John Morrison 2011 MLB

[Kev the Brit]

hagball:

Notes: If anyone is on Morrison's V3 mailing list, please post his response if any at all.

With the V3 system he sends out a single e-mail on the A Bet date detailing the selected team(s) with a reminder to play the B bet if necessary. I've never seen any comments about the previous selections.

[thelimit0310]

What do you all think of the threads with "no runs" first inning? I was testing out the labby method based on the first 10 days of this month if you were to run 3 lines with traditional labby method it would of only netted 2.5 units. With the biggest bet being 17 units. This is if you bet every game for the AL.

Record was something like 38 wins 36 losses. I would expect that to actually net more profit with labby method, but some reason it did not turn out that way. I would think no runs 1st inning it hit at a much higher %, but apparently not.

looks like "DaBa" has a good thread going on with his +100 to +160 1st running inning odds system. If you all haven't checked it out, i suggest looking it over. You would have to pay attention through out the day though cause the system is based on time. 1st bet on noon, 2nd bet 530, 3rd bet at 730 etc. Guess you don't really have to pay attention, but you would have to log into your sports book multiple times through out the day. Well worth it though considering hes up well over 100 units. Maybe even 300 units if im reading his #s right.

GL today everyone.

Thanks for the D bet on texas

Its all theory at this point though it does look promising. He's had a continuous thread for over a year now. He actually has refined it to a few different methods. I had trouble following all his different methods and such so never gave it a run.

[J.M. Disciple]

If you followed all of DaBA's martingale and labby method for his Fav / dog you would actually be up 570 units so far this season!!!! Talk about a lucrative system. Of course the systems over lap since one system is just martingale and other one is labby. Just means instead of betting to win 1 unit on a game you are actually betting to win 2.

I'm still trying to figure out exactly how his system works, but looks promising.

[Wallco99]

Wallco, I've a question: I've noticed today there won't be the second (D) bet, can you tell me if you already know when it will be played?

Tomorrow

[Wallco99]

Wallco, just pointing out it's LA Angels @ Florida tonight.

Can't wait for the official plays!

Fixed, sorry about that.

[schenker88]

hi wallco i live in europe and there is 7 pm a very late time when shall u post at last if all the plays r official?

[J.M. Disciple]

Its all theory at this point though it does look promising. He's had a continuous thread for over a year now. He actually has refined it to a few different methods. I had trouble following all his different methods and such so never gave it a run.

When I first read the thread he has at the beginning, i thought he was just doing yes / no for first run innings taking all the +odds. Now as you said it has been redefined so im slightly thrown off. His spread sheets are kinda confusing as well. I wrote a little post on his forum, so hopefully i get a nice reply to that and we can all figure out exactly how his system works.

There is def a very lucrative method behind it though. In all honesty I think labbying just about every game should work if done correctly. I mean how often does a MLB game actually score a run in the 1st inning? I think i seen a stat some where that said .60 runs scored in the 1st inning for all mLB games based on 2007.

That doesn't mean there is a run 60% of the time in the first inning. I guess i will have to do some of my own back testing in order to figure this out. I seen some one else post something about 70-80% of the time there is no run 1st inning, but it wasn't referenced, so some what of a skewed stat.

ANyways GL once again, lets get this TExas bet.

I'm on Texas -1.5 and LAA / FLA (no runs 1st inning)

[Wallco99]

Wallco MLB PLU$$$ - Plays for 6/20/11
2011 System to date: 100-7
System profit/loss: +18.24 units (finished series)
Since my first post: -2.02 units (85-7) (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-14.00 units)

Houston @ Texas (-1½) (D) *Official* (8:05 pm EDT)
L.A. Angels (M/L) @ Florida (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
L.A. Angels (-1½) @ Florida (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EDT)
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (-1½) (A) (7:05 pm EDT)
Tampa Bay (M/L) @ Milwaukee (A) *Official* (8:10 pm EDT)


** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.

[dlunc3]

Gl tonight wallco.. love seeing both you and the G man on texas!

[jphil]

hagball:With the V3 system he sends out a single e-mail on the A Bet date detailing the selected team(s) with a reminder to play the B bet if necessary. I've never seen any comments about the previous selections.

Ever any listings of the v3 w/l standings? If not, then maybe someone who purchased v3 could e-mail him for the yr. to date stats. That way we'd know if the recent v3 was a win for him using the r/l. I don't play v3 anymore , but i'm still keepin better track of the sys. this yr. Plus it was an interleauge play. Not sure if that came into play at all w/ the v3. There's another filter.

