BLOG: September 23, 2010

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  • fox sixers
    Restricted User
    • 02-07-10
    • 821

    #1
    BLOG: September 23, 2010
    Game tonight: CUBS -115

    This was at -104 when it opened. 61.5% on covers.com is on Giants and line still went up for the Cubs.

    I believe this is a great spot for the Chicago Cubs at home playing very good baseball in being spoilers in the month of September. Cubs are 13-5 in the month of September. Cubs are 12 games under .500 in 2010 but only 1 game under .500 against left handed pitchers. Cubs are 6-1 their last 7 games.

    San Francisco Giants in my opinion feel the pressure of the playoffs and are not playing their best baseball. They are having a lot of trouble scoring runs and don’t see up to the challenge of taking charge and consonantly winning baseball games. This game is a real good spot for the Cubs.
    Going to the mound for the Cubs is Ryan Dempster. Dempster has pitched terrific his last 2 starts going 7 innings in each start giving up no runs in 2 wins at Marlins and at Brewers. He has a 1.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. I like him tonight. Dempster has won his last 3 against the Giants and I believe it will continue tonight.
    Madison Bumgarner is going for the Giants and he has been pitching excellent. The issue is the Giants give him no run support in his starts. He has a 1.35 ERA his last 3 starts and is 1-2.

    I also really like the UNDER in this game. The wind will be blowing like crazy tonight and over 20 miles per hour, but I don’t not see this game going over 12.5.
    Here a bunch of trends to back up this play.

    Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
    Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
    Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 overall. .
    Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

    Cubs are 9-3 in Dempsters last 12 starts vs. National League West.
    Cubs are 5-2 in Dempsters last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
    Cubs are 5-2 in Dempsters last 7 starts as a favorite.
    Cubs are 15-6 in Dempsters last 21 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
    Cubs are 5-2 in Dempsters last 7 starts with 5 days of res
    Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win

    Cubs are 4-1 in Dempsters last 5 starts vs. Giants
    Home team is 16-5 in Wendelstedts last 21 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.




    A couple other games I had my eye on tonight:
    Indians/Royals OVER
    Over is 9-3 last 12 meetings. 2 bad pitchers. I see this as a game to definitely look at.

    Brewers tonight. Gallardo has been pitching great with a 1.29 his last 3starts.Sanchez has a 6.48 ERA his last 3.

    Good luck to all tonight! Sorry for the different fonts, do not know how to change it back.
  • Kraghen
    SBR MVP
    • 07-08-10
    • 2509

    #2
    I'm with you bro'! Hope it will hit!
    Comment
    • fox sixers
      Restricted User
      • 02-07-10
      • 821

      #3
      let's get it!!
      Comment
      • in2win3
        Restricted User
        • 09-10-10
        • 329

        #4
        following these picks have been so unprofitable for me? do u actually know what ur doing or do u just copy and paste trends and whos on what side??? Tonight is a really bad play....Giants have to keep winning...Cubs suck....I mean really??? Giants are not folding under pressure....they never have offense, but they win with pitching...any ways...trends don't always work!
        Comment
        • fox sixers
          Restricted User
          • 02-07-10
          • 821

          #5
          haha your right man. and you don't have to follow them man.. these are writeups I do for points.. and lately the writeups have been not soo good.
          Comment
          • fox sixers
            Restricted User
            • 02-07-10
            • 821

            #6
            and i did have a hot streak... not anymore..
            Comment
            • fox sixers
              Restricted User
              • 02-07-10
              • 821

              #7
              really just learning, tooling, and trying to get better
              Comment
              • fox sixers
                Restricted User
                • 02-07-10
                • 821

                #8
                I do hear what your saying though and I do feel bad. you see my writeup lately, and you see the evidence in my writeup and they just don't come through..
                Comment
                • fox sixers
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-07-10
                  • 821

                  #9
                  NEVER follow blindly. follow what you have as well..
                  Comment
                  • CappinTerp
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 9650

                    #10
                    fox stay with it you will be OK, you do spend time and do your work it will come over time.! Remember that the "smart money " is not always smart. GL
                    Comment
                    • fox sixers
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-07-10
                      • 821

                      #11
                      thanks cappin
                      Comment
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