It just doesn't add up

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  • thebestthereis
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-01-09
    • 11459

    #1
    It just doesn't add up
    Twins on fire, blackburn on fire (8 ip last 3 starts), blackburn dominant at home, twins dominant at home (and at home vs lefties), twins in a pennant race (but in the lead). Twins are -120 vs Cokeland. Are the guys settin' the lines smoking the crack again opposed to snorting?
  • Paradroid
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-13-10
    • 139

    #2
    was thinking the same thing
    Comment
    • apwmel
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-26-09
      • 789

      #3
      Sometimes baseball lines make no sense.
      Comment
      • LiarGame
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-05-10
        • 565

        #4
        Definitely a strange line. Thanks for the heads up
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          Put Blackburn"ya money" on a parlay. Hope they come through.
          Comment
          • thebestthereis
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-01-09
            • 11459

            #6
            can't see how you cannot take the twins here. are the oddsmakers completely forgetting about baseball and the volume of betting is just down because of football? oakland can win yes but how can you back them at only +110 here? it must be some type of scheduling thing or spot because it is ridiculous.
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Braden Andersen has yet to beat a team over .500 in over a month.

              Trust me, I bet him against TX, Red Sox, and some other team that he burnt my money with.

              Blackburn has been pitching great, since coming back from the minors. Minny is the much better team also, though this could be a letdown spot.
              Comment
              • aman86
                SBR MVP
                • 08-29-09
                • 3115

                #8
                like mets yesterday, gotta take the obvious sometimes
                Comment
                • kevinslack1016
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-17-10
                  • 162

                  #9
                  Are you confusing Dallas Braden with Brett Anderson? Brett Anderson has given up more than 2 ER in only 1 of his last 8 starts and his ERA below 3.00. Not sure if this is as great of a pick you you think but under 8 doesnt look half bad
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #10
                    blackburn has been terrible vs oakland and anderson has been very solid no doubt. it still doesn't make sense here to take oakland (at ONLY +110) vs a team that is 12-2 in september, dominant at home, has a pitcher who is as good as it gets with current numbers AND a great home pitcher, needing wins more, great vs lefties and great vs lefties at home (even better), and so on. this is either free money or a massive trap. there is maybe 1 case to back the a's and 10 for the twins.
                    Comment
                    • jorge1
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-06-10
                      • 3520

                      #11
                      Minny is the play here...MINNY on a 5 game winning streak, MINNY OWNS OAK this year 5 games to 1, MINNY in the race, amazing at home, amazing lately, Bats on fire, OAK lost last two against a sorry KC team, and BARELY won the first one, Anderson good but is hittable...he was hit well by TEXAS on the road as well as by Wsox on the road...BLackburn been FIRE since coming back...PERIOD

                      I wouldnt think it much...just play it...all my moneys are on TAMPA though, so its a no play for me...
                      Comment
                      • thebestthereis
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-01-09
                        • 11459

                        #12
                        there has to be a stat for a team coming home of a division road sweep (and road trip) because if there is no bullshit stat like that or some other one this is the biggest joke of a line i have seen in a long time. minny doesn't need the game i guess so no pressure coming home here and banging your girls after the trip.
                        Comment
                        • phLLyphan11
                          Restricted User
                          • 05-15-09
                          • 322

                          #13
                          Not sure about the stat you are talking about...but I do believe this is a let-down game for Minnesota. They just came off a huge series against ChiSox...very emotionally draining, if you will. They could come home and just not show up for game 1 against Oakland. This just happened last night for the Padres. They come off of a huge series against the Rockies where they go 2-1...travel to St.Louis to play the pathetic Cards who had just gotten swept by the Cubbies and what do they do? Drop game 1. Sometimes baseball works like that.

                          Aside from all that though, I just can't see Minnesota losing. They are soooo good at home.
                          Comment
                          • slimpickins
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-12-10
                            • 891

                            #14
                            Definitely would play MIN here if I had to pick a side.
                            Couple of reasons for the line where it is:
                            1.) and this huge ; Vegas linesmakers love Brett Anderson always have in his brief career they expect him to be a stud.
                            he is and was a better prospect than Cahill or Gonzalez both of whom hav-e pitched great this year.
                            2.) MIN has now wrapped things up this really is a letdown spot for them to go in with a relaxed attitude.

                            Those two points taking into account, I still like MIN here being so hot with the bats and at home plus OAK in the middle of a road trip and haven' played well.
                            No play for me just cause I am only playing a couple tonight but would definitely side with MIN over OAK.
                            Comment
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