I have a few plays I am feeling today.. I will do my full writeup on the biggest lean. When I am finished I will give my analysis on a couple other leans.
A’s -168 I would bet the -1 RL if I have the option. This play was at -153 last night.
Chicago White Sox seem dead to me. Twins clinched last night a playoff spot and White Sox have lost their last 7 games. White Sox are 2-5 when the total is 7 or less. 1-5 in that situation on the road. 1 game over .500 on the road.
Oakland A’s are one of the best day game teams in baseball at 34-17. They are 11-3 as a home favorite of -150 to -175. A’s are 46-30 in home games. I really like the pitching match up today and A’s will take this game. White Sox, like I said, have no more life.
Edwin Jackson vs. Brett Anderson.
Jackson is not pitching well. He has a 6.75 ERA his last 3 games going with 1 win and 2 loses. He has a 4.05 ERA on the road. 4 runs to the Tigers in a 9-2 loss. 6 runs to the Royals in a 8-2 loss, and 4 runs to the Tigers again in a 5-4 win.
Brett Anderson has been pitching fanastic with a 1.69 ERA his last 3 games, all wins. Wins against the Twins, Red Sox, and Mariners. Giving up 1, 2, and 1 run going deep in every win. He has a 2.61 ERA at home this season.
A’s are 4-1 against White Soc at home this season and they will give 5 today.
Many trends for this game. I will list important ones in my opinion.
Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. .
Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 Wednesday games.
Athletics are 24-9 in their last 33 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics are 110-43 in their last 153 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Athletics are 15-6 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Athletics are 13-4 in Andersons last 17 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics are 6-2 in Andersons last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics are 7-3 in Andersons last 10 starts as a home favorite.
White Sox are 2-12 in their last 14 overall.
White Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
White Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 games following a loss.
White Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
White Sox are 15-39 in the last 54 meetings in Oakland
A few other games I like: I will explain reasons.
Tigers/Royals over 8.5
Love the line movement thus far in this game. Was at +105 last night, now at -120. These teams plays overs, play overs against each other. Davis has a high ERA on the road. Both pitchers not pitching anything special. I predict over.
Red Sox/Orioles UNDER 9.5
This is a high number. I project Milwood and Lackey to pitch good enough to stay under. Lackey career against Orioles 10-5 UNDER with past 3 against them all going UNDER. Milwood also 10-5 UNDER career against Boston. 2 out of last 3 have gone UNDER. Milwood in road starts is 9-3 UNDER. Last 3 starts all UNDERS. 2 of last 3 starts have gone UNDER for Lackey
Diamondbacks/Rockies UNDER 9-125
Lopez his last 3 has been pitching very well. all UNDERS. last start against Rockies of those last 3 starts went UNDER against Jimenez in a 2-1 victory for Rockies. Jimenez road starts is 10-6 UNDER. Jimenez life time against Diamondbacks is 11-3 UNDER with last 3 all going UNDER. under is 8-1 last 9 betwen this 2 teams. under will hit in my opinion.
How do you not like phillies tonight! Oswalt on the mound.. Braves are dead. no brainer.
A’s -168 I would bet the -1 RL if I have the option. This play was at -153 last night.
Chicago White Sox seem dead to me. Twins clinched last night a playoff spot and White Sox have lost their last 7 games. White Sox are 2-5 when the total is 7 or less. 1-5 in that situation on the road. 1 game over .500 on the road.
Oakland A’s are one of the best day game teams in baseball at 34-17. They are 11-3 as a home favorite of -150 to -175. A’s are 46-30 in home games. I really like the pitching match up today and A’s will take this game. White Sox, like I said, have no more life.
Edwin Jackson vs. Brett Anderson.
Jackson is not pitching well. He has a 6.75 ERA his last 3 games going with 1 win and 2 loses. He has a 4.05 ERA on the road. 4 runs to the Tigers in a 9-2 loss. 6 runs to the Royals in a 8-2 loss, and 4 runs to the Tigers again in a 5-4 win.
Brett Anderson has been pitching fanastic with a 1.69 ERA his last 3 games, all wins. Wins against the Twins, Red Sox, and Mariners. Giving up 1, 2, and 1 run going deep in every win. He has a 2.61 ERA at home this season.
A’s are 4-1 against White Soc at home this season and they will give 5 today.
Many trends for this game. I will list important ones in my opinion.
Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. .
Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics are 7-2 in their last 9 Wednesday games.
Athletics are 24-9 in their last 33 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics are 110-43 in their last 153 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Athletics are 15-6 in their last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Athletics are 13-4 in Andersons last 17 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics are 6-2 in Andersons last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics are 7-3 in Andersons last 10 starts as a home favorite.
White Sox are 2-12 in their last 14 overall.
White Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
White Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 games following a loss.
White Sox are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
White Sox are 15-39 in the last 54 meetings in Oakland
A few other games I like: I will explain reasons.
Tigers/Royals over 8.5
Love the line movement thus far in this game. Was at +105 last night, now at -120. These teams plays overs, play overs against each other. Davis has a high ERA on the road. Both pitchers not pitching anything special. I predict over.
Red Sox/Orioles UNDER 9.5
This is a high number. I project Milwood and Lackey to pitch good enough to stay under. Lackey career against Orioles 10-5 UNDER with past 3 against them all going UNDER. Milwood also 10-5 UNDER career against Boston. 2 out of last 3 have gone UNDER. Milwood in road starts is 9-3 UNDER. Last 3 starts all UNDERS. 2 of last 3 starts have gone UNDER for Lackey
Diamondbacks/Rockies UNDER 9-125
Lopez his last 3 has been pitching very well. all UNDERS. last start against Rockies of those last 3 starts went UNDER against Jimenez in a 2-1 victory for Rockies. Jimenez road starts is 10-6 UNDER. Jimenez life time against Diamondbacks is 11-3 UNDER with last 3 all going UNDER. under is 8-1 last 9 betwen this 2 teams. under will hit in my opinion.
How do you not like phillies tonight! Oswalt on the mound.. Braves are dead. no brainer.