[thelimit0310]

When I first read the thread he has at the beginning, i thought he was just doing yes / no for first run innings taking all the +odds. Now as you said it has been redefined so im slightly thrown off. His spread sheets are kinda confusing as well. I wrote a little post on his forum, so hopefully i get a nice reply to that and we can all figure out exactly how his system works.

There is def a very lucrative method behind it though. In all honesty I think labbying just about every game should work if done correctly. I mean how often does a MLB game actually score a run in the 1st inning? I think i seen a stat some where that said .60 runs scored in the 1st inning for all mLB games based on 2007.

That doesn't mean there is a run 60% of the time in the first inning. I guess i will have to do some of my own back testing in order to figure this out. I seen some one else post something about 70-80% of the time there is no run 1st inning, but it wasn't referenced, so some what of a skewed stat.

ANyways GL once again, lets get this TExas bet.

I'm on Texas -1.5 and LAA / FLA (no runs 1st inning)

I know how it works, but your not supposed to use all the methods at once, he's just listing them to find out which one works the best so he can incorporate it as a system. What you do is group the games by start time, make sure the games your betting on are at least 30 mins apart to allow the first inning to finish, and only chose games where "No" is + money (the dog labby, which seems to be the best working method). Then you play all the games that made it through those filters.

TAKE CAUTION: The unit count is great but bankroll isn't taken into consideration, I believe there was already a time this season where the dog labby went on a losing run that would have wiped out all your bankroll. Things like that aren't noted because it's not a system, only a theory.

[Wallco99]

Wallco MLB PLU$$$ - Plays for 6/20/11
2011 System to date: 100-7
System profit/loss: +18.24 units (finished series)
Since my first post: -2.02 units (85-7) (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-14.00 units)

Houston @ Texas (-1½) (D) *Official* (8:05 pm EDT)
L.A. Angels (M/L) @ Florida (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
L.A. Angels (-1½) @ Florida (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (M/L) (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh (-1½) (A) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
Tampa Bay (M/L) @ Milwaukee (A) *Official* (8:10 pm EDT)


** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.

[peeiempee]

Texas is the play. There's a C bet on RedSox for System Integrity, but I don't like the line movement and Padres are facing a new pitcher. Could be hit or miss. But the line keeps creeping for Rangers

[J.M. Disciple]

I know how it works, but your not supposed to use all the methods at once, he's just listing them to find out which one works the best so he can incorporate it as a system. What you do is group the games by start time, make sure the games your betting on are at least 30 mins apart to allow the first inning to finish, and only chose games where "No" is + money (the dog labby, which seems to be the best working method). Then you play all the games that made it through those filters.

TAKE CAUTION: The unit count is great but bankroll isn't taken into consideration, I believe there was already a time this season where the dog labby went on a losing run that would have wiped out all your bankroll. Things like that aren't noted because it's not a system, only a theory.

Ya he posted in his thread that the dogs were very streaky. I am just going to labby the favorites i think. Someone posted also to take the highest odds based on time. I am not sure what it meant by the highest odds. Does that mean a game that is -200 or a game that is closer to +100? In Theory the higher the juice the more wins you should have hence a bigger edge on one side, however, it would also be bigger bets. Similarly to taking ML favorites.

Can you list what games games the bets are on today?
I'll scroll right now and see what i see, even though a lot of games already started. I'm just curious to see if i understand this system fully now.

Thanks
JMD

[goodone]

If you followed all of DaBA's martingale and labby method for his Fav / dog you would actually be up 570 units so far this season!!!! Talk about a lucrative system. Of course the systems over lap since one system is just martingale and other one is labby. Just means instead of betting to win 1 unit on a game you are actually betting to win 2.

I'm still trying to figure out exactly how his system works, but looks promising.

Hi JMD, have you got the link to that thread? Would be nice, thanks!

[dlunc3]

ok tex... thats the kinda start that we expect!

[J.M. Disciple]

Hi JMD, have you got the link to that thread? Would be nice, thanks!

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/550403-dabas-1st-inning-strategy-p216.html

Its a bit confusing. Just post stuff on his thread and hopefully questions get answered. I posted a coulple questions, so hopefully they get answered soon. Dont want to clog this thread too much.

[305GURU]

any thought on det/LA

[J.M. Disciple]

any thought on det/LA

If your trying to bet 1st run inning. Det is at .61 runs scored 1st inning. LAD is .45 runs in 1st inning this season on average.

http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game

LAD allow .27 runs 1st inning for their opponents
Det allos .35 runs 1st inning for their opponents.

This seems like a good bet to me.

