How Fast Can I Blow $20,000

pokernut9999 · 04-25-08, 04:21 PM

Just keep in mind that if you are taking favorites all the time you will have to hit a lot more than 54% when you have teams -119 to -160 in the equation.

CashMoney · 04-25-08, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by pokernut9999

Just keep in mind that if you are taking favorites all the time you will have to hit a lot more than 54% when you have teams -119 to -160 in the equation.

I don't always take favs. Just happened to work out that way today. Thanks for the tip though.

nysmoneyman · 04-25-08, 08:24 PM

the book always win in the end...can't be done...not betting everyday

St. Andrew · 04-25-08, 11:09 PM

Originally posted by nysmoneyman

the book always win in the end...can't be done...not betting everyday

Yes it can. You can bet every single day and still beat the book by the end of the year.

emat · 04-25-08, 11:17 PM

Too many plays. Better off upping your $\unit and try picking 1 or possibly 2 games per day. Betting that many games every day, you will lose eventually.

20Four7 · 04-25-08, 11:21 PM

GL but when giving that much juice your not getting any value. The value comes in when you get a team that should be favored and they are a dog.

St. Andrew · 04-25-08, 11:24 PM

Originally posted by emat

Too many plays. Better off upping your $\unit and try picking 1 or possibly 2 games per day. Betting that many games every day, you will lose eventually.

I agree with this 100%, but damnit it is hard to discipline myself to one or two. I normally have four or five plays that I like each day. You are correct: the trick is to pick the very best one and wave goodbye to the others...and not look back. If you can do it, you're a warrior.

regularguy · 04-26-08, 12:59 AM

Ouch.

That's why I try hard to stick with dogs, especially dogs with decent pitching on the mound.

cobra_king · 04-26-08, 02:53 AM

No such thing as to many plays. You bet whenever you have an edge on the line being offered. If that means one game for the day or ten games it makes no difference.

CashMoney · 04-26-08, 08:59 AM

Yesterdays picks 4/25/08
Redsox -119 $500 to win $420.17

Cubs -127 $500 to win $393.70

Reds -138 $500 to win $363.32

Brewers -160 $500 to win $312.50

Angels - 106 $500 to win $471.70

Yankees -134 $500 to win $373.13

Blue Jays -104 $500 to $480.77

A fantastic start going 1-6 losing $2,528.30. The roll has been reduced to $17,471.70. Today I will be attempting to limit my plays and hit big.

CashMoney · 04-26-08, 09:27 AM

Picks 4/26/08

Astros/Cardinals U8 -125 $500 to win $400
Diamondbacks -125 $500 to win $400
RedSox -135 $500 to win $370.37
Cubs -165 $500 to win $303.03
Blue Jays -125 $500 to win $400

Another all favorites day. The juice on the Cubs is high but what the hell, their only paper plays anyway.

YTD 1-6 -$2,528.30

Doc JS · 04-26-08, 09:53 AM

How Fast Can I Blow $20,000
If you continue to lay the big juice on ML favorites, it won't take long.

CashMoney · 04-27-08, 08:44 AM

Results 4/26/08

Astros/Cardinals U8 -125 $500 to win $400

Diamondbacks -125 $500 to win $400

RedSox -135 $500 to win $370.37

Cubs -165 $500 to win $303.03

Blue Jays -125 $500 to win $400

2-3 - $796.97

YTD 3-9 -$3,325.27

CashMoney · 04-27-08, 09:01 AM

Picks 4/27/08

Mets +105 $500 to win $525
Cubs -125 $500 to win $400
Twins +115 $500 to win $575
Diamondbacks EVEN $500 to win $500
Rockies -110 $500 to win $454.54

With a 3-9 record over the last few days you people may want to start fading me and making big $$$$.

nysmoneyman · 04-27-08, 09:12 AM

should of taken seattle today...seattle's ace is on the mound...may be the best pick of the day

pokernut9999 · 04-27-08, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by CashMoney

Results 4/26/08

Astros/Cardinals U8 -125 $500 to win $400

Diamondbacks -125 $500 to win $400

RedSox -135 $500 to win $370.37

Cubs -165 $500 to win $303.03

Blue Jays -125 $500 to win $400

2-3 - $796.97

YTD 3-9 -$3,325.27

Astros/Cards U8 was a winner
Blue Jays -125 was a loser

Ekotensa · 04-27-08, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by emat

Too many plays. Better off upping your $\unit and try picking 1 or possibly 2 games per day. Betting that many games every day, you will lose eventually.

