Jazz 2011 MLB thread

[jazznfl101]

I'll be posting MLB plays in unit sizes between 1-3. Furthermore, my wagers will be based on a $4,000 bank roll. For those with bankrolls smaller or larger than what I'm going by-I'll not only be referencing unit size, but I'll also state how big of a wager each game is in terms of % as it pertains to my bankroll size. That way you can go percentage size for each game instead of unit size, a technique I learned from handicapper Maxlock. I'll be posting and keeping detailed records of my unit size growth.

I'm confident this will be a great MLB investing season. For money management techniques I suggest reading this article:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/1000632-money-management-maxlock-loading.html

P.S. I'll be using lines off of sportsbook.com as a reference point

[jazznfl101]

Two opening day plays will be posted tomorrow as soon as the lines come out.

[ShowMeDaMoney]

will pop in to see what you have... I like to get aggressive early.

[jazznfl101]

I'm looking forward to sharing info/picks/thoughts. I have two plays already capped and ready to post, but I'm just waiting for some more books to release their odds. Then I'll post the plays with the unit size.

[ShowMeDaMoney]

How have you done in the past? Baseball the only sport I beat consistently

[jazznfl101]

How have you done in the past? Baseball the only sport I beat consistently

I've done pretty good in the past, but this is the first year where I'm documenting from the start. NFL is actually my area of expertise. Absolutely kill it, I'm hoping for similar results in MLB.

[jazznfl101]

3/31/11 Opening Day: odds off sportsbook.com as of 3/30 5:00 pm eastern

1) Washington (ML +125) over Atlanta
-Risk 1.5 units to win 1.88=Risking 150 to win 188=Risking 3.8% of initial bankroll (which stands at 4000)

2) Los Angels Angels (Run Line +115) over Kansas City
-Risk 1.5 units to win 1.73=Risking 150 to win 173=Risking 3.9% of bankroll (which stands at 3800)

Hopefully all these "% of initial bankrolls" isn't confusing anyone. If you have any questions just let me know, I'll be happy to explain what I'm doing here or better yet just read Maxlocks' article on from the first post. Percentage of bankroll is basically a reference point for those with bankroll that are not my size.

BOL for Thursday!!

YTD: 0-0- 0 Units..3 Units Risked to win 3.61

[ShowMeDaMoney]

on LAA as well... money line though. Locked in at -139... see this one gettin closer to -150 around game time.

[jazznfl101]

on LAA as well... money line though. Locked in at -139... see this one gettin closer to -150 around game time.

Bol.taking anyone else?

[jazznfl101]

Opening Day Recap:

1) Washington ML +125 over Atlanta: LOSE 1.50 UNITS........Washington 0 Atlanta 2

2) LA Angels RL +115 over KC Royals: WON 1.77 UNITS........LA Angels 4 KC Royals 2

YTD: 1-1: +.27 UNITS

[jazznfl101]

April 1, 2011
odds of 5Dimes as of 6:00 pm eastern 3/31. For tracking purposes I wont be playing half units anymore past opening day, all wagers will be between 2-4 units (This is based on a season opening bankroll of 4000)

YTD: 1-1= +.27 UNITS

1) Texas Rangers (Money Line +112) over Boston
*Risk 2 units to win 2.24= Risk $200 to win $224

2) Toronto Blue Jays (Run Line +160) over Minnesota
*Risk 2 units to win to win 3.2=Risking $200 to win $320

3) Tampa Bay (Run Line +105) over Baltimore
*Risk 2 units to win 2.10=Risking $200 to win $210

4) Florida Marlins (Run Line +125) over NY Mets
*Risk 2 units to win 2.50=Risking $200 to win $250

5) BOL!!

YTD: 1-1= +.27 UNITS

[Viperpiper]

tailing!