[dc0106]

I cannot knock John Morrison or Tan or whatever his name is on his NBA, WNBA, MLB, NHL or NFL bets. I have made a lot of money with them. But what type of system are you guys using? Is it more effective? I don't know if you guys bet on WNBA picks but last season I made a killing in WNBA. I don't know anything about the teams or players and have no interest in watching the games but the money was real good. It's undefeated this season so far also. Tomorrow, will be an "A" bet on Phoenix Mercury (buy 3 points).

[dc0106]

I would like to learn about these additional systems you are posting about. DaBA's martingale and labby method? What is that?

[1gamer]

CASH! The Rangers (D)
CASH! The Rays
CASH! The Angels

[peeiempee]

Nice win on Rangers. I put in some extra cash on that one. I went with Brewers or it would have been a monster nite. But still a killing. Up 20 units if dodgers runline comes through

[Glada Tartan]

C´mon Pittsburgh

[Wallco99]

Wallco MLB PLU$$$
2011 System to date: 103-7
System profit/loss: +21.53 units (finished series)
Since my first post: +1.26 units (88-7) (fin. series)
Current open series: 4 (-10.05 units)

(6/20/11) Texas (-1½) (D) – Win
(6/20/11) Pittsburgh (M/L) (A) – Loss
(6/20/11) Pittsburgh (-1½) (A) – Loss
(6/20/11) L.A. Angels (M/L) (A) – Win
(6/20/11) L.A. Angels (-1½) (A) – Loss
(6/20/11) Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) – Win


(A) 56-58
(B) 25-30
(C) 14-16
(D) 8-7


Games for (6/21/11):
Philadelphia (-1½) @ St. Louis (D) *Official* (8:15 pm EDT)
L.A. Angels (-1½) @ Florida (B) (7:10 pm EDT)
Baltimore (M/L) @ Pittsburgh (B) (7:05 pm EDT)
Baltimore (-1½) @ Pittsburgh (B) (7:05 pm EDT)
Oakland (M/L) @ N.Y. Mets (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
Minnesota (M/L) @ San Francisco (A) *Official* (10:15 pm EDT)


** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.

[hagball52]

A proud JM supporter here. All what counts is the opening line not the closing that's the system. The San Fran V3 6/19/11 B bet should be counted as a loss. V3 should be 1-2. If we start counting the closing line then one is going to have to go back adjust all the previous plays which isn't the system rule anyway. But good job Hagball52 on the updates, keep them coming.

If you are a JM follower then you know that he will always take the line that suits him. He will do anything to cover up a loss. I have followed him for 3 years now and he will always play it to his advantage.

[million2one]

Good Luck today folks,
Loving the Phillies today myself.

[GGPLAYER]

Is anyone tracking JM WNBA plays? I know someone posted one B or C bet here that won. I scanned the NBA page quick and did not see a JM NBA thread any where. I just looked at the whole season and it appears there is a B and C play tonight if I back tracked things correctly. I know these are risky so save the comment. I am only considering B and/or C bets for these plays. The two I see are....

NY @ LA B bet
Ind @ Was C bet

If anyone can confirm and point me to any thread which is tracking these that would be great. Thanks

[ParlayKing]

Gl today guys

[bruce0]

As a customer of my WNBA betting system, I want to send you a
reminder of two of our upcoming WNBA betting series:

Bet on: Indiana Fever
Bet [A] 06/17/11 Fri @ Seattle
Bet [b] 06/19/11 Sun @ Phoenix
Bet [C] 06/21/11 Tue @ Washington

This means that you would make the [A] wager for the road team
on the date that the game is played. Remember to bet on the
spread and buy 3 points. Or, if your team is a favorite of more
than 3 points, then bet on the Money Line.

If your [A] bet happens to lose on the first day, then you would
make a [b] bet for the same team again on their next game when they
play, and a [C] bet on their last play if necessary.

I remember seeing this, but I wonder if an injury by one of their players affects the play.

[thelimit0310]

Good luck tonight guys

[G's pks]

I remember seeing this, but I wonder if an injury by one of their players affects the play.

He will tell you in a long rambling e-mail it did after the game if it loses...if it wins another billion added to the account...

[arf1215]

The Indiana series is over, it was a B bet winner

[c-fut]

The Indiana series is over, it was a B bet winner

I wasn't thinking and played Indiana thinking they lost by half point with the spread but forgot to factor in buying 3 points. Oh well... hope I get lucky

[GGPLAYER]

The Indiana series is over, it was a B bet winner

I'm using Covers and the closing line was -3 making it a ML play and they lost the game...89-93. What am I am missing? I did this pretty quick this morning so I may of made a mistake but that is how I see it.

NEVER MIND. I got it mixed up. I thought Ind was the Fav. There were getting 3 points. My bad....damn I was all excited for a C bet. Oh well the NY is a go I believe.