.

Hi,

Agree with the quoted post. Less games daily is much better.

What ever the case, Good Luck on your plays.

.

CashMoney · 04-27-08, 03:25 PM

Corrected Results 4/26/08

Astros/Cardinals U8 -125 $500 to win $400

Diamondbacks -125 $500 to win $400

RedSox -135 $500 to win $370.37

Cubs -165 $500 to win $303.03

Blue Jays -125 $500 to win $400

2-3 - $796.97

Thanks to pokernut9999 for pointing out the errors.

YTD 3-9 -$3,325.27

boxcar · 04-27-08, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by cobra_king

No such thing as to many plays. You bet whenever you have an edge on the line being offered. If that means one game for the day or ten games it makes no difference.

Respectfully I think this misses the point a bit. Of course you always bet when you have an advantage. Having so many plays a night suggests you're betting plays where there is no advantage.

cobra_king · 04-28-08, 01:24 AM

I was commenting more on the general (and wrong) assumption that people should automatically limit their number of plays.

For those who haven't defined that they have an edge than i'd agree with you that the fewer the plays the better as generally speaking those players are making -EV bets.

CashMoney · 04-28-08, 06:43 AM

Results 4/27/08

Mets +105 $500 to win $525

Cubs -125 $500 to win $400

Twins +115 $500 to win $575

Diamondbacks EVEN $500 to win $500

Rockies -110 $500 to win $454.54

2-3 -$475

YTD 5-12 -$3,800.27

OK....time to get more serious about this. At this rate my roll would be done in about 15 days. I'll be limiting my plays from here on out to a maximum of 3 games, possibly 1 or 2 but definately a max of 3 games.

CashMoney · 04-28-08, 08:34 AM

Picks 4/28/08

White Sox -1.5 +140 $3,000 wins $4,200

CashMoney · 04-28-08, 05:42 PM

White Sox -1.5 +140 $3,000 wins $4,200

Roll is now at $13,199.73 with a record of 5-13 -$6800.27

Adding the Yankees +102 $6,826.75 to win $7,000.

Bankroll should be pretty much gone in a few days

pico · 04-28-08, 06:20 PM

you should do a 4 team parlay with all favs...if it hits, then you'll be up

pokernut9999 · 04-29-08, 12:30 AM

Up $199.73 with a 6-13 record.

CashMoney · 04-29-08, 06:31 AM

Hmmm....jumped the gun on the White Sox game. Games was suspended in the 11th inning with a 3-3 tie. If this had been an actual wager would it be no action? The stats for the game are going to count but the 12 inning is going to be played at a later date in time with no announcement as to when that will happen.

Poll - No Action or Loss ?

pokernut9999 · 04-29-08, 06:38 AM

It was a loss.

CashMoney · 04-29-08, 06:44 AM

OK....loss it is.

Record 6-13 +199.73
Bank Roll = $20,199.73

Be back later this afternoon with what will hopefully begin a solid win streak.

CashMoney · 04-29-08, 11:50 AM

Picks 4/29/08

Rockies Even $500 to win $500
White Sox Even $500 to win $500

OLGC_Slayer · 04-29-08, 01:01 PM

White Sox look good today. There is a chance that Gomez wont play tonight for the Twinkies, and Bonser has been struggling.

CashMoney · 04-30-08, 06:36 AM

Results 4/29/08

Rockies Even $500 to win $500

White Sox Even $500 to win $500

1-1 $0

So much for starting a win streak

A straight wash for the day.

Record

Record 7-14 + $199.73
Roll - $20,199.73

CashMoney · 04-30-08, 08:41 AM

Picks 4/30/08

Braves -115 $1,150 wins $1,000
Dodgers -115 $1,150 wins $1,000
Blue Jays +155 $800 wins $1,240

Clean sweep today fellas

CashMoney · 05-01-08, 07:56 AM

Results 4/30/08

Braves -115 $1,150 wins $1,000

Dodgers -115 $1,150 wins $1,000

Blue Jays +155 $800 wins $1,240

1-2 -$950

YTD 8-16 -$750.27

So much for a clean sweep

8 Wins and 16 Losses is horrible but I could be down a lot more than I am.

CashMoney · 05-01-08, 09:29 AM

Picks 5/1/08

Dodgers -140 $2,100 to win $1500
Dodgers -1.5 +120 $500 to win $600

Let's go Dodgers