Betting Against A Near 5 ERA In AAA

[albo gator]

Ok so I think I am betting the Nats on Tuesday and here is my reasoning. Both starters are making their debuts. But the starter for the Mets has a 4.96 ERA over a full AAA season. I suppose I have made bets for lesser reasons before but they escape me at this moment.

Thoughts on this logic? It looks like the Nats are -125 or so. And the Mets do suck on the road and Reyes is still out.

[JC2008]

It should be close and you would expect the Mets to play better, considering how badly they got hammered today.

[ROFLcopter]

Hoping for a Mets loss cause I'm thinking about pounding them on Wednesday