday: 6-1 (+11.30 units)

      2011 MLB: 20-18 (+13.02 units) (new high)


      plays for sat april 9

      marlins (+1.00) 2 units (vasquez/norris)

      cubs (+1.05) 2 units (garza/narveson)

      reds (-1.05) 2 units (arroyo/hudson)

      padres (+1.05) 2 units (kuroda/moseley)

      yankees (+1.35) 2 units (nova/bucholz)

      indians (+1.10) 2 units (masterson/fister)

      rangers (+1.00) 2 units (harrison/arrieta) game 2 of DH



      Falcon
      Comment
      • tanner40
        SBR MVP
        • 03-24-10
        • 2129

        #38
        Good luck today buddy
        Comment
        • The Investor
          Restricted User
          • 02-16-08
          • 459

          #39
          thanks tanner

          yesterday: 5-2 (+6.90 units)


          2011 MLB: 25-20 (+19.92 units)


          plays for sunday april 10


          cubs (+1.70) 2 units (coleman/gallardo)

          reds (-1.10) 2 units (leake/saunders)

          tampa bay (+1.35) 2 units (niemann/floyd)

          toronto (+1.65) 2 units (reyes/weaver)

          indians (+1.15) 2 units (tomlin/bedard)


          Falcon
          Comment
          • Soon2BRich
            SBR MVP
            • 11-18-10
            • 1318

            #40
            great work bro, keep up the great work
            Comment
            • The Investor
              Restricted User
              • 02-16-08
              • 459

              #41
              thanks

              yesterday: 1-4 (-5.90 units)


              2011 MLB: 26-24 (+14.02 units)

              plays for mon april 11


              reds (+1.05) 2 units (volquez/latos)

              oakland (+1.15) 2 units (braden/buehrle)

              indians (+1.20) 2 units (talbot/chatwood)

              blue jays (+1.50) 2 units (litsch/hernandez)



              Falcon
              Comment
              • The Investor
                Restricted User
                • 02-16-08
                • 459

                #42
                50 play update or about 6% of the season complete..


                Projected plays per day: 4.5
                Actual plays per day: 4.5

                Projected Win Rate: (47%-51%)
                Actual Win Rate: (52%)

                Projected payback on wins: (+1.275)
                Actual payback on wins: (+1.195)


                Program Grade: A


                just something that ill do every 50 plays... as you can see, the win rate is a little high and the payback on winners is too low, but all in all, things have started pretty well...


                im going to be hoepfully showing you something in this thread, this season, that you have not seen before.. the power of a computer program...


                Falcon
                Comment
                • shopbar picks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-08-10
                  • 2157

                  #43
                  i would call that sweep. Very nice
                  Comment
                  • The Investor
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-16-08
                    • 459

                    #44
                    toronto lost but close to a sweep...


                    Yesterday: 3-1 (+4.80 units)


                    2011 MLB: 29-25 (+18.82 units)


                    plays for tuesday april 12


                    tigers (+1.20) 2 units (penny/wilson) (day game)

                    tampa (+1.65) 2 units (price/lester)

                    oakland (+1.15) 2 units (cahill/jackson)

                    indians (+1.60) 2 units (carmona/haren)

                    cubs (+1.10) 2 units (russell/myers)

                    reds (+1.10) 2 units (lecure/richard)



                    I will be posting my Program's TOP NHL selections in this thread, starting tomorrow.. Follow along for the NHL playoffs...


                    Falcon
                    Comment
                    • losemyloot
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-26-11
                      • 697

                      #45
                      Love going 3-3 and the book owing me money. Keep up the good work Falcon! How does your program handle injuries like the one to Josh Hamilton?
                      Comment
                      • BWest
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-05-10
                        • 940

                        #46
                        Nice work!
                        Comment
                        • The Investor
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-16-08
                          • 459

                          #47
                          losemyloot: slightly lower their rating but not much

                          BWest: thanks


                          yesterday: 3-3 (+1.90 units)


                          2011 MLB: 32-28 (+20.72 units) (new high)

                          2011 NHL Playoffs: 0-0 (0.00 units)


                          plays for wednesday april 13


                          cardinals (+1.15) 2 units (westbrook/kennedy)

                          tampa (+1.40) 2 units (shields/lackey)

                          indians (+1.45) 2 units (carrasco/santana)


                          NHL Playoffs:

                          Vancouver (-1.70) ML (OT and SO included) 1 unit

                          Please notice that i am playing the NHL playoffs for only 1 unit...



