Ok guys. I feel like I have a real good feel for this game. Feedback/comments/points always appreciated.
I expect this line to move towards game time like the yankees under yesterday. Line for yankees started at +105 and moved to -125.. I expect movement in Cubs/Astros UNDER. I see this as a real solid play...
First.. people talk about wind... wind was a factor yesterday at Wrigley.. game went UNDER. Wind right now at Wrigley is at 15 mph. Under this conditions under is at 14-10. I really do not see this as a factor. If anybody cares to put thwir input.. please do so.. it helps everybody..
Let's do this..
Astros in 2010 are 76-55 UNDER 33-24 UNDER against divisional opponets. 4-1 UNDER in September. Last 7 games 6-1 UNDER
Cubs are 66-61 UNDER in 2010. not realy any big team stats there for UNDER.. but I will show all soon.
Pitching matchup, I really like for this UNDER.
We have Carlos Silva vs. Nelson Figueroa
Nelson Figueroa since coming to the Astros has been fantastic. All his starts have all gone UNDER. He has a road ERA of 2. 3-0 UNDER on the road. 5-0 UNDER overall. Figueroa is 3-1 UNDER life time against the Cubs.
I believe Carlos Silva is underated pitcher. He is coming off of the DL and for the most has had a very good season. I expect a good start tonight from him. He has a over 11 ERA his last 3 outings.. but that is definitelty over exagerated with his pitching performance. His start he gotr injured in he went less than 1 inning giving up 2 runs. and got rocked against Houston in 1 start. I am not concerned at all about this. He has had 3 starts against Houston this year and has pitched nicely in 2 of them. I see it happening again tonight. UNDER is 2-1 in his career against Astros. This season all starts UNDER is is 10-7 and road games UNDER is 5-3. I will show trends FOR UNDER FOR Silva below.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-1 in Silvas last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 7-1 in Silvas last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Silvas last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 4-1 in Silvas last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 3-1-1 in Silvas last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-2-1 in Silvas last 8 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 7-3-1 in Silvas last 11 starts as a favorite.
Under is 9-4-1 in Silvas last 14 starts on grass.
Under is 9-4-1 in Silvas last 14 starts overall
This would definitely lean towards UNDER
4 of 6 of games this year in Chicago against Houston have gone UNDER
For Houston.. obviously an UNDER team..
Under is 8-0 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 Tuesday games.
Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. National League Central.
Under is 11-1 in Astros last 12 road games.
Under is 10-1 in Astros last 11 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 games as an underdog.
Under is 21-5 in Astros last 26 overall.
Under is 21-5 in Astros last 26 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Astros last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 15-5-1 in Astros last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Figueroas last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Figueroas last 4 starts overall
Head to Head:
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Umpire for the game LEANS UNDER
Under is 7-2 in Kelloggs last 9 games behind home plate.
Under is 3-1-1 in Kelloggs last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate
I doubt this is BIG play.. It will determined by line movement during the day.. but I would definitely NOT play OVER. UNDER is the PLAY.. and it's definitely for sure worth RIGHT NOW a small to medium play... I will update in the next few hours exactly what I label it as.
Parlay with Twins and Yankees will probably be labeled in the small to medium play range.. I will update for sure!
I expect this line to move towards game time like the yankees under yesterday. Line for yankees started at +105 and moved to -125.. I expect movement in Cubs/Astros UNDER. I see this as a real solid play...
First.. people talk about wind... wind was a factor yesterday at Wrigley.. game went UNDER. Wind right now at Wrigley is at 15 mph. Under this conditions under is at 14-10. I really do not see this as a factor. If anybody cares to put thwir input.. please do so.. it helps everybody..
Let's do this..
Astros in 2010 are 76-55 UNDER 33-24 UNDER against divisional opponets. 4-1 UNDER in September. Last 7 games 6-1 UNDER
Cubs are 66-61 UNDER in 2010. not realy any big team stats there for UNDER.. but I will show all soon.
Pitching matchup, I really like for this UNDER.
We have Carlos Silva vs. Nelson Figueroa
Nelson Figueroa since coming to the Astros has been fantastic. All his starts have all gone UNDER. He has a road ERA of 2. 3-0 UNDER on the road. 5-0 UNDER overall. Figueroa is 3-1 UNDER life time against the Cubs.
I believe Carlos Silva is underated pitcher. He is coming off of the DL and for the most has had a very good season. I expect a good start tonight from him. He has a over 11 ERA his last 3 outings.. but that is definitelty over exagerated with his pitching performance. His start he gotr injured in he went less than 1 inning giving up 2 runs. and got rocked against Houston in 1 start. I am not concerned at all about this. He has had 3 starts against Houston this year and has pitched nicely in 2 of them. I see it happening again tonight. UNDER is 2-1 in his career against Astros. This season all starts UNDER is is 10-7 and road games UNDER is 5-3. I will show trends FOR UNDER FOR Silva below.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 7-1 in Silvas last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 7-1 in Silvas last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Silvas last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 4-1 in Silvas last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 3-1-1 in Silvas last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 5-2-1 in Silvas last 8 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 7-3-1 in Silvas last 11 starts as a favorite.
Under is 9-4-1 in Silvas last 14 starts on grass.
Under is 9-4-1 in Silvas last 14 starts overall
This would definitely lean towards UNDER
4 of 6 of games this year in Chicago against Houston have gone UNDER
For Houston.. obviously an UNDER team..
Under is 8-0 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 Tuesday games.
Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. National League Central.
Under is 11-1 in Astros last 12 road games.
Under is 10-1 in Astros last 11 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 13-3 in Astros last 16 games as an underdog.
Under is 21-5 in Astros last 26 overall.
Under is 21-5 in Astros last 26 on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Astros last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Under is 15-5-1 in Astros last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 games following a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Figueroas last 4 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Figueroas last 4 starts overall
Head to Head:
Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Umpire for the game LEANS UNDER
Under is 7-2 in Kelloggs last 9 games behind home plate.
Under is 3-1-1 in Kelloggs last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate
I doubt this is BIG play.. It will determined by line movement during the day.. but I would definitely NOT play OVER. UNDER is the PLAY.. and it's definitely for sure worth RIGHT NOW a small to medium play... I will update in the next few hours exactly what I label it as.
Parlay with Twins and Yankees will probably be labeled in the small to medium play range.. I will update for sure!