BLOG: September 20

[fox sixers]

I like the UNDER in the Twins/Indians game tonight for a small play.

Twins/Indians UNDER 8.5 -115

Line movement thus far has slightly gone in my favor now at -120.

Indians in the 2010 season are 78-67 UNDER. They are 12-5 UNDER in September games. Indians when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 22-15 UNDER

In a lot of Twin team stats, they slightly lean UNDER. In night games thery are 3 games UNDER. Games played on grass they are 8 games UNDER. Against this Twins team they definitely lean UNDER.

Jeanmar Gomez is going for the Indians. This righty starting pitcher has been up and down. His last 3 games he has a 6.13, but they HAVE ALL gone UNDER. Gomez is 6-2 UNDER for the 2010 season. UNDERS against the Royals, Mariners, and Angels.

Gomez has 1 start this season against the Twins where he pitched very well giving up 1 run in 5.3 innings.

Brian Duensing has pitched great his last 3 starts with a 1.31 ERA. In his home starts he has a 0.57 ERA going 3-1 UNDER. His last 3 he is 2-1 UNDER pitching well in all 3 games against White Sox, Rangers, and Tigers.

This season in Minnesota with these 2 teams 4 out of 5 games have gone UNDER.

Below are trends/stats for the game.

• Under is 5-0 in Indians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
• Under is 6-0 in Indians last 6 games following a loss.
• Under is 5-1 in Indians last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• Under is 10-2 in Indians last 12 games as an underdog.
• Under is 13-3 in Indians last 16 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
• Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.
• Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Under is 6-2 in Indians last 8 games as a road underdog.
• Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
• Under is 20-8 in Indians last 28 overall..
• Under is 3-0-1 in Gomezs last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 5-1 in Gomezs last 6 starts on grass.
• Under is 5-1 in Gomezs last 6 starts overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Gomezs last 5 starts as an underdog.

• Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games following a loss.
• Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
• Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record..
• Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter
• Under is 4-0 in Duensings last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 8-1 in Duensings last 9 home starts.
• Under is 6-1 in Duensings last 7 starts as a home favorite.
• Under is 4-1 in Duensings last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
• Under is 4-1 in Duensings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record..
• Under is 5-2 in Duensings last 7 starts overall.
• Under is 7-3 in Duensings last 10 starts as a favorite.

• Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.

GL to all playing this game and hope all this information was helpful.

[fox sixers]

My 2nd play tonight is Rangers/Angels UNDER 7 +100.

This play was at UNDER 7.5 -110 last night. Has had real solid line movement thus far.

I really like this game as we have 2 teams that lean UNDER.

The Texas Rangers are 74-68 UNDER in the 2010 season. When the total is 7 or less in 2010, the Rangers are 7-4 UNDER. Rangers are 40-32 UNDER on the road. Rangers are also 24-15 UNDER against a divisional opponent this season. Over 500 in UNDER by 4 games in night games. After a loss they do lean UNDER as well.

LA Angels are 76-66 UNDER in the 2010 season. 13-3 UNDER as a home favorite of -150- -175. Angels are 11-3 UNDER in September. 6-0 UNDER in their last 6 games. In home games, they are 38-30 UNDER . In night games, they are 54-45 UNDER. Angels against a left handed starter are 26-18 UNDER. Angels when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 18-11 UNDER.

The pitching matchup for tonight is Derek Holland vs. Jered Weaver.

Holland has pitched good his last 3 starts with a 2.94 ERA. 2 out of 3 of those games have gone UNDER

Holland is 3-1 UNDER in his career starts against the Angels I predict that he pitches well enough to keep this game UNDER.

Jered Weaver has been an UNDER machine in 2010. He is 12-0 UNDER in his starts this season. He has a 1.64 ERA his last 3 starts with all UNDERS. Weaver pitches terrific at home with a 1.56 ERA. I believe Angels get the win tonight.

Weaver is 12-5 UNDER against the Rangers in his career. His last 3 games against Texas have ALL gone UNDER with totals of 5, 5, and 4 runs.

7 out of 10 games this season have gone UNDER between these 2 teams.

Below are trends/stats for this game.

· Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 road games.
· Under is 20-6-1 in Rangers last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
· Under is 15-6-3 in Rangers last 24 vs. American League West.
· Under is 46-22-5 in Rangers last 73 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
· Under is 7-1-1 in Hollands last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
· Under is 6-2 in Hollands last 8 starts vs. American League West.
· Under is 8-3-1 in Hollands last 12 road starts.
· Under is 5-2-1 in Hollands last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

· Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
· Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 on grass.
· Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
· Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
· Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
· Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 during game 1 of a series.
· Under is 9-1-1 in Angels last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
· Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 home games.
· Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
· Under is 2-0-2 in Weavers last 4 Monday starts.
· Under is 4-0-2 in Weavers last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
· Under is 4-0 in Weavers last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
· Under is 4-0-1 in Weavers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
· Under is 8-0 in Weavers last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
· Under is 4-0 in Weavers last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
· Under is 8-1-2 in Weavers last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
· Under is 20-5-3 in Weavers last 28 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
· Under is 12-3-1 in Weavers last 16 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
· Under is 12-3-3 in Weavers last 18 starts vs. American League West

· Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings.
· Under is 5-1-1 in Weavers last 7 home starts vs. Rangers.
· Under is 5-1 in Weavers last 6 starts vs. Rangers.
· Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.


BOL to all.