                          if you have any questions concerning any game, please ask.. my Program runs every game...


                          Falcon
                          Comment
                          • The Investor
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-16-08
                            • 459

                            #48
                            yesterday: MLB: 1-1 (+0.30 units) NHLP: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                            2011 MLB: 33-29 (+21.02 units) (new high)

                            2011 NHLP: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                            plays for thursday april 14


                            Twins (+1.15) 2 units (pavano/shields)

                            Padres (+1.05) 2 units (moseley/norris)

                            Mets (+1.00) 2 units (delarosa/capuano) Game 2 of DH



                            NHL playoffs:

                            Buffalo (+1.40) ML (OT included) (0.72 units to win 1.00 units)


                            Please notice that the NHL playoff game is being played to WIN one unit only..


                            Falcon
                            Comment
                            • wan-ro-chi
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 12-19-09
                              • 11

                              #49
                              Nice work, are you playin NBA playoffs?
                              Comment
                              • The Investor
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-16-08
                                • 459

                                #50
                                yes they will be posted right here...


                                Falcon
                                Comment
                                • kram
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 04-14-11
                                  • 8

                                  #51
                                  Respects mr investor. not stellar but respectable keep it up ill be following now and again
                                  Comment
                                  • The Investor
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-16-08
                                    • 459

                                    #52
                                    Yesterday:
                                    MLB: 0-3 (-6.00 units)
                                    NHL: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                                    2011 MLB: 33-32 (+15.02 units)

                                    2011 NHLP: 2-0 (+2.00 units)

                                    2011 NBAP: 0-0 (0.00 units)


                                    plays for friday april 15


                                    Padres (+1.00) 2 units (harang/happ)

                                    Orioles (+1.00) 2 units (britton/masterson)

                                    Blue Jays (+1.65) 2 units (cecil/davis)

                                    Twins (+1.20) 2 units (blackburn/davis)

                                    WhiteSox (+1.10) 2 units (weaver/humbar)


                                    NHL Playoffs:

                                    Anaheim (-1.40) ML (OT included) ( to win 1 unit)



                                    Falcon
                                    Comment
                                    • The Investor
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-16-08
                                      • 459

                                      #53
                                      Yesterday:
                                      MLB: 2-3 (-0.70 units)
                                      NHLP: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                                      2011 MLB: 35-35 (+14.32 units)

                                      2011 NHLP: 3-0 (+3.00 units)

                                      2011 NBAP: 0-0 (0.00 units)



                                      plays for saturday april 16


                                      Blue Jays (+2.00) 2 units (reyes/beckett)

                                      Royals (+1.30) 2 units (osullivan/hernandez)

                                      Angels (+1.60) 2 units (chatwood/floyd)

                                      Oakland (+1.10) 2 units (braden/verlander)




                                      NHL playoffs:


                                      PHX (+1.50) ML (OT included) (0.67 units to win 1.00 units)



                                      NBA playoffs:


                                      Portland +5 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)




                                      Falcon
                                      Comment
                                      • Spaceviews
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 06-04-09
                                        • 799

                                        #54
                                        Great work! Is this program you are using something you came up with yourself? If so, Very Impressive- I know up top you had said that this program runs every game. If you don't mind me asking, why only 1 NHL pick? Is it that you only get one a night that hits a certain rating? Or a form of discipline? Thank you in advance! Break a Leg!!
                                        Comment
                                        • The Investor
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 02-16-08
                                          • 459

                                          #55
                                          i have a Base program that can be played 2 ways...

