Diogee going for broke MLB

[diogee]

Yes I am tk

[diogee]

2nd game chases
924 Kc/Tam under 8.5 -105
928 Tor/Laa under 7 -120

[diogee]

976 Tor/Laa under 8.5 -110 (3rd game chase)
952 Was/Cin under 8.5 -115
956 Hou/Atl under 9 -105
972 Oak/Cws under 7.5 -120

[FreeFall]

diogee I was going to try your chase system today for the totals. But I was having a little trouble trying to figure it out. I'm using covers btw.

wash v cin are
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
so you bet the over? until it hits? What if there is one meeting between them left? Then just chase one team?

atl v hou
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

oak v chi white
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
so bet the over?

minn v cle
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
so bet the under?

sfg v lad
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

am I doing this right?

[diogee]

diogee I was going to try your chase system today for the totals. But I was having a little trouble trying to figure it out. I'm using covers btw.

wash v cin are
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
so you bet the over? until it hits? What if there is one meeting between them left? Then just chase one team?

atl v hou
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

oak v chi white
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.
so bet the over?

minn v cle
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
so bet the under?

sfg v lad
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
so bet the over?

am I doing this right?

The only one that is actually a series chase is Tor/Laa. The others are just based off of limited handicapping (didn't have time to do an extensive look in).
I didn't really look at the past meetings for any of these games.

Whenever I fade a streak it is usually on a team...like if the Dodgers were to have 6 or 7 games in a row that went under then I would fade for an over. This number changes based on the team that I am fading the streak on. It depends on what the o/u % is. The Braves have went under 3 straight but I wouldn't chase an over until at least 7 straight since they are the top under team. Angels have went over 4 straight and are a top under team so I will be chasing the under for 1 more game if it loses today. Just some ideas that I had and decided to try out since my handicapping is limited right now due to work.

[FreeFall]

so you've found it to work if a team hits a o/u streak of 7 games. that if you chase the next 3? or 5? you win say 90% of the time? or just playing right now and not really sure what the stats play out too?

Thanks again for your hard work diogee. You seem to be doing quite well!

[diogee]

so you've found it to work if a team hits a o/u streak of 7 games. that if you chase the next 3? or 5? you win say 90% of the time? or just playing right now and not really sure what the stats play out too?

Thanks again for your hard work diogee. You seem to be doing quite well!

Not exactly sure on the stats yet...just tracking it and seeing how it plays out. 4 chases is probably my cap but I think that should be enough given that variance should play a factor by the time a team gets to a 7,8, 9 game o/u streak. The key is not starting the chase too soon...I take a quick glance at the pitchers in the next couple of games but the biggest factor comes from what % of their games have went the opposite way of the streak. Just a theory that a team will have a good or bad outing somewhere in that stretch to wreck the streak.

[ChuteBoxe]

Here we go bud! Against the top of the order! No runs!

[accuscoresucks]

gl guys today

[diogee]

1 to go...I need this SOB bad. Overbet the f*cker.

[ChuteBoxe]

Got it!!

[diogee]

Got it!!

Was sweating that one out after the lead off double.

[diogee]

YTD:
sides: 245-247 -10.02
totals: 107-89 +43.81
Parlays: 13-28 -1.53
MLB Best bets thread: 51-33 +17.67

Overall: 416-397 [51.2%] +49.93

[diogee]

908 Padres -113 *possible home favorite chase*
904 Phillies -137

series chases
918 Sea/Oak under 8 -120
906 Col/Mil under 9 -115
910 Atl/Lad under 7.5 +100
915 Angels -145
906 Brewers -135
910 Dodgers -137

[diogee]

YTD:
sides: 247-250 -11.87
totals: 110-89 +46.81
Parlays: 13-28 -1.53
MLB Best bets thread: 51-33 +17.67

Overall: 421-400 [51.2%] +51.08

[accuscoresucks]

nice going this year dio
fuuk thats a nice mlb run pal

[diogee]

Thanks bud...mlb has been kind to me lately except for a couple of game 3 chases. Hopefully it keeps up.

