See no reason not to bet the house on this...

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  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #1
    See no reason not to bet the house on this...
    4/22...

    San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

    Barry Zito (0 - 4) VS. Brandon Webb (4 - 0)

    (Last time they met 5 days ago, 4 - 1 ARI)

    In Zito's defense, he hasn't been as awful this year as he has been the last few seasons, but his best years are obviously behind him.

    On the flip side you have Brandon Webb, who if you guys haven't seen pitch often and only know for the stats, you are missing out. His stuff is amazing and his control is flawless. He is always a threat to go 9 innings of shutout ball against any team, and has already carved up CIN (6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB) and COL twice (15 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB).

    San Francisco has a terrible offense on paper, easily one of if not the worst in the league, and Webb shouldn't have any problem mowing through them again (8 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB last time out...)

    The D-Backs meanwhile have an explosive offense, veterans Byrnes and Hudson are always good for clutch base hits and young stars Jackson, Upton, Reynolds, and Young are HAMMERING the ball. 4 runs was an off day for them and their 2nd chance at Zito AT HOME this time should provide some serious offense.

    I really see like an 8 - 1 final here... I think if this game with this pitching matchup was played 10 times, D-backs win by 3+ 9 of them.

    ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -1.5

    Good luck
  • diogee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-08
    • 19477

    #2
    D'Backs for me as well...best of luck.
    Comment
    • imgv94
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-16-05
      • 17192

      #3
      Yeah but it kind of looks too easy.. I'm on the D'backs today as well,it stands out like a sore thumb.
      Comment
      • dannyt76
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-29-07
        • 779

        #4
        Like the Dbacks as well. No run line up yet on my book so will have to wait till morning. Don't want to hit the ML with the steep steep price of -240.....if I do it will have to be part of a parlay. GL tomorrow.
        Comment
        • pimike
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-23-08
          • 37139

          #5
          Originally posted by usckingsfan31
          4/22...

          San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

          Barry Zito (0 - 4) VS. Brandon Webb (4 - 0)

          (Last time they met 5 days ago, 4 - 1 ARI)

          In Zito's defense, he hasn't been as awful this year as he has been the last few seasons, but his best years are obviously behind him.

          On the flip side you have Brandon Webb, who if you guys haven't seen pitch often and only know for the stats, you are missing out. His stuff is amazing and his control is flawless. He is always a threat to go 9 innings of shutout ball against any team, and has already carved up CIN (6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB) and COL twice (15 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB).

          San Francisco has a terrible offense on paper, easily one of if not the worst in the league, and Webb shouldn't have any problem mowing through them again (8 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB last time out...)

          The D-Backs meanwhile have an explosive offense, veterans Byrnes and Hudson are always good for clutch base hits and young stars Jackson, Upton, Reynolds, and Young are HAMMERING the ball. 4 runs was an off day for them and their 2nd chance at Zito AT HOME this time should provide some serious offense.

          I really see like an 8 - 1 final here... I think if this game with this pitching matchup was played 10 times, D-backs win by 3+ 9 of them.

          ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -1.5

          Good luck

          Remind us tomorrow. Need to hit tonights games first.

          But sounds great. Hopefully SF wins tonight and it will be even better.
          Comment
          • Marvelboy
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-24-08
            • 342

            #6
            Yeah this is too easy, im on the runline and a moneyline double with atlanta
            Comment
            • imgv94
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-16-05
              • 17192

              #7
              He's talkin about tomorrows game TUESDAY
              Comment
              • diogee
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-11-08
                • 19477

                #8
                Originally posted by imgv94
                He's talkin about tomorrows game TUESDAY
                Yep...Steep as hell price but I can't see the Giants putting up Shit on Webb. The D'backs should destroy Zito as well. I hate laying chalk on the RL so had my wager canceled hoping it would go down.
                Comment
                • VegasDave
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-03-07
                  • 8056

                  #9
                  Just some more fun stats...

                  D-Backs have played 18 games, Giants have played 19.

                  League Rankings -

                  Batting Average:
                  5th) Diamondbacks .278
                  25th) Giants .241

                  Runs:
                  1st) Diamondbacks 116
                  30th) Giants 61

                  Home Runs:
                  3rd) Diamondbacks 25
                  28th) Giants 9

                  And did I mention that one of the league's top 5 pitchers in Brandon Webb (4 - 0, 1.86 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 22 Ks) was facing Barry Zito (0 - 4, 4.50 ERA, 1.68 WHIP, 8 Ks)?

                  Here are their '06 and '07 stats just for fun...

                  2006:
                  Zito 221.0 IP / 3.83 ERA / 1.40 WHIP / 151 Ks
                  Webb 235.0 IP / 3.10 ERA / 1.13 WHIP / 178 Ks

                  2007:
                  Zito 196.2 / 4.53 / 1.35 / 131
                  Webb 236.1 / 3.01 / 1.19 / 194

                  Diamondbacks are 7 - 2 at home
                  Giants are 3 - 6 on the road

                  Ok, I'm done
                  Comment
                  • PLUSLINES
                    Restricted User
                    • 10-30-07
                    • 631

                    #10
                    Good Luck and thanks for the stats. It helps support the call I made in my thread as well. Lets knock 'em dead!!!
                    Comment
                    • EDFED
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-23-08
                      • 176

                      #11
                      GIANTS & the OVER tonight (whatever it is)

                      THESE YOUNG PITCHERS TEND TO GET BROKEN

                      MICAH WILL BE A GREAT... NOT 2NITE THO
                      Comment
                      • EDFED
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 02-23-08
                        • 176

                        #12
                        Giants +173
                        Comment
                        • EDFED
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 02-23-08
                          • 176

                          #13
                          Wrong Thread - But Jazz +1
                          Comment
                          • EDFED
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-23-08
                            • 176

                            #14
                            and the RED SOX to be in the midst of a 20 game W streak
                            Comment
                            • Clueless_Norway
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-13-08
                              • 1136

                              #15
                              What u guys think about a Dbacks/Braves -1,5 parlay tomorrow?
                              Comment
                              • Ivan77
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-27-07
                                • 219

                                #16
                                San Francisco has been playing some nice ball, i woudn't go crazy on the Diamondbacks tonite, its too early in the season!!
                                Comment
                                • VegasDave
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-03-07
                                  • 8056

                                  #17
                                  -1.5, -140!

                                  Obviously the bookies see this as a slamdunk too.

                                  But the way to win at gambling is to find good odds and value, right?

                                  If I win this bet 14 times out of 24, I break even. Meaning for this bet to be profitable long run, it has to have an expected winning % of 62.5

                                  I for one definitely believe if this exact matchup took place 100 times, the D-Backs would cover 63+ times. So its still a good bet to me.

                                  Good luck to those that follow!
                                  Comment
                                  • MadCapper
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-08
                                    • 4179

                                    #18
                                    Webb will lose a few games this year.
                                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                    Comment
                                    • bigugly
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-04-08
                                      • 1329

                                      #19
                                      Can't see it being this one. All over this today. BUT, I won't be betting the house. Good luck.
                                      Comment
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