                                          1. Playing only the strongest or TOP play each day or in a "one at a time" manner...

                                          2. Playing all the Underdogs that should win SU... this is what im doing with baseball, as you see posted in this thread daily...


                                          Goals for MLB:
                                          4.5 plays per day
                                          47-51% winning rate
                                          (+1.27) payback on wins


                                          Goals for NBA:
                                          60% ATS


                                          Goals for NHL:
                                          simply to be profitable during the playoffs..




                                          Im very confident in what im doing with every sport, except the NHL.... perhaps now that problem is solved as well..


                                          Falcon
                                          Comment
                                          • The Investor
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-16-08
                                            • 459

                                            #56
                                            Yesterday:
                                            MLB: 3-1 (+6.00 units)
                                            NHLP: 0-1 (-0.67 units)
                                            NBAP: 0-1 (-1.10 units)



                                            2011 MLB: 38-36 (+20.32 units)

                                            2011 NHLP: 3-1 (+2.33 units)

                                            2011 NBAP: 0-1 (-1.10 units)


                                            plays for sun april 17


                                            orioles (+1.25) 2 units (bergesen/carmona)

                                            toronto (+2.05) 2 units (litsch/lester)

                                            padres (+1.15) 2 units (richard/myers)

                                            dodgers (+1.20) 2 units (carpenter/billingsley)



                                            NHL playoffs:

                                            Vancouver (+1.10) ML (OT included) (risking 1 unit)


                                            NBA playoffs:

                                            New Orleans +10 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)



                                            Falcon
                                            Comment
                                            • wan-ro-chi
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 12-19-09
                                              • 11

                                              #57
                                              good luck today!
                                              Comment
                                              • VicVega91
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 10-05-09
                                                • 519

                                                #58
                                                good luck today SSI
                                                Comment
                                                • The Investor
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 02-16-08
                                                  • 459

                                                  #59
                                                  thanks guys: if you are reading this thread, you are witnessing a Computer Program 18 months in the making. Here is a list of the Monthly Projected Goals for my MLB Program and the actual results for the first 18 days of the season...



                                                  Projected plays per day: 4.5
                                                  Actual plays per day: 4.33

                                                  Projected Win Rate: 47%-51%
                                                  Actual Win Rate: 51.2%

                                                  Projected payback on winners: (+1.27)
                                                  Actual payback on winners: (+1.21)



                                                  as as you can see, we are running close to the Projections.... If projections are met, the monthly goals for units WON should fall into the (+15-20) unit range... However i wager 2 units per play (2% of bankroll), so my Units won should reach the (+35-40) unit range per month and as you can see, we are right on track...


                                                  Yesterday:
                                                  MLB: 2-2 (+0.70 units)
                                                  NHLP: 1-0 (+1.10 units)
                                                  NBAP: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                                                  2011 MLB: 40-38 (+21.02 units)

                                                  2011 NHLP: 4-1 (+3.43 units)

                                                  2011 NBAP: 1-1 (-0.10 units)



                                                  plays for monday april 18


                                                  Padres (+1.30) 2 units (stauffer/zambrano)

                                                  Rockies (+1.15) 2 units (rogers/lincecum)

                                                  Dodgers (+1.20) 2 units (lilly/hudson)

                                                  Toronto (+1.20) 2 units (romero/diceK) (10 am cst start)

                                                  WhiteSox (+1.20) 2 units (jackson/price)

                                                  Twins (+1.00) 2 units (lirano/tillman)



                                                  NHL playoffs:

                                                  Flyers (+1.10) ML (OT included) (risking 1 unit)


                                                  NBA playoffs:

                                                  there are NO TOP nba plays for today




                                                  Falcon
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EasyHustlin
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-15-10
                                                    • 633

                                                    #60
                                                    Best of luck I'll be watching
                                                    Comment
                                                    • skm39
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-03-11
                                                      • 171

                                                      #61
                                                      Looks like you have something good going on here, keep it up
                                                      Comment
                                                      • The Investor
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-16-08
                                                        • 459

                                                        #62
                                                        thanks fellas, time will tell but im confident in what im doing...