[diogee]

Series chases
972 Tam/Nyy under 8.5 -110 *1.75 unit*
974 Bal/Tor under 8.5 -105 *1.5 unit*
968 Cle/Det under 9 +100
978 Cws/Kc under 9 +105
963 Flo/Sd over 8 -105
978 Kc +1.5 -155
960 Brewers -220 *game 2 of series chase*
964 Padres -120 *game 2 home win chase*

Parlay .70 to win .88
Phillies
Oak

[diogee]

added Yanks under chase.

[diogee]

924 Bal/Tor under 8.5 -110 **2.58 units**
928 Kc/Cws under 9 -120 *2 units*
922 Cle/Det under 10 -110 *2 units*

[diogee]

3 series going to game 3 could be an ugly day for me...messed up bad on the Det/Cle series and forgot to scratch it off my list since it was only 2 games. Splitting that one off into the Tb/Cle series...
game 3's
974 Cws/Kc under 8.5 -120
970 Tb/Cle under 8.5 -110
968 Bal/Tor under 8.5 -110

series chases
970 Indians -114
961 Marlins +1.5 -165

[Dashwood Clipper]

Hope you cash them all
I have
Bal/Tor FF under 4.5 +107
CWS/KC FF under 4.5 -118
These ****ers owe me money from yesterday

[diogee]

Hope you cash them all
I have
Bal/Tor FF under 4.5 +107
CWS/KC FF under 4.5 -118
These ****ers owe me money from yesterday

True that Dashwood...games have been flying over the last couple of nights. Time for the offense to fizzle out for 1 game. Good luck.

[diogee]

YTD:
sides: 252-250 -4.39
totals: 113-97 +34.66
Parlays: 13-28 -1.53
MLB Best bets thread: 51-33 +17.67

Overall: 429-408 [51%] +46.41

Brutal set of series chases losing a little over 12 units with the totals.

[diogee]

Chasing a couple of chalk filled series...
914 Padres -149
912 Brewers -174
918 Red Sox -200
908 Mets -128
903 Stl/Pit over 8.5 -110
920 Tam/Cle under 7.5 -115 *1.25 units*
910 Hou/Was under 8 -120 *1.5 units*
924 Nyy/Tor under 7.5 -115 *1.75 units*
930 Laa/Oak under 8.5 -125 *1.75 units*
914 Atl/Sd under 7 -115 *1.75 units*
Tampa/Cleveland no score first inning -130 *.75 unit*
Ny Yankees/Toronto no score first inning -140 *.75 unit*

[diogee]

added tb/cle and nyy/tor no 1st inning score

[chipski]

love your no score in 1st inn in tor game
no score in clev is okay too

all your o/u picks look good
like your sd , milw , and bos ml picks

gl

[diogee]

Good to hear Chipski...never a bad thing to have you agreeing with the same side. Good luck tonight.

[accuscoresucks]

[chipski]

i figured i would go down the list of thread and give some feedback on every thread .. i may have soaked up to much poison bombing the basement .. lol
damn cats !

yeah i like those though ..

add > it may be a long time for anyone to score in the jays game

gl

[diogee]

game 2's
980 Laa/Oak under 7.5 -120
962 Hou/Was under 8 -105
957 Stl/Pit over 9 -115
960 Brewers -102
972 Boston -186

[chipski]

love your cards over 9 selection

gl

[diogee]

914 Dodgers -153
920 Tigers -145

Game 3's...too many of these lately.
908 Brewers -230 Wrong f*cking series to chase. *3 units*
902 Hou/Was under 9 (going to buy the hook if I don't think it will get to 9)

[The_Kid]

At least the Red Sox won today diogee. That series chase could have gotten real ugly as well.

Best of luck tomorrow man.

[diogee]

Thanks TK...could have been real ugly. As it is I couldn't bring myself to do a full chase on the Brewers with that price.