Should I bet out of this parlay for profit?

JMobile · 10-19-10, 08:21 AM

What is the payout if you bet out and if it all wins?

Ninersnut · 10-19-10, 08:30 AM

I but 10 bucks down to win 454....not to shabby for just a messing around parlay. Just trying to decide whether to just gamble the 10 bucks or throw something on SF. That would be hard as I am a Phils fan. Probably just gonna let the 10 ride. I mean it's $10. Blackie is giving that away for free!

Bluedragon · 10-19-10, 08:34 AM

Nice friggin' picks man. I hate when those culminate in a loss on the very last game but that looks solid bro

JMobile · 10-19-10, 09:08 AM

Let it flow. GL. It's just $10.00.
Once, some guy had $100.00 for a $4K Payout and lost it all on the last game.

btd · 10-19-10, 09:29 AM

If you can afford it ,why not throw a few bucks (50-100) on SF , this way your guaranteed $$ , although I Know it's tough to bet against your team, GL either way

Ninersnut · 10-19-10, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by JMobile

Let it flow. GL. It's just $10.00. Once, some guy had $100.00 for a $4K Payout and lost it all on the last game.

Yeah I think I read that. Hard part is they gotta cover 3 runs. Tough one here. Probably just going to let it ride. Maybe bet out of in In-Prog if things start getting dicey....

obamaismyuncle · 10-19-10, 10:04 AM

Hedge forsure, the Phily/SF game will be decided by 2 or less runs, imo. I would hedge this without question.

Chris7mccabe · 10-19-10, 10:06 AM

Ya i wouldn't even bother touching SF and just ride out what might be in a great bet with Hamels hopefully finishing it up for you.

GL

lyon804 · 10-19-10, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by obamaismyuncle

Hedge forsure, the Phily/SF game will be decided by 2 or less runs, imo. I would hedge this without question.

THIS!

Anytime you get an opportunity to cash take it. With the payoff what it is you can guarantee a nice return on investment here.

JMobile · 10-19-10, 10:26 AM

By the way, how do you Hedge????

Ninersnut · 10-19-10, 12:41 PM

After going back and forth all day I decided to let this ride. Will most likely bet live at some point to make some $. BOL to everyone today.

Blax0r · 10-19-10, 02:58 PM

If you wanted to hedge this perfectly (ie, basically cash out now @ guaranteed value), you'll want to put $348 on the Giants (+2.5) assuming (-300) odds, which I just googled and may not match your book's payout.

You're guaranteed to make ~ $106 dollars.

Note:Unless someone can point out a mistake, the $348 you put down on the giants is not "really at risk"; actually it's just tied up for the time being (which is bad if you have more profitable opportunities).

You'll make 10x your original bet of $10 (with 348 getting tied up).

Blax0r · 10-19-10, 03:03 PM

Also, if you go through with this hedge; you can safely borrow up to $348 for any other bets or positive-EV opportunities that may present itself.

Lazyboy311 · 10-19-10, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by Blax0r

If you wanted to hedge this perfectly (ie, basically cash out now @ guaranteed value), you'll want to put $348 on the Giants (+2.5) assuming (-300) odds, which I just googled and may not match your book's payout.

You're guaranteed to make ~ $106 dollars.

Note:Unless someone can point out a mistake, the $348 you put down on the giants is not "really at risk"; actually it's just tied up for the time being (which is bad if you have more profitable opportunities).

You'll make 10x your original bet of $10 (with 348 getting tied up).

This is 100% the way to go. The way I look at it, you get $100 in free money. I Never, repeat, Never, turn down free money!

Especially in this spot, with that final wager. On a game with a total of 6.5, with two solid pitchers, the likelyhood of either team winning by 3 is pretty low. Personally, I would take the $$ do a little

make a little

and say

for the free money.

$Burm$ · 10-19-10, 04:23 PM

hedge definitely

kevinslack1016 · 10-19-10, 04:32 PM

Any news on your action Ninersnut? Just curious

Ninersnut · 10-19-10, 05:27 PM

Checking in from my droid to keep you guys updated. At the bar watching this pretty disappointed in my Phils but didnt quite hedge properly. Took SF + 1.5 (-155) to win a 100. I know this is stupid and hope I don't get unlucky with the Phils winning by 2. Figured the game would be one way or another. Still wish my Phils pull this thru. Down 3 as I'm typing this.

Sent from DroidX

Blax0r · 10-19-10, 05:32 PM

If you're going to hedge that way, you'll want to put about 282 on the Giants. But you will get crushed if the Giants lose by exactly 2 (which isn't looking too likely).

You'll almost lock in ~ $182 (but lose everything on giants losing by 2).

Just realized that those odds probably don't exist anymore, but looks like you'll be getting your $100.