Pittsburgh Pirates -122 @12:35 EST

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  • lyon804
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-02-09
    • 6526

    #1
    Pittsburgh Pirates -122 @12:35 EST
    Hot pitcher for the Pirates going with some hot home bats. Regardless of payrolls and personal opinion the Pirates are a better team right now, especially at home. Things will have to turn and go the other way for St. Louis to get of the deck. So far the team has not show the ability or the guts to fight, couple that with a hot pitcher going for the Pirates swinging some hot bats going against a pitcher in (suppan) that hasn't won since moby dick was a minnow. St. Louis didn't have what it took to muster it up when it counted...going to be even harder now that the season is over. St. Louis isn't use to just playing for pride. Pirates on the other hand have been in this same role since April.



    Line says it all.
  • dreamjob
    SBR MVP
    • 05-21-09
    • 1963

    #2
    I like this play myself. Cards are mailing it in. GL to us!
    Comment
    • landers781
      SBR MVP
      • 02-27-09
      • 4774

      #3
      I agree, love pirates at home just sucks that they arent the homedog they have been all season long'
      Goodluck with your action, Lyon
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        Lyon i dont like this play at all. Pirates wont score more than 4 runs today and they are gonna need to in order to win this game. I wihs you the best of luck but i gotta think that this is a stay away game.
        Comment
        • lyon804
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-02-09
          • 6526

          #5
          Originally posted by landers781
          I agree, love pirates at home just sucks that they arent the homedog they have been all season long'
          Goodluck with your action, Lyon


          I agree, but I think there is a very good reason for that. Think about it.. No matter how shitty a pitcher Suppan has been it is rare to see the Cardinals a dog to the Pirates. Pirates enjoy beating the Cardinals and are looking forward to beating them again today...while the Cardinals have vacations and tee times set. I think the young Pirates fight for the victory today.


          Think about it... if you are a pitcher that has any stuff and brains you can easily shut down the Cardinals.. Sure Pujols and Halladay are studs, but if you pitch smart to them and avoid them when you can the rest of the lineup is a joke practically... I think many pitchers have figured this out. The Cards are a top heavy team with no substance without the big 2.
          Comment
          • lyon804
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-02-09
            • 6526

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Lyon i dont like this play at all. Pirates wont score more than 4 runs today and they are gonna need to in order to win this game. I wihs you the best of luck but i gotta think that this is a stay away game.

            Lay the short price home fav against the public favorite. It works almost 59% of the time. Implied odds are 55% so I have a 4% edge here.


            If Pirates get 4 runs I like my chances.




            Also, if it don't work I will play your Cubs for a dime
            Comment
            • landers781
              SBR MVP
              • 02-27-09
              • 4774

              #7
              Lyon, I bet a few points on you to win Beat the prick, dont let me down
              Comment
              • lyon804
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-02-09
                • 6526

                #8
                Originally posted by landers781
                Lyon, I bet a few points on you to win Beat the prick, dont let me down



                Oh, no. Did not know you can bet that. If it was NBA I would like my chances and think my shot is as good as anybody.


                Outside of NBA take anything else I say with a grain of salt.


                My BTP I think is like 2-4-2.. not very good.
                Comment
                • Rookie-Capper
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-21-09
                  • 4567

                  #9
                  totally agree good luck
                  Comment
                  • landers781
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-09
                    • 4774

                    #10
                    haha its all good, just put 5 on a couple people, more of a fun jester than anything i think 5 nets 1250 or something ridiculous

                    Nba starts very soon, cant wait
                    Comment
                    • jbhomerun
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 07-19-10
                      • 82

                      #11
                      Burress pitched well last start, but I think he got away with some hard hit balls that were right at the fielders. I could see this easily pushing.
                      Comment
                      • lyon804
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-02-09
                        • 6526

                        #12
                        Originally posted by landers781
                        haha its all good, just put 5 on a couple people, more of a fun jester than anything i think 5 nets 1250 or something ridiculous

                        Nba starts very soon, cant wait


                        been working hard on the NBA and will be ready to hit the ground running. I got a DB with models and systems going back to 1990 now. Another tool to use.
                        Comment
                        • lyon804
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-02-09
                          • 6526

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jbhomerun
                          Burress pitched well last start, but I think he got away with some hard hit balls that were right at the fielders. I could see this easily pushing.