                                                        yesterday:
                                                        mlb: 2-4 (-3.60 units)
                                                        nhlp: 1-0 (+1.10 units)
                                                        nbap: 0-0 (0.00 units)


                                                        2011 MLB: 42-42 (+17.42 units)

                                                        2011 NHLP: 5-1 (+4.53 units)

                                                        2011 NBAP: 1-1 (-0.10 units)



                                                        plays for tuesday april 19


                                                        padres (+1.05) 2 units (moseley/russell)

                                                        giants (+1.40) 2 units (sanchez/jiminez)

                                                        indians (+1.10) 2 units (gomez/chen)

                                                        boston (+1.10) 2 units (lackey/anderson)


                                                        NHL playoffs:

                                                        Vancouver (-1.30) ML (OT inc) (to win 1 unit)


                                                        NBA playoffs:

                                                        Portland +3.5 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)



                                                        Falcon
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The Investor
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 02-16-08
                                                          • 459

                                                          #63
                                                          yesterday:
                                                          mlb: 1-2 (-1.20 units)
                                                          nhlp: 0-1 (-1.30 units)
                                                          nbap: 0-1 (-1.10 units)



                                                          2011 MLB: 43-44 (+16.22 units)

                                                          2011 NHLP: 5-2 (+3.23 units)

                                                          2011 NBAP: 1-2 (-1.20 units)



                                                          plays for wed april 20


                                                          padres (+1.30) 2 units (moseley/garza) game 1

                                                          giants (+1.10) 2 units (cain/delarosa)

                                                          dodgers (+1.25) 2 units (garland/lowe)

                                                          tigers (+1.00) 2 units (porcello/bedard)

                                                          whitesox (+1.20) 2 units (humber/davis)

                                                          twins (+1.25) 2 units (blackburn/britton)


                                                          NHL playoffs:

                                                          Flyers (+1.10) ML (OT inc) (risking 1 unit)


                                                          NBA playoffs:

                                                          New Orleans +11.5 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)




                                                          Falcon
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The Investor
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-16-08
                                                            • 459

                                                            #64
                                                            yesterday:
                                                            mlb: 2-4 (-3.50 units)
                                                            nhlp: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
                                                            nbap: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                                                            2011 MLB: 45-48 (+12.72 units)

                                                            2011 NHLP: 5-3 (+2.23 units)

                                                            2011 NBAP: 2-2 (-0.20 units)


                                                            plays for thursday april 21


                                                            ariz (+1.25) 2 units (hudson/leake)

                                                            wash (+1.55) 2 units (gorzelanny/lohse)

                                                            houston (+1.30) 2 units (happ/capuano)

                                                            pitt (+1.30) 2 units (mcdonald/volstad)

                                                            phil (-1.05) 2 units (oswalt/latos)

                                                            angels (+1.45) 2 units (chatwood/beckett)

                                                            oakland (+1.30) 2 units (mccarthy/hernandez)


                                                            NHL playoffs:

                                                            boston (-1.10) ML (OT inc) (to win 1 unit)


                                                            NBA playoffs:

                                                            dallas +5.5 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)



                                                            Falcon
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Investor
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 02-16-08
                                                              • 459

                                                              #65
                                                              yesterday:
                                                              mlb: 1-6 (-10.00 units)
                                                              nhlp: 1-0 (+1.00 units)
                                                              nbap: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                                                              2011 MLB: 46-54 (+2.72 units)

                                                              2011 NHLP: 6-3 (+3.23 units)

                                                              2011 NBAP: 3-2 (+0.80 units)


                                                              plays for friday april 22


                                                              wash (+1.10) 2 units (hernandez/karstens)

                                                              fla (+1.00) 2 units (chacin/sanchez)

                                                              hou (+1.90) 2 units (figueroa/gallardo)

                                                              reds (+1.20) 2 units (volquez/mcclella)

                                                              cws (+1.45) 2 units (buehrle/verlander)

