My luck is running real bad :(

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  • vyomguy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-08-09
    • 5794

    #1
    My luck is running real bad :(
    Over the past 2 weeks my luck has been running real bad. I am loosing all the bets on over/under by less than a run. When I bet over, the score reaches within 1 point or half point of the total and then they don't score anymore for several innings. When I bet under, they score just 1 run over the specified line. Today, I took giants under 8.. and the final score was 9 runs . In past 2 weeks, 80% of my bets have lost within 1 run...and 50% of those are within .5 runs i.e the hook. This is making me sick . Time to quit baseball and move onto Football.
  • rickbo528
    SBR MVP
    • 10-22-08
    • 1842

    #2
    Originally posted by vyomguy
    Over the past 2 weeks my luck has been running real bad. I am loosing all the bets on over/under by less than a run. When I bet over, the score reaches within 1 point or half point of the total and then they don't score anymore for several innings. When I bet under, they score just 1 run over the specified line. Today, I took giants under 8.. and the final score was 9 runs . In past 2 weeks, 80% of my bets have lost within 1 run...and 50% of those are within .5 runs i.e the hook. This is making me sick . Time to quit baseball and move onto Football.

    Been there too. Sometimes it doesnt matter who you take, it just doesn't work out. Looks to me like betting big dogs in September will profit.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Its called variance
      Comment
      • bonduforlife
        Restricted User
        • 08-21-10
        • 1222

        #4
        i know exactly where ur coming from, dont worry. Football rarely dis appoints. Jets and Ravens wont score more then 25 points. My first pick
        for the 1st week
        Comment
        • Prey
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-10-10
          • 457

          #5
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          Its called variance
          Comment
          • vyomguy
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-08-09
            • 5794

            #6
            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
            Its called variance
            No, as a matter of fact its lack of variance. It describes how far values lie from the mean...here its the line. If variance was distributed evenly across mean, 80% of my bets wouldn't fall within 1 point.
            Comment
            • paco
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-07-09
              • 62873

              #7
              It's been rough past 2 weeks bro, keep at it.
              Comment
              • phillybadboy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-11-09
                • 9383

                #8
                sad
                Comment
                • rkelly110
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 10-05-09
                  • 39691

                  #9
                  Wow, 80%. Fade yourself. How were you doing before the last 2 weeks? Betting fav's, dogs
                  or a combo? Try chasing your losses? Usually a high scoring game will be low the next day.
                  The way I pick over/ unders. I'll add up the pitchers last 3 gms and divide the total by 3.
                  I'll then add both pitchers (offence runs) together to get my total. Gm 1 and 3 are my
                  best. Looking at the Giants, I wouldv'e lost that game too.
                  Comment
                  • G's pks
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 22251

                    #10
                    move on to another sport...baseball after Sept 1st is a different animal.
                    Comment
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