                          It may win, or might lose but I assure you it will not push.
                          Comment
                          • CollegePro
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-23-09
                            • 4006

                            #14
                            cardinals will win today.... suppan has good career number against pirates
                            Comment
                            • CollegePro
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-23-09
                              • 4006

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jbhomerun
                              Burress pitched well last start, but I think he got away with some hard hit balls that were right at the fielders. I could see this easily pushing.
                              lolz.... pushing??? no way
                              Comment
                              • lyon804
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-02-09
                                • 6526

                                #16
                                Originally posted by CollegePro
                                cardinals will win today.... suppan has good career number against pirates


                                exactly. all the more reason to take Pirates. all that you know has already been factored in to the line and they are still an underdog.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  If I had faded logic with day baseball this year, I'd be a rich man.

                                  BOL, lyon. My gut says Pirates as well, but I'm not playing it because of the sentiments above.
                                  Comment
                                  • smarmy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-03-08
                                    • 1863

                                    #18
                                    I feel a little iffy about the Pirates sweeping anyone, but with Suppan on the hill, I may have to go with the Pitt rl +170.
                                    Comment
                                    • CollegePro
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-23-09
                                      • 4006

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lyon804
                                      exactly. all the more reason to take Pirates. all that you know has already been factored in to the line and they are still an underdog.
                                      i will be the dumb one and take cardinals today.... i am sure one of us will be happy at the end. GL
                                      Comment
                                      • lyon804
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-02-09
                                        • 6526

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by CollegePro
                                        i will be the dumb one and take cardinals today.... i am sure one of us will be happy at the end. GL


                                        Well, I have it as a 4% edge so I am playing it.
                                        Comment
                                        • lyon804
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-02-09
                                          • 6526

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          If I had faded logic with day baseball this year, I'd be a rich man.

                                          BOL, lyon. My gut says Pirates as well, but I'm not playing it because of the sentiments above.



                                          My local just woke up and decided to take my call and he said .."Pittsburg gonna be 15 and 9" I thought are you serious?. I said give me Pitt for a dollar.. More value.
                                          Comment
                                          • bigsmitty
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-12-10
                                            • 3026

                                            #22
                                            I'm with PIT as well but STL is a damnable team to figure. Good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • syy211
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-28-09
                                              • 468

                                              #23
                                              I like the under
                                              Comment
                                              • lyon804
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-02-09
                                                • 6526

                                                #24
                                                Late Money all over the Cards.
                                                Comment
                                                • ahhlenn
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-13-10
                                                  • 444

                                                  #25
                                                  PIT -127 (1x) and TOR +1 RL -110 (1x)

                                                  i like Pit's position here. they are motivated and playing good baseball against a STL team that seems to have given up for the rest of the season. STL just doesn't have anything left to play for. Suppan will get lit up today. PIT's batting average vs Suppan is 3.75!

                                                  the play on TOR is a gut feeling. line opened in the -130's for SEA with King Felix on the mound. 64% of ml bets are on SEA, but the line has only moved a couple cents to the dollar (actually has moved in TOR's favor, but recently shifted back). King Felix may pitch a good game, but it takes more than a pitcher to win a game. TOR's bats are superior to SEA's and that, i believe, gives TOR the edge.

                                                  GL to all (only if you're on the same side! )
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Grind House
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-01-10
                                                    • 1405

                                                    #26
                                                    This cards team is fading fast but they might avoid the sweep. Pujols goes stupid today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Grind House
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-01-10
                                                      • 1405

                                                      #27
                                                      He might not be done yet!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Grind House
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-01-10
                                                        • 1405

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Grind House
                                                        This cards team is fading fast but they might avoid the sweep. Pujols goes stupid today.
                                                        Call me Nostradamus. Pujols went ape shit today.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lyon804
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-02-09
                                                          • 6526

                                                          #29
                                                          Never posted 2 baseball plays in a role that worked.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kraghen
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-08-10
                                                            • 2509

                                                            #30
                                                            The Pitts are as dead as a frozen fish in this game....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Rixsaw
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-23-08
                                                              • 4532

                                                              #31
                                                              Once again anti sweep rule prevails
                                                              Comment
                                                              • phillybadboy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-11-09
                                                                • 9383

                                                                #32
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