[jazznfl101]

4/1/11 RECAP:

1) Texas Rangers ML +112 over Boston: WON 2.24 UNITS....9-5

2) Toronto RL +160 over Minnesota: WON 3.2 UNITS....13-3

3) Tampa Bay RL +105 over Baltimore: LOSS 2.0 UNITS...1-4

4) Florida RL +125 over NY Mets: WON 2.5 UNITS....6-2

4/1/11 Total: 3-1= +5.94 UNITS

YTD: 4-2= +6.17 UNITS


I'll be posting 4/2/11 plays soon

[jazznfl101]

4/2/11 MLB PLAYS: odds off 5Dimes

YTD: 4-2=+6.17

1) *Parlay: Philadelphia (ML -240) WITH St. Louis (ML -150)
Risk 4.0 to win 5.44 Play of the Day*

2) Oakland Athletics (RL +110) over Seattle
Risk 2.0 to win 2.20

3) St. Louis Cardinals (RL +140) over San Diego
Risk 2.0 to win 2.80

4) Texas Rangers (ML -115) over Boston
Risk 2.30 to win 2.00

5) Arizona (ML +145) over Colorado
Risk 2.0 to win 2.90

6) Florida (RL +140) over NY Mets
Risk 2.0 to win 2.80

7) Tampa Bay (RL +140) over Baltimore
Risk 3.0 to win 4.20

YTD: 4-2: +6.17

[CanuckG]

GL. Where did you get the A's at +110?

[Iced]

Seconded. And where did you get the Rangers ML +105?

[Crnjak]

I agree with Florida (RL +140) over NY Mets

[jazznfl101]

GL. Where did you get the A's at +110?

Seconded. And where did you get the Rangers ML +105?

My bad, I was writing these figures in past 3am, tired as hell. Correction made to A's RL +110 not ML and for the Rangers I was accidentally looking at Red Sox +105, when it was suppose to be Rangers ML -115. Corrections made.

[jazznfl101]

YTD: 4-2= +6.17 UNITS

7 PLAYS today: risking a total of 17.3 units to win 22.34. LETS DO THIS!!

[jazznfl101]

Got clipped pretty good today. Starting pitching was strong for my teams for the most part, but the relief and hitting just weren't there.

I'll get it back tomorrow, take that to the bank. I'll post the 4 plays 9 am eastern Sunday.

YTD: 5-8: -6.83 Units

[jazznfl101]

1) 3 Team ML Parlay: Boston Red Sox+Colorado Rockies+Oakland Athletics
Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $660

2) Boston Red Sox (RL +120) over Texas Rangers
Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $240

3) Oakland A's (RL +120) over Seattle Mariners
Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $240

4) Minnesota Twins (ML +125) over Toronto Blue Jays
Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $250

[dantanner]

What is the point is risking different amounts for different games? Why not just bet the 200 every single time? You bet three on Tampa bay, and two most everywhere else except the 4 on the Parlay. Just wondering??

[jazznfl101]

What is the point is risking different amounts for different games? Why not just bet the 200 every single time? You bet three on Tampa bay, and two most everywhere else except the 4 on the Parlay. Just wondering??

I liked Tampa quite a bit in that game thus giving it 3 units. Never thought Tillman would have the game he did, nothing in his track record pointed to such a great outing.

[jazznfl101]

1) 3 Team ML Parlay: Boston Red Sox+Colorado Rockies+Oakland Athletics Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $660
2) Boston Red Sox (RL +120) over Texas Rangers Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $240
3) Oakland A's (RL +120) over Seattle Mariners Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $240
4) Minnesota Twins (ML +125) over Toronto Blue Jays Risk 2 Units: Risking $200 to win $250

2-2 day but +.90 UNITS so we're heading in the right direction.

YTD: -5.93 UNITS

[jazznfl101]

4/3/11

#1-Baltimore Orioles (ML -120) over Detroit Tigers
Risk 2.4 units to win 2: Risking $240 to win $200

#2- Seattle Mariners (ML +145) over Texas Rangers
Risk 2.0 units to win 2.90: Risking $200 to win $290

#3- Chicago Cubs (ML -105) over Arizona Diamondbacks
Risk 2.10 units to win 2.0: Risking $210 to win $200

#4- New York Yankees (RL +130) over Minnesota Twins
Risk 2.0 units to win 2.60: Risking $200 to win $260

#5- St. Louis Cardinals (RL +125) over Pittsburgh Pirates
Risk 2.0 units to win 2.50: Risking $200 to win $250