                                                              oak (+1.25) 2 units (ross/pineda)


                                                              NHL playoffs:

                                                              anaheim (-1.40) ML (OT inc) (to win 1 unit)


                                                              NBA playoffs:

                                                              Boston +3 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)



                                                              Falcon
                                                              Comment
                                                              • losemyloot
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-26-11
                                                                • 697

                                                                #66
                                                                No worries Falcon we are just hitting one of the valleys during the season the dogs will be back. Good luck!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sharlataans
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-13-10
                                                                  • 1927

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Bookies are having their systems tuned up, so hitting underdogs will be much harder than in the beginning of the season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Investor
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-16-08
                                                                    • 459

                                                                    #68
                                                                    yesterday:
                                                                    mlb: 1-3 (-4.00 units) (with a rainout and a pitching change)
                                                                    nhlp: 0-1 (-1.40 units)
                                                                    nbap: 1-0 (+1.00 units)


                                                                    2011 MLB:
                                                                    2 unit plays: 47-57 (-1.28 units)
                                                                    3 unit plays: 0-0 (0.00 units)

                                                                    2011 NHLP: 6-4 (+1.83 units)

                                                                    2011 NBAP: 4-2 (+1.80 units)


                                                                    plays for sat april 23

                                                                    dodgers (+1.10) 2 units (lilly/dempster)
                                                                    reds (+1.40) 2 units (wood/carpenter)
                                                                    wash (+1.05) 2 units (hernandez/karstens)
                                                                    fla (+1.00) 2 units (vasquez/hammel)

                                                                    oakland (-1.15) 3 units (cahill/vargas) TOP Play


                                                                    NHL playoffs:

                                                                    Montreal (+1.70) ML (OT inc)


                                                                    NBA playoffs:

                                                                    Dallas +4 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)



                                                                    Falcon
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Investor
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-16-08
                                                                      • 459

                                                                      #69
                                                                      yesterday:
                                                                      mlb: 2-3 (-0.20 units)
                                                                      nhlp: 0-1 (-1.00 units)
                                                                      nbap: 1-0 (+1.00 units)

                                                                      2011 MLB:
                                                                      2 unit plays: 48-60 (-4.48 units)
                                                                      3 unit plays: 1-0 (+3.00 units)

                                                                      2011 NHLP: 6-5 (+0.83 units)

                                                                      2011 NBAP: 5-2 (+2.80 units)


                                                                      plays for sunday april 24

                                                                      listed for 2 units
                                                                      wsox (+1.15)
                                                                      tampa (+1.25)
                                                                      wash (+1.20)
                                                                      hou (+1.40)
                                                                      dodgers (+1.10)


                                                                      Giants (-1.25) 3 units (beachy/sanchez) TOP Play


                                                                      NHL playoffs:
                                                                      flyers (+1.10) ML (OT inc) (risking 1 unit)

                                                                      NBA Playoffs:
                                                                      Orlando -2 (-1.10) (to win 1 unit)


                                                                      there may be an addition later today

                                                                      Falcon
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Investor
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 02-16-08
                                                                        • 459

                                                                        #70
                                                                        MLB Program Plays: 51-62 (-1.38 units)

                                                                        TOP Program Plays;
                                                                        MLB: 1-1 (-0.75 units)
                                                                        NHLP: 7-5 (+1.93 units)
                                                                        NBAP: 5-3 (+1.70 units)


                                                                        plays for mon april 25

                                                                        oak (+1.40) 1 unit
                                                                        wash (+1.10) 1 unit
                                                                        col (+1.15) 1 unit
                                                                        reds (+1.15) 1 unit

                                                                        all 2 unit program plays are now for 1 unit only, listed pitchers.


                                                                        TOP Program plays

                                                                        Phillies (-1.40) 2 units (lee/kennedy)

                                                                        LA Kings (+1.10) 2 unit ML (OT inc)

                                                                        Memphis +1.5 (-1.10) 2 units


                                                                        all TOP program plays are now for 2 units..


                                                                        Falcon
                                                                        Comment
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