CappinTerps MLB Thread 2011

[CappinTerp]

NATS/BREW - UNDER 7.5 -115 (1X) Two good pitchers plus wind blowing in from RT/CEN. @ 19MPH.

[CappinTerp]

NATS game just canceled.

[CappinTerp]

yanks/rangers under 10 -110(1x)...gl

[befus]

NATS game just canceled.

So it's definately an under.......

[befus]

Split today 1-1 for a -0.01 unit,still taking it slow and conservative for about another week and then ready to pounce.

MLB 22 - 26
YTD - 9.65

Don't know if I will do any pouncing (hope so), but I too am treading pretty lightly for a bit longer. Played a few action plays and did put a little on the Mets (Carrasco-Lowe) o8-120, and Tor o8ev. GL my friend! Missed Balt or I would have taken them and lost. Still struggling here I am sad to report.

[CappinTerp]

ny/tx - under 10 (1x)


mlb 23 - 26
ytd -8.65

[CappinTerp]

fld/phil over 8.5 -115(2x)....gl

[CappinTerp]

BALT. +125(2X) Hate to buck trends but this line looks low to me. I know Carmona had 2 good outings but he has a 6.15 ERA IN 45.1 INNINGS career vs. Balt. ....GL

[CappinTerp]

BALT +125 (2X)
PHIL/FLD OVER (2X)


MLB 23-28
TYD -12.95

[mlb]

get em tomorrow!

[CappinTerp]

I have always said that baseball is a game of form and streaks and therefore the 1st 2-3 weeks are the hardest to handicap.!! All front line starters have had at least 3 starts by now.....so you know what.? Three weeks are up.!!

[CappinTerp]

BOSTON -126(4X)- This line is suspiciously low.! Dice K in 2 starts: 7 innings,10 ER,WHIP OF 2.71.! Romero in 21.2 innings: 4ER,20 K's, 1.66 and a WHIP of 0.92.!! So why are the Soxs the fav.??

[CappinTerp]

On the above I meant the line being susp. high.!! Also Dice K ERA...12.86 and they say be has been throwing " batting pratice" in live games and he is the fav. in this game.!!!!???

[CappinTerp]

Go Red Sox.!!

[BayArea888]

good call on this one...i missed it though!!! any plays for the late games?

[CappinTerp]

Thanks BayArea888 not sure about the other games, I will have time later to look at them.

RED SOX -126 (4X)
MLB 24 - 28
YTD - 8.95

[BayArea888]

hey CappinTerps, i have a couple plays i am feeling pretty good about, but would like some feedback before i finalize...

what do you guys think about Minny tonight? i think getting Liriano at about even money is a good price. the Twinkies are off to a slow start, but a series against the O's may provide the right spark. Liriano should pitch lights out against the O's offense (averaging 0.249 against Liriano).

i also like the under in the CLE@KC game. winds are blowing towards home plate at 14 mph. i think it is either under or KC in this match-up.

[CappinTerp]

BayArea888 I think you are on the right side with Minn. Twins are off to a slow start they have only won 5 games the whole year, but Balt. is ice cold. As for the total on the CLEV/KC GAME. IMO wind blowing in or out at < 15mph most often has little impact on a game.( only exception is Wrigely field) Best of luck to you, I may take a pass on the night card.

[BayArea888]

BayArea888 I think you are on the right side with Minn. Twins are off to a slow start they have only won 5 games the whole year, but Balt. is ice cold. As for the total on the CLEV/KC GAME. IMO wind blowing in or out at < 15mph most often has little impact on a game.( only exception is Wrigely field) Best of luck to you, I may take a pass on the night card.

Thanks for the insight. I think I will go small on minny and lay off on the rest. Although I do really like kc and detroit tonight, I will try to exercise better money management and limit number of plays.

[CappinTerp]

MINN/BALT - YES- A score in the 1st inn. -115(1x) -Dont usually bet this prop. Liriano is notorious for coming out very strong or weak. This year in all 3 starts he hasn't given up a run until the 4th inn. and still has a ERA of 9.00+. On the other side Tillman has given up a 1st inn. run in 2 of 3 starts. I have followed Liriano a lot last season so for me this is worth a 1x bet.

[CappinTerp]

MIN/BALT YES 1ST -115(1X)

MLB 24-29
YTD - 10.10

[BayArea888]

it was a close one for Minny, but they pulled through...

i like Boston tomorrow, i think that +money is a ridiculously awesome price for Lackey against the A's...why are the A'S even favored? is this a trap?

also really liking Texas on the run line. maybe an if-bet, if BOS then TEX?

[CappinTerp]

REVERSE: SD +102 and LA -115(2X)
ARZ. + 147(1X)
CWS/TB OVER 7.5 -110(1X)

[mlb]

REVERSE: SD +102 and LA -115(2X) ARZ. + 147(1X) CWS/TB OVER 7.5 -110(1X)

you taking the angels +1.5?

[mlb]

and just heard that SD/Chi is rained out .. good luck on your others

[BayArea888]

you taking the angels +1.5?

i think he went with LA Dodgers...

[mlb]

i think he went with LA Dodgers...

oops ... sorry ... thank you sir

[BayArea888]

oops ... sorry ... thank you sir

no problem. btw, any thoughts on BOS? is this a trap?

[CappinTerp]

No bayarea I like the R.SOX but can not seem to pull the trigger. And thanks mlb I bet the reverse before the rain out, so that means I have double action on LA.!! I dont know if I will hedge it but if I do I will let everyone know.

[CappinTerp]

I wanted to make sure nobody missed this. If you tailed me on the reverse, I understand that the SD/CHI has been postponed. So this means that you now have 4 units on LA.!! You may hedge if you wish, I have decided not to. GL

[befus]

On ChiSox and TOR light tonite. GL Terp.

[BayArea888]

i think i may hop on a LAD for a small unit tonight, although it pains me to do so...

also thinking of a small parlay on TEX rl with BOS ml...pays 1 to 3. thoughts?

[CappinTerp]

Just walked in BayArea888 no opinion on Tex or Bos. Also good luck to you also befus.!!

[CappinTerp]

Running late guys yesterday on the reverse had one rain out and LA lost for a -4.60,lost the total for -1.10 and hit on ARZ. for + 1.47. So the net on the day was - 4.23

MLB 25 - 31
YTD -14.37

[BayArea888]

liking Cain today at plus money...Giants bats are hot and hit De la Rosa for an average of 0.280, while the Rocks hit Cain for 0.202. Cain's been amazing on the mound and that continues today.