Baseball Taking Both Sides for a 75% of Winning

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  • acarmelo1
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-29-09
    • 6321

    #1
    Baseball Taking Both Sides for a 75% of Winning
    5 dollar Risk bets
    Take

    Tampa Bay Rays RL -1.5 +135 L
    Kansas City Royals ML +108 W
    +$0.40

    Take

    Boston Red Sox RL -1.5 +115 L
    Chicago White Sox ML +132 W
    +$1.6

    Take

    Toronto Blue Jays ML +140 W
    Minnesota Twins RL -1.5 +130 L
    +$2.0

    TOTAL WIN $4
  • Richkas
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-03-08
    • 19396

    #2
    to many 1 run games
    Comment
    • jorge1
      SBR MVP
      • 02-06-10
      • 3520

      #3
      ACARMELO1...NOT TRYING TO BE A BUMMER, but this long term does HORRIBLY...just lettin u know...but if it is just a once in a while strategy then its fine...

      BOL tonight
      Comment
      • acarmelo1
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-29-09
        • 6321

        #4
        Originally posted by jorge1
        ACARMELO1...NOT TRYING TO BE A BUMMER, but this long term does HORRIBLY...just lettin u know...but if it is just a once in a while strategy then its fine...

        BOL tonight
        Thanks!!!
        Comment
        • jorge1
          SBR MVP
          • 02-06-10
          • 3520

          #5
          great night last night bud...keep it goin!
          Comment
          • sweethook
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-21-07
            • 12667

            #6
            nice job man, be carefull with that , gl
            Comment
            • SilkBC
              SBR Rookie
              • 05-22-10
              • 26

              #7
              Originally posted by jorge1
              ACARMELO1...NOT TRYING TO BE A BUMMER, but this long term does HORRIBLY...just lettin u know...but if it is just a once in a while strategy then its fine...
              I can confirm this; I followed this for most of the season, just to see, and it ended in horrible red. Good thing I was only doing it on paper.

              -SilkBC
              Comment
              • syy211
                Restricted User
                • 12-28-09
                • 468

                #8
                I like Jays today
                Comment
                • hothandsmgee
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-08-09
                  • 371

                  #9
                  i like the jays today alot too
                  Comment
                  • Nicky Santoro
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-08-08
                    • 16103

                    #10
                    this might be the worst system i have ever seen at sbr.

                    if each side was played for 100$

                    you win an avg of 20$ and lose 200$ when team wins by 1.

                    so you are laying 10-1.. you'd have to win not 75% of the time, but 91% of the time to show a profit.. i doubt you'll get anywhere near 91%..

                    this system will bankrupt you.
                    Comment
                    • RollPlayer
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-26-10
                      • 779

                      #11
                      Yeah I ran the math on this one too and it ended up that to break even you have to get lines that average out to +140 (between the underdog moneyline and the favored runline). Books know this and almost never post that. Good luck though
                      Comment
                      • ngates815
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-01-09
                        • 13845

                        #12
                        Sometimes you can do the -1 and get +105 and ML on the other team for +108-115


                        So if it's a 1 run game you push and lost the other 100. Instead of doing -1.5 where if it's a 1 run game you lose 200.

                        Though you'll be winning alot less with the -1.


                        Example.


                        Mets -1 +119
                        Nats ML +111

                        St Lois -1 +129
                        Rockies ML +105

                        Rangers -1 +136
                        Angels ML +

                        white sox
                        Indians

                        Twins
                        Blue Jays

                        Oakland
                        Seattle

                        Detroit
                        Balt
                        Comment
                        • acarmelo1
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-29-09
                          • 6321

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ngates815
                          Sometimes you can do the -1 and get +105 and ML on the other team for +108-115


                          So if it's a 1 run game you push and lost the other 100. Instead of doing -1.5 where if it's a 1 run game you lose 200.

                          Though you'll be winning alot less with the -1.


                          Example.


                          Mets -1 +119
                          Nats ML +111

                          St Lois -1 +129
                          Rockies ML +105

                          Rangers -1 +136
                          Angels ML +

                          white sox
                          Indians

                          Twins
                          Blue Jays

                          Oakland
                          Seattle

                          Detroit
                          Balt
                          were can you get -1 RL lines?
                          Comment
                          • ZetaPsi808
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 12119

                            #14
                            Originally posted by acarmelo1
                            were can you get -1 RL lines?
                            5dimes. just pick winners straight up tho pal. or if u want to guarantee a small profit then try arbing.
                            Comment
                            • cala56
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-25-10
                              • 4231

                              #15
                              Nice try, but imposible. You will long term looser
                              Comment
                              • ngates815
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-01-09
                                • 13845

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                5dimes. just pick winners straight up tho pal. or if u want to guarantee a small profit then try arbing.


                                Comment
                                • Masu485
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-14-08
                                  • 7700

                                  #17
                                  it's more like 83% winners actually. favs win by one 17% of the time. but even at 83%, i still think this would lose long-term.
                                  Comment
                                  • acarmelo1
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-29-09
                                    • 6321

                                    #18
                                    WagerType:Date:Team:Risking / To WinTicket#:

                                    STRAIGHT BETOct 02MLB [961] PIT +125 [C MORTON -R/J SOSA -R] 5.00 / 6.25

                                    STRAIGHT BETOct 02MLB [962] FLA -1½+145 [C MORTON -R/J SOSA -R] 5.00 / 7.25

                                    STRAIGHT BETOct 02MLB [965] ARI +151 [J SAUNDERS -L/BILLNGSLEY -R] 5.00 / 7.55

                                    STRAIGHT BETOct 02MLB [966] LOS -1½+130 [J SAUNDERS -L/BILLNGSLEY -R] 5.00 / 6.50

                                    STRAIGHT BETOct 02MLB [975] DET +156 [A GALARRAG -R/B MATUSZ -L] 5.00 / 7.80

                                    STRAIGHT BETOct 02MLB [976] BAL -1½+120 [A GALARRAG -R/B MATUSZ -L] 5.00 / 6.00
                